Developing the UK Biodiversity Indicators James Williams Indicators & Reporting Manager, Joint Nature Conservation Committee, Monkstone House, City Road, Peterborough, PE1 1JY. United Kingdom. James.Williams@jncc.gov.uk +44 (0)1733 86 68 68 www.jncc.gov.uk/biyp June 2013 Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011-2020 Framework for all Conventions and stakeholders. Vision: Living in harmony with nature. By 2050, biodiversity is valued, conserved, restored and wisely used, maintaining ecosystem services, sustaining a healthy planet and delivering benefits essential for all people.” Mission Take effective and urgent action to halt the loss of biodiversity in order to ensure that by 2020 ecosystems are resilient and continue to provide essential services, thereby securing the planet’s variety of life, and contributing to human well-being, and poverty eradication 20 Aichi Biodiversity Targets under 5 Strategic Goals http://www.cbd.int/sp/targets/ Strategic Plan Goals & Targets A mainstreaming Targets on: awareness, values/accounting, incentives, mainstreaming sustainable use B pressures Targets on: habitat loss, fisheries, sustainable land use, pollution, invasive aliens, climate change impacts C safeguarding Targets on: protected areas, threatened species, domesticated species and wild relatives D benefits Targets on: ecosystem services, restoration, access to genetic resources E knowledge and capacity Targets on: NBSAPs, local communities, science base, resources http://www.cbd.int/sp/targets/ UK indicators post-2010 • 2010/11: UK biodiversity indicators reviewed – gap analysis & data quality check – all of the indicators can be re-used, albeit with some requiring modification – some new indicators will need to be developed to fill gaps • 2012: new framework implemented – interim set of 24 indicators (35 measures) published May 2012 – assigned existing indicators to specific goals and targets – some may be relevant to multiple targets / goals – work begun to adjust the UK biodiversity indicator suite, and to create new indicators to fill the gaps identified in the review The Strategic Plan and the UK biodiversity indicators • Each indicator is assigned to a Strategic Goal – e.g. indicators with the prefix ‘A’ are considered to be of most direct relevance to Goal A. • Each indicator is mapped against target(s) as ‘primary indicator(s)’, or as ‘other relevant indicator(s)’. – e.g. Target 4 is represented by 3 ‘primary indicators’ (A3, A4, B3), and 3 ‘other relevant indicators’ (B1, B2, D1) – ‘Primary indicators’ are most closely linked to a target – ‘Other relevant indicators’ have less strong links but still relevant • Indicators may also be of relevance to targets within other goals – e.g. Indicator E2 is a ‘primary indicator’ for Target 20 in Goal E, but is also an ‘other relevant indicator’ for Targets 2 and 3 in Goal A. Strategic Goal A mainstreaming Targets on: awareness, values/accounting, incentives, mainstreaming sustainable use Under development A1: Awareness, understanding & support A3: Value of biodiversity integrated into decision making A2: Conservation volunteering A4: Global impact Strategic Goal B pressures Targets on: habitat loss, fisheries, sustainable land use, pollution, invasive aliens, climate change B5a: Air pollution B2 Sustainable fisheries B5b: Marine pollution Under development B1a:Agri-environment Schemes B4: Spring Index B3: Integration of biodiversity into business activity B4: Climate change adaptation B1b: Sustainable forestry B6: Invasive species B7: Water quality Strategic Goal C safeguarding Targets on: protected areas, threatened species, domesticated species and wild relatives C9: Animal genetic resources C6: Butterflies C1: Protected sites C8: Bats Under development C2: Habitat connectivity C3: Threatened habitats C4: Threatened species C7: Plants C5: Birds C9: Plant genetic resources Strategic Goal D benefits Targets on: ecosystem services, restoration, access to genetic resources Under development D2: Ecosystem Services D1: Marine fish size classes Strategic Goal E knowledge and capacity Targets on: NBSAPs, local communities, science base, resources E2a: Expenditure on UK biodiversity E2b: Expenditure on international biodiversity Under development E1: Biodiversity data for decision making Mapping the UK biodiversity indicators to the Aichi Targets • Comparison of UK indicators with global-level indicators developed by the CBD demonstrates a fairly good fit. • At present, no indicators have been identified for Targets 16, 17 and 18. – Target 16 is about the Nagoya protocol on access and benefits sharing – it would be premature to develop an indicator until how this is going to work is resolved – Target 17 is about National Biodiversity Strategy and Action P;lan (NBSAP) – effectively this is a yes/no response at