Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 3 Quantitative Demand Analysis Could we do it?? • You are the owner of a bookstore, and earn revenues primarily from selling coffee and books. For the past two years you have consistently earned, on average, revenues of $500 per week from selling coffee and $1000 per week from selling books. If the own price elasticity of demand for coffee is -1.0 and the cross price elasticity of demand between books and coffee is -1.8, what would happen to your revenues if you lowered the price of coffee (if coffee is good X) by 10%? Income Elasticity Q M %QX %M M Qx d EQX ,M d x If EQX,M > 0, then X is a normal good. If EQX,M < 0, then X is a inferior good. Example 1: Pricing and Cash Flows • According to an FTC Report by Michael Ward, AT&T’s own price elasticity of demand for long distance services is -8.64. • AT&T needs to boost revenues in order to meet it’s marketing goals. • To accomplish this goal, should AT&T raise or lower it’s price? Answer: Lower price! • Since demand is elastic, a reduction in price will increase quantity demanded by a greater percentage than the price decline, resulting in more revenues for AT&T. Example 2: Quantifying the Change • If AT&T lowered price by 3 percent, what would happen to the volume of long distance telephone calls routed through AT&T? Remember AT&T’s own price elasticity of demand for long distance services is -8.64 Answer • Calls would increase by 25.92 percent! EQX , PX %QX 8.64 %PX d %QX 8.64 3% d 3% 8.64 %QX d %QX 25.92% d Example 3: Impact of a change in a competitor’s price • According to an FTC Report by Michael Ward, AT&T’s cross price elasticity of demand for long distance services is 9.06. • If competitors reduced their prices by 4 percent, what would happen to the demand for AT&T services? Answer • AT&T’s demand would fall by 36.24 percent! EQX , PY %QX 9.06 %PY %QX 9.06 4% d 4% 9.06 %QX d %QX 36.24% d d We can use elasticities to find the supply and demand functions • Midcontinent Plastics makes 80 fiberglass truck hoods per day for large truck manufacturers. Each hood sells for $500.00. Midcontinent sells all of its product to the large truck manufacturers. If the own price elasticity of demand for hoods is -0.4 and the price elasticity of supply is 1.5. • Compute the supply and demand for truck hoods. Interpreting Demand Functions • Mathematical representations of demand curves. • Example: QX 10 2PX 3PY 2M d • X and Y are substitutes (coefficient of PY is positive). • X is an inferior good (coefficient of M is negative). Linear Demand Functions • General Linear Demand Function: QX 0 X PX Y PY M M H H d Q PX EQX , PX Px QX Own Price Elasticity d x EQX , PY Qxd PY Py QX Cross Price Elasticity Qxd M EQX ,M M QX Income Elasticity Example of Linear Demand • Qd = 10 - 2P. • Own-Price Elasticity (-2){P/Q}. • If P=1 what does Q equal? Q=8 (since 10 - 2 = 8). • Own price elasticity at P=1, Q=8 (-2){1/8}= - 0.25. Log-Linear Demand x y Q cPx Py M d x M H H • Take Natural Log of both sides to get general LogLineard Demand Function: ln QX 0 X ln PX Y ln PY M ln M H ln H Own PriceElasticity: X Cross PriceElasticity: Y IncomeElasticity: M Example of Log-Linear Demand • ln(Qd) = 10 - 2 ln(P). • Own Price Elasticity: -2.