The Agricultural Act of 2014 Note: -Information is based upon on the bill as passed by Congress. FSA has not issued final rules and regulations yet. Material is subject to change. -Information source: Dr. Kent D. Olson, U of M Extension Economist. Dr. Marin Bozic, U of M Economist, Dept. of Applied Economics. FarmDocDaily, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign -Materials edited by Gary A. Hachfeld, U of M Extension Educator. 1 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. March 14, 2014; v. 1.0 AGRICULTURAL ACT OF 2014 I. II. III. IV. V. VI. Commodities Conservation Trade Nutrition Credit Rural Development VII. Research, Extension, and Related Matters VIII.Forestry IX. Energy X. Horticulture XI. Crop Insurance XII. Miscellaneous 2 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. TODAY’S OUTLINE: What’s new, what’s gone, what continues Decisions to be made Update payment yields? Reallocate base acres? Price Loss Coverage (PLC) Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) Dairy Program Conservation Programs Crop Insurance 3 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. OVERVIEW FOR CROPS Title I. Commodities 4 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. WHAT’S NEW: Price Loss Coverage (PLC) Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC) Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO) $125,000 payment limit per person: For Title I programs: PLC, ARC, marketing loan gains, LDPs. $900,000 AGI limit to receive any payments: Based on 3-year rolling average AGI. No separate measure for an agriculture AGI. 5 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. WHAT’S GONE: Direct payments: – Except for a declining amount for cotton. Counter-Cyclical Payments: – Replaced by Price Loss Coverage (PLC). ACRE Payments: – Replaced by Agricultural Risk Coverage (ARC). 6 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. WHAT CONTINUES: Marketing Assistance Loans Marketing Loan Gains Loan Deficiency Payments (LDPs) Note: Same rules as in 2008 farm bill Same loan rates (except cotton) 7 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Loan Rates ($) (set in 2014 farm bill) Corn 1.95 /bu. Grain Sorghum 1.95 /bu. Soybeans 5.00 /bu. Dry Peas 5.40 /cwt Wheat 2.94 /bu. Lentils 11.28 /cwt Barley 1.95 /bu. Small Chickpeas 7.43 /cwt Oats 1.39 /bu. Large Chickpeas 11.28 /cwt IRREVOCABLE DECISIONS in 2014: 1. Update payment yields 2. Reallocate current base acres 3. Commodity program election: a. Price Loss Coverage (PLC) b. Agricultural Risk Coverage i. ii. ARC-county option ARC-individual option FSA has not issued final rules and regulations yet. Sign-up deadlines are likely late summer, fall, winter, into 2015. 9 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. WHO DECIDES? Land owner(s): – Update payment yields – Reallocate base acres Owner(s) and Producer(s): – PLC, ARC-county, or ARC-individual? If a unanimous decision is not made: – FSA will deem PLC to have been elected. – NO payments for the 2014 crop year. 10 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. UPDATE PAYMENT YIELDS? A. Update payments yields to 90% of average yields per planted acre from 2008 to 2012. B. Keep current payment yields at those used in 2008 farm bill. Decision can be made crop by crop. Which yield is higher? Can update yields & not reallocate base acres. Payment yields are used only for PLC. 11 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. UPDATE PAYMENT YIELDS? If owner decides to update: – A year is excluded from calculation if no acres were planted to a cover crop. – A “substitute yield” is used when FSA farm yield is less than 75% of its 2008-2012 average county yield. Current yields could be yields from as far back as 1981-1985 or 1998-2001. Since there is no penalty or harm for updating payment yields, makes sense to do so IF calculation works out to be a higher yield. 