Multi-Employer Plan Surveys and Actuarial Assumptions 2013 IBEW / NECA Employee Benefits Conference Session January 31, 2013 Stan Goldfarb, F.S.A., E.A. Actuary and Managing Consultant Horizon Actuarial Services, LLC Atlanta n Cleveland n Los Angeles n Miami n Washington, D.C. Presentation Contents Page 2 I. Update on Trends In Mortality II. Capital Market Assumptions Survey III. Inventory of Multiemployer Construction Industry Pension Plans 12 17 X:\Associates\Goldfarb\TRAINING MATERIALS\PPPresentations\IBEW-NECA Presentation SG 1-31-2013.pptx “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 1 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Update on Trends in Mortality “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 2 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL How Good is Your Mortality Assumption? How has experience conformed over the last few years? Should you reflect future mortality improvements? The actuarial standards require us to at least consider future mortality improvements “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 3 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 4 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity - Mortality Overweight and obesity increase the rate of mortality1 Lowest levels of mortality are associated with BMI of 22.5-25 Men with a BMI of 30 or more have a risk of death 1.61 times greater than those with a BMI of between 22.5 and 24.92 Research shows that overweight and obesity are responsible for1: • 16% of mortality from ages 30 to 44 • 17% of mortality from ages 45 to 54 • 14% of mortality from ages 55 to 64 1. Obesity and its Relation to Mortality and Morbidity Costs; Behan, Cox 2. Body mass index and mortality among US male physicians; Annuls of Epidemiology; Ajani, Lotufo, Gaziano, Lee, Spelsberg, Buring, Willit, Manson “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 5 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity - Prevalence Survey Period Overweight (BMI>25) Obese (BMI>30) Extremely obese (BMI >40) 1960-1962 44.8% 13.3% 0.9% 1971-1974 47.2% 14.5% 1.3% 1976-1980 47.1% 15.0% 1.4% 1988-1994 55.8% 23.2% 3.0% 1999-2000 64.5% 30.9% 5.0% 2001-2002 65.7% 31.3% 5.4% 2003-2004 66.3% 32.9% 5.1% * The epidemiology of obesity. Gastroenterology 132(6):2087-2102; Ogen, Yanoskim Carroll, Flegal “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 6 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity – Prevalence - 1985 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 7 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity – Prevalence - 1990 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 8 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity – Prevalence - 2000 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 9 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity – Prevalence - 2005 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 10 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Obesity – Prevalence - 2010 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 11 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Capital Market Assumptions Survey “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 12 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL 2012 Survey Overview 2012 Survey Respondents Horizon requested capital market assumptions from several different investment consulting firms. 2012 capital market assumptions requested: 1. Callan Associates 2. CAPTRUST Financial Advisors 3. AJ Gallagher Fiduciary Advisors / Independent Fiduciary Services 4. Hewitt EnnisKnupp 5. Investment Performance Services, LLC 6. RV Kuhns & Associates Expected returns (arithmetic) by asset class 7. Marco Consulting Group Standard deviations of expected returns (arithmetic) by asset class 8. Marquette Associates 9. Meketa Investment Group Correlation coefficient matrix 10. JP Morgan Commentary on investment horizon and whether expected returns are different for the short term versus the long term Seventeen (17) investment consulting firms responded. 11. Morgan Stanley / Graystone Consulting 12. New England Pension Consultants 13. Pension Consulting Alliance 14. The PFM Group 15. SEI 16. Towers Watson 17. Wurts & Associates A full report on the survey can be found at www.horizonactuarial.com. “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 13 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Expected Returns by Asset Class The following chart shows the ranges of expected returns (arithmetic) for the different asset classes for the seventeen investment advisors who responded to the survey. There are considerable differences in different advisors’ expected returns for some asset classes. As the saying goes, “reasonable people may differ.” 