X-Ray Microanalysis – Precision and Sensitivity Recall… K-ratio Si = [ISiKα (unknown) / ISiKα (std.)] x CF CF relates concentration in std to pure element K x 100 = uncorrected wt.%, and … K (ZAF)(100) = corrected wt.% Precision, Accuracy and Sensitivity (detection limits) Precision: Reproducibility Analytical scatter due to nature of X-ray measurement process Accuracy: Is the result correct? Sensitivity: How low a concentration can you expect to see? Accuracy and Precision Measured value Ave Standard deviation Std error 20 25 Ave Std error 30 35 Correct value Wt.% Fe Low precision, but relatively accurate 20 25 30 Correct value Wt.% Fe High precision, but low accuracy 35 Accuracy and Precision Measured value Ave Standard deviation Std error 20 25 30 35 Correct value Wt.% Fe Low precision, but relatively accurate 20 25 Ave Ave Std error Std error 30 Correct value Wt.% Fe Precise High precision, and accurate but low accuracy 35 Characterizing Error What are the basic components of error? 1) Short-term random error (data set) Counting statistics Instrument noise Surface imperfections Deviations from ideal homogeneity 2) Short-term systematic error (session to session) Background estimation Calibration Variation in coating 3) Long-term systematic error (overall systematic errors that are reproducible session-to-session) Standards Physical constants Matrix correction and Interference algorithms Dead time, current measurement, etc. Short-Term Random Error - Basic assessment of counting statistics X-ray production is random in time, and results in a fixed mean value – follows Poisson statistics At high count rates, count distribution follows a normal (Gaussian) distribution Frequency of Xray counts Counts The standard deviation is: 99.7% of area 95.4% of area 68.3% of area 3σ 2σ 1σ 1σ 2σ 3σ Variation in percentage of total counts = (σC / N)100 6 So to obtain a result to 1% precision, 1-sigma error % 5 Must collect at least 10,000 counts 4 3 2 1 0 0 20000 40000 60000 Counts 80000 100000 Evaluation of count statistics for an analysis must take into account the variation in all acquired intensities Peak (sample and standard) Background (sample and standard) And errors propagated Addition and subtraction Multiplication and division Relative std. deviation i Current from the Faraday cup tp Counting time on the peak r+ et r- Positive and negative offsets for the background measurement, relative to the peak position tb Total counting time t P Peak counts B Background counts b t b t b B B r B r r r Cs Element concentration in the standard s Intensity (Peak-Bkgd in cps/nA) of the element in the standard Ce Element concentration in the sample e Intensity (Peak-Bkgd in cps/nA) of the element in the sample jp , j b index of measurements on the peak and on the background jpmax, jbmax Total number of measurements on the peak and on the background For the calibration… And standard deviation… The measured standard deviation can be compared to the theoretical standard deviation … Theo.Dev(%) = 100* Stheo/s The larger of the two then represents the useful error on the standard calibration: ²s = max ((Smeas)², or (Stheo)²) For the sample, the variance for the intensity can be estimated as… where The intensity on the sample is… Or, in the case of a single measurement… Pk – Bkg cps/nA And the total count statistical error is then (3σ)… An example Calibration Point 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Ave, omitting pt. 7 SD SD% Th Ma (cps/nA) 154.6281 155.3082 154.8897 154.8656 156.4651 155.6509 156.8881 155.5401 154.8923 154.8614 155.2334889 0.577232495 0.371847917 X-Ray Pk-Bg Mean (cps/nA) Th Ma 155.2335 Std.Dev (%) 0.372 Theo.Dev (%) 0.136 3 Sigma (Wt%) 0.563 Pk Mean (cps) 3119.686 Bg Mean (cps) 34.455 Raw cts Mean (cts) 61657 Beam (nA) 19.87 S meas 0.57746862 Sample Th data Wt% curr pk cps pk t(sec) 6.4992 200.35 4098.57 800 bkg cps pk-bk 285.0897 3813.483 λe (net intensity for sample) π ( β ( σ λ σ 2 p b k g ( ( s a k e s 2 e n ( i s e i a i t t d t p n t v ) ) m t s n n l e a e v n r s i a a i t n r y c i a n f o r e c s e t ) d 1 9 2 0 . 1 . 0 . . 0 3 3 7 2 6 8 4 5 6 6 5 6 7 2 4 2 2 9 2 9 9 1 4 0 0 0 1 3 6 5 0 6 2 3 3 5 0 0 0 7 ) 1 ) 0 σe . 3 3 5 3 5 4 . 7 0.073511882 This is a very precise number Sensitivity and Detection Limits Ability to distinguish two concentrations that are nearly equal (C and C’) 95% confidence approximated by: N = average counts NB = average background counts n = number of analysis points Actual standard deviation ~ 2σC, so ΔC about 2X above equation If N >> NB, then Sensitivity in % is then… To achieve 1% sensitivity Must accumulate at least 54,290 counts As concentration decreases, must increase count time to maintain precision Example gradient: Wt% Ni 0 distance (microns) Take 1 micron steps: Gradient = 0.04 wt.