Prediabetes Burden 1 Epidemiology: Health Performance Gaps • Prevalence • Risk factors – Metabolic syndrome – Obesity • Clinical risks of prediabetes – Progression to diabetes • Complications (eg, retinopathy) 2 Progression to Type 2 Diabetes Impaired Glucose Tolerance Impaired Fasting Glucose Or both Prediabetes 3 Diabetes Prevalence of Diabetes and Prediabetes in the United States 120 Increased incidence of prediabetes from 2007 to 2010 7.0 Persons (millions) 100 18.8 80 60 5.7 17.9 40 57 20 Undiagnosed Diabetes Diagnosed Diabetes Prediabetes Diabetes 8.3% of US population Prediabetes 79 35% of US population 0 2007 2010 4 CDC and Prevention. National diabetes fact sheet, 2007. http://www.cdc.gov/Diabetes/pubs/pdf/ndfs_2007.pdf. CDC and Prevention. National diabetes fact sheet, 2011. http://www.cdc.gov/diabetes/pubs/pdf/ndfs_2011.pdf. Prevalence of IFG and IGT in US Adults Without T2DM: NHANES Data Incidence of prediabetes, IFG, and IGT in a representative sample of the US population 40% 35% 34.6% 30% 25% 19.4% 20% 15% 9.8% 10% 5.4% 5% 0% Prediabetes 5 IFG only IGT only IFG and IGT IFG, impaired fasting glucose; IGT, impaired glucose tolerance; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey ; T2DM , type 2 diabetes mellitus. Karve A, Hayward RA. Diabetes Care. 2010;33:2355-2359. How Much Does the Metabolic Syndrome Raise the Risk of T2DM? Odds Ratio (Confidence Interval) 25.0 T2DM risk, stratified by IFG and metabolic syndrome 21.0 (13.1-33.8) 20.0 10.0 7.07 5.03 (3.32-15.1) (3.39-7.48) 5.0 1.0 (ref) 1.0 No MetSyn No IFG MetSyn without IFG IFG without MetSyn MetSyn + IFG 6 IFG, impaired fasting glucose; MetSyn, metabolic syndrome; T2DM, type 2 diabetes mellitus. Lorenzo C, et al. Diabetes Care. 2007;30:8-13.