2012 Survey: Expected Returns by Asset Class ASSET CLASS [ Minimum | Composite | Maximum ] 0% US Equity - Large Cap 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% [ 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% ] US Equity - Small/Mid Cap [ 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% ] International Equity - Developed [ 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% ] International Equity - Emerging [ 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.8% ] US Fixed Income - Investment [ 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% ] US Fixed Income - High Yield [ 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% ] International Fixed Income - Developed [ 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% ] International Fixed Income - Emerging [ 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% ] Treasuries (Cash Equivalents) [ 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% ] TIPS (Inflation-Protected) [ 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% ] Real Estate [ 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% ] Hedge Funds [ 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% ] Commodities [ 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% ] Infrastructure [ 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% ] Private Equity [ 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.4% ] SOURCE: Horizon Actuarial survey of 2012 capital market assumptions from 17 independent investment advisors. Returns are ARITHMETIC. “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 14 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL 14% 16% 2012 Survey Composite Capital Market Assumptions The following are the composite capital market assumptions from the survey. Each survey respondent was given equal weight in determining the average assumptions. Horizon Actuarial 2012 Survey of Capital Market Assumptions Composite Assumptions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Asset Class US Equity - Large Cap US Equity - Small/Mid Cap International Equity - Developed International Equity - Emerging US Fixed Income - Investment US Fixed Income - High Yield International Fixed Income - Developed International Fixed Income - Emerging Treasuries (Cash Equivalents) TIPS (Inflation-Protected) Real Estate Hedge Funds Commodities Infrastructure Private Equity E[R] StdDev 9.37% 18.23% 10.54% 23.01% 9.89% 20.41% 12.61% 28.27% 4.13% 5.89% 7.37% 12.28% 3.77% 7.28% 7.23% 13.21% 2.77% 1.89% 3.49% 6.01% 7.56% 11.73% 7.25% 9.00% 7.29% 18.72% 8.29% 13.78% 12.90% 25.14% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Correlation Matrix 1 2 3 1.00 0.86 0.80 0.86 1.00 0.71 0.80 0.71 1.00 0.68 0.66 0.72 0.19 0.11 0.13 0.62 0.59 0.55 0.07 0.02 0.25 0.51 0.48 0.45 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 (0.02) 0.04 0.33 0.23 0.29 0.58 0.55 0.58 0.25 0.23 0.32 0.55 0.50 0.55 0.76 0.71 0.67 4 0.68 0.66 0.72 1.00 0.05 0.54 0.10 0.59 (0.02) 0.06 0.23 0.58 0.36 0.54 0.59 5 0.19 0.11 0.13 0.05 1.00 0.34 0.49 0.44 0.23 0.65 0.05 0.15 0.06 0.19 0.04 6 0.62 0.59 0.55 0.54 0.34 1.00 0.16 0.61 (0.00) 0.22 0.22 0.47 0.24 0.52 0.52 7 0.07 0.02 0.25 0.10 0.49 0.16 1.00 0.26 0.12 0.43 (0.04) 0.11 0.13 0.32 (0.01) 8 0.51 0.48 0.45 0.59 0.44 0.61 0.26 1.00 0.05 0.28 0.05 0.46 0.27 0.42 0.39 SOURCE: Horizon Actuarial survey of 2012 capital market assumptions from 17 independent investment advisors. “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 15 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL 9 0.03 0.00 0.00 (0.02) 0.23 (0.00) 0.12 0.05 1.00 0.16 0.13 0.11 0.04 0.05 0.04 10 0.02 (0.02) 0.04 0.06 0.65 0.22 0.43 0.28 0.16 1.00 0.06 0.15 0.28 0.22 (0.04) 11 0.33 0.23 0.29 0.23 0.05 0.22 (0.04) 0.05 0.13 0.06 1.00 0.23 0.26 0.35 0.38 12 0.58 0.55 0.58 0.58 0.15 0.47 0.11 0.46 0.11 0.15 0.23 1.00 0.37 0.48 0.52 13 0.25 0.23 0.32 0.36 0.06 0.24 0.13 0.27 0.04 0.28 0.26 0.37 1.00 0.37 0.26 14 0.55 0.50 0.55 0.54 0.19 0.52 0.32 0.42 0.05 0.22 0.35 0.48 0.37 1.00 0.50 15 0.76 0.71 0.67 0.59 0.04 0.52 (0.01) 0.39 0.04 (0.04) 0.38 0.52 0.26 0.50 1.00 Expected Return: Hypothetical Pension Fund This exhibit shows expected returns for a hypothetical multiemployer