% / step Sensitivity at 95% confidence must be ≤ 0.04 wt.% Must accumulate ≥ 85,000 counts / step If take 2.5 micron steps Gradient = 0.1 wt.% / step Need ≥ 13,600 counts / step So can cut count time by 6X 25 Detection Limits N no longer >> NB at low concentration What value of N-NB can be measured with statistical significance? Liebhafsky limit: Element is present if counts exceed 3X precision of background: N > 3(NB)1/2 Ziebold approximation: CDL > 3.29a / [(nτP)(P/B)]1/2 τ = measurement time n = # of repetitions of each measurement P = pure element count rate B = background count rate (on pure element standard) a = relates composition to intensity Or 3.29 (wt.%) / IP[(τ i) / IB]1/2 IP = peak intensity IB = background intensity τ = acquisition time i = current Ave Z = 79 Ave Z = 14 Ave Z = 14, 4X counts as b Detection limit for Pb PbMα measured on VLPET 100 90 80 200nA, 800 sec 70 ppm 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 100000 200000 300000 current * time (nA - sec) 400000 500000 Can increase current and / or count time to come up with low detection limits and relatively high precision But is it right? Accuracy All results are approximations Many factors Level 1 quality and characterization of standards precision matrix corrections mass absorption coefficients ionization potentials backscatter coefficients ionization cross sections dead time estimation and implementation Evaluate by cross checking standards of known composition (secondary standards) Level 2 – the sample Inhomogeneous excitation volume Background estimation Peak positional shift Peak shape change Polarization in anisotropic crystalline solids Changes in Φ(ρZ) shape with time Measurement of time Time-integral effects Measurement of current, including linearity is a nanoamp a nanoamp? Depends on measurement – all measurements include errors! Time-integral acquisition effects drift in electron optics, measurement circuitry dynamic X-ray production non-steady state absorbed current / charge response in insulating materials beam damage compositional and charge distribution changes surface contamination Overall accuracy is the combined effect of all sources of variance…. σT2 = σC2+σI2+σO2+σS2+σM2 σT = total error σC = counting error σI = instrumental error σO = operational error σS = specimen error σM = miscellaneous error Each of which can consist of a number of other summed terms Becomes more critical for more sensitive analyses - trace element analysis Sources of measurement error – Time-integral measurements and sample effects 0.35 2σ counting statistics 0.30 Cps/nA 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 0 5 10 15 Time (min) 20 25 30 0.35 0.30 Cps/nA 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 54000 55000 56000 57000 58000 59000 60000 Wavelength (sinθ) 61000 62000 63000 64000 Sources of measurement error: Extracting accurate intensities – peak and background measurements Background shape depends on Bremsstrahlung emission Spectrometer efficiency UMass sp3 GdPO4 and GSC 8153 (VLPET) 1.70 VLPET Series2 Pb Ma GSC 8153 mzt Expon. (VLPET) Linear (Series2) 1.60 intensity (cps/nA) 1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 1.10 y = 8.520777E+01e -7.237583E-05x 1.00 0.90 0.80 54000 PbMα 56000 58000 60000 wavelength (sin-theta) 62000 64000 actual bkg lin fit 1 diff %error bkg 0.23544 0.24223 0.00679 2.883962 net intensity (Pk-bkg) 0.059155 0.052365 -0.00679 11.47832 14 Becomes 50% error at ~ 0.015 net intensity Measured bkg net intensity (Pk-bkg) 0.23268 0.0956 0.2426 0.08568 0.00992 -0.00992 4.263366 10.37657 actual bkg lin fit 1 diff %error bkg 0.249807 0.25831 0.008503 3.403828 actual bkg lin fit 1 diff %error bkg net intensity (Pk-bkg) 0.29714 0.33756 0.30466 0.33004 0.00752 -0.00752 2.530794 2.227752 actual bkg lin fit 1 diff %error bkg net intensity (Pk-bkg) 0.26367 0.21239 0.27187 0.20419 0.0082 -0.0082 3.109948 3.860822 net intensity (Pk-bkg) 0.131163 0.12266 -0.008503 6.482773 Theoretical based on run5 12 % error of net intensity actual bkg lin fit 1 diff %error At ~1000ppm Pb, 10% error can easily produce an age error of 3540Ma (5 wt.% Th, 4000ppm U) 10 8 6 4 y = 0.679x -1 2 0 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 net intensity (cps/nA) 0.50 0.60 Concentration (ppm) fitted bkg. Ave SStd StdErr Y 19196 3518 1573 linear bkg. Ave SStd StdErr 19194 3519 1574 TH 48043 3043 1361 Pb 1094 119 53 48007 3039 1359 996 123 55 U Age (Ma) 3984 400.2 1343 8 601 3.6 3958 1340 599 365.4 10.1 4.5