a national level, so is suitable for a global indicator, but not a national one – Target 18 is about indigenous communities – less relevant for UK Using the UK indicators • UK biodiversity indicators anticipated to form a major part of the UK’s 5th CBD national report • Need to analyse progress for each Aichi target – Likely to need to integrate messages from different indicators – Other data sources and information also likely to be necessary • Some parts of some targets may not be covered UK Biodiversity Indicators – governance & implementation Statutory and Non Governmental Organisations, Academia Four Decisions Countries Group Defra, Devolved Administrations, JNCC Defra, Devolved Administrations, Country Agencies, JNCC, NGOs Advice UK Biodiversity Indicators SG Decisions Advice Project Group Defra, JNCC Choosing Indicators Each indicator should have the following characteristics: • Policy relevant and meaningful • Biodiversity relevant • Scientifically sound and methodologically well founded • Show progress towards the 2020 targets • Easy to understand • Based on affordable monitoring, available and routinely collected data • Amenable to modelling of cause-effect relationships • Good spatial and temporal coverage of data • Applicable at a national scale • Aggregation possible at a range of scales • Sensitive to change The set as a whole should be: • Representative • Limited in number Questions? CBD 5th National Report Reports due to be submitted end March 2014 • Part I – An update on biodiversity status, trends, and threats and implications for human well-being o Key information: State of biodiversity reports (e.g. birds, butterflies, …) • Part II – The National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan (NBSAP), its implementation, and the mainstreaming of biodiversity http://www.cbd.int/nr5/ o Key information: Biodiversity and Environment Strategies. http://www.cbd.int/nr5/ 5th National Report • Part III – Progress towards the 2015 and 2020 Aichi Biodiversity Targets and contributions to the relevant 2015 Targets of the Millennium Development Goals o Key information: biodiversity indicators + Appendices on thematic Programmes of Work & cross-cutting issues o Yet to decide what to include http://www.cbd.int/nr5/ Individual indicators can contribute to the assessment of multiple targets (or goals) Flexible framework; do not need to have the same indicator at each scale Regional Targets (e.g. EU) Target 1 Target 2 Goal Target 3 Headline indicator Headline indicator Headline indicator Headline indicator Global indicator Global indicator Global indicator Global indicator Regional indicator Global indicator Regional indicator Global indicator Regional indicator National indicator Regional indicator National indicator National indicator National indicator National indicator National indicator etc etc etc etc National targets Framework from AHTEG What do dowe do What do we about biodiversity loss? biodiversity loss? about Responses Indicators related to all Strategic Goals Why are weWhy losingare biodiversity? we losing biodiversity? Pressures and underlying causes Indicators broadly related to Strategic Goals A and B Benefits State Indicators broadly related to Strategic Goal D Indicators broadly related to Strategic Goal C What areare thetheimplications What implications of biodiversity loss? of biodiversity loss? How is the status of How is the status of biodiversity biodiversity changing? changing? Strategic Goal A Address the underlying causes of biodiversity loss by mainstreaming biodiversity across government and society Target 1. By 2020, at the latest, people are aware of the values of biodiversity and the steps they can take to conserve and use it sustainably. Target 2: By 2020, at the latest, the biodiversity values have been integrated into national and local development and poverty reduction strategies and planning processes and are being incorporated into national accounting, as appropriate, and reporting systems. Target 3: By 2020, at the latest, incentives, including subsidies, harmful to biodiversity are eliminated, phased out or reformed in order to minimize or avoid negative impacts, and positive incentives for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity are developed and applied, consistent and in harmony with the Convention and other relevant international obligations , taking into account national socio-economic conditions. Target 4: By 2020, at the latest, Governments, business and stakeholders at all levels have taken steps to achieve or have implemented plans for sustainable production and consumption and have kept the impacts of use of natural resources well within safe ecological limits. Strategic Goal B Reduce the direct pressures on biodiversity and promote sustainable use Target 5: By 2020, the rate of loss and