The Economic Effects of Global GM Crop Production on American Farmers Cory Gunderson University of Wisconsin-Stout Genetically Modified Organisms • • • • What is it? Why does it matter? Historical Perspective Market Analysis of Agri-biotech – Growing monopoly power of GM-crops – Large barriers of entry • R&D • Mergers, Acquisitions, and Licensing – Patent Data • Why is it important? Claimed Advantages to GM Crops • Increased Revenue for Farmer – Reduced Pesticide Usage – Higher yields per unit of arable land • Agreements between agri-biotech and individual farmer – Vast knowledge of product – Reduced cost of product decisions • (Monsanto Stewardship Agreement) Claimed Disadvantages to GM Crops • Reduction in net revenue due to increased seed costs and minimal to no decrease in pesticide usage – No significant reduction in pesticide usage for most United States farmers • Economically imbalanced agreements control land usage, property rights, and substantial guidelines for GM seed usage Firm Distribution in Seed Market and Growing Monopoly Power GM CR₄ vs Non-GM Market Share 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2001 R² = 0.607 2002 2003 2004 2005 GM CR₄ Market Share Non GM Market Share Linear (GM CR₄ Market Share) Linear (Non GM Market Share) 2006 2007 Firm Distribution in Seed Market and Growing Monopoly Power GM CR₄ vs Non-GM Market Share 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 R²=.8305 2003 2004 GM CR4 Marketshare Trendline y = 0.5707x2 - 3.2548x + 62.949 2005 2006 Non GM Marketshare Trendline y = -0.5707x2 + 3.2548x + 37.051 2007 Patent Data of Agri-Biotech firms • Patent Category. A01H0001->Processes for modification of genotypes. • Patent Category. A01H0004->Plants reproduction by tissue culture techniques 1000 # of Assigned Patents for Top 8 Firms from 1981 to 2009 900 Total # of Patents 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A01H0001 947 619 149 99 81 71 71 69 A01H0004 217 110 58 51 45 43 40 32 Patent Data of Agri-Biotech firms A01H0001 Top Eight Firm Patent Assignees A01H0001 Top Eight Firm Patent Assignees 1. Monsanto LLC. 2. Pioneer Hi Bred Inc. 3. Syngenta Participations Inc. 4. Du Pont 5. Stine Seed Farm Inc. 6. Nat. Inst of Agrobio Science 7. Seminis Vegetable Seeds Inc. 8. Mertec LLC. 1000 1. Monsanto LLC. 2. Pioneer Hi Bred Inc. 3. Mitsui Petrochemical Ind. 4. Syngenta Participations Inc. 5. Mertec LLC. 6. D&PI Technology Holding 7. Seminis Vegetable Seeds Inc. 8. Kirin Brewery # of Assigned Patents for Top 8 Firms from 1981 to 2009 900 Total # of Patents 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A01H0001 947 619 149 99 81 71 71 69 A01H0004 217 110 58 51 45 43 40 32 The Production and Economic Impacts of Bt Corn, 1996-2001: Bushels of Corn Yield Loss Avoided, Value of Increased Yield, the Bt Corn Premium, and Impact on Farmlevel Profits, 1996-2001 State 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 TOTALS Colorado 369,200 2,246,149 5,477,784 6,811,740 6,240,780 6,027,840 27,173,493 Illinois 2,549,583 3,806,569 4,165,384 4,053,672 6,013,907 24,301,408 44,890,523 Indiana 276,438 820,573 995,390 5,230,579 3,016,440 5,056,819 15,396,240 Iowa 1,402,080 3,275,005 3,533,718 3,042,394 3,567,000 13,742,001 28,562,198 Kansas 283,227 888,071 1,035,368 923,832 932,880 3,881,196 7,944,574 Kentucky 139,707 355,056 306,811 900,900 484,120 1,146,880 3,333,474 Michigan 103,626 355,680 100,596 188,760 178,957 364,320 1,291,939 Minnesota 1,140,000 2,497,970 3,091,663 2,111,576 2,926,663 12,854,824 24,622,695 Missouri 739,555 1,218,781 1,344,871 1,393,982 317,950 1,468,800 6,483,940 Nebraska 1,685,493 4,974,442 2,723,418 3,108,040 5,569,200 14,710,800 32,771,393 New York 32,218 110,854 125,841 177,710 129,654 277,970 854,246 Ohio 93,240 409,106 295,849 1,147,608 614,739 2,275,416 4,835,958 Pennsylvania 13,114 46,178 59,319 56,700 97,441 133,950 406,701 South Dakota 897,867 1,416,606 1,719,979 2,107,224 3,385,648 8,873,304 18,400,628 Texas 611,520 3,895,545 7,683,624 9,810,450 9,478,560 6,697,600 38,177,299 Wisconsin 305,454 880,610 262,152 1,045,044 944,328 2,120,294 5,557,882 Other States 746,435 1,648,085 2,357,586 1,636,252 2,698,088 6,339,178 15,425,624 U.S. Total (Bushels) Dollar Value Added Yield* 11,388,756 28,845,280 35,279,353 43,746,462 46,596,356 110,272,601 276,128,808 30,863,529 $70,094,030 $ 68,441,944 $ 79,618,561 $ 86,203,258 $231,572,461 $566,793,785 Bt Corn Price Premium* 11,690,000 $62,730,000 $144,720,000 $147,180,000 $154,250,000 $138,560,000 $659,130,000 Net Profit (Loss) from Bt Corn 19,173,529 $ 7,364,030 $(76,278,056)$(67,561,439)$(68,046,742)$ 93,012,461 $(92,336,215) Source: Benbrook Consulting Services, 2001. Increased expenditures, Decreasing revenues • Farmers have spent about $659 million more on Bt corn seed from 1996-2001, while harvesting about 276 million more bushels worth some $567 million, for a net loss of $92 million Global Impacts of MNC • Implications of Multinational Corporations – Increased concentration of total firms involved in global trade – Increased total revenue from sales of crops to MNC but decrease in revenue to small to medium size crop producers – Resulting consequences of imperfect competition have significant impacts on global producers • The extent of power that GMCs have is directly correlated to the level of arability within the land. The technology is extremely useful for certain regions especially with the increasing demand on food stocks for business and human consumption. Concluding thoughts/ Questions • Increased costs of GM-seeds compared to conventional seeds have caused a loss for small firms. • Patent data shows a significant concentration of three out of the four top firms in both categories • Total firm distribution is becoming increasingly polarized • Significantly imbalanced agreements between large seed production firms and small size farmers ($8-$30 dollars per acre premium, seed costs, required pesticide, increased log keeping, extensive cleanup of seeds after harvest, etc.