Overview of Make Whole Payments Modifications Committee Meeting 59 12 February 2015 Content • Definition of Make Whole Payments (MWP); • Why do MWP occur?; • MWP through the years; • Sample cases of Interconnector (IC) Users; • SEMO’s comments on the four proposed Modifications; • Further considerations. MWPs – what are they? 4.139 The purpose of Make Whole Payments is to make up any difference between the total Energy Payments to a Generator Unit in a Billing Period, and the Schedule Production Cost within that Billing Period (where the difference is arithmetically positive calculated over the Billing Period)… • This is to guarantee recovery of all submitted costs (Incremental Cost, No Load costs, Start Up costs); • SEM is designed to normally recover costs through Energy Payments, due to Uplift; • The intent of the T&SC was for MWPs to be occasional and only limited to exceptional circumstances; MWPs – what are they? cont. • Is the Unit’s revenue (SMP*MSQ)* sufficient to cover the Production Cost (MSQ*MOP+NLC+SUC)* of the unit in each TP? • YES = MWP will be a negative value • NO = MWP will be a positive value • MWPs paid on the total at the end of the Energy Market Billing Period (week) only if the total aggregation is positive for each unit; • Equivalent of Generator Units are IC Users (PT_XXXXX) not IC Gate Units (PT_XXXXX_EA/EA2/WD1). *TPD applied as appropriate 00:00:00 00:30:00 01:00:00 01:30:00 02:00:00 02:30:00 03:00:00 03:30:00 04:00:00 04:30:00 05:00:00 05:30:00 06:00:00 06:30:00 07:00:00 07:30:00 08:00:00 08:30:00 09:00:00 09:30:00 10:00:00 10:30:00 11:00:00 11:30:00 12:00:00 12:30:00 13:00:00 13:30:00 14:00:00 14:30:00 15:00:00 15:30:00 16:00:00 16:30:00 17:00:00 17:30:00 18:00:00 18:30:00 19:00:00 19:30:00 20:00:00 20:30:00 21:00:00 21:30:00 22:00:00 22:30:00 23:00:00 23:30:00 MWPs – what are they? cont. €25,000 Over recovery €20,000 €15,000 Under recovery €10,000 €5,000 €0 Sum of Prod cost Sum of ENP MWPs – what are they? cont. If at the end of the week the unit is over recovering, no MWPs applies; If at the end of the week the unit is under recovering, MWPs applies for the under recovered amount. MWPs – Why? The main reasons behind MWPs are: • Costs are determined on a Trading Day basis while MWPs are calculated on a Settlement Day basis; if unit is scheduled at the end of a Billing Period MWPs could occur; • Recovery of SUC is spread over the Optimization Horizon – schedule might change when TD+1 is run leading to under-recovery; • Re-price runs changing the schedule of a unit recovering costs over two Trading Days; • SMP is zero or negative for a number of periods; • Technical characteristics when baseload are not marginal; MWPs – Why? cont. • When negative schedules are exposed to Uplift; • Uplift represent a benefit for Generators with positive schedules; however it is a cost for those with prominent negative schedules; • This could happen for units pumping or exporting*; • Pumping is limited in capacity and will generally balance out with generation across the Billing Period; • IC Users can export an unlimited amount due to superpositioning exposing them to Uplift; • This exposure has always been a feature of the SEM; • IC Gate Units created to respond to the design challenges of scheduling firm amounts. *DSU