Market Model Supply and Demand Markets Institutions that allow buyers and sellers to exchange Demand Supply Examples Posted-price Haggling Auctions Equilibrium Price/Quantity Demand Curve Demand: how much consumer are willing and able to buy at different prices Dew Auction Market Equilibrium price At P1: Qd = Qs The market “clears” S1 P1 D1 Q1 quantity Note: Change in Quantity Demanded: movement along curve Change in Demand: shift of entire curve Market Disequilibrium Surplus price S1 Surplus At PHi: Qd < Qs Pressure on price to fall Shortage PHi P1 PLo At PLo: Qd > Qs Pressure on price to rise D1 Shortage Qsd Q1 Qs Qd quantity Demand Shifters Preferences Population Income Normal goods Inferior goods If income rises, demand rises If income rises, demand falls Price of Related Goods Substitutes If P rises, demand for Y rises Complements If P rises, demand for Y falls x x Expectations Supply Shifters Number of firms Cost of inputs Technology Expectations In the fall of 1903 Ohio Tech students for the first time had to pay to attend university football games; as a result, every game had many empty seats. This decline in attendance suggests that: the demand for football games declined. attending football games is an inferior good. attending football games is a normal good. the quantity demanded of football games fell. 0% d) 0% c) 0% b) 0% a) a) b) c) d) A newspaper story recently reported that the price of new cars has increased, and the quantity of new cars sold has dropped. The price and quantity changes were probably caused by: a decrease in buyers' incomes. an increase in buyers' incomes. an increase in production costs. a decrease in production costs. 0% d) 0% c) 0% b) 0% a) a) b) c) d) Consider the market for computers. Suppose that the price of plastic decreases and the income of consumers decreases. What may we conclude about the equilibrium price and quantity of computers? a) b) c) d) price will fall and quantity is indeterminate. quantity will rise and price is indeterminate. quantity will rise and price will rise. both price and quantity will be indeterminate. 0% a) 0% 0% b) c) 0% d) Elasticity adding (quantitative) meat to the bones of supply and demand Suppose the price of gas rises by 10% over the next month. By how much will Ohio drivers cut back on their purchases of gasoline? a) b) c) d) e) 0 percent (no cut back) 1 to 5 percent 6 to 10 percent 11 to 20 percent More than 20 percent 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% a) b) c) d) e) Price Elasticity of Demand Measures the price sensitivity of buyers Ed = % Δ Q D $ %ΔP $2.50 %ΔP $2.00 D 280 300 %ΔQ Gasoline Midpoint Formula Q1 Q2 Ed = Q avg P1 P2 Pavg Ed = 0 . 07 0 . 22 300 280 = $ 290 2.00 2.50 2.25 $2.50 %ΔP = -0.32 $2.00 D 280 Degree of Sensitivity Elastic: |Ed| > 1 Unit: |Ed| = 1 Inelastic: |Ed| < 1 300 %ΔQ Gasoline When the price of an iPod Nano is $130, consumers buy 500 units per week. When the price rises to $150, consumers buy only 400 units per week. What is the midpoint elasticity of demand and how would you classify it? a) b) c) d) -1.57; -1.57; -0.64; -0.64; inelastic elastic inelastic elastic Ed = (500 400)/450 (130 150)/140 Ed = -.22/.14 = -1.57 0% a) 0% 0% b) c) 0% d) Determinants of Elasticity Number of substitutes The greater the # substitutes, the greater the elasticity The narrower the definition of the market, the greater the elasticity Item’s share of consumer budget The greater the share of budget, the greater the elasticity Determinants of Elasticity Time: Short Run v. Long Run The longer the time horizon, the greater the elasticity $ Gasoline Demand: ELR > ESR P1 P0 D1 long run D2 short run Q1 Q2 Q0 gasoline Extreme Cases of Price Elasticity $ Perfectly Inelastic D1 P2 Ed = 0 P1 Examples? Q1 Q Perfectly Elastic $ Ed = ∞ Examples? P1 D1 Q Some Estimated Price Elasticities of Demand Good Price elasticity Inelastic demand Eggs Beef Stationery Gasoline - 0.10 - 0.40 - 0.50 - 0.50 Elastic demand Housing Restaurant meals Airline travel Foreign travel - 1.20 2.30 2.40 4.10 Suppose that the price elasticity of demand for a Marietta College education is estimated to be E = -0.80. Based on this information, if the college were to raise tuition by 5%, then: a) b) c) d) enrollment will fall by 6.25% and tuition revenues will increase. enrollment will fall by 4% and tuition revenues will increase. enrollment will fall by 6.25% and tuition revenues will decrease. enrollment will fall by 4% and tuition revenues will decrease. 