pension fund based on (1) the most conservative advisor’s assumptions, (2) the composite assumptions from the survey, and (3) the most optimistic advisor’s assumptions. Expected geometric returns are projected over a 20-year period. Hypothetical Multiemployer Pension Fund - 2012 Survey Asset Class US Equity - Large Cap US Equity - Small/Mid Cap Non-US Equity - Developed Non-US Equity - Emerging US Fixed Income - Investment US Fixed Income - High Yield Non-US Fixed Income - Developed Non-US Fixed Income - Emerging Treasuries (Cash Equivalents) TIPS (Inflation-Protected) Real Estate Hedge Funds Commodities Infrastructure Private Equity Inflation TOTAL PORTFOLIO Weight 20.0% 10.0% 7.5% 5.0% 10.0% 5.0% 5.0% 2.5% 5.0% 5.0% 10.0% 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% 5.0% N/A 100.0% Expected Return (Arithmetic) Minimum Composite Maximum 7.8% 9.4% 10.7% 7.7% 10.5% 12.7% 8.1% 9.9% 11.8% 9.8% 12.6% 14.8% 2.5% 4.1% 6.7% 5.7% 7.4% 8.9% 2.6% 3.8% 5.3% 6.4% 7.2% 10.7% 1.3% 2.8% 4.0% 2.6% 3.5% 5.1% 6.3% 7.6% 9.1% 5.9% 7.3% 11.4% 4.8% 7.3% 9.2% 7.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.6% 12.9% 15.4% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% Conservative Survey Advisor Composite 1-Year Arithmetic Returns Expected Return Standard Deviation 6.96% 11.23% 7.92% 11.04% 9.09% 10.83% 20-Year Geometric Returns 75th Percentile 67th Percentile 50th Percentile 33rd Percentile 25th Percentile 8.02% 7.41% 6.33% 5.25% 4.63% 8.97% 8.37% 7.31% 6.24% 5.64% 10.14% 9.55% 8.50% 7.46% 6.87% Probability of Exceeding 7.50% 32.0% 46.9% 66.1% Considerations and Limitations - Target allocations may be approximated if certain asset classes are not included in the survey. - Capital market assumptions are based on indexed returns and do not reflect anticipated alpha. - Many investment advisors provided assumptions over a short time horizon (10 years or less). - For advisors that provided both short term and long-term assumptions, long-term assumptions were generally higher by 100 to 200 basis points for fixed income investments. 20-Year Annualized (Geometric) Returns 11.0% 10.5% 10.0% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 8.0% 7.5% 7.0% 6.5% 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 75th percentile 50th percentile 25th percentile Conservative Composite Advisor Assumptions SOURCE: Horizon Actuarial survey of 2012 capital market assumptions from 17 independent investment advisors. “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 Optimistic Advisor 16 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Optimistic Advisor Inventory of Multiemployer Construction Industry Pension Plans – 2012 Edition “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 17 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Inventory of Multiemployer Construction Industry Pension Plans – 2012 Edition Joint project between Horizon Actuarial and Mechanical Contractors Association of America Purpose is to summarize trends in pension plans based on data from Form 5500’s filed with the IRS Over 800 plans included in the inventory 10 years of historical data (2001-2010) Results broken down by assets: Large Plans – At least $500 million in assets Medium Plans – Between $100-$500 million in assets Small Plans – Under $100 million in assets Full report available at www.horizonactuarial.com “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 18 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Distribution of Plans by Asset Value (MVA) MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 2.01) Distribution of Plans by Asset Value At least $5.000B (0.4%) SAMPLE PLAN 3 $2.000B to $4.999B (1.6%) 13 $1.000B to $1.999B (3.1%) 25 $500M to $999M (4.3%) 35 $200M to $499M (11.8%) 97 $100M to $199M (14.4%) 118 $50M to $99M (17.5%) 143 $25M to $49M (18.9%) 155 $5M to $24M (22.7%) 186 Under $5M (5.4%) 44 - 50 100 150 Source: 2009-2010 Form 5500 data “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 19 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL 200 Distribution of Plans by Participant Count MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 2.02) Distribution of Plans by Participants SAMPLE PLAN At least 50,000 (1.1%) 9 25,000 to 49,999 (2.1%) 17 10,000 to 24,999 (4.8%) 39 5,000 to 9,999 (6.2%) 51 4,000 to 4,999 (3.9%) 32 3,000 to 3,999 (6.5%) 53 2,000 to 2,999 (8.1%) 66 1,500 to 1,999 (9.4%) 77 1,000 to 1,499 (12.3%) 101 500 to 999 (22.1%) 181 100 to 499 (20.1%) 165 Under 100 (3.4%) 28 Source: 