Trade, Transport and International Logistics: The role of trade facilitation Jan.Hoffmann@UNCTAD.org Geneva, November 2012 . Trade, Transport, Logistics and Technologies: An Introduction 1) 2) 3) 4) Globalization Role of transport Role of logistics Role of trade facilitation Trade, Transport, Logistics and Technologies: An Introduction 1) 2) 3) 4) Globalization Role of transport Role of logistics Role of trade facilitation Globalization of trade What is meant by “Globalization” of trade? • Global production, with increased trade in components and unfinished products Globalization of trade Globalization of trade What are the causes of Globalization? • Trade liberalization • Telematics • Standardization • Transport and Logistics -10 -15 -5 Exports = 2.5 GDP – 3 2010 09 08 07 06 05 04 03 02 01 2000 99 98 97 96 95 94 93 92 91 1990 89 88 87 86 85 84 83 82 81 1980 79 78 77 76 75 74 73 72 1971 Elasticity Trade/GDP 15 per cent annual growth 10 Exports 5 GDP 0 Trade grows faster than GDP Source: data from UNCTAD and from WTO For a country’s GDP to grow e.g. 5%, trade “needs” to grow 7 – 12% Traditional “Geography of Trade” • Transportation of all kinds of commodities for industrial processing (South -> North) Traditional “Geography of Trade” • Transportation of all kinds of commodities for industrial processing (South -> North) • Exchange of industrial products for consumption (North <-> North; and North -> South) • Supplies of parts and components for industrial production (North <-> North) The emergence of the emerging economies Source: UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport, 2012 (forthcoming) The emergence of the emerging economies Old Scenario: Developing countries exported large volumes of raw materials and imported high value (low volume) manufactured goods Source: UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport, 2012 (forthcoming) The emergence of the emerging economies Today’s Scenario: Developing countries participate in globalized production. They also import raw materials and also export manufactured goods Source: UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport, 2012 (forthcoming) Trade, Transport, Logistics and Technologies: An Introduction 1) 2) 3) 4) Globalization Role of transport Role of logistics Role of trade facilitation Mode of transport of global trade ? metric tons (excluding intra-EU) 8,000,000,000 Mode of transport of global trade metric tons (excluding intra-EU) 7,000,000,000 air 0.27% 6,000,000,000 lan d 10.17% 5,000,000,000 sea 89.56% 4,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 1,000,000,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Global Insight Mode of transport of global trade ? USD (excluding intra-EU) Source: Global Insight 9,000,000,000 Mode of transport of global trade USD (excluding intra-EU) 8,000,000,000 air 14.09% 7,000,000,000 lan d 15.84% 6,000,000,000 sea 5,000,000,000 70.07% 4,000,000,000 3,000,000,000 2,000,000,000 64.48% 1,000,000,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Global Insight Globalization and international transport • Example: You want to buy a car “made in Mexico”. • Today: is its transport from Mexico to Geneva more or less expensive than 20 years ago? Globalization and international transport • Less expensive • BUT: You pay MORE for “transport” then 20 years ago. Why? Trade, Transport and International Logistics: An Introduction 1) 2) 3) 4) Globalization Role of transport Role of logistics Role of trade facilitation Logistics in the supply chain Pr o d u ctio n Supply Chain G lo b a liz a tio n o f p r o d u ctio n Ju st- I n - Tim e LO G I STI CS O PTI O N S Logistics Transport I n v e n to r y Tr a n sp o r t Sp a tia l o r g a n iz a tio n o f co lle ctio n a n d d istr ib u tio n ce n tr e s Source: “logistics management”, IML, Lausanne Logistics Expenditure in the United States CSCM – State of Logistics Report 2010 Trade, Transport, Logistics and Technologies: An Introduction 1) 2) 3) 4) Globalization Role of transport Role of logistics Role of trade facilitation Examples of technologies ? International seaborne trade for selected years index of major commodities Source: UNCTAD Review of Maritime Transport, 2011 Anytime: day and night operations Anywhere: e.g. Tierra del Fuego in Chile … the world’s driest desert …Beirut … Luanda …Bangkok Guayaquil … Hamburg (daytime) … Bandar Abas …Suez Canal …Panama Canal Lima …Maldives … France Anyhow: intermodal … into Burkina Faso … Mekong River Zambia … into Zambia Anything: Anything: The United Nations Anything: e.g. port library in Rio de Janeiro Technologies in international logistics 30 years ago: Today: Containerization Telematics Information Intercambioexchange de datos Automatización Automation Fuente: Michael Schwank, TOC Americas, 2004 [New] technologies can help… + Planning for cargo handling operations + Organizing onward transport + Improving cargo security + Tracing the status and location of cargo + Data exchange + Preparing transport documents + Customs clearance +… = trade facilitation Trade, Transport, Logistics and Technologies: An Introduction 1) 2) 3) 4) Globalization Role of transport Role of logistics Role of trade facilitation