Hypertension: Blood Pressure Measurement and the new NICE guideline Prof Richard McManus BHS Annual Meeting Cambridge 2011 NICE clinical guideline 127 Overview •Blood Pressure Measurement – where are we now? •Implications of measurement modalities on diagnosis •Systematic Review of methods for diagnosing hypertension •Cost effectiveness modelling •Guideline recommendations •Issues and conclusions BP Measurement Routine measurement is often flawed Dotplot of Last_practice_systolic Dotplot of systolic 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 Last_practice_systolic 170 180 190 200 Each symbol represents up to 4 observations. Same population with routine and research measurement 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 systolic Each symbol represents up to 12 observations. Blood Pressure varies through the day and between seasons Hypertension. 2006;47:155-161 Even on a single occasion BP drops Interval Plot of systolic vs occasion •24 practices 144 142 140 systolic •Approx 1500 patients 95% CI for the Mean 146 138 136 134 132 •6 readings at 1min intervals •Stable after reading 5th 1 2 3 4 5 6 occasion Interval Plot of diastolic vs occasions 95% CI for the Mean 83 82 81 diastolic •12 mmHg systolic drop 130 80 79 78 77 1 2 3 4 occasions 5 6 Family Practice 1997; 14:130-135 BP takes some time to settle with repeated measurement over weeks/months Causes of erroneous measurement BMJ 2001;322;908-911 BP measurement and diagnosis BP measurement and diagnosis •Out of office measures: • better estimation of “usual blood pressure” • better correlated with prognosis Ambulatory vs clinic for Prognosis •2 pooled plus 11 individual studies •ABPM superior to clinic BP in predicting CVD events •Greater risk per mmHg increase in ABPM vs clinic Hansen J Hyp 2007 Home vs clinic for prognosis •4 studies •2 biggest did not show convincing additional prognostic benefit from home above office • Some evidence from smaller studies of improvement from home (esp DBP) but underpowered •Greater risk per mmHg from home Journal of Hypertension 2004, 22:1099–1104 BP measurement and diagnosis •Out of office measures allow better estimation of “usual blood pressure” •Better correlated with prognosis •Detection of White Coat (and masked) HT Detection of white coat and masked HT requires out of office measurement BP measurement and diagnosis •Out of office measures allow better estimation of “usual blood pressure” •Better correlated with prognosis •Detection of White Coat (and masked) HT •ABPM de facto gold standard for most clinicians • What you do when there is uncertainty How do clinic and out of office measurements compare? •Reviewed literature: 2914 studies of which 20 were relevant •7 compared ABPM with clinic monitoring for diagnosis •3 compared HBPM with clinic monitoring for diagnosis •Full details: BMJ 2011;342:d3621 doi: 10.1136/bmj.d3621 Many people currently potentially misdiagnosed... Worse if only studies around diagnostic threshold used: sensitivity of 86% and specificity of 46% What about Home Monitoring? Relative sensitivity and specificity of clinic and home measurement vs ABPM What threshold ABPM ? Based on Head et al BMJ 2010 •adjust by 5/5 mmHg at lower threshold (stage 1 hypertension, 140/90 mmHg clinic) • ie < 135/85 mm Hg •10/5 mmHg at higher threshold (stage 2 hypertension, 160/100 mmHg clinic) • Ie < 150/95 mmHg International Thresholds for hypertension diagnosis (Mean daytime BP) How many Home measurements? Conclusion = at least 4 days monitoring and discard 1st What about costs? Is Out of Office Diagnosis cost effective? •Modelling to evaluate the most cost-effective method of confirming a diagnosis of hypertension in a population suspected of having hypertension •ABPM vs Home vs clinic •Further details Lovibond et al, Lancet 2011 Markov Model •Health and personal social services perspective •Lifetime horizon •Assume all have raised clinic screening •People aged 40 and over Markov Model •Costs from published sources and NHS •Test performance from systematic review •Risk calculated using Framingham equation Results •ABPM most cost effective for every age group Results •ABPM most cost effective for every age group •Robust to wide range of sensitivity analyses Results – sensitivity analysis Results •ABPM most cost effective for every age group •Robust to wide range of sensitivity analyses •Sensitive to • Assumption of equal test performance • Assumption of no effect of Rx below 140/90 mmHg HOW DOES THIS TRANSLATE TO RECOMMENDATIONS? Diagnosing hypertension (1) If the clinic blood pressure is 140/90 mmHg or higher, offer ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) to confirm the diagnosis of hypertension Diagnosing hypertension (2) When using the following to confirm diagnosis ensure: ABPM: – two measurements per hour during the person’s usual waking hours (Day time mean) HBPM: – two consecutive seated measurements, at least 1 minute apart – blood pressure is recorded twice a day and for at least 4 days – measurements on the first day are discarded – average value of all remaining is used CBPM ≥140/90 mmHg & ABPM/HBPM ≥ 135/85 mmHg CBPM ≥160/100 mmHg & ABPM/HBPM ≥ 150/95 mmHg Stage 1 hypertension Stage 2 hypertension If target organ damage present or 10-year cardiovascular risk > 20% If younger than 40 years Care Pathway Offer antihypertensive drug treatment Consider specialist referral Offer lifestyle interventions Offer patient education and interventions to support adherence to treatment Offer annual review of care to monitor blood pressure, provide support and discuss lifestyle, symptoms and medication ABPM issues •Won’t upfront costs be very expensive? •Will my (specialist) service be over run? •ABPM vs home choice Conclusions •Diagnosis of Hypertension is changing •Implementation challenging but benefits can be realised in terms of better targeting of treatment and reduced costs Hypertension: Blood Pressure Measurement and the new NICE guideline Prof Richard McManus BHS Annual Meeting Cambridge 2011 NICE clinical guideline 127