2009-2010 Form 5500 data “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 20 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Maturity (Active/Inactive Participants) MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 3.02) Construction Industry Plans Participant Ratio: Actives to Inactives (End of Plan Year) 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 724 789 788 785 793 794 801 754 801 574 95th Percentile 3.47 3.56 2.98 2.68 2.69 2.46 2.54 2.37 2.14 1.90 75th Percentile 1.74 1.63 1.52 1.43 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.27 1.14 1.06 50th Percentile 1.19 1.16 1.10 1.02 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.93 0.82 0.74 25th Percentile 0.83 0.78 0.75 0.72 0.69 0.67 0.68 0.66 0.58 0.51 5th Percentile 0.42 0.40 0.37 0.36 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.28 0.25 All Construction Industry Plans SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.82 0.82 0.84 0.86 0.87 0.93 0.96 0.91 0.76 0.67 0.68 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 21 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Cash FlowMCAA/HAS as a Percentage of Plan Assets Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 4.02) Construction Industry Plans Cash Flow as a Percentage of Assets 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 -2.00 -4.00 -6.00 -8.00 -10.00 -12.00 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 693 763 746 737 764 773 777 724 780 555 95th Percentile 4.1 4.2 4.3 3.3 3.4 3.8 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.1 75th Percentile 0.4 (0.0) (0.4) (0.6) (0.5) (0.2) 0.1 0.0 (0.8) (1.0) 50th Percentile (1.9) (2.3) (2.8) (2.7) (2.6) (2.4) (1.9) (2.1) (3.6) (3.6) 25th Percentile (3.9) (4.5) (5.2) (4.8) (4.7) (4.3) (3.9) (4.2) (6.3) (5.9) 5th Percentile (6.5) (7.1) (8.0) (7.5) (7.4) (7.3) (6.8) (7.3) (10.9) (9.5) All Construction Industry Plans SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (3.3) (3.3) (3.6) (1.9) (0.5) 0.3 (0.3) (0.9) (2.7) (3.1) (2.8) “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 22 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Net Investment Returns MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 5.01) Construction Industry Plans Net Investment Returns 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 320 370 370 349 367 376 378 375 382 377 95th Percentile 4.5% 1.3% 23.8% 12.8% 9.0% 14.8% 10.1% -6.2% 25.2% 14.4% 75th Percentile 0.8% -5.0% 19.2% 10.2% 6.9% 12.5% 8.0% -19.9% 20.3% 12.7% 50th Percentile -1.6% -7.8% 16.7% 8.5% 5.7% 10.9% 6.7% -23.0% 16.2% 11.5% 25th Percentile -3.8% -10.3% 13.9% 6.8% 4.5% 9.5% 5.6% -25.8% 12.6% 9.9% 5th Percentile -7.9% -14.4% 7.1% 4.0% 2.7% 6.0% 3.4% -29.2% 6.7% 7.1% CALENDAR YEAR PLANS ONLY SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (1.6%) (9.7%) 14.7% 7.1% 9.2% 14.0% 9.3% (17.2%) 11.5% 10.4% (1.5%) “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 23 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Net Investment Return Assumption MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 5.03) Investment Return Assumption All Construction Industry Plans SAMPLE PLAN 8.50% or more (0.6%) 8.25% per year (0.1%) 8.00% per year (11.0%) 7.75% per year (5.4%) 7.50% per year (49.9%) 7.25% per year (5.1%) 7.00% per year (21.3%) 6.75% per year (1.7%) 6.50% per year (2.3%) 6.25% per year (0.3%) 6.00% per year (1.7%) 5.75% per year (0.3%) 5.50% or less (0.4%) Not Available 4 1 80 39 363 37 155 12 17 2 12 2 3 92 0 200 400 Source: 2009-2010 Form 5500 data “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 24 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL MVA Funded Status MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 6.01) Construction Industry Plans End of Year Funded Percentage (Market Value) 1.30 1.20 1.10 1.00 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 280 334 331 332 352 362 363 357 366 323 95th Percentile 1.11 0.98 1.04 1.14 1.15 1.23 1.24 0.95 1.03 1.07 75th Percentile 0.93 0.80 0.89 0.93 0.92 0.97 0.98 0.76 0.85 0.88 50th Percentile 0.85 0.73 0.80 0.82 0.82 0.86 0.87 0.68 0.76 0.80 25th Percentile 0.77 0.65 0.71 0.73 0.73 0.77 0.79 0.61 0.67 0.71 5th Percentile 0.63 0.50 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.59 0.63 0.42 0.47 0.50 CALENDAR YEAR PLANS ONLY SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.91 0.77 0.83 0.85 0.91 0.97 1.03 0.79 0.84 0.87 0.81 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 25 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Election