Factor Analysis for Dissolution Time of Effervescent Tablets NIU JINSHU (2010010837) WU XIANYU (2010010838) CAO LIUXING (2010010836) WU YINING (2010010835) DAI YIBO (2010010833) Outlines • Purpose of experiment • Experiment design • Factors • Design mythologies • Experiment conduction • Analytical procedure • Significant factors • Effects of factors • 2-factor interaction • 3-factor interaction • Regression model • Model Validation • Conclusions 2 3 Purpose of experiment Explore how different factors affect dissolution rate Provide several implications to the dissolution process Test if the advertisement shows the correct condition 4 Experiment design – Factors (1/2) Fishbone diagram 5 Experiment design – Factors (2/2) Response variable Dissolution time: 0~300s Control variable Constant variable Composition Place surface area of tablets Volume of water Temperature of water Surface area of water Temperature around Tablet flavor Air pressure Time of ups and downs of tablets Noise variable 6 Design methodologies (1/3) Design of experiments A four-factor two-level design is employed to reveal the main effects and the interaction effects of four factors on dissolution time: Tablet flavor (A) Surface area of water (B) Volume of water (C) Temperature of water (D) 2^4 * 2 = 32 times 7 Design methodologies (2/3) Test matrix 8 Design methodologies (3/3) Factor Levels 9 Experiment conduction (1/2) 10 Experiment conduction (2/2) Snapshots 11 Analytical procedure 12 Significant factors (1/4) Result cubes 时间 的立方图(数据平均值) 246.50 1 247.95 198.55 101.85 205.95 111.35 100.80 108.40 表面积 210.15 188.55 103.30 101.80 1 水量 247.65 216.25 -1 1 -1 112.60 -1 口味 -1 1 水温 97.55 13 Significant factors (2/4) Main effect A little bit Temperature(D) 口味 Not significant Flavor (A) & Volume(C) 数据平均值 Surface area (B) 时间 主效应图 quite significant 表面积 200 150 平均值 100 -1 1 -1 水量 1 水温 200 150 100 -1 1 -1 1 14 Significant factors (3/4) 标准化效应的正态图 (响应为 时间,Alpha = .01) 99 AD 95 90 因子 A B C D 80 百 分比 70 60 50 40 30 BCD 20 C A 10 5 效应类型 不显著 显著 D 1 -50 -40 -30 -20 标准化效应 -10 0 10 名称 口味 表面积 水量 水温 15 Significant factors (4/4) Main effect A C D AD BCD 16 Reduced Model 标准化效应的半正态图 (响应为 时间,Alpha = 标准化效应的 P a r e t o 图 .01) (响应为 时间,Alpha = 98 因子 A B C D 95 D 85 名称 口味 表面积 水量 水温 A AD 项 A 70 60 因子 A B C D D 80 C AD BCD 50 C 40 30 20 10 0 BCD 20 绝对标准化效应 30 40 0 10 20 标准化效应 时间 残差图 正态概率图 与拟合值 8 90 4 残差 99 50 0 -4 10 -8 1 -10 -5 0 残差 5 10 100 150 直方图 250 与顺序 8 4.8 4 3.6 2.4 0 -4 1.2 0.0 200 拟合值 残差 10 百分比 0 B 频率 百分比 90 .01) 2.79 效应类型 不显著 显著 -8 -8 -4 0 残差 4 8 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 观测值顺序 30 40 名称 口味 表面积 水量 水温 17 Effect of factors (1/3) Flavor 时间 主效应图 数据平均值 Orange tablets take longer time to dissolve than peach ones 175 170 平均值 165 160 155 150 -1 1 口味 18 Effect of factors (2/3) Volume Volume of water increases, the dissolution time becomes shorter 时间 主效应图 数据平均值 170.0 167.5 165.0 平均值 162.5 160.0 157.5 155.0 -1 1 水量 19 Effect of factors (3/3) Temperature As the temperature rises, the dissolution time will be shorter 时间 主效应图 数据平均值 220 200 180 平均值 160 140 120 100 -1 1 水温 20 Two-factor interaction 时间 交互作用图 Flavor & Temperature The two lines are not parallel, so they have interaction 口味 -1 1 220 200 平均值 180 160 140 120 100 -1 1 水温 时间 与 水温, 口味 的等值线图 时间 与 口味, 水温 的曲面图 1.0 100 125 150 175 200 225 0.5 水温 数据平均值 240 0.0 时间 < – – – – – – > 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 250 250 200 时间 150 100 -0.5 -1 0 水温 -1.0 -1.0 1 -1 0 口味 -0.5 0.0 口味 0.5 1.0 1 21 Three-factor interaction (1/2) BCD is not quite significant Draw the interaction plot of: BC D Time 1 1 103.2 1 -1 227.2375 B and CD -1 1 106.2125 C and BD -1 -1 213.15 B Time D and BC CD 1 1 164.1375 -1 1 167.25 1 -1 166.2 -1 -1 152.2125 BD C Time 1 1 150.3375 1 -1 170.9125 -1 1 162.5375 -1 -1 166.0125 In order to find out BCD’s interaction 22 Three-factor interaction (2/2) C and BD time 交互作用图 time 交互作用图 数据均值 数据均值 -1 1 time 交互作用图 数据均值 -1 170 165 1 BD -1 1 -1 200 1 BC -1 1 165 BC CD 150 155 155 150 100 C -1 1 170 165 150 D -1 1 200 B -1 1 165 160 160 C D 150 B 155 155 150 100 -1 1 150 -1 CD -1 1 160 160 BD B and CD D and BC 1 -1 1 Those three pairs of factors all have interaction, so BCD have significant interaction. 23 Regression model Since R-Sq is quite large, and there are only 32 observations, we do not eliminate the outlier. 24 Model validation The evaluation results 标准序 运行序 水量 口味 水温 表面积(大) 预测 实际 6 1 1 -1 1 1 99.28 103.0 4 2 1 1 -1 1 202.84 206.0 5 3 -1 -1 1 1 119.86 112.4 7 4 -1 1 1 1 114.76 104.8 1 5 -1 -1 -1 1 242 246.3 2 6 1 -1 -1 1 238.54 229.9 8 7 1 1 1 1 94.18 90.1 3 8 -1 1 -1 1 206.3 208.2 25 Model validation 95 significant level paired-t test 26 Conclusions The main effects of flavor, volume of water and temperature of water are significant. The two-factor interactions between flavor and temperature is also significant. Surface area does not show any significant effects at either main effect or two-factor interactions. The three-factor interaction of surface area, volume of water and temperature of water is significant. 时间 = 162 - 10.2 口味 + 2.72 表面积 - 6.01 水量 - 57.7 水温 + 7.65 口味*水温- 4.28 表面积*水量*水温 The advertisement in Taobao isn’t reliable. 27 Thanks! Q&A