EU Market Situation for Eggs Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 23 October 2014 Experts EU production forecast on Eggs 7.500 Thousand Tons 2014 Egg for cons. +1,2% 6 597 Th T Egg Total +1,4% 7 436 Th T 7.000 6.500 2015 Egg for cons. +1,0% 6 660 Th T Egg Total +0,2% 7 447 Th T 6.000 5.500 5.000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Eggs for Consumption 6.998 6.851 6.740 6.657 6.675 6.450 6.417 6.429 6.278 6.521 6.597 6.660 Total Eggs 7.642 7.502 7.438 7.424 7.486 7.313 7.297 7.303 7.265 7.333 7.436 7.447 Hatching eggs 644 651 699 768 811 863 880 874 986,6 812,2 839,5 787,9 DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 Experts EU production forecast of Eggs for consumption 2014: 6 596.7 Th T ( + 1.2 %) & 2015: 6 659.5 Th T ( + 0.5 %) 1 000 2012 FR : 2.9% 2013 2014 2015 DE : 0.6% ES : 8.5% Qty in 1000 tonnes 800 IT : 1.3% NL : 0.6% UK : 2.8% 600 400 RO : 0.0% FI : 1.5% HU : 3.7% 200 BG : 2.4% PT : 0.0% DK : 0.0% IE : 0.0% SK : 0.3% 0 BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE DG AGRI C3 IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI 23 October 2014 SE UK Experts EU production forecast of Total Eggs (Eggs in shell + Hatching Eggs) 2014: 7 436.2 Th T ( + 1.4%) & 2015: 7 447.4 ThT ( + 0.2%) FR : 2.7% 1 000 2014 2015 2015 ES : 0.0% DE : 0.6% Qty in 1000 tonnes 2013 800 NL : 0.5% IT : 1.2% UK : 2.8% 600 400 200 RO : 0.0% BG : 2.2% PT : 0.0% HU : 2.9% DK : 0.0% FI : 1.5% SK : 0.4% IE : 0.0% 0 BE BG CZ DG AGRI C3 DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI 23 October 2014 SE UK Experts EU production forecast of Hatching Eggs 2014: 839.5 Th T ( +3.4 %) & 2015: 842.9 Th T ( + 0.4 %) 2012 2013 2014 2015 Qty in 1000 tonnes 300 200 FR : 0.0% 100 DE : 0.0% IT : 0.0% BG : 0.0% DK : 0.0% UK : 2.9% NL : 0.0% IE : 0.0% HU : 2.4% SK : 1.4% PT : 0.0% RO : 0.0% FI : 0.0% 0 BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE DG AGRI C3 IT CY LV LT HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK 23 October 2014 Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Class A eggs in packing stations €uro/ 100kg 185 165 145 125 105 85 1 4 7 10 13 Moy.09-13 DG AGRI C3 16 19 22 2011 25 28 31 2012 34 37 40 2013 43 46 49 52 2014 23 October 2014 Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces) compared to the baseline trend (base line= monthly avg 2010 - 2013) 37.500 1.000 p. 30.000 22.500 15.000 7.500 0 | 2013 2014 Jan. 26.225 23 910 2010 Feb. 23.042 23 841 March 26.777 29 431 | April 27.539 27 033 2011 May 26.832 24 590 Pla cings Laying Hens DG AGRI C3 | June 25.923 23 879 2012 July 24.550 18 785 | Aug. 20.098 13 949 2013 Sept. 23.553 | Oct. 22.822 2014 Nov. 20.108 | Dec. 21.000 (baseline= monthly avg 2010 - 2013) - laying chicks 23 October 2014 Production forecast of eggs in shell (Mio p). compared to the price development 9.000 160 7.500 120 4.500 80 3.000 Price €uro/100kg Mio p. 6.000 40 1.500 0 0 | 2013 2014 Jan. 7.519 7 262 DG AGRI C3 2010 Feb. 7.497 7 234 | March 7.474 7 219 2011 April 7.458 7 147 | May 7.443 6 971 2012 June 7.529 7 122 Forecast Producti on Eggs | July 7.446 7 088 2013 Aug. 7.420 7 112 | Sep. 7.424 7 208 Price Eggs 2014 Oct. 7.442 7 143 | Nov. 7.412 7 188 Dec. 7.238 23 October 2014 Egg prices of