of 2010 PRA Funding Relief MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 6.04) HAS Pension Database Funding Relief Elections HAS Pension Database Funding Relief Elections (Estimated) Construction Industry Plans PPA Status: 2009 Plan Year All Plans Elected Relief % Elected Relief PPA Status: 2009 Plan Year All Plans Elected Relief % Elected Relief “Green Zone” 166 83 50.0% "Green Zone" 25 22 88.0% Endangered 127 85 66.9% Endangered 12 9 75.0% 41 28 68.3% Seriously End. 10 9 90.0% Critical 122 90 73.8% Critical 15 10 66.7% TOTAL 456 286 62.7% TOTAL 62 50 80.6% Seriously End. “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 26 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Normal Cost per Active Participant MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 7.01) Construction Industry Plans Normal Cost of Benefits (Per Active Participant) 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 253 302 308 300 312 320 334 288 295 301 95th Percentile 4,372 4,458 5,250 4,607 4,660 4,679 5,903 5,551 6,732 6,184 75th Percentile 2,690 2,890 2,893 2,854 2,808 2,963 3,251 3,330 3,630 3,382 50th Percentile 1,944 2,007 1,985 2,059 2,038 2,032 2,169 2,267 2,554 2,261 25th Percentile 1,301 1,342 1,332 1,347 1,314 1,305 1,423 1,438 1,590 1,453 5th Percentile 655 556 573 555 495 545 625 570 594 558 CALENDAR YEAR PLANS ONLY SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,089 2,452 2,687 2,403 2,834 2,663 2,660 2,777 2,565 2,564 2,553 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 27 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL 15-Year Amortization of Unfunded Liabilities per Active Participant MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 7.03) Construction Industry Plans 15-Year Amortization of Unfunded Liabilities (Per Active Participant) 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 278 326 335 327 355 362 363 359 366 323 95th Percentile 4,286 5,764 8,477 9,318 11,013 9,629 8,380 8,243 14,401 12,760 75th Percentile 2,109 3,119 5,061 4,300 4,413 4,492 3,686 3,040 7,821 7,035 50th Percentile 814 1,809 3,359 2,390 2,337 2,437 1,844 1,239 4,556 4,206 25th Percentile - 687 1,684 1,155 969 864 438 4 2,436 1,855 5th Percentile - - 72 - - - - - 318 5 CALENDAR YEAR PLANS ONLY SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2,087 2,609 4,338 3,295 3,632 2,915 2,059 1,568 4,291 4,423 3,930 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 28 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Employer Contributions in Prior Year per Active Participant MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 7.04) Construction Industry Plans Employer Contributions (Per Active Participant) 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 315 364 360 344 362 370 372 369 378 372 95th Percentile 9,812 9,530 10,317 10,794 12,000 13,846 15,806 16,843 16,305 18,044 75th Percentile 5,768 5,792 5,899 6,230 6,751 7,704 8,581 9,449 8,812 9,422 50th Percentile 4,030 4,133 4,198 4,579 4,886 5,703 6,189 6,383 6,065 6,556 25th Percentile 2,671 2,491 2,637 2,883 2,859 3,344 3,793 3,897 3,703 3,947 5th Percentile 865 1,071 1,086 1,108 1,182 1,487 1,488 1,772 1,513 1,973 CALENDAR YEAR PLANS ONLY SAMPLE PLAN Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 5,850 5,736 5,992 6,627 7,128 7,350 6,834 6,376 5,604 6,250 7,443 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 29 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL Contributions vs. Cost per Active Participant MCAA/HAS Construction Industry Survey (Fig. 7.05) Construction Industry Plans Contributions vs. Costs (Per Active Participant) 10,000 5,000 0 -5,000 -10,000 -15,000 Plan Year Beginning 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Number of Plans 246 299 298 287 305 315 328 283 302 306 95th Percentile 4,130 3,119 1,471 2,265 2,596 3,173 5,052 7,535 2,804 5,004 75th Percentile 1,193 307 (571) 156 554 1,108 2,050 3,438 (416) 901 50th Percentile 394 (408) (1,664) (756) (206) 189 970 1,740 (2,246) (968) 25th Percentile (366) (1,481) (3,254) (1,957) (1,558) (904) (145) 402 (4,428) (2,928) 5th Percentile (1,943) (3,489) (6,083) (5,550) (6,774) (4,314) (2,481) CALENDAR YEAR PLANS ONLY SAMPLE PLAN (1,945) (10,967) (8,318) Source: Form 5500 Data 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1,674 675 (1,033) 929 662 1,772 2,115 2,031 (1,252) (737) 960 “Multi-Employer Plan Surveys & Actuarial Assumptions” January 31, 2013 30 2013 IBEW/NECA Employee Benefits Conference, Naples, FL