Last Words on SETI & CETI and some Space Travel Basics HNRT 228 Spring 2013 Dr. H. Geller 1 What I Will Cover Today Final words about CETI Space Travel Space Environment Spaceflight Projects Spaceflight Operations 2 iClicker Question About how many extrasolar planets have officially been detected to date? A B C between 10 and 100 between 100 and 1000 more than 1000 3 iClicker Question How have we detected most extrasolar planets discovered to date (before Kepler mission)? A B C Transits Hubble Space Telescope images the Doppler related technique 4 iClicker Question Which technique does the Kepler mission use to search for Earth size planets around other stars? A B C D Transits. The astrometric technique. The Doppler related technique. Gravitational lensing. 5 iClicker Question Nearly all the extrasolar planets discovered to date are A B C terrestrial-like planets. jovian-like planets. large, icy worlds. 6 iClicker Question The end result of a calculation with Drake equation is intended to be an estimate of A the number of worlds in the galaxy on which life has arisen. B the number of worlds in the galaxy on which intelligence has arisen. C the number of worlds in the galaxy on which civilizations are transmitting signals now. 7 iClicker Question Which of the following statements is true about the terms in the Drake equation? A Astronomical research will soon give us firm values for all of the terms. B Some of the terms depend on sociology, and cannot be determined by astronomers alone. C We already know the terms of the equation to an accuracy within a factor of 2. 8 iClicker Question The fact that marine predators like dolphins and sharks have similar shapes despite different ancestry is an example of A B C convergent evolution. narrow bandwidth. spontaneous creation. 9 iClicker Question Which of the following would lead an animal to a higher encephalization quotient (EQ) as it evolved? A B C Growth in both body size and brain size. Growth in body size but not in brain size. Growth in brain size but not in body size. 10 iClicker Question Two-way conversation with other societies is probably unlikely, even if we make contact. This is mainly because A aliens won’t speak our language. B it might be dangerous to get in touch. C the time it takes for signals to cross the distance to them could be centuries or more. 11 iClicker Question One reason the scientists doubt that crop circles have alien origin is A they are always beautiful. B they can be easily made by humans. C their appearance is not correlated with sightings of bright lights. 12 A Cartoon about CETI 13 What does a telescope do? Collect electromagnetic waves Collecting ability proportional to the square of the diameter of the objective Resolve electromagnetic sources Related to the atmosphere, wavelength and curvature of the objective Magnify surfaces of planets and the Moon Magnification only of Moon, Sun and planets 14 Looking Beyond the Eyes 15 Optical Telescopes Reflector Refractor 16 Different Views of Sun Sun in Hydrogen-alpha Sun in X-ray 17 Radio Astronomy Basics 18 A Little More Detail 19 Jansky’s Original Radiotelescope 20 Grote Reber’s Telescope 21 170 foot Diameter Radiotelescope at Green Bank, WV 22 The 100meter Green Bank Telescope 23 Even Bigger than you Think 24 Jupiter in Radio Saturn in Radio 25 3C296 Radio/Optical Composite 26 Smoothing Data 27 Visualizing the Data 28 Colorizing the Data 29 Dealing With Noise 30 Worldwide Noise Sources 31 The Space Environment Solar System Reference System Gravity and Mechanics Trajectories Planetary Orbits Electromagnetics 32 Solar System Considerations Distance From Sun Energy, temperature, condensation of matter Hostile Environment Radiation (gamma ray) Radiation (x-ray) Radiation (UV) 33 Coordinate Reference Systems Geographic Celestial Precession 34 Gravity and Mechanics Orbits Kepler Newton 35 Orbital Transfers 36 Planets and Gravity 37 Flight Project Considerations Mission Inception Experiments Spacecraft Classification Telecom Onboard Systems Science Instruments Navigation 38 Mission Inception 39 Instruments 40 Telecommunications 41 Onboard Systems 42 Operations Considerations Launch Cruise Encounter Extended Operations Deep Space Network 43 Launch Vehicles 44 Cruise Portion of Mission 45 Encounter Portion of Mission 46 Need for Deep Space Network 47 Interstellar Spaceflight Considerations 