The New Energy Landscape: Key drivers of the Energy Future Kazakhstan has extensive natural resources fact ► Estimated lifetime of proven reserves, years Kazakhstan is the world’s 8th by the amount of proven reserves of coal and 9th by the proven reserves of oil Main energy sources for power industry in Kazakhstan 4,9% Coal 10,6% Hydro Gas 14,6% Source: Statistics Agency of RK 70% Oil Kazakhstan power generation industry is not efficient fact ► 90 Kazakhstan energy balance 83,8 85 More than 40% of all Kazakhstan’s energy is produced by only 3 major power plant located near coal mines Source: Statistics Agency of RK bln kWh 80,3 80 76,6 75 78,7 87,9 85,9 82,7 77,9 71,7 70 67,9 65 2006 2007 2008 Electricity consumption 2009 2010 2011 2012 Electricity production Kazakhstan power generating capacity, GW Power generation system doesn’t fit the inhabitation pattern fact ► Population density, people/km2 & energy network map Over 60% of Kazakhstan population lives in small towns and rural areas 2 23 Power network Source: Statistics Agency of RK Gas network Kazakhstan has a potential for alternative power generation fact ► Wind speed distribution & solar irradiation map In Kazakhstan now only 0,2% of energy is produced from renewables sources wind speed 3 m/s 9 m/s solar activity 5-6 DNI > 7 DNI (For example, Spain average DNI is 5) Source: Statistics Agency of RK Decreasing costs of renewables makes them affordable fact ► Cost of solar power generation (LCOE) 0,25 Diesel generator LCOE 0,2 Every 250 km distance from the 0,15 0,1 mine adds 1 cent to 0,05 the cost of electricity 0 Coal power plant LCOE 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 produced from coal Cost of wind power generation (LCOE) 0,1 0,08 Coal power plant LCOE 0,06 0,04 Source: Alternative Energy eTrack, www.alternativeenergyetrack.com 0,02 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Energy storage provides utilities with reliable low-cost energy source fact ► Power storage 3000 2500 250 0 2000 2200 Capital cost of storage , $/kWh 1500 1500 implementation allows 1200 1000 800 600 to: 400 500 Enhance profitability 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 & adoption of renewable generation 25 Unlink supply and 20 demand to reduce 15 peak-power 10 Cost per cycle, cent/kWh 20 15 10 8 6 infrastructure Source: Alternative Energy eTrack, www.alternativeenergyetrack.com 5 4 3 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Energy efficient solutions can alleviate the energy deficit fact ► Kazakhstan Methods increasing energy efficiency Waste-heat utilization 10% Government aims to save up to 10% of Power usage optimization 4-5% Digital control systems 7-8% Boiler Insulation 2-3% electric energy through implementation of energy efficient technologies in 3 years Energy-efficient solutions Results of implementation (energy savings) Kazakhstan power generation damages environment fact ► 110 105 Kazakhstan is the CO2 emissions from power production, total (million tons) 107 101,89 global leader in CO2 95 emissions per capita 90 85 104 99,21 100 96,2 95,57 84,89 80 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 CO2 emissions (tons per capita) 16 14,2 15 Kazakhstan 2007 14,6 14 14 14,1 14 13 Average of Western EU countries 12 12 11,7 11 10 9 Source: IndexMundi 8 7,5 8 2005 2006 8,1 8,3 8,3 8,1 2007 2008 2009 2010 8 7 6 2011 Selected Bright Capital’s Portfolio Energy Efficiency Renewable energy Kazakhstan government sees the importance of innovations in energy sector, and more to be done fact ► Our recommendations: Access to the cutting edge technology through technology transfer as the major vehicle, leveraged by sovereign capital Fast forward integration of modern technology through: - investing in and co-operation with leading international venture capital and PE funds; - Setting up local technologies deployment and seed funds. Support local academic institutions and international research collaboration to find talent and educate specialists in respective fields Contacts Boris Ryabov Managing Partner Bright Capital rba@bright-capital.com