0% a) 0% 0% b) c) 0% d) Elasticity and Total Revenue TR = P x Q Elastic Demand P x Q = TR P x Q = TR Quantity effect dominates Ed = % Δ QD %ΔP Inelastic Demand P x Q = TR P x Q = TR Price effect dominates Suppose that the price elasticity of demand for a Marietta College education is estimated to be E = -0.80. Based on this information, if the college were to raise tuition by 5%, then: a) b) c) d) enrollment will fall by 6.25% and tuition revenues will increase. enrollment will fall by 4% and tuition revenues will increase. enrollment will fall by 6.25% and tuition revenues will decrease. enrollment will fall by 4% and tuition revenues will decrease. 0% a) 0% 0% b) c) 0% d) According to recent studies at M.I.T. and the University of Michigan, a 10% increase in the price of cigarettes leads to a 14% drop in sales to teenagers. What is the elasticity of demand for cigarettes among teenagers? a) b) c) d) -0.71 -1.40 +1.40 +0.71 0% Would you expect it to be this high for older smokers? Explain. a) 0% 0% b) c) 0% d) Other Demand Elasticities Cross-Price Elasticity Exy = % ΔQ X % ΔP Y Substitutes: Exy > 0 Complements: Exy < 0 Income Elasticity EI = % ΔQ Normal Goods: EI > 0 %ΔI Inferior Goods: EI < 0 Examples of cross-price elasticities Commodity With respect to price of Cross-Price elasticity Beef Pork 0.28 Butter Margarine 0.67 Electricity Natural gas 0.20 Natural gas Fuel oil 0.44 Clothing Footwear - 0.01 Dairy products Meat products - 0.15 Entertainment Food - 0.72 Examples of income elasticities Commodity Income elasticity Automobiles 2.46 Furniture 1.48 Restaurant Meals 1.40 Water 1.02 Tobacco 0.64 Gasoline 0.48 Margarine -0.20 Pork -0.20 Public transportation -0.36 In August 1990, East German taxicab drivers were on strike demanding lower cab fares. What must the drivers have believed about the price elasticity of demand for taxi rides? a) b) c) d) The demand The demand The demand The demand inelastic. was was was was elastic. inelastic. perfectly elastic. perfectly 0% 0% 0% a) b) c) 0% d) Market Efficiency Invisible Hand Theorem Adam Smith: Wealth of Nations (1776) Competitive, free markets will maximize social welfare Social Welfare = ? “It is not from the benevolence “...every individual…neither intends to of the the brewer, the promote thebutcher, public interest, nor or knows baker,he that we expect our dinner, how much is promoting it…he intends his ownregard gain, to and he is in butonly from their their this, as in many other own interest. We cases, addressled by an invisible hand tonot promote end which ourselves, to theiran humanity was no part of his intention…By but to their self-love, and never pursuing his own interest he frequently talk to them of our necessities promotes that of the society more but ofthan theirwhen advantages.” effectually he really intends to promote it.” Adam Smith Consumer Surplus Net gain to consumers from buying at a single price CS = Buyer Value - Price Price Buyer Values (or WTP) $50 $25 Consumer Surplus Market price Demand Total Expenditure 1 5 quantity Producer Surplus Net gain to sellers from selling at a single price PS = Price – Seller Cost Price $25 Supply Market price Producer Surplus Seller Costs $10 Total Cost 3 quantity Which of the following is an example of consumer surplus? a) b) c) d) Holly buys a hamburger for $2 and tells you she would not have paid a penny more. Youtian believes the price he paid for his computer was too high. Willy buys a paper tablet for $2 and finds the same good at another store for $1.50 Katelyn would have paid $20 for a new compact disc but paid only $15. 