CSDMS C-FRG The State of the Art in Carbonate Numerical Stratigraphic Forward Modelling Peter Burgess Dept. Earth Sciences, Royal Holloway University of London, UK With contributions from Chris Jenkins, Donald Potts, Rick Sarg and Dave Budd CSDMS C-FRG CARBONATE FOCUSED RESEARCH GROUP Group aim: • To identify and address grand challenges for fundamental research on ancient and recent carbonate systems To be achieved by: • Creation of next generation of numerical carbonate process models under the umbrella of the CSDMS initiative • Creation of supporting carbonate systems databases Assuming that: • Open-source numerical models and associated quantitative datasets can be state-of-the-art repositories for our knowledge of how carbonate systems work • Models can be useful experimental tools applied to develop and enhance carbonate knowledge. CSDMS C-FRG CARBONATE FOCUSED RESEARCH GROUP Peter Burgess, (Chair) Royal Holloway University of London Andrew Barnett, BG Group David Budd, University of Colorado Govert Buijs, ConocoPhillips Bob Demicco, Binghamton University Carl Drummond, Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne Evan Franseen, University of Kansas Ned Frost, ConocoPhillips Xavier Janson, University of Texas at Austin Chris Jenkins, University of Colorado Gareth Jones, Chevron Energy Technology Company Albert Kettner, CSDMS, INSTAAR, University of Colorado H. Richard Lane, U.S. National Science Foundation Patrick Lehmann, ExxonMobil Exploration Company Mingliang Liu Auburn, University, School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences William A. Morgan, ConocoPhillips Mohamad Mehdi Nasr Azadani, University of California at Santa Barbara Gene Rankey, University of Kansas Bernhard Riegl, Nova Southeastern University, National Coral Reef Institute Rick Sarg, Colorado School of Mines Fiona Whitaker, University of Bristol Bruce Wilkinson, Syracuse University N=22 CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • C-FRG research plans CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • C-FRG research plans PLATFORM TYPE & FACIES PREDICTION CSDMS C-FRG Tropical (euphotic) Tropical (oligophotic) Cool-water Mud (heterozoan) mound 0 100 • Standard paradigm: carbonate factory type, represented by carbonate production profile , controls platform architecture • Most predictions of facies and sequence strat hinge on this • But is it true? 200 300 400 500 Isolated platform Facies belts Tidal flats & sabkha Rimmed shelf Reefs, patch reefs, rudist shoals etc Non-rimmed shelf Oolitic & biolcastic grainstones Resedimented deep-water grainstone Distally steepened Homoclinal CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • CFG research plans CSDMS C-FRG Purkis et al. ORIGINS OF HETEROGENEITY Wilkinson & Drummond, 2004 Harris & Vlaswinkel, 2008 • Planform heterogeneity observed in modern systems across a wide range of scales • Limited statistical understanding of spatial distributions at different scales • Understanding of the responsible processes is even more limited, especially the link with vertical stacking CSDMS C-FRG ORIGINS OF HETEROGENEITY • Vertical stacking in strata also shows significant heterogeneity • Many carbonates strata exhibit exponential thickness frequency distributions • Which means lots more thin beds than thick beds • What does this mean in terms of depositional processes? Wilkinson et al, 1996, JSR, 66, p.1065-1068 Logged section from Grotzinger, 1986, JSP, 56, 813-847 CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • CFG research plans OTHER ISSUES CSDMS C-FRG • Ocean acidification • Shoreline change on island nations • Reefs, shallow and deep, and their change in response to past and future climate change • Tsunami records CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • CFG research plans CSDMS C-FRG DEPOSITIONAL MODELS: DIONISOS Summary Spatial dimensions: 3D Process dimensions: 1-2D Scale: Whole platform and more Lithologies: Multiple, user-defined linked to production curves Transport is diffusional so ability to make fine-scale heterogeneity is rather limited USP: Large scale, very flexible and often very fast to run Refs: Bassant and Harris, 2008 Williams, 2010, unpublished PhD thesis CSDMS C-FRG DEPOSITIONAL MODELS: CYCLOPATH Summary Spatial dimensions: 3D Process dimensions: 1-2D production, 2D transport Scale : Platform architecture & platform interior Lithology: very basic, water-depth classification only Heterogeneity: some, but limited by poor lithology representation USP: consideration of autocyclic processes, detailed statistical analysis of results Refs: Burgess et al 2001, Burgess, 2001, Barnet et al 2002, Burgess and Wright 2003, Burgess and Emery 2004 Burgess, 2006 CSDMS C-FRG DEPOSITIONAL MODELS: CARB3D+ Summary Spatial dimensions: 3D Process dimensions: 1-2D? Scale: Whole platform Lithologies: Multiple, realistic Heterogeneity – definitely, but mostly externally forced? And possible issues with numerical artefacts? USP: good wave and current model, plus link to diagenetic processes Refs: Peterson et al 2006 Peterson et al 2008 CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • CFG research plans CSDMS C-FRG DIAGENETIC MODELS: CARB 3D+ Primary facies Hydraulic conductivity Porosity Summary Spatial dimensions: 3D Process dimensions: 1-2D? Scale: Whole platform Lithologies: Multiple, realistic Diagenetic model: hybrid