12 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Example Calculation of Updated Payment Yield for Corn Yield per Planted Acre Substitute Yield: 75% of 2008-12 County Average Yield Yield Used in Payment Calculation 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Planted: No Evidence 154 175 No Planted Acres 100 112 112 112 112 112 112 154 175 112 Sum Of Yields Average Yield (divide by 4) Payment Yield (90%) 553 138 124 Question is: Will new yields be higher than current yield being used? REALLOCATE BASE ACRES? A. Retain current base acre allocation across program crops. B. Reallocate base acres across program crops based on average proportion of planted & prevented planted in 2009 to 2012 crop years. NOTE: Total base acres cannot be increased, only reallocated. 14 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Example Calculation of Reallocated Base Acre Option Crops Base Acres Crop History 2009 Crop History 2010 Crop History 2011 Crop History 2012 Average Planting 2009-12 Reallocation Percentage Reallocated Base Acre Option Alfalfa 0 20 20 20 20 NA NA NA Corn 50 50 40 30 40 40 50% 50 Oats 10 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 Soybeans 30 30 32 50 32 36 45% 45 Wheat 10 0 8 0 8 4 5% 5 Total Covered Crops 100 100 100 100 100 80 100% 100 Question is: Which crops will have highest projected payments? REALLOCATE BASE ACRES? Is an important decision because both PLC & ARC programs make payments on base acres. Decision rests with the owner of the FSA farm. Decision applies to all covered crops on the FSA farm and takes effect with the 2014 crop year. Crop must have been planted for harvest, grazing, haying, silage or other similar purposes. Prevented planted acres count. Must be due to conditions beyond producer’s control – drought, flood, other natural disasters. 16 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. REALLOCATE BASE ACRES? All years are included whether or not a cover crop was planted. Base acres can included double cropping if deemed by Secretary of Ag as an established practice in the area. Base acre decision is independent of the payment yield update decision. Base acres can be reallocated without updating yields and vice versa. If no decision is made, owner retains current base acres. 17 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. REALLOCATE BASE ACRES? If you have base acres no longer planted to that crop (oats, wheat, etc.) may make sense to reallocate those acres to corn or soybeans. Crop rotation, inclusion of zero acres planted to covered crop when calculating the reallocated acres and the changing mix of crops (more corn and soybeans) means base acres can differ notably from current base acres. Question remains: Are the crops in the current base more likely to have higher future payments than those same crops in 2009-12? 18 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. REALLOCATE BASE ACRES? Appears decision may rest on two issues: – To minimize financial risk and bring future base acre allocations more in line with what is actually being planted. – To maximize government payments which is based upon what the owner feels future yields and prices will be. Since both PLC & ARC payments are based upon base acres, reallocating more toward what is actually planted may help maximize government payments. 19 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. TITLE I PROGRAM CHOICE Producers and farm owners must choose: A. For each covered commodity, elect either: – Price Loss Coverage (PLC). – Agricultural Risk Coverage – county based (ARC-County). Or B. For all covered commodities on the farm, elect: – Agricultural Risk Coverage – individual farm based (ARCIndividual). Note: Only PLC crops are eligible for SCO. Choice of either ARC means no SCO. 20 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. PROGRAM CHOICE, continued A farm could elect PLC for some crops and ARC-County for other crops. – ARC-county for corn and PLC for soybean, for example. If ARC-Individual is elected, ALL covered commodities are enrolled in ARC-individual. – No PLC or ARC-county for any crop. Default: if no election is made for 2014, FSA assumes the PLC election for 2015-2018 and the farm forfeits any potential 2014 payments. 