EU, USA, Brazil and India in €uro/ 100kg 190,00 165,00 133,01 140,00 115,00 129,26 90,00 104,27 65,00 69,93 40,00 | 10 | 11 | 12 | EU = weighted avg of MS prices Average class L&M US = weekly USDA prices Eggs grade A ,Chicago BR = avg of prices in main producing states (noticiasagricolas.com.br) IN = avg of NECC prices in available Production Centres (e2necc.com) DG AGRI C3 13 | 14 | EU egg US egg €uro BR Egg €uro IN NECC €uro 23 October 2014 Prices of Eggs for consumption and Eggs for breaking 2011 - 2014 €uro/ 100kg 200,00 160,00 120,00 80,00 40,00 0,00 | DG AGRI C3 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Eggs for Consumption US breaking (high) EU Barn cage free breaking (high) EU Enriched cage breaking (high) 23 October 2014 | Maximum weekly prices for individual egg products in the EU and the USA in €/10kg 240,0 200,0 €/10 kg 160,0 120,0 80,0 40,0 0,0 1 5 | DG AGRI C3 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 5 2012 | 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 5 2013 | 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 1 2014 | whole plain EU Yolk EU Albumen Spray EU whole plain US Yolk US Albumen Spray US 23 October 2014 Prices of Egg products in the EU and the USA (in €/10 kg) €/10 kg 400,0 300,0 200,0 100,0 0,0 | DG AGRI C3 2012 | 2013 | 2014 Yolk 44% pasturised EU Yolk 11% salted EU Yolk 43% pasturised USA Yolk 10% salted USA | 23 October 2014 Margin between Feed cost and Egg price in Egg production marge 180 Marge 2009 - 2013 feed Euro/ 100kg 150 egg 120 90 60 30 0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 DG AGRI C3 11 12 13 ja fe mr ap ma jn jl au se oc no de 23 October 2014 100KG Egg minus feedcost for Laying Hens feedconversionrate = 2,7(2009) - 2,2(2014) Remainder €uro/ 100kg 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 3 5 7 Marge Average 09 - 13 DG AGRI C3 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 Marge Egg 2011 Marge Egg 2012 Marge Egg 2013 Marge Egg 2014 23 October 2014 EU Imports of Eggs: Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs 2010 tonnes 2011 % tonnes 2012 % tonnes 2013 % tonnes Jan-Aug 14 % tonnes % Compared to Jan-Aug 13 India 3.211 9,4% 1.554 7,5% 3.657 9,7% 3.856 18,9% 3.566 44,4% + 60,8% USA 14.009 40,9% 5.960 28,6% 15.183 40,2% 6.853 33,5% 2.376 29,6% - 56% Argentina 7.937 23,2% 8.115 39,0% 10.162 26,9% 5.734 28,0% 835 10,4% - 81% Norw ay 1.722 5,0% 1.502 7,2% 1.474 3,9% 1.969 9,6% 798 9,9% - 46% Sw itzerland 337 1,0% 342 1,6% 332 0,9% 355 1,7% 329 4,1% + 56% Israel 941 2,7% 547 2,6% 1.393 3,7% 349 1,7% 100 1,2% - 55% Others 6.087 0,2% 2.787 0,0% 5.528 0,0% 1.338 0,0% 32 0,4% EXTRA EU 28 % change DG AGRI C3 34.244 20.806 37.729 20.454 8.037 - 39% + 81% - 46% - 47,1% 23 October 2014 EU Egg Imports Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs (Tonnes eggs equiv) 27.848 30.000 4.662 25.000 Total EU Import of Eggs - not incl. Hatching eggs (1000 EUR) 32.655 35.000 4.196 30.000 25.000 22.208 20.000 20.000 15.204 15.000 1.467 13.375 15.000 181 8.037 132 11.846 12.102 2.376 1.603 2.218 3.566 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 USA Argentina DG AGRI C3 Norway Switzerland 10.000 8.123 5.000 5.370 India 18.603 10.000 0 Other destinations 5.000 2.157 2.594 