degradation, and fragmentation, of natural habitats, including forests, is at least halved and where feasible brought close to zero, and degradation and fragmentation is significantly reduced. Target 6: By 2020, all fish and invertebrate stocks and aquatic plants are managed and harvested sustainably, legally and applying ecosystem based approaches, so that overfishing is avoided, recovery plans and measures are in place for all depleted species, fisheries have no significant adverse impact on threatened species and vulnerable ecosystems and the impacts of fisheries on stocks, species and ecosystems are within safe ecological limits. Target 7: By 2020 areas under agriculture, aquaculture and forestry are managed sustainably, ensuring conservation of biodiversity. Target 8: By 2020, pollution, including from excess nutrients, has been brought to levels that are not detrimental to ecosystem function and biodiversity. Target 9: By 2020, invasive alien species and pathways are identified and prioritized, priority species are controlled or eradicated and measures are in place to manage pathways to prevent their introduction and establishment of invasive alien species. Target 10: By 2015, the multiple anthropogenic pressures on coral reefs, and other vulnerable ecosystems impacted by climate change or ocean acidification are minimized, so as to maintain their integrity and functioning. Strategic Goal C To improve the status of biodiversity by safeguarding ecosystems, species and genetic diversity Target 11: By 2020, at least 17% of terrestrial and inland water and 10% of coastal and marine areas, especially areas of particular importance for biodiversity and ecosystem services, are conserved through effectively and equitably managed, ecologically representative and well-connected systems of protected areas and other effective area-based conservation measures, and integrated into the wider landscape and seascape. Target 12: By 2020, the extinction of known threatened species has been prevented and their conservation status, particularly of those most in decline, has been improved and sustained. Target 13: By 2020, the genetic diversity of cultivated plants and farmed and domesticated animals and wild relatives, including other socio-economically as well as culturally valuable species is maintained, and strategies have been developed and implemented for minimizing genetic erosion and safeguarding their genetic diversity. Strategic Goal D Enhance the benefits to all from biodiversity and ecosystems Target 14: By 2020, ecosystems that provide essential services, including services related to water, and contribute to health, livelihoods and well-being, are restored and safeguarded, , taking into account the needs of women, indigenous and local communities and the poor and vulnerable. Target 15: By 2020, ecosystem resilience and the contribution of biodiversity to carbon stocks has been enhanced, through conservation and restoration, including restoration of at least 15% of degraded ecosystems, thereby contributing to climate change mitigation and adaptation and to combating desertification. Target 16: By 2015, the Nagoya Protocol on Access to Genetic resources and the Fair and Equitable Sharing of Benefits Arising from their Utilization is in force and operational, consistent with national legislation. Strategic Goal E Enhance implementation through participatory planning, knowledge management and capacity building Target 17: By 2015, each Party has developed, adopted as a policy instrument, and has commenced implemented, an effective, participatory and updated national biodiversity strategy and action plan. Target 18: By 2020, the traditional knowledge, innovations and practices of indigenous and local communities that are relevant for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity and their customary use of biological resources, are respected, subject to national legislation and relevant international obligations, and fully integrated and reflected in the in the implementation of the Convention with the full and effective participation of indigenous and local communities, at all relevant levels. Target 19: By 2020, knowledge, the science base and technologies relating to biodiversity, its values, functioning, status and trends, and the consequences of its loss, are improved, widely shared and transferred, and applied. Target 20: By 2020, at the latest, the mobilisation of financial resources for effectively implementing the Strategic Plan 2011-2020 from all sources and in accordance with the consolidated and agreed process in the Strategy for Resource Mobilisation should increase substantially from the current levels. Choosing Indicators (1) 1. Policy relevant and meaningful: Each indicator should be policy relevant. It should send a clear message at a level appropriate for policy and management decision making. It should be meaningful on a regional level. 