21 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Price Loss Coverage (PLC) 22 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. PRICE LOSS COVERAGE (PLC) PLC payments are triggered: – when the Market Year Average (MYA) price is below the Reference Price (as set in the bill). MYA is the 12-month marketing year: – Sept-Aug for corn, soybean, grain sorghum, sunflower seed, large and small chickpeas. – June-May for wheat, feed barley, oats. – July-June for canola, flaxseed, dry peas, lentils. 23 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. References Prices ($) (set in 2014 farm bill) Corn 3.70 /bu. Grain Sorghum 3.95 /bu. Soybeans 8.40 /bu. Dry Peas 11.00 /cwt Wheat 5.50 /bu. Lentils 19.97 /cwt Barley 4.95 /bu. Small Chickpeas 19.04 /cwt Oats 2.40 /bu. Large Chickpeas 21.54 /cwt MYA PRICES, USDA & FAPRI PROJECTIONS, versus FARM BILL REFERENCE PRICES 2013 est. WASDE ‘14-’18 proj. USDA & ‘14-’18 proj. FAPRI 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Soy MYA Wht MYA Corn MYA Soy USDA Wht USDA Corn USDA Soy FAPRI Wht FAPRI Corn FAPRI Soy Ref Wht Ref Corn Ref PLC calculations: Payment Rate = Reference price – {higher of MYA price or loan rate} Payment = payment rate x payment yield x 85% of crop’s base acres Example: MYA price for corn falls to $3.50 and a farm had a payment yield of 160 bu. and a corn base of 350 acres: Payment Rate = 3.70 – 3.50 = 0.20 per bu. Payment = 0.20 x 160 x 0.85 x 350 = $9,520 for corn 26 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-County Agricultural Risk Coverage - County 27 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-County: Payments are made when the Actual Revenue for a crop falls below the Guarantee. Guarantee is base on a rolling 5-year average. Uses average county yields, not individual farm yields. Payment made on 85% of crop’s base acres. 28 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-County calculations: Benchmark Revenue = 5-year Olympic average county yields x 5-year Olympic average MYA prices. Guarantee = 86% of Benchmark Revenue: – This will be a rolling benchmark and guarantee. Actual Revenue = county average yield x MYA price. Payment Rate = Guarantee – Actual Revenue: Not to exceed 10% of Benchmark Revenue. Payment = Payment Rate x 85% of crop’s base acres. 29 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-County: Corn example, p. 1 Year MYA Price County Yield 2009 3.70* 183.0 2010 5.18** 180.4 2011 6.22 165.7 2012 6.89 156.7 2013 est. 4.50 185.0 5-year Olympic average 5.30 176.4 Benchmark Revenue $935 = 5.30 x 176.4 Guarantee $804 = 935 x 0.86 *2009 MYA price of $3.55 is replaced by Reference Price of $3.70 per rules in 2014 farm bill. **Prices and yields in red are used to calculate 5-year Olympic average. ARC-County: Corn example, p. 2 2014 MYA Price (estimate) $3.90 2014 County Yield (trend estimate) 189 2014 Actual Revenue (estimate) $737 Guarantee (86% of Benchmark from prev. slide) $804 Maximum payment (10% of Benchmark) $93.50 Payment Rate (Guar. – Actual; up to max.) $67.00 Base acres for farm (corn) Payment (Payment Rate x 85% of base acres) 330 $18,793.50 ARC-County: Soybean example, p. 1 Year MYA Price County Yield 2009 9.59 47.0 2010 11.30* 46.5 2011 12.50 44.1 2012 14.40 43.9 2013 est. 12.95 47.9 5-year Olympic average 12.25 45.9 Benchmark Revenue Guarantee $562 = 12.25 x 45.9 $483 = 562 x 0.86 *Prices and yields in red are used to calculate 5-year Olympic average. ARC-County: Soybean example, p. 2 2014 MYA Price (estimate) $9.65 2014 County Yield (trend estimate) 48.4 2014 Actual Revenue (estimate) $467 Guarantee (86% of Benchmark from prev. slide) $483 Maximum payment (10% of Benchmark) $56.20 Payment Rate (Guar. – Actual; up to max.) $16.00 Base acres for farm (soybeans) Payment (Payment Rate x 85% of base acres) 100 $1,360 ARC-Individual Agricultural Risk Coverage - Individual 34 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-Individual Based on revenue sum over all covered commodities. Calculations based on producer’s share of production on all farms in the state. Planted acres in each crop year are used to determine weights for calculating Actual and Benchmark Revenue. Base acres are used to calculate payments: – 65% of base acres. 