Myocardial Viability and Survival in Ischemic Left Ventricular Dysfunction Robert O. Bonow, MD April 4, 2011 On behalf of the STICH Trial Investigators STICH Financial Disclosures Original Recipient Institution Principal Investigator Duke University Medical Center Robert H. Jones Clinical Coordinating Ctr Duke University Medical Center Kerry L. Lee Statistical and Data CC Duke University Medical Center Daniel B. Mark EQOL Core Laboratory Univ of Alabama-Birmingham Gerald M. Pohost CMR Core Laboratory Mayo Clinic Jae K. Oh ECHO Core Laboratory University of Pittsburgh Arthur M. Feldman NCG Core Laboratory Northwestern University Robert O. Bonow RN Core Laboratory Washington Hospital Center Julio A. Panza DECIPHER Substudy Baylor University Medical Ctr Paul Grayburn MR TEE Substudy Funding Sources: National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute 98% Abbott Laboratories 2% Activity Background • LV dysfunction in patients with CAD is not always an irreversible process, as LV function may improve substantially after CABG • Assessment of myocardial viability is often used to predict improvement in LV function after CABG and thus select patients for CABG • Numerous studies have suggested that identification of viable myocardium also predicts improved survival after CABG Limitations of Cohort Studies • Decision for CABG may have been influenced by viability status • No (or inadequate) adjustment for key baseline variables (age, comorbidities) • Cohort studies carried out before modern aggressive medical therapy STICH Revascularization Hypothesis • The first prospective randomized trial testing the hypothesis that CABG improves survival in patients with ischemic LV dysfunction compared to outcome with aggressive medical therapy • Provides the first opportunity to assess the interaction between myocardial viability and survival in randomized patients who were all eligible for medical management alone and eligible for CABG. STICH Revascularization Hypothesis Hypothesis of viability testing: In patients with CAD and LV dysfunction, assessment of myocardial viability will identify those patients who will have the greatest survival benefit from adding CABG to aggressive medical therapy STICH Revascularization Hypothesis Viability testing: • All randomized patients were eligible for viability testing with SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging or dobutamine echo. • Viability testing was optional at enrolling sites using established SPECT and DE viability protocols. STICH Revascularization Hypothesis SPECT protocols: Thallium-201 stress-redistribution-reinjection Thallium-201 rest-redistribution Nitrate-enhanced Tc-99m perfusion imaging Dobutamine echo protocols: Staged increase in dobutamine starting at 5 μg/kg/min Prespecified definition of viability: SPECT: 17 segment model; ≥11 segments manifesting viability based on relative tracer activity DE: 16 segment model; ≥5 segments with dysfunction at rest manifesting contractile reserve with dobutamine STICH Revascularization Hypothesis Primary endpoint: ▪ All-cause mortality Secondary endpoints: ▪ Mortality plus cardiovascular hospitalization ▪ Cardiovascular mortality Intention-to-treat analysis Patients randomized in STICH Revascularization Hypothesis 1212 Patients with myocardial viability test 618 611 Patients with no usable myocardial viability test Unusable test • Timing • Poor quality 17 Patients with usable myocardial viability test 594 Patients with no myocardial viability test 601 Patients randomized in STICH Revascularization Hypothesis 1212 SPECT n=471 Dobutamine echo n=280 321 150 130 611 Patients with usable myocardial viability test 601 114 487 Viable Nonviable Patients with no usable myocardial viability test Baseline Characteristics Patients With and Without Myocardial Viability Variable Viable (n=487) Non-Viable (n=114) P value Age 61 ± 10 61 ± 9 NS Multivessel CAD 73% 73% NS Proximal LAD stenosis 64% 70% NS Risk score * 12.4 ± 8.7 12.9 ± 9.3 NS Previous MI 76.6% 94.7% <0.001 LV ejection fraction (percent) 28 ± 8 23 ± 9 <0.001 LV end-diastolic volume index (ml/m2) 117 ± 37 147 ± 53 <0.001 LV end-systolic volume index (ml/m2) 86 ± 33 116 ± 50 <0.001 * Significant covariates in risk model: Age, renal function, heart failure, ejection fraction, CAD index, mitral regurgitation, stroke Baseline Characteristics Patients With and Without Myocardial Viability LVEF Previous MI 100 p<0.001 50 p<0.001 200 60 40 20 40 Ejection Fraction (%) Percent 80 30 20 10 LV Volume Index (ml / m2) 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 With myocardial viability Without myocardial viability 0 LVEDVI LVESVI p<0.001 p<0.001 Myocardial Viability and Mortality 1.0 Without viability Variables associated with mortality With viability Mortality Rate 0.8 HR 0.64 95% CI P 0.48,0.86 0.003 0.6 Risk score LV ejection fraction