Security-Constrained OPF and Risk-Based OPF 2 SCOPF OBJECTIVE min f ( P ) Subject to: Power Flow Eqts “Normal Condition” constraints g (P) 0 h min h ( P ) h max Contingency constraints h ' min h ' ( P ) h ' max Assume normal condition constraints are satisfied. The word “flow” below refers only to post-contingency flow. How does SCOPF distinguish between the two cases in the following two situations: Situation 1: • having one flow at 99% and • having one flow at 101%? Situation 2 • having ten flows at 99% and one flow at 101% • having all flows below 50% except for one which is at 101%. Basic Concepts Security level: A continuous function of operating conditions reflecting the “strength” of the power system with respect to a defined contingency set. Risk level: A continuous function of operating conditions reflecting the “weakness” of the power system with respect to a defined contingency set. Fact: (1) All “secure” operating conditions not equally secure. (2) All “insecure” operating conditions not equally risky. Why? Because security level (or risk level) depends on (a) All flows (not just ones at the limits) (b) Contingency probabilities 3 Risk Evaluation Risk ( X ) Pr( E k ) Sev ( E k , X ) contgncies k 1,..., N Contingency Probabilities: • Always estimates • Reasonable default is proportional to line length • Can depend on line length, location, & weather, if outage data available. • Consider as weightings on severity reflecting contingency importance. Severity function: Post-contingency loading on each line 4 Risk Visualization C4 Security regions : Probability sectors: sector White center angular spread is corresponds to proportional to loadings less than contingency probability 90% of emergency 1 7 1 rating. C3 1 1 Yellow “doughnut” C2 C5 7 corresponds to C6 7 loadings 90% -100%. 4 Red outside corresponds to loadings in excess of emergency rating. Severity circles/squares: represents a post-contingency violation or near-violation with the number corresponding to the violated circuit. 5 Radial distance from the center of the diagram to each small circle is proportional to the extent (severity) of the violation. C7 6 Illustration 230kV 18 ~ 21 ~ 22 ~ 17 23 ~ ~ 16 19 20 14 13 ~ 15 ~ ~ 24 11 3 12 10 9 5 4 8 138kV 1 ~ 6 2 ~ 7 ~ Model 1: (SCOPF) Illustration Model 2: (RBOPF) min f ( P) min f ( P) Subject to: Subject to: g ( P) 0 g ( P) 0 h min h( P) h max h min h( P ) h max h'min h' ( P) h'max 7 Risk ( P ) RMAX C4 C3 C2 7 1 Primary event 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 3 Level 1 1 1 7 7 7 4 1 1 6 5 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 1 Probability C7 C5 C6 1 7 1 RBMO 1 7 Cascading Sequence SCOPF Severity 4 CEI 0.29 0.02 0.038 0.005 0.005 0.02 0.4 0 0 100 1 1 100 0 5.81 Stop Cascading 0.05 0 0 Collapse RB-OPF: Visualization All lines, 40 hrs, no contingency All lines, 1 hr,40 contingencies 8 Vertical axis: angular separation across each line obtained from SCOPF Horizontal axis: angular separation across each line obtained from RBOPF Points above the diagonal indicate lines for which SCOPF solution results in greater stress. Points below the diagonal indicate lines for which RBOPF solution results in greater stress. Preventive RBOPF M in f 0 ( u 0 ) s .t . g k ( x k , u 0 ) 0 , k 0, ..., c h0 ( x 0 , u 0 ) h0 m ax hk ( x k , u 0 ) K C hk m ax , k 1, ..., c R isk (P r, x1 , ..., x k , ..., x c ) K R R isk m ax 9 Preventive-Corrective RBOPF M in f 0 ( u 0 ) s .t . g k ( x k , u k ) 0 , k 0, ..., c h0 ( x 0 , u 0 ) h m ax 0 hk ( x k , u k ) K C hk m ax , k 1, ..., c | u k u 0 | u R isk (P r, x k ) K R R isk m ax , k 0, ..., c 10 Preventive-Corrective RBOPF 11 (4) Preventive RB-SCOPF SCOPF RBOPF Corrective RB-SCOPF HSM (Kc=1) ESM (Kc=1.05) EESM (Kc=1.25) HSM (Kc=1) ESM (Kc=1.05) EESM (Kc=1.25) Risk 15.3 6.1 12.2 7.7 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 Cost ($) 1218909 112019 4 1219067 1206506 1181047 1201542 1146556 1098027 CEI 102122 89222 101229 93912 102613 75564 63828 75749 ASI 3911 3336 3791 3347 3020 2817 3213 3457 RB-LMPs Deterministic: DLMP Energy Energy component cost Risk-based: RLMP k k L 1 Pk F sq Ftq sq tq P Pk k LossLoss component cost L 1 Pk Congest component for one contingency, (line s, t above Congest 100%, linecost u at 92%) Control of risk level is uniform Price signal for risk-relief is more effective LMPs are less volatile 12 Sev Ftq Sev Fuq Sev F sq pq Pk Pk Pk