2. Biodiversity relevant: Each indicator should be relevant for biodiversity. 3. Scientifically sound and methodologically well founded: A clear description of the methodology used should be available as the indicator may be used in other indicator initiatives also. 4. Progress towards target: Each indicator should show progress towards the 2020 targets. 5. Broad acceptance and understandability: Each indicator should be easy to understand and to document. Choosing Indicators (2) 6. Affordable monitoring, available and routinely collected data: Each indicator should be able to be updated regularly. 7. Affordable modelling: Information on cause-effect relationships should be achievable and quantifiable. 8. Spatial and temporal coverage of data: the data should be consistent in space and cover all or most of [select spatial resolution]. The temporal coverage of data should be as long as possible, and relevant to the timescale for policy making. 9. National scale and representativeness of data: Each indicator should apply to the national and relevant supra-national. 10. Sensitive: Each indicator should be able to detect changes in systems in timeframes and on the scales that are relevant to policy decisions, but also be robust so that measuring errors do not affect their interpretation. Traffic Light Assessments Improving Little or no overall change Deteriorating Insufficient or no comparable data • Two assessment periods for each indicator • Long-term – assessment of change since the earliest date for which data are available o If data do not precede 1996 a long term assessment is not made • Short-term - assessment of change since 2000 • Assessment of trend, not distance to target Indicator number (Strategic Goal / number), title, and measures where applicable A1. Awareness, understanding and support for conservation Long-term change1 Change since 20002 Under development, no interim measure(s) available A2. Taking action for nature: volunteer time spent in conservation A3. Value of biodiversity integrated into decision making A4. Global biodiversity impacts of UK economic activity / sustainable consumption B1. Agricultural and forest area under environmental management schemes B1a. Area of land in agrienvironment schemes B1a(i). Higher-level / targeted schemes B1a(ii). Entrylevel type schemes B1b. Area of forestry land certified as sustainably managed Under development, no interim measure(s) available Under development, no interim measure(s) available 1992–2011 2005 2012 results Indicator number (Strategic Goal / number), title, and measures where applicable C5. Birds of the wider countryside C5a. Farmland birds and at sea B4. Pressure from climate change B5. Pressure from pollution B5a. Air pollution B5a(i). Area affected by acidity B5a(ii). Area affected by nitrogen B5b. Marine pollution C5c. Wetland birds 1975–2010 1990–2010 Under development, no interim measure(s) available Not assessed Not assessed 1996–2007 1960–2008 B6b. Marine invasive species 1960–2008 C1a. Total area of protected sites: on land C1b. Total area of protected sites: at sea C2. Habitat connectivity 1970–2010 C5e. Wintering water birds 1975/6–2009/10 C6. Insects of the wider countryside C6a. Semi-natural habitat (butterflies) specialists C7. Plants of the wider countryside C7a. Change in plant species richness (arable and horticultural land) C7b. Change in plant species richness (woodland and grassland) C7c. Change in plant species richness (boundary habitats) 1976–2011 1976–2011 1998 1990–2007 1998 1990–2007 1998 1990–2007 C8. Mammals of the wider countryside (bats) 1978–1992 1960–2008 1990–2009 C9. Genetic resources for food and C9a. Native sheep breeds agriculture C9b. Native cattle breeds 1980–2011 D1. Biodiversity and ecosystem services (marine – fish size classes in the North Sea) B7. Water quality C1. Protected sites C5d. Seabirds C6b. Species of the wider countryside 1996–2007 B6a. Freshwater invasive species B6c. Terrestrial invasive species 1970–2010 1970–2010 2001 1990–2010 B6. Pressure from invasive species Change since 2000 C5b. Woodland birds B2. Sustainable fisheries B3. Integration of biodiversity considerations into business activity Long-term change D2. Biodiversity and ecosystem services (other) 1980–2011 C1c. Condition of A/SSSIs 2005-6 C2a. Broad-leaved, mixed and yew woodland C2b. Neutral grassland 1998 1998 C3. Status of threatened habitats 1999 C4. Status of threatened species 1999 E1. Biodiversity data for decision making E2. Expenditure on UK and international biodiversity E2a. Expenditure on UK biodiversity E2b. UK Expenditure on international biodiversity 2001 2001 1982–2010 Under development, no interim measure(s) available Under development, no interim measure(s) available