Video Montage Rhys Jones IRB Game Analysis What is IRB Game Analysis? … is the vehicle through which the IRB tracks, at any moment in time, how the game of rugby is being played at the highest levels and around the world What do we analyse? The Shape of the Game Aim of the presentation Summarise how the shape of the game has changed in last 40 years Modern day Patterns of play, Player sizes & Scrums Link to coaching tactics and techniques Warning! Stat Attack Any questions please let me know Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matches Activity Scotland v Wales 1971 Wales v Scotland 2010 Difference Ball in Play 24m 34s 40m 58s 16m more play Game Stoppages 151 70 81 fewer stoppages Lineouts 71 21 50 fewer lineouts Scrums 39 13 26 fewer scrums Ruck/Mauls 31 187 156 more r/ms Kicks 85 57 28 fewer kicks Passes 145 323 178 more passes Activity cycles over 30 secs 3 31 28 more cycles over 30 secs Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matches Activity Scotland v Wales 1971 Wales v Scotland 2010 Set Piece 15% Ruck/ Mauls 22% Set Piece 78% Ruck/ Mauls 85% THE SHAPE OF THE GAME HAS COMPLETELY CHANGED MOVED FROM SET PIECE ORIENTATED TO OPEN PLAY ORIENTATED Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matches Contest of possession Scotland v Wales 1971 Wales v Scotland 2010 Difference Lineout Success 43% 86% Increased Lineout contest 99% 62% Decreased Scrum Success 66% 85% Increased Ruck/Maul Success 59% 96% Increased Less contest for possession Higher retention at set piece and at breakdowns Summary of Changes in 40 years Contest Teams win possession: Scrum - 9 / 10 Lineout - 8 / 10 Breakdown - 14 / 15 Less of a lottery and sometimes even bad teams obtain good retention THE CONTEST HAS COMPLETELY CHANGED MOVED FROM CONTEST TO CONTINUITY Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matches Ball in Hand Scotland v Wales 1971 Wales v Scotland 2010 Forwards 75 156 Scrum Half 93 163 Outside Half 57 98 Back 5 96 165 Total 321 582 Ball in hand = more passes & more contact Result = A different physical shape of player PHIL BENNETT 72kg & GEORGE NORTH 104kg Average Size of Players COUNTRY Average weight - kg WALES 106kg NEW ZEALAND 106kg SOUTH AFRICA 106kg SCOTLAND 104kg IRELAND 103kg ENGLAND 103kg ARGENTINA 103kg AUSTRALIA 103kg FRANCE 102kg ITALY 102kg Size of Players – Changes WALES Backs Forwards 1960 76kg 92kg 2013 99kg 113kg Difference Per player 23k 21kg Size of Players – Wales Backs WALES Average weight kg no 11 104kg no 12 110kg no 13 103kg no 14 104kg Size of Players – Team comparison WALES AUSTRALIA LEINSTER no 11 104kg 95kg 92kg no 12 110kg 87kg 93kg no 13 103kg 98kg 95kg no 14 104kg 88kg 88kg THE SHAPE OF PLAYERS HAS COMPLETELY CHANGED MOVED FROM GAME FOR ALL SHAPES & SIZES TO ALL PLAYERS NEED TO BE PHYSICALLY STRONG BACKS AND FORWARDS ALMOST INTERCHANGEABLE Summary of Changes in 40 years Less Set pieces = Less players tied together = less space on the pitch More open play events = Defensive players outnumber attacking players = scoring opportunities are fewer Try Scoring Less Space = Less Tries The average number of tries in 6 Nations 2013 was 2.5 The lowest in the history of 6 Nations Try Scoring Total tries scored in 6 Nations In 2013 50% fewer tries than 10 years ago Try Scoring In 2012 and 2013 – 82 tries scored In 2002 and 2003 – 150 tries scored 38 more tries scored in 2003 than in 2013 Try Scoring England years 2001 and 2002 2012 and 2013 Matches won Matches lost TRIES SCORED 8 8 2 2 52 12 Most tries scored by any team in last 2 years was 19 2012 6 Nations - Scrum Scrum Scrum RWC 1987 RWC 1991 RWC 1995 RWC 1999 RWC 2003 RWC 2007 RWC 2011 33 31 25 20 23 18 14 12 18 16 20 23 43 45 18 30 33 32 26 37 27 4 8 7 11 13 13 27 BALL OUT Per game 32 29 23 18 20 16 10 6 N 2013 14 59 30 51 7 SCRUMS Average Rate of Rate of Rate of SCRUMS COLLAPSE RESET PENS/FKS Scrum 6 NATIONS 2013 Average Scrums per Match 14 Average Collapses per Match 9 Average Resets per Match 4 Average Penalties/FKs per Match 7 Average Ball Out per Match 7 The ball came out of only 49% of scrums Scrum Collapses per 100 scrums Resets per 100 scrums Pens/FKs per 100 scrums 2013 6 Nations 59 30 51 2012 6 Nations 49 33 39 2011 6 Nations 53 30 44 Scrum problems are greatest RWC 2011 (T1 v T1) 50 31 when Tier 1 play Tier 1 41 RWC 2011 POOL MATCHES Collapses per 100 scrums Resets per 100 scrums Pens/FKs per 100 scrums Tier 1 v Tier 1 50 31 41 Tier 1 v Tier 2 34 17 29 Tier 2 v Tier 2 19 9 17 Scrum Average No. of Times the Ball came out of Scrum RWC 2011 POOL MATCHES Tier 1 v Tier 1 Tier 1 v Tier 2 Tier 2 v Tier 2 6 Nations 2013 No of times ball back into play – average no of times per game 8 times per game 12 times per game 18 times per game 7 times per game Scrum 6 Nations 2013 WALES ENGLAND SCOTLAND IRELAND ITALY FRANCE TOTAL Scrums 70 69 69 68 79 79 Pen/fk 44 36 35 33 34 40 Ball out 26 33 34 35 45 39 Own ball out 13 13 15 18 21 26 IN 5 MATCHES!!!!! Scrum From Sept 2013, Crouch Bind Set was introduced During November window there were clear signs of improvement THIS MUST CONTINUE Tier 1 v Tier 1 Scrums – Rate of Ball Out Improvement Increased rate of ball out Avg. Nov 2013 Avg. 6N 2013 November Tier 1 v Tier 1 Scrums – Rate of Collapse Improvement Decreased rate of collapses Avg. 6N 2013 Avg. Nov 2013 November Scrum Summary – November Tests Overall, the rate of scrum ball out was 58 every 100 scrums but rate increased to 65 in week 2/3 Overall, the rate of scrum collapses was 44 every 100 scrums but rate decreased to 38 in week 2 6 Nations 2014 Coaches Meeting Scrum Coaches, Players & Referees have a HUGE CHALLENGE to change the image of the scrum for the Northern Hemisphere 6 Nations 2014 Coaches Meeting Stat Attack over! Some questions to consider Questions How much time is spent coaching Open play skills? Attack? Defence? Set Piece? Set plays? Individual skills? Which are the most important? Questions Are forwards as comfortable in possession as backs? Do you agree forwards and backs are interchangeable? How important is size & strength in the modern day player? If yes, why is it important? Questions How important is the scrum? Is it used as a way to restart the match or has it become a method to obtain penalties? How do have you found the new scrum sequence?