0% a) 0% 0% 0% b) c) d) Social Welfare Price Deadweight Loss Supply CS P* PS Demand Q Q* quantity Free Market Outcome: P*, Q* Maximizes social welfare: SW = CS + PS Garden of Eden Adam Eve 12 0 9 3 5 5 4 8 0 12 Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden, by Titian (c. 1550) Which allocation would you choose? ic e ho C 0% 0% Fi ve 0% ic e Tw o O ic e ho Tradeoff: Efficiency vs. Equity 0% ho 0% ur 12 C 0 Fo 8 ic e 4 ho 5 re e 5 C 3 Th 9 ic e 0 ho 12 C One Two Three Four Five ne Choice Choice Choice Choice Choice Eve C 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Adam Supply and Demand Step Functions 70 65 Supply 60 55 50 Price 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 Demand 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Quantity 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Chart 3: Price Sequence 45 40 35 30 Price Session 4 Session 2 25 Session 1 20 Session 3 15 10 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Contracts 80 90 100 110 120 Government Intervention Why does government intervene? Market failures Monopoly Externalities Public goods Fairness All generate some DWL How does government intervene? Price Controls Quantity Controls Regulations Price Ceiling: Rent Control Free Market: R1, Q1 Gov’t imposes rent ceiling at R0 At R0: QD > QS shortage Non-Price Rationing? Black Market (Bribes) Discrimination Wait / Search Lottery Rent S1 DWL RF R1 R0 D1 QS Q1 Shortage QD Apartments Other Examples of Price Ceilings Gasoline (1970s) Price of Oil Usury laws Diagnostic Related Groups (DRGs) $120 Real Price Dollars per barrel $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 Nominal Price $0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 In 1979 a revolution overthrew the government of Iran, disrupting oil production and causing the price of crude oil to increase by 300 percent. In most of the world, which did not have price controls, this price increase: led to severe shortages of gasoline did not lead to shortages led to substantial surpluses did not affect supply or demand for gasoline substantially 0% d) 0% c) 0% b) 0% a) a) b) c) d) Price Floor: Minimum Wage Fair Labor Standards Act (1938) 1938: $0.25 2009: $7.25 Ohio’s minimum wage went up to $7.30 this past January As of January 1, 2010 States with minimum wage rates higher than the Federal rate States with minimum wage rates the same as the Federal rate States with minimum wage rates lower than the Federal rate States with no minimum wage law Federal Minimum Wage 1950-2010 $11.00 $10.00 minimum wage in 2010 dollars $9.00 $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 minimum wage in current dollars $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Minimum Wage Relative to the Average Hourly Wage Rate 1965-2010 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Characteristics of Minimum Wage Workers, 2009 At or Below $7.25 Total 3.6 million 72.6 million % Employment 4.9% 100% Gender Male Female 38.0 62.0 48.5 51.5 Race White Black Hispanic Asian 80.0 13.9 17.4 3.3 80.7 12.8 17.5 3.7 Age 16-19 25 + 22.9 51.4 6.1 80.2 Hours of Work Part-time Full-time 63.9 35.6 27.6 72.2 Occupation Sales Service 20.5 63.0 27.4 24.4 Industry Retail Leisure & Hospitality Manufacturing 14.9 51.6 3.0 14.4 12.2 11.5 Education Less than HS HS only BA + 29.0 30.9 8.3 14.1 35.4 16.2 # Hourly Workers 140m 2009 Poverty Guidelines (48 Contiguous States and DC) Persons in Family Poverty Threshold 1 $10,830 2 $14,570 3 $18,310 4 $22,050 5 $25,790 6 $29,530 7 $33,270 8 $37,010 For families with more than 8 persons, add $3,740 for each additional person. Source: http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/09poverty.shtml