parametric Refs: Peterson et al 2006 Peterson et al 2008 DIAGENETIC MODELS: RT MODEL OF SO BEDS CSDMS C-FRG Reaction-transport modeling of bed-scale dolomitization to assess pattern formation using Sym.8 simulator Distance (m) no flux boundary no flux boundary 2m x 18 m with 1200 cells. transport & reactions Grids centered in 30 cm x 10 cm cells Refs: Budd, 2010, pers. comm. Isothermal Flow velocity - from imposed pressure gradient (2nd order PDE) & Darcy equations. Fluid - Mississippian seawater evaporated to near halite saturation, 4x modern atm CO2 more % Dolomite, 0.25 my Dolomite Volume Fraction less Distance (m) Summary Spatial dimensions: 2D Process dimensions: 1-2D? Scale: Small-scale bed stacking Lithologies: Realistic depiction of bed-scale dolomitization CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • CFG research plans CELLULAR AUTOMATA CSDMS C-FRG • Rule-based deterministic models • Each cell evolves through time according to very simple rules based on contents of neighbouring cells • Combine with subsidence, sea-level, sediment production etc to make a model of carbonate accumulation ... Cellular Automata Rules Distance Min Neighbours Max neighbours Min trigger Max trigger 2 4 10 6 10 Lithofacies mosaic on a map of Florida Bay 0 3 1 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 5 2 2 2 2 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 1 4 4 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 0 5 2 5 0 3 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 4 4 1 1 1 1 3 3 6 6 6 3 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 5 5 0 3 0 0 3 3 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 5 2 5 0 0 0 0 4 4 4 3 6 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 0 0 3 3 0 0 3 3 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 5 5 3 3 0 0 0 3 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 6 6 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 0 5 0 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 2 2 0 2 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 0 0 5 5 3 3 0 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 6 0 0 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 0 3 3 3 2 5 0 3 2 3 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 2 5 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 3 2 3 0 6 6 2 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 5 2 2 5 0 3 3 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 5 2 5 5 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 5 0 2 0 2 2 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 5 5 4 4 2 1 1 1 3 3 3 0 0 0 6 0 3 3 0 5 3 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 0 0 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 0 4 4 3 2 1 1 4 4 1 1 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 3 2 2 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 2 0 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 4 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 4 0 3 0 0 3 3 2 3 2 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 1 4 3 0 4 1 2 2 1 3 1 4 4 1 4 4 4 3 1 4 4 4 1 3 3 3 1 3 4 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 5 5 5 2 1 3 3 3 4 3 1 3 2 2 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 3 1 0 4 1 1 4 1 1 3 1 3 1 3 4 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 5 5 2 3 3 1 1 4 4 3 1 3 1 2 3 1 4 4 1 3 3 3 1 0 0 4 4 3 3 4 1 3 1 3 3 4 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 6 3 3 3 3 3 2 5 2 1 1 1 3 3 3 0 4 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 3 0 3 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 4 1 4 1 3 5 2 3 3 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 4 3 3 3 3 3 0 4 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 3 3 3 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 3 3 6 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 1 4 4 4 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 1 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 4 4 0 5 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 0 3 3 2 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 4 6 0 0 3 1 1 3 3 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 5 2 2 0 2 2 3 0 0 0 3 3 2 5 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 3 0 6 6 6 6 0 3 1 1 3 4 3 1 3 0 0 0 3 3 3 1 4 4 0 5 2 2 2 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 3 3 2 2 5 2 5 2 1 1 1 1 4 3 3 3 6 3 3 6 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 3 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 2 0 0 3 3 5 0 0 0 2 2 5 5 5 5 2 2 0 1 4 4 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 0 4 0 3 4 3 4 0 0 5 5 3 2 2 2 0 0 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 5 2 2 2 6 6 6 0 0 0 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 1 1 4 4 3 3 0 3 0 3 3 3 3 2 2 0 0 5 5 0 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 5 2 2 6 6 6 6 0 0 6 6 6 3 0 3 0 0 3 6 0 4 1 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 3 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 3 3 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 3 3 3 6 6 6 0 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 3 3 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 6 3 3 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 4 3 1 3 0 0 3 3 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 5 0 5 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 