not affected as their schedule is set as positive; MWPs through the years – Standard Units €300,000 €250,000 €200,000 €150,000 €100,000 €50,000 €0 1 6 111621263136414651 3 8 131823283338434853 5 101520253035404550 2 7 121722273237424752 4 9 1419242934394449 1 6 111621263136414651 3 8 131823283338434853 2008 DSU1 G107 G123 G139 G155 G171_NI G187_NI DSU2 G108 G124 G140 G156 G172_NI G188_NI 2009 DSU3 G109 G125 G141 G157 G173_NI G189_NI DSU4 G110 G126 G142 G158 G174_NI G190_NI 2010 DSU5 G111 G127 G143 G159 G175_NI G191_NI DSU6 G112 G128 G144 G160 G176_NI G192_NI DSU7 G113 G129 G145 G161 G177_NI G193_NI 2011 DSU8 G114 G130 G146 G162 G178_NI G194_NI DSU9_NI G115 G131 G147 G163 G179_NI G195_NI 2012 G100 G116 G132 G148 G164 G180_NI G196_NI G101 G117 G133 G149 G165 G181_NI G197_NI 2013 G102 G118 G134 G150 G166 G182_NI G198_NI G103 G119 G135 G151 G167 G183_NI G199_NI 2014 G104 G120 G136 G152 G168_NI G184_NI G200_NI G105 G121 G137 G153 G169_NI G185_NI G106 G122 G138 G154 G170_NI G186_NI MWPs through the years – IC Units €300,000 IDT €250,000 €200,000 €150,000 €100,000 €50,000 €0 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 38 43 48 53 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2 7 12 17 22 27 32 37 42 47 52 4 9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 38 43 48 53 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 IC100_EA IC100_EA2 IC100_WD1 IC101_EA IC101_EA2 IC101_WD1 IC102_EA IC102_EA2 IC102_WD1 IC103_EA IC104_EA IC105_EA IC105_EA2 IC105_WD1 IC106_EA IC106_EA2 IC106_WD1 IC107_EA IC107_EA2 IC108_EA IC109_EA IC110_EA IC110_EA2 IC110_WD1 IC111_EA_NI IC111_EA2_NI IC111_WD1_NI IC112_EA_NI IC112_EA2_NI IC112_WD1_NI IC113_EA_NI IC114_EA_NI IC114_EA2_NI IC114_WD1_NI IC115_EA_NI IC115_EA2_NI IC116_EA_NI IC117_EA_NI IC118_EA_NI IC118_EA2_NI IC118_WD1_NI IC119_EA_NI IC119_EA2_NI IC120_EA_NI IC120_EA2_NI IC120_WD1_NI IC121_EA_NI IC121_EA2_NI IC121_WD1_NI IC122_EA_NI IC122_EA2_NI IC122_WD1_NI IC123_EA_NI IC123_EA2_NI IC123_WD1_NI IC124_EA_NI IC124_EA2_NI IC124_WD1_NI Interconnector Flow* through the years 25000 IDT MWP 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1 14291225 8 21 4 183116291226 8 22 5 18 3 16301326 9 22 5 18 3 17301326 9 23 5 20 3 16301226 9 22 7 20 3 17301326 9 22 7 21 4 17301327 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112 -5000 2008 2009 2010 2011 I_NIMOYLE -10000 *Interconnector Users only – no SO-SO trades 2012 I_ROIEWIC 2013 2014 12/05/2013 21/05/2013 30/05/2013 08/06/2013 17/06/2013 26/06/2013 05/07/2013 14/07/2013 23/07/2013 01/08/2013 10/08/2013 26/09/2013 05/10/2013 14/10/2013 23/10/2013 01/11/2013 10/11/2013 19/11/2013 28/11/2013 07/12/2013 16/12/2013 25/12/2013 03/01/2014 12/01/2014 21/01/2014 30/01/2014 08/02/2014 17/02/2014 26/02/2014 07/03/2014 16/03/2014 25/03/2014 09/04/2014 18/04/2014 27/04/2014 06/05/2014 15/05/2014 24/05/2014 02/06/2014 11/06/2014 20/06/2014 29/06/2014 30/08/2014 08/09/2014 17/09/2014 26/09/2014 05/10/2014 14/10/2014 23/10/2014 01/11/2014 10/11/2014 19/11/2014 28/11/2014 07/12/2014 16/12/2014 25/12/2014 Imp/Exp 2013/2014 – MSQs IC123 4000 2000 0 -2000 -4000 -6000 EA EA2 WD1 12/05/2013 21/05/2013 30/05/2013 08/06/2013 17/06/2013 26/06/2013 05/07/2013 14/07/2013 23/07/2013 01/08/2013 10/08/2013 26/09/2013 05/10/2013 14/10/2013 23/10/2013 