Labor Market Free Market: W1, Q1 no unemployment: QD = QS (full-time income?) S1 W2 = $7.25 Gov’t imposes min. wage at W2 at W2: QD < QS Unemployment occurs unemployment Wage DWL W1= $6 How can employers offset impact? Reduce hours of work Reduce fringe benefits Raise price Reduce quality Hire illegal aliens D1 QD B W layoffs Q1 QS new entrants Labor Suppose that the equilibrium wage in the low-skilled labor market is $8.00. Further, suppose the federal government raises the minimum wage to $7.75 an hour from its present level of $7.25. The government’s action of increasing the minimum wage will result in: a) b) c) d) a decrease in unemployment an increase in unemployment a shortage of low-skilled labor. neither a shortage nor a surplus of labor in the low-skilled labor market. 0% a) 0% 0% b) c) 0% d) Taxes Sales Tax: percentage of sales Excise Tax: fixed dollar amount per unit Sin Taxes? Suppose the government imposes a $10 excise tax on the sale of sweaters by charging suppliers $10 for each sweater sold. Based on economic analysis, we would predict that: a) b) c) d) e) The price of sweaters will increase by $10. The price of sweaters will increase by more than $10. Consumers of sweaters will bear the entire burden of the tax. The price of sweaters will increase by less than $10. (a) and (c) are true. 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% a) b) c) d) e) Excise Tax: Cigarettes Free market: S2 P = $4.00 Q = 27.4 b price S1 buyer pays Consumer Spending ≈ $110 b 4.40 Gov’t imposes tax = $1/pack 4.00 Tax Revenue tax = $1 3.40 Supply shifts upward by $1 Price rises (by less than $1) Quantity falls Assume that ED = -0.60 ED = % ΔQ D = -0.60 10 % %ΔQD = - 6.0% seller keeps D1 25.8 27.4 cigarettes (Billions of packs) Economic burden of tax is split between buyers and sellers Suppose the government imposes a $10 excise tax on the sale of sweaters by charging suppliers $10 for each sweater sold. Based on economic analysis, we would predict that: a) b) c) d) e) The price of sweaters will increase by $10. The price of sweaters will increase by more than $10. Consumers of sweaters will bear the entire burden of the tax. The price of sweaters will increase by less than $10. (a) and (c) are true. 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% a) b) c) d) e) In the figure below, the amount of tax revenue is: a) b) c) d) $2000 $4000 $6000 $8000 0% 2000 0% 0% 4000 6000 0% 8000 Quantity Controls Quotas International trade: agricultural goods, textiles Taxis, liquor licenses Prohibition What goods and services are illegal to trade? Why prohibit trade? Victimless crime? Immoral? Externalities? Drugs Prostitution Body organs Babies Guns Exotic animals Gambling War on Drugs Intrinsic Effects Health Damages Spousal/Family abuse DUI Lower worker productivity Black Market Effects Crime Property Murder Overdose Uncertain product quality Binge consumption Clogged prisons Corruption Reduced civil liberties Alcohol: 125m users-----85,000 annual deaths Tobacco: 70m users-----400,000 annual deaths Marijuana: 15m users-----0 annual deaths Cocaine: 2m users---Heroin: 0.2m users---- 17,000 annual deaths Tradeoff: Intrinsic Effects v. Black Market Effects Marijuana Market Prohibition: P1, Q1 Legalization: P2, Q2 S1 price S2 Consumption will rise (how much?) $2500 = P1 Tradeoff: > More intrinsic costs > Less black market effects P2 D1 Q1 What happens in the market for substitutes? What happens in the market for complements? Q2 Marijuana (lbs.) When a government imposes penalties on both sellers and buyers of an illegal good, 0% 0% 0% 0% d) d) c) c) b) b) the price of the good falls as does the quantity purchased. the price of the good falls, but the quantity purchased may increase or decrease. the price of the good rises, but the quantity purchased may increase or decrease. the quantity purchased of the good decreases, but the price may rise or fall. a) a)