LV EDVI LV ESVI Myocardial viability Chi-square p 33.26 24.80 35.36 33.90 8.54 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.003 0.4 0.2 0.0 Without viability With viability 0 1 114 487 99 432 2 3 4 Years from Randomization 85 409 80 371 63 294 5 6 36 188 16 102 Myocardial Viability and Mortality Variable No. Univariate Chi-square p value Multivariable Chi-square p value SPECT and/or DE 601 8.54 0.003 1.57 0.210 SPECT alone 471 7.35 0.007 0.58 0.444 DE alone 280 1.18 0.277 0.42 0.518 Myocardial Viability and Cardiovascular Mortality 1.0 Without viability Cardiovascular Mortality Rate With viability Univariate 0.8 HR 0.61 95% CI P 0.44,0.84 0.003 Chi-square p value 8.81 0.003 Multivariable Chi-square p value 0.91 0.339 5 6 36 188 16 102 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Without viability With viability 0 1 114 487 99 432 2 3 4 Years from Randomization 85 409 80 371 63 294 Myocardial Viability and Mortality + CV Hospitalization Mortality and CV Hospitalization Rate 1.0 Without viability With viability 0.8 HR 0.59 95% CI P 0.47,0.44 <0.001 0.6 0.4 Univariate Multivariable HR 95% CI P Chi-square p value Chi-square<0.001 p value 0.59 0.47,0.44 0.2 20.27 <0.001 8.60 0.003 5 6 14 94 5 41 0.0 Without viability With viability 0 1 114 487 56 327 2 3 4 Years from Randomization 41 284 34 238 22 166 Patients with viability tests 601 Patients with myocardial viability 487 Patients without myocardial viability 114 243 244 60 54 MED 49.9% CABG 50.1% MED 52.6% CABG 47.4% Baseline Characteristics Viable (n=487) Non-Viable (n=114) Variable MED (n=243) CABG Variable P value (n=244) MED (n=60) CABG (n=54) P value Age 60 ± 10 62 ± Age 9 62 ± 9 60 ± 9 NS NS Gender (% male) 84% 86%Gender (% NS male) 92% 93% NS Previous MI 78% 75%Previous MINS 93% 96% NS Multivessel CAD 72% 73%MultivesselNS CAD 68% 78% NS Proximal LAD 65% 63%Proximal LAD NS 70% 70% NS 13.7 ± 9.8 12.9 ± 9.3 NS Risk score * 11.9 ± 8.4 12.8 ± Risk 903 score NS * LV EF (percent) 28 ± 8 27± LV 8 EF (percent) NS 23 ± 9 23 ± 9 NS LV EDVI (ml/m2) 118 ± 38 116 ±LV 35 EDVI (ml/m NS 2) 151 ± 51 140 ± 54 NS LV ESVI (ml/m2) 86 ± 34 86 ±LV 32ESVI (ml/m NS 2) 121 ± 50 111 ± 51 NS * Significant covariates in risk model: Age, renal function, heart failure, ejection fraction, CAD index, MR, stroke Myocardial Viability and Mortality Without Viability 1.0 Mortality Rate 0.8 With Viability MED (33 deaths) MED (95 deaths) CABG (25 deaths) CABG (83 deaths) 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Years from Randomization MED 60 51 44 39 29 CABG 54 48 41 41 34 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 Years from Randomization 6 14 4 243 219 206 179 146 94 51 22 12 244 213 203 192 148 94 51 Myocardial Viability and Mortality Without Viability 1.0 Mortality Rate 0.8 With Viability MED (33 deaths) MED (95 deaths) CABG (25 deaths) CABG (83 deaths) 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 Years from Randomization 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 Years from Randomization Subgroup N Deaths HR 95% CI Interaction P value Without viability 114 58 0.70 0.41, 1.18 0.528 With viability 487 178 0.86 0.64, 1.16 0.25 0.5 CABG better 1 2 MED better 6 Interaction of Viability and Treatment on CV Outcomes Endpoint Mortality Mortality or CV hospitalization CV mortality Events Treatment 236 422 187 p value As randomized 0.528 As treated 0.962 As randomized 0.390 As treated 0.975 As randomized 0.697 As treated 0.261 Limitations • Lack of viability data on all patients; patients represent a subpopulation of STICH • Analysis limited to SPECT and DE, not PET or cardiac MRI • Fundamental differences in viability information provided by SPECT and DE, and differences in analytic methods between the two methods STICH Revascularization Hypothesis • STICH represents the largest report to date relating myocardial viability to clinical outcomes of patients with CAD and LV dysfunction • … and is the first to assess these relationships prospectively among patients who were all eligible for CABG as well as optimal medical management alone STICH Revascularization Hypothesis STICH results: …demonstrate a significant association between myocardial viability and outcome, but this association is rendered non-significant when subjected to a multivariable analysis that includes other prognostic variables. …fail to demonstrate a significant interaction between myocardial viability and medical versus surgical treatment with respect to mortality, whether assessed according to treatment assigned (intention to treat) or to the treatment actually received. STICH Revascularization Hypothesis Implications of STICH: In patients with CAD and LV dysfunction, assessment of myocardial viability does not identify patients who will have the greatest survival benefit from adding CABG to aggressive medical therapy Full report available at www.NEJM.org