35 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-Individual: Benchmark Revenue Revenues are calculated for each covered commodity in each crop year = yield x MYA price: Reference Price replaces lower MYA price. 70% of T-yield replaces lower yields. Olympic Average Revenues are calculated for each covered commodity for each of the 5 most recent crop years. Benchmark Revenue is weighted sum of the Olympic Average Revenues for each commodity. Weights are the current crop year’s planted acreage for each commodity. 36 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-Individual: Benchmark Example Soybean Corn Year Yield MYA price Revenue Year Yield MYA price Revenue 2009 195.0 3.70 722 2009 50.5 9.59 484 2010 184.7 5.18 957 2010 42.6 11.30 481 2011 178.0 6.22 1,107 2011 49.5 12.50 619 2012 154.0 6.89 1,061 2012 46.4 14.40 668 2013 est. 189.5 4.50 853 2013 est. 46.8 12.95 606 5-year Olympic Average Revenue $957 5-year Olympic Average Revenue -With 100 Base acres planted 60 corn and 40 soybeans in 2014: Benchmark Revenue = (957 x 0.6) + (570 x 0.4) = $802 Guarantee = 86% of Benchmark = $802 x 0.86 = $690 $570 ARC-Individual: Actual Revenue Revenues are calculated for each commodity = individual farm yield x MYA price. Actual Revenue for farm is weighted sum of each commodity’s actual revenue. – Planted Acres for each commodity in current crop year are used as weights. 38 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-Individual: Actual Example Current Year Planted acres Farm yield Current MYA price, est. Crop Revenue per acre Corn 60 192 3.90 749 Soybean 40 47 9.65 454 Commodity Weighted Actual Revenue for whole farm (749 * 0.6) + (454 * 0.4) = $631 ARC-Individual: Payment Payment Rate = Guarantee – Actual Revenue: – When actual revenue is below the guarantee. – Not to exceed 10% of Benchmark Revenue. Payment = Payment Rate x 65% of Base acres for all covered commodities on the farm. 40 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. ARC-Individual: Payment Example For current year Corn Soybean Olympic Average Revenue 957 570 Planted acres, current year 60 40 Benchmark Revenue for farm (957 x 0.6) + (570 x 0.4) = $802 $802 x 0.86 = $690 Guarantee for farm Actual Revenue by crop Weighted Actual Revenue 749 454 (749 * 0.6) + (454 * 0.4) = $631 Maximum payment rate (10% of Benchmark Revenue) 802 * 0.10 = $80 Payment Rate 690 – 631 = $59 Payment = Rate * 65% of base acres 59 * 0.65 * 100 = $3,835 DAIRY PROGRAM: Gone: – Dairy Product Price Support Program – repealed. – Dairy Export Incentive Program – repealed. – Past Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) is replaced with Margin Protection Program (MPP). Remaining: – Dairy Forward Pricing Program – applies to milk buyers subject to Federal Milk Marketing Order rules. – Dairy Indemnity Program – payment for milk removed from market if contaminated. 42 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. DAIRY PROGRAM: New: – MPP program replacing MILC program. MPP is a voluntary target-index safety net program that provides dairy producers with income-over-feed-cost (IOFC) margin protection at farmer selected margin levels & coverage percentages. – Dairy Product Donation Program (DPDP) – requires Sec. of Ag to procure and distribute (not store) certain dairy products when Actual Dairy Production Margin (ADPM) falls below lowest margin level specified by MPP. 43 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. MPP DAIRY PROGRAM: Program elements: 1. Actual Dairy Production Margin (ADPM) = national estimate of dairy farm income from milk sales less an estimate average cost of feed for a hypothetical but nationally representative dairy farm. 2. Actual Dairy Production History (ADPH) of participant. 3. Coverage Percentage – a percentage of ADPH producer selects determining how much of eligible milk they want covered. Quantity selected determines total premium and indemnity payment. 4. Coverage Level – is $/cwt amount defining the degree of margin protection desired. 