Respiratory Effectiveness Group: Steering Committee Meeting The Arch Hotel, London 15 February, 2013 (8.30–16.00, The Martini Library) Meeting Objective • Devise an action plan! o Ideas: What are we going to do? o Details: How are we going to do it? o Priorities: When are we going to do it? o Collaborations: Who’s going to do it? o Funding: How can we make sure we can afford it? Morning Agenda: 8.30–11:40 • 8:30–9:00: • 9:00–10:20: o Jon: 9:00–9:20 o Jerry: 9:20–9:40 o Richard: 9:40–10:00 o Leif: 10:00–10:20: • 10:20–10:40 o Andrew: 10:40–11:00 o Gary: 11:00–11:20 o Marc: 11:20–11:40 • 11:40–12:30 Introductions & Updates (David / Alison) Sharing Research interests Comparative effectiveness Research: an overview from the US Analytic hierarchy to define priorities for effectiveness/implementation research The RO1 NIH submission / COPD gene group – potential collaborations Real-life effectiveness of different treatment modalities of asthma or COPD in patients with significant co-morbidities BREAK e-Health in COPD and asthma: tracking exacerbations, guideline dissemination and physician education The fallacy of asthma guidelines: Discrepancy between science and practice The Respiratory Effectiveness Group in COPD LUNCH Afternoon Agenda: 12.30–16.00 • 12.30–14.30: Brainstorming how to turn the ideas into reality • 14:30–14:45 BREAK • 14.45–15.30 Consolidating ideas and setting priorities • 15.30–16.00 Other business • Future meetings • Engaging the wider group • Securing sponsorship • 16:00 MEETING CLOSE Introductions • Steering Committee o David Price o Jon Campbell o Richard Martin o Jerry Krishnan o Andrew McIvor o Leif Bjermer o Marc Miravitlles o Gary Wong • Implementation Manager: Alison Chisholm • Absent Committee Members: Christian Virchow; Guy Brusselle; Nicolas Roche; Alberto Papi; Nikos Papadopoulos; Stephen Holgate, Elliot Israel Welcome and update Evolving landscape: David Price What have we achieved so far: Alison Chisholm Studies underway already: David Price 8:30–9.00 Evolving landscape: timeline 2008 • Brussels Declaration on Asthma: stated a need to include evidence from real world studies in treatment guidelines • Michael Rawlins (NICE Chairman): RCTs should be complemented by a diversity of approaches that involve analysing the totality of the evidence base 2009 ATS/ERS Large, prospective studies in ʻrealworldʼ settings (e.g., trials designed pragmatically to reflect everyday clinical practice) to ensure they provide content validity as well as reflect clinically meaningful outcomes 2010 ARIA / GA2LEN Proposed the use of composite measures when evaluating asthma control and called for the measurement properties to be validated in clinical trials 2011 NHLBI expert workshop Highlighted areas that need strengthening in order to optimize the potential of reallife/comparative effectiveness (CER) research in pulmonary diseases, sleep, and critical care. 2012 REG was founded! Drivers for change: EU perspective • Clinical drivers: o On-going need to improve patient outcomes o Evidence-based decisions require representative data • Budget pressures increasing the need to demonstrate: o Affordability of therapies o Value of therapies • Pharma o Bringing products to market is only the first step – Licensing ≠ approved – Licensing ≠ reimbursement – Licensing ≠ usage o Increasing need to invest in demonstrating the value proposition for new and existing products Clinical drivers: representative data Population • • • • Reversibility Severity Age / sex mix Attitude to disease • • • Smoke exposure Concomitant disease Individual variation in response Efficacy x “real-life” population of patients Effectivenes s Clinical drivers: representative data Criteria for selecting asthma patients to a clinical trial: o o o o o o o Lung function 50–80% predicted Bronchodilator reversibility No co-morbidities Non smokers or ex-smokers <10 pack years Good treatment compliance Symptomatic and regular relief medication use Good inhaler technique Travers et al. Thorax 2007 Norwegian study of asthma patients to identify who would be eligible for standard clinical trials 1.2% Patient population Herland K, et al. Respir Med. 2005;99:11-9 Clinical drivers: representative data Does it matter if we exclude patients with: o Lesser reversibility than 20% o Active rhinitis o Smokers o Lower adherence o Poor inhaler technique AND o Design the study not like real-life? o Study only lasts 3 months? Clinical drivers: representative data Evidence Theoretical Theoretical model provide rationale Classical doubleblind doubledummy RCTs Gold standard, large range of outcomes. But not “reallife” patients, compliance and represent <10% of patients Pragmatic trials Observational Data More real-life Broader inclusion criteria Allow normal factors to occur usually randomised. Simple outcomes, but still consent & rigorous Real-life patients Not randomised Routine data Normal decisions Difficult to ensure group comparability Matching of case controls, adjustment Real-life studies Evidence base: hierarchy—continuum Contemporary TraditionalView View Evidence continuum – complementary study designs RCTs RCTs Pragmatic Observational trials studies Pragmatic studies Experiment, observation, mathematics, individually and collectively, have a crucial role in providing the evidential basis for modern therapeutics. Arguments about the importance of Observational each are an unnecessary distraction. Hierarchies of evidence studies should be replaced by accepting – indeed embracing – a diversity of approaches. Sir Michael Rawlins, Head of NICE, Lancet 2008 Commercial drivers… • Testing What We Think We Know. New York Times August 19, 2012 “The truth is that for a large part of medical practice, we don’t know what works. But we pay for it anyway.” H. Gilbert Welch, MD,Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth Commercial drivers… • Drugs must be shown to: o Be safe o Be efficacious o Address an unmet clinical need But also to be: o Cost-effective o Affordable o …“value propositions” Development of guidelines Interventional studies (RCT): Efficacy Observational studies (pharmacoepidemiology): Safety Safety Costeffectiveness Effectiveness Effectiveness The future of drug research • Multiple rich heterogeneous and intricately constructed ‘real world’ data sets of Electronic Medical Records and Transactional Claims databases o Surveillance approaches are now being innovatively applied to such data o Several international initiatives and partnerships doing essential foundational work in the field o Challenging how to determine how to best utilise this wealth of data, and how to best incorporate such analyses into overall safety strategies • Analysis of real world data is only one potential component of an overall continual assessment of risk benefit However… there are challenges Obstacle Solution? No standard methods or endpoints Carry out validation studies Set standards Enforce minimum planning by offering study registration Concerns around internal validity and confounding of results Match patients Explore different matching methods; set gold standard Cynicism around retrospective data mining Promote and facilitate a priori study registration Limited understanding of how to interpret the data Educate and raise awareness Limited penetration of the data: – to high impact journals – clinical guidelines Address the issues above, and the data will start to talk for itself…? Set up REG an international, collaborative approach