48 THE PHYSICS AND MATH OF SPACE TRAVEL For a spacecraft accelerating at a rate a, the velocity v reached and distance x traveled in a given interval of time t is: v(t) at 2 at 1 c 2 c2 at x(t) 1 1 c a c = speed of light Accelerating at 1g = 9.8 m/s2: Crew Duration (yr) 1 10 20 40 Earth Duration (yr) 1 24 270 36,000 Range (pc) 0.02 3 - nearest stars 42 5,400 - center of Galaxy 49 iClicker Question What does the letter “c” stand for in the equations shown? A Speed of sound B Speed of light C A constant of unknown value D A generic constant E Speed of time 50 Considerations for Interstellar Travel Three considerations for interstellar travel 1. Imagination - not a problem today 2. Technology - constantly improving 3. Laws of Nature - may provide ultimate limits Unless there is a MAJOR revolution in technology rockets are all we have. Rocket engines most efficient when v~vexhaust. Going faster makes them less efficient. Rockets must accelerate not only the payload but also all the fuel they carry! 51 For a final velocity Vf, a ratio of initial mass (payload plus fuel) to final mass (ditto) M, and exhaust velocity W, then: 1 M 2W /c c 1 M 2W /c Vf For Vf < 0.1c, then M = “e” = 2.7182….. For a round trip, where 4 legs of the trip each require a factor of M: M RT M 4 Suppose we took a round trip to a star 5 pc away: Via Chemical Rocket Vf / c ~ 10-5 MRT = 55 (=e4) t = 3 million years Via Nuclear Rocket Vf / c ~ 10-1 MRT = 55 t = 300 years 52 iClicker Question What does the letter “e” represent in these equations? A Speed of light B The natural logarithm base C An irrational number D A rational number E Both B and C are correct 53 Energy Costs of Interstellar Travel Example: Controlled Nuclear Fusion (can’t do this yet!) 1000 ton payload 55,000 tons fuel in the form of H, dissociated from 440,000 tons of H2O ice mined from one of Saturn’s moons Dissociating 440,000 tons of ice requires 1016 Joules (Watt-sec) = 3x109 kW-hours = 3000 GW-h ~ 0.1% total annual energy consumption in the USA But it won’t go very fast. 54 iClicker Question When do you think the USA will develop a nuclear fusion reactor that produces more electricity than it consumes? A Within the next 10 years B Within the next 20 years C Within the next 30 years D Within the next 50 years E Never 55 Vf c 1 M 2 1 M 2 c2 x(dist.) M M 1 2 2a 2c T (earth) M M 1 a c t (crew) ln(M ) a Matter/Antimatter Rockets W=c Illustration - flat-out acceleration (No stopping, drifting, or return). Vf/c = 0.1 a = 0.01 g M = 1.1 Tcrew = 9.7 y tearth = 39 y Vf/c = 0.98 a = 0.01 g M = 9.95 Tcrew = 230 y tearth = 2000 y Vf/c = 0.1 a=1g M = 1.1 Tcrew = 0.1 y tearth = 0.4 y Vf/c = 0.98 a=1g M = 9.95 Tcrew = 2.3 y tearth = 20 y The fuel supply needed to reach Vf / c=0.98 for a round-trip (MRT=M4=9,800) 10-ton payload requires 100,000 tons matter-antimatter mc2 E 1025 Joules About 1 million times the annual energy consumption in the USA 56 iClicker Question What is the value of v2/c2 when v is very small compared to c? A Near zero B Near one C Effectively infinite 57 iClicker Question What is the value of (1 - v2/c2) when v is very small compared to c? A Effectively zero B Effectively one C Effectively infinite 58 iClicker Question What is the value of (1 - v2/c2) when v is approaching the speed of light? A Effectively zero B Effectively one C Effectively infinite 59 iClicker Question What is the value of 1 / (1 - v2/c2) when v is approaching the speed of light? A Effectively zero B Effectively one C Effectively infinite 60 Project Orion - detonate nuclear bombs to provide thrust (motion picture “Deep Impact”) 61 iClicker Question Do you support the use of nuclear weapons for space travel? A Yes B No 62 Solar Sailing Solar wind only reaches 0.003c, need to use sunlight Planetary Society - Cosmos 1 June 21, 2005, launched on Volna rocket from Russian sub. Failed to reach orbit 63 Suppose we start at 1 AU from the Sun (i.e. Earth's orbit), a sail area A and a payload (plus sail mass) M. v 2x R1AU ALSun x M 2 c 10-ton payload, sail 1000 km x 1000 km in size. v∞ is then only 0.04 c. It would take roughly 3/0.04 = 75 years to get anywhere, i.e. 3 ly away (ignoring deceleration & stopping) Oops! The SAIL ALSO has mass! A 1000 km x 1000 km. A gold leaf sail 1 atom thick (a real sail would have to be much thicker) would have a mass of 170 tons (it effectively becomes the payload), and so the top speed is 0.009 c. Now it takes over 300 years to get anywhere! Science fiction story - sails from star to star in a day or two (1/300th of a year), This is impossible by a factor of 300 x 300 = 90,000 times! Such trips are, therefore, unrealistic fantasy. 