01/11/2013 10/11/2013 19/11/2013 28/11/2013 07/12/2013 16/12/2013 25/12/2013 03/01/2014 12/01/2014 21/01/2014 30/01/2014 08/02/2014 17/02/2014 26/02/2014 07/03/2014 16/03/2014 25/03/2014 09/04/2014 18/04/2014 27/04/2014 06/05/2014 15/05/2014 24/05/2014 02/06/2014 11/06/2014 20/06/2014 29/06/2014 30/08/2014 08/09/2014 17/09/2014 26/09/2014 05/10/2014 14/10/2014 23/10/2014 01/11/2014 10/11/2014 19/11/2014 28/11/2014 07/12/2014 16/12/2014 25/12/2014 Imp/Exp 2013/2014 – Net MSQs IC123 4000 2000 0 -2000 -4000 -6000 EA EA2 WD1 Net Paid MWPs by Gate – IC123 Grand Total €0 Grand Total Grand Total 30/09/2012 26/12/2012 07/01/2013 19/01/2013 31/01/2013 12/02/2013 24/02/2013 03/05/2013 15/05/2013 27/05/2013 08/06/2013 20/06/2013 02/07/2013 14/07/2013 26/07/2013 07/08/2013 19/08/2013 31/08/2013 12/09/2013 24/09/2013 06/10/2013 18/10/2013 30/10/2013 11/11/2013 25/11/2013 13/12/2013 25/12/2013 06/01/2014 18/01/2014 30/01/2014 11/02/2014 23/02/2014 07/03/2014 19/03/2014 31/03/2014 12/04/2014 24/04/2014 06/05/2014 18/05/2014 30/05/2014 11/06/2014 23/06/2014 05/07/2014 17/07/2014 29/07/2014 10/08/2014 22/08/2014 03/09/2014 17/09/2014 29/09/2014 11/10/2014 23/10/2014 04/11/2014 16/11/2014 28/11/2014 10/12/2014 22/12/2014 Imp/Exp 2013/2014 – MSQ for IC102 4000 2000 0 -2000 -4000 -6000 EA EA2 WD1 30/09/2012 26/12/2012 07/01/2013 19/01/2013 31/01/2013 12/02/2013 24/02/2013 03/05/2013 15/05/2013 27/05/2013 08/06/2013 20/06/2013 02/07/2013 14/07/2013 26/07/2013 07/08/2013 19/08/2013 31/08/2013 12/09/2013 24/09/2013 06/10/2013 18/10/2013 30/10/2013 11/11/2013 25/11/2013 13/12/2013 25/12/2013 06/01/2014 18/01/2014 30/01/2014 11/02/2014 23/02/2014 07/03/2014 19/03/2014 31/03/2014 12/04/2014 24/04/2014 06/05/2014 18/05/2014 30/05/2014 11/06/2014 23/06/2014 05/07/2014 17/07/2014 29/07/2014 10/08/2014 22/08/2014 03/09/2014 17/09/2014 29/09/2014 11/10/2014 23/10/2014 04/11/2014 16/11/2014 28/11/2014 10/12/2014 22/12/2014 Imp/Exp 2013/2014 – Net MSQs IC102 4000 2000 0 -2000 -4000 -6000 EA EA2 WD1 Net Paid MWPs by Gate – IC102 €300,000 IC102_EA IC102_EA2 IC102_WD1 €250,000 €200,000 €150,000 €100,000 €50,000 €0 40 51 53 2 4 6 8 10 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2012 2013 2014 All MWPs calculated by Gate – IC102 €300,000 €200,000 €100,000 €0 40 51 53 2 4 6 8 10 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 -€100,000 2012 2013 2014 -€200,000 -€300,000 -€400,000 -€500,000 -€600,000 -€700,000 IC102_EA IC102_EA2 IC102_WD1 All MWPs by Gate – IC102 €300,000 €200,000 €100,000 €0 40 51 53 2 4 6 8 10 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 -€100,000 2012 2013 2014 -€200,000 -€300,000 -€400,000 -€500,000 -€600,000 -€700,000 IC102_EA IC102_EA2 IC102_WD1 IC102_Net Imp/Exp by TP 20130715 – MSQs IC102 100 80 60 40 20 0 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 1 2 4 1 2 5 1 2 6 1 2 7 1 2 8 1 2 9 1 2 10 1 2 11 1 2 12 -20 -40 -60 -80 EA EA2 WD1 1 2 13 1 2 14 1 2 15 1 2 16 1 2 17 1 2 18 1 2 19 1 2 20 1 2 21 1 2 22 1 2 23 Imp/Exp by TP – MSQs IC102 150 120 5th Aug 2013 100 100 100 60 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 -20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 50 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 01 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 -40 20 -20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 -50 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 EA EA2 WD1 -100 EA 150 -100 EA 150 EA2 100 150 EA2 WD1-120 50 50 0 2 3 5 6 7 8 EA 9 EA2 -150 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 WD1 EA 60 150 WD1 22nd Mar 2014 40 0 EA2 09th Oct 2013 80 50 100 20 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 60 21st Oct 2014 0 1 2 3 4 -50 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 21st May 2014 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 40 -40 -100 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 20 -150 EA 0 EA2 WD1 0 1 2 50 3 4 5 0 -20 -150 -100 EA EA2 -80 -50 -100 -150 WD1 -40 EA EA2 WD1 -60 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 10 2 11 2 12 2 13 2 14 2 15 2 16 2 17 2 18 2 19 2 1102 1112 1122 1132 1142 1152 1162 1172 1182 1192 1202 1212 1222 1232 0 1 2 -50 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 10 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 -100 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 -150 -100 EA EA2 WD1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -100 19 20 21 22 23 -120 -50 6 0 -60 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 -100 21st Jul 2014 1 2 1502 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 -20 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 -50 0 100 14 15 016 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 100 -150 4 -100 100 100 22nd Feb 2014 100 150 1 25th Nov 2013 WD1 05th Sep 2013 0 -50 -100 -80 -80 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 -80 -60 -60 -150 9 0 -60 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 -100 -40 8 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 -40 -20 -50 100 0 20 0 2nd Jan 2014 20 40 40 50 150 40 60 50 10th Aug 2013 60 80 15th Dec 2013 80 80 21st Dec 2014 3 4 5 6 7 8 EA 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 EA2 WD1 EA EA2 WD1 EA EA2 WD1 -150 EA EA2 WD1 -200 -1000 01/01/2013 16/01/2013 31/01/2013 15/02/2013 02/03/2013 17/03/2013 01/04/2013 16/04/2013 01/05/2013 16/05/2013 31/05/2013 15/06/2013 30/06/2013 15/07/2013 30/07/2013 14/08/2013 29/08/2013 13/09/2013 28/09/2013 13/10/2013 28/10/2013 12/11/2013 27/11/2013 12/12/2013 27/12/2013 11/01/2014 26/01/2014 10/02/2014 25/02/2014 12/03/2014 27/03/2014 11/04/2014 26/04/2014 11/05/2014 26/05/2014 10/06/2014 25/06/2014 10/07/2014 25/07/2014 09/08/2014 24/08/2014 08/09/2014 23/09/2014 08/10/2014 23/10/2014 07/11/2014 22/11/2014 07/12/2014 22/12/2014 Pumped Storage – MSQs 2013/2014 3000 2000 1000 0 -2000 -3000 -4000 Total €0 (blank) 20/12/2014 06/12/2014 22/11/2014 08/11/2014 25/10/2014 11/10/2014 27/09/2014 13/09/2014 30/08/2014 16/08/2014 02/08/2014 19/07/2014 05/07/2014 21/06/2014 07/06/2014 24/05/2014 10/05/2014 26/04/2014 12/04/2014 29/03/2014 15/03/2014 01/03/2014 15/02/2014 01/02/2014 18/01/2014 04/01/2014 21/12/2013 07/12/2013 23/11/2013 09/11/2013 26/10/2013 12/10/2013 28/09/2013 14/09/2013 31/08/2013 17/08/2013 03/08/2013 20/07/2013 06/07/2013 22/06/2013 08/06/2013 25/05/2013 11/05/2013 27/04/2013 13/04/2013 30/03/2013 16/03/2013 02/03/2013 16/02/2013 02/02/2013 19/01/2013 05/01/2013 Pumped Storage – MWP 2013/2014 €300,000 (blank) €250,000 €200,000 €150,000 €100,000 €50,000 Comments on the four Modifications • Mod_09_14: ‘Amendment to Make Whole Payments Interconnector Units’: • Remove ability to isolate losses/gains between Gates for MWP; • Eliminates unintended consequences of IDT; • Traders exposure still mitigated for their net position; • Exports are not impacted and still viable; • MWPs could still happen for cross Interconnector trading; • Mod_10_14 ‘Remove Make Whole Payments for Interconnector Units’: • Traders exposure not mitigated in the Market; • This is the only Mod that eliminates both risks on MWPs due to cross trading between Gates and/or between Interconnectors; • Exports are not incentivised but are not impaired either; • Radical solution to the observed issue; for Comments on the four Modifications – Cont. • Mod_11_14 ‘Pay-As-Bid / Paid-As-Bid for Interconnector Units’: • Inconsistent with current Energy Balancing mechanism; • SEMO does not consider this as a viable option for this Market; • Mod_12_14 ‘Amendment to Make Whole Mechanism to remove Settlement Periods of simultaneous import and export flows’: • Partially remove ability to isolate losses/gains between Gates for MWP; • Inadequate balancing of MWP for IC Users where: • Trading exposure unmitigated if large exports happens at times of small imports; • MWP overstated if over recovery, due to large imports, is negated by small exports; • MWP could still happen via cross Interconnector trading; • Principles of IDT compromised; • Exports could either increase or decrease substantially; Further Considerations • SEMO wishes to propose the following points for further discussion: • Curtailment affected by net Interconnector flow; individual Gates or individual Users trades are irrelevant; • Curtailment or Constraints in each jurisdiction might be badly affected if cross trading between Interconnectors will push large imports on one Interconnector while large export on the other; • Principles of Cross Border Trades and price signals for exports have been in place since the start of the SEM; should they change now? • Dispatch down of wind efficiently managed notwithstanding ‘increased wind factor, increased Imports, 300MW new installed wind capacity and stable demand’*; * Eirgrid ‘Annual Wind Constraint and Curtailment Report 2013’ – dispatch down 3.2% in 2013 vs 2.1% in 2012 Further Considerations – cont. • Exports effects on SMP; • Consumer interests impacted by current behaviours; • Exposure to Uplift when Exporting, is common to units with comparable behaviour: Pumped Storage and Suppliers; • Interconnector Users not subject to BCoP and to date have been able to represent their exposure adequately; • Discrimination? APTG, VPTG and PPTG don’t receive MWP; • The nature of costs to be recovered; • EA prices currently over-estimated due to large Imports countertraded by Exports at the EA2; • To calculate exposure, EA prices good estimate of EP2 SMP in many TPs as per following graphs: SMP comparison: EA vs EP2 €140 EA and EP2 SMP Average by TP - 2013/2014 €120 €100 €80 €60 €40 €20 €0 121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 2013 2014 EA EP2 SMP variation 2013/2014: EP2 - EA €12 €10 €8 €6 €4 €2 €0 121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212121212 -€2 -€4 -€6 -€8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 2013 2014 Questions