3.316 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 India USA Argentina Norway Switzerland 0 Other destinations 23 October 2014 Main Importers of EGGS Products (up to August) Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. Eggs for hatching) Singapore (up to Jul) Japan Switzerland 40 20 0 2013 (up to August) DG AGRI C3 2014 (up to August) 23 October 2014 Qty in 1000 Tonnes 60 Mexico (up to Jul) China + H. Kong Japan Switzerland Mexico (up to Jul) Singapore (up to Jul) China + H. Kong 80 EU Exports of Eggs: Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.) not incl. Hatching eggs 2010 tonnes 2011 % tonnes 2012 % tonnes 2013 % tonnes Jan-Aug 14 % tonnes Compared % to Jan-Aug 13 Japan 52.923 29% 66.357 31% 66.938 36% 64.527 30% 51.763 36% Sw itzerland 45.072 25% 42.168 19% 41.893 23% 42.086 20% 25.467 17% - 8% U.A.Emirates 5.888 3% 8.262 4% 1.674 1% 10.450 5% 4.487 3% - 20% 20 0% 1.552 1% 1.139 1% 7.741 4% 5.531 4% +++ Russia 5.293 3% 4.947 2% 5.982 3% 10.539 5% 4.773 3% - 33% Angola 10.414 6% 17.524 8% 17.109 9% 12.906 6% 8.074 6% - 17% Equat.Guinea 1.487 1% 1.945 1% 1.632 1% 2.215 1% 1.736 1% + 3% Secr.Extra 2.164 1% 1.148 1% 2.638 1% 8.262 4% 2.267 2% - 52% Israel 1.308 1% 2.654 1% 1.060 1% 936 0% 2.197 2% +++ Thailand 6.180 3% 7.254 3% 6.409 3% 5.919 3% 3.392 2% - 18% Taiw an 7.145 4% 7.941 4% 4.626 2% 3.412 2% 1.823 1% - 31% Others 43.825 24% 55.353 25% 34.694 19% 45.623 21% 34.229 23% Iraq EXTRA EU 28 % change DG AGRI C3 181.719 217.105 185.793 214.617 145.738 + 19% - 14% + 16% + 8,4% + 30,5% 23 October 2014 EU Egg Exports Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (1000 EUR) Total EU Export of Eggs not incl. hatching eggs (T. eggs equiv.) 145.738 134.400 50.130 120.000 176.715 166.949 140.000 124.502 35.351 160.000 180.000 160.000 142.974 63.635 59.464 48.877 100.000 43.973 25.467 27.622 44.845 51.763 39.661 8.601 36.267 60.000 40.000 20.000 41.059 46.387 Japan Switzerland DG AGRI C3 Jan-Aug 13 Angola Iraq Jan-Aug 14 Russia Other origins 100.000 80.000 60.000 40.000 37.549 40.972 Jan-Aug 12 Jan-Aug 13 56.363 20.000 0 0 Jan-Aug 12 140.000 120.000 80.000 27.686 200.000 Japan Switzerland Angola Jan-Aug 14 Iraq Russia Other origins 23 October 2014 EU-27/28 Exports of selected EGGS products (including Hatching eggs) 30.000 in Tonnes egg equiv. 25.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 | Jan 06 2006 | Jan 07 2007 | Jan 08 FRESH DG AGRI C3 2008 | Jan 09 Albumin 2009 | Jan 10 2010 | Jan 11 Not In Shell 2011 | Jan 12 Yolk 2012 | Jan 13 2013 | Jan 14 2014 Haching 23 October 2014 EU Egg Trade Balance (not including Hatching eggs) 275 in 1000 Tonnes IMPORTS EXPORTS 250 231 217 209 201 205 198 191 186 198 225 215 202 187 200 186 182 175 167 164 150 144 146 150 142 125 100 69 75 39 18 10 23 30 27 18 17 16 25 30 45 30 23 50 38 34 21 20 25 8 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 JanAug 14 DG AGRI C3 23 October 2014 Main Exporters of EGGS Products (up to August) (excl. Eggs for hatching) Source : GTA & Eurostat Malaysia (up to Jul) China + H. Kong EU 120 80 40 0 2013 (up to Au gust) DG AGRI C3 2014 (up to Au gust) 23 October 2014 Qty in 1000 Tonnes (pw) United States Turkey Malaysia (up to Jul) China + H. Kong EU Turkey United States 160