44 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. MPP DAIRY PROGRAM: Margin Calculation: – Uses national prices and is not customizable – ADPM = U.S. All-Milk Price minus the sum of 1.0728 x NASS Corn Price ($/bu.) 0.00735 x AMS Soybean Meal (Central IL - $/ton) 0.0137 x NASS Alfalfa Hay ($/ton) Payment: – Based upon ADPM, based on a 2 month average for consecutive months (Jan/Feb, Mar/Apr, etc.). Note: NASS is National Ag Statistical Service AMS is Agricultural Marketing Service 45 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. MPP DAIRY PROGRAM: Indemnity Payment: – An indemnity is paid when the average difference between the Actual Dairy Production Margin (ADPM) falls below a producer user selected coverage level. 46 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. MPP DAIRY PROGRAM: Other details: 1. Sign up is on an annual basis – rules to be released by September 1. 2. Producers who sign up for MPP are ineligible to sign up for Livestock Gross Margin – Dairy Cattle Program. 3. Producers can skip a year without being penalized the following year. 4. Production history is based upon annual marketing’s from three preceding years (2011, 2012, 2013). 47 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. MPP DAIRY PROGRAM: Other details: 5. Each year production history can increase. 6. Can insure up to 90% of ADPH. 7. Each year can pick coverage levels between 25% - 90% in 5% increments. Premiums $4 to $8/cwt in $0.50 increments. 8. Does not impose production or gross income eligibility caps. 9. No supply management or any direct disincentives for growth in low-margin periods. 48 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Title II. Conservation 49 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. CONSERVATION PROVISIONS: Net reduction in conservation spending over life of farm bill. Conservation compliance required for federal crop insurance subsidy. Merges 12 existing programs into new programs: – Agricultural Conservation Easement Program (ACEP). – Regional Conservation Partnership Program (RCPP). Maximum allowable CRP acres reduced. EQIP & CSP program reauthorized. 50 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Title XI. Crop Insurance 51 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. CROP INSURANCE PROVISIONS: Remaining: – YP, RP, RPwHPE remain the same as 2014 w/subsidy. NAP election remains. New: – Area Risk Protection Insurance (APRI) (former GRP/GRIP insurance but combined). – Must certify in compliance with all conservation rules. – Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO): Available to producers who select PLC only. Offers loss coverage for a portion of producers insurance deductible on an area-wide basis. 52 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. CROP INSURANCE PROVISIONS: Supplemental Coverage Option (SCO): – SCO is a county level revenue or yield based optional endorsement. – Indemnity payment is made only when there is a county level yield loss of 14% or greater (has nothing to do with the individual producer and their actual yield). – Coverage amount depends upon coverage level choice of underlying insurance product: 85% coverage – SCO 86% - 85%. 70% coverage – SCO 86% - 70%. – Has premium subsidy and administration fee. – Available beginning 2015 crop year. 53 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. SCO Coverage Coupled With Individual Insurance Revenue or Yield 86% of Guarantee Insurance Guarantee SCO Coverage Individual Insurance Deductible Coverage Level X Guarantee Individual Insurance Coverage County Farm RESOURCES: PLC & ARC, Conservation, Dairy, Crop Insurance, and other Farm Bill provisions: – http://www.farmdoc.illinois.edu/ – http://farmdoc.illinois.edu/farmbilltoolbox/ Dairy programs: – http://dairymarkets.org/PubPod/Pubs/IL14-01.pdf USDA – Risk Management Agency Website: – http://www.rma.usda.gov/ 55 © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. Thank you. Questions? © 2014 Regents of the University of Minnesota. All rights reserved. The University of Minnesota is an equal opportunity educator and employer. In accordance with the Americans with Disabilities Act, this PowerPoint is available in alternative formats upon request. Direct requests to the Extension Store at 800-876-8636. 56