64 Yet other "Possibilities" for Interstellar Flight Ships pushed by X-ray lasers A rear reflector plays the same role to a powerful planet-based light source as the solar sail did to sunlight. Interstellar Ramjets This uses interstellar gas as fuel. You no longer need to carry it with you. Avoid low-density regions? How do you get the fuel into the engine? FTL (Faster-Than-Light) Warp drives, etc. Contrary to all known physics. Sorry. 65 Exploration by Proxy - Robotics Von Neumann Machines/Probes - self-replicating: 1. Travel to a destination 2. Mine resources 3. Make copies of itself 4. Send copies out to new destination 5. Spread though the Galaxy as exponentially growing fleet of machines that consume raw resources Is this really a good idea? 66 Commentary on Interstellar Space Travel • • Unless there is a major revolution in our understanding of the laws of nature, space travel is likely to be confined to the solar system, unless someone wants to launch "generation ships" where only their distant descendents will see arrive somewhere. IF interstellar travel were to become a reality, but still limited to relatively slow travel, all trips will be 1-way. For M="e", M1way = M2 = 7.4, while MRT = M4 = 55. Also, why return? Everyone you know back on Earth will be dead. You will be an anachronism (how would your great-great-great-great grandparents fit into today's society?), or worse, a specimen in a zoo. 67 iClicker Question You take a spaceship to Alpha Centaurus and return to Earth. Which of the following is the case when you return to Earth? A All who knew you will be dead. B There will be no time noticed to have passed on Earth. C All who knew you will be alive. D This is not possible. D More information is needed. 68 Another Hazard of interstellar flight A 1-mm grain (mass of 0.012 grams) hit by a spacecraft traveling 0.1 c - energy (E=1/2 mv2) of 5.4x109 J. Same energy as a 1-ton object hitting at Mach 9.5 (7,000 mi/hr)!! Unless there is a way to screen out all interstellar dust, the spacecraft will be easily destroyed. 69 iClicker Question If you double the mass of a moving object, the force needed to accelerate it would A be doubled. B be tripled. C be quadrupled. D decrease. E Cannot be determined, more information is needed. 70 iClicker Question If you double the mass of a moving object, its kinetic energy will A be doubled. B be tripled. C be quadrupled. D decrease. E Cannot be determined, more information is needed. 71 iClicker Question If you double the velocity of a moving object, its kinetic energy will A be doubled. B be tripled. C be quadrupled. D decrease. E Cannot be determined, more information is needed. 72 Past "Attempts" at Physical Contact The Pioneer 10 spacecraft plaque The Voyager 1 and 2 spacecraft - gold record (and stylus for "playing") with images and sounds of Planet Earth. 73 iClicker Question Do you believe it is easy to construct a message for another civilization? A True B False 74 More Scenes of Earth from Voyager Catalog 75 Voyager Trajectories – Interstellar Spacecraft Neither of these are targeted at any specific star. Their trajectories were constrained by their science missions to the jovian planets. 76 Will the Pioneer & Voyager Spacecraft ever “get anywhere”? To come within 1 AU of a star & accidentally be found: “Mean Free Path” (how far to go in order to hit something) x=1/(n) n = number of systems per pc3 = "target area" to be hit. (For a circle, the target area is times the radius (here 1 AU) squared, which we will express in pc2 to get the units we need.) n 2.5x103 stars / ly3 0.1star / pc3 2 1 2 1AU pc 2.4 10 11 pc2 206, 265 x 1 1 11 1.3x10 pc n 0.1pc3 7.5x10 11 pc2 The MW is about 105 pc across (and about 103 pc thick) Changes of “hitting” are less than 10-6 or 0.0001%. Using Neptune’s orbit as target - goes up to a whopping 0.1%. 77 iClicker Question Can the previous calculation be applied to the likelihood of intercepting a radio signal from another civilization? A Yes B No 78 23 April 2013 New Horizons most of the way from Uranus to Neptune 26 AU from Sun; 6 AU from Pluto 79