3 3 0 3 6 6 6 6 3 3 3 3 0 4 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 3 3 3 0 3 0 3 3 3 5 0 0 3 6 6 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 6 6 6 3 3 3 0 0 3 3 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 5 5 2 2 2 5 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 5 0 2 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 6 6 6 3 3 3 0 3 3 3 1 1 1 4 1 0 0 0 2 2 5 2 0 6 6 6 6 6 0 3 3 2 5 5 3 5 5 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 4 0 6 6 3 3 0 3 3 6 6 4 4 0 0 4 4 4 0 5 2 2 3 0 6 6 6 6 6 0 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 2 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 4 6 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 6 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 0 2 2 3 3 3 5 0 0 2 2 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 0 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 2 3 3 6 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 5 5 4 1 4 1 1 1 4 1 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 5 6 6 6 3 3 1 1 3 3 1 3 0 0 0 4 4 1 3 0 2 2 2 4 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 1 3 3 3 6 6 6 0 5 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 3 5 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 1 2 2 2 2 4 1 4 4 4 4 4 1 3 3 3 0 6 0 0 5 5 0 0 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 1 4 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 4 1 2 2 2 2 2 5 4 1 4 4 4 4 1 3 3 3 2 5 5 3 0 3 0 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 1 4 3 3 1 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 1 1 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 5 0 3 3 0 2 2 Lithofacies mosaic in a CA model 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 4 4 4 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 5 0 3 3 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 1 3 3 1 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 1 1 5 5 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 5 5 0 0 5 2 3 3 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 1 4 0 0 0 3 5 5 5 5 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 2 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 4 4 4 4 1 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 5 2 2 5 0 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 3 3 1 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 2 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 4 4 1 1 3 3 3 0 0 3 0 3 5 2 2 0 2 0 0 0 5 2 2 0 0 1 1 3 4 1 3 0 3 3 3 3 3 2 5 0 0 0 0 3 6 6 6 6 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 5 2 2 0 2 2 2 5 0 1 1 4 4 4 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 6 6 6 6 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 4 0 4 6 6 0 2 2 2 2 2 5 0 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 6 3 3 0 0 0 3 5 5 2 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 0 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 4 4 4 0 6 6 5 2 2 2 5 6 6 1 4 4 4 4 4 1 1 4 0 0 6 6 6 3 0 3 3 5 5 5 2 3 3 6 3 0 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 2 2 0 2 5 2 2 6 6 6 1 1 4 4 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 6 6 6 3 3 3 2 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 1 1 1 1 4 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 6 2 2 4 4 2 3 3 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 4 4 1 1 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 6 6 6 6 6 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 3 4 1 1 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2 6 6 6 6 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 6 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 3 4 1 1 3 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 3 2 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Hiatus/no deposition 1 Primary producer lithotope 1 2 Primary producer lithotope 2 3 Primary producer lithotope 3 4 Byproduct lithotope 1 5 Byproduct lithotope 2 6 Erosion 2 5 5 5 5 0 2 3 2 2 0 0 2 3 3 1 3 3 0 4 1 1 4 4 1 • What happens next to this cell? • 4 same-lithotope neighbours • So persists into next timestep CELLULAR AUTOMATA CSDMS C-FRG Lithotope mosaic map 40651 0416 0416 0416 0416 0416 1406 1046 4160 0641 0641 4601 4106 1406 1046 0461 0416 04631 3064 036 0346 0364 036 036 036 360 360 360 603 360 360 306 036 03526 03256 03652 03652 30652 0526 0526 0526 5026 0256 5026 6520 6052 0652 0562 45062 10642 40651 0416 0416 0416 0416 1406 1046 1604 4601 0641 4160 1046 1406 1046 1046 4106 4106 04136 306 306 036 036 036 036 036 036 360 360 360 360 603 036 036 03256 03526 0652 03652 03652 0562 0526 0526 0526 0526 6052 6052 6052 0526 0526 45206 106542 106254 14065 0416 0416 1406 1406 1604 4601 4601 1604 4160 1046 1406 1046 1046 14306 14036 306 306 306 306 036 063 036 063 063 630 360 360 603 036 036 036 03652 03526 03526 03625 03652 03652 0526 0526 0526 0526 0526 6052 6052 0526 2560 2056 25064 241065 10654 1406 1406 140 1604 1604 4601 0641 1604 4601 1406 1406 1406 1460 14306 43061 063 306 306 306 306 063 036 036 036 603 603 603 036 036 036 036 0326 06352 03526 03526 03652 53062 2605 2560 250 205 205 205 205 2056 5206 5206 52406 20416 14065 1046 104 1604 1604 1604 4601 1604 1046 1460 0416 0416 1460 14360 16034 10634 603 603 603 603 306 063 036 036 036 036 063 063 036 036 036 036 0356 0635 03526 03652 03652 53602 2065 2605 520 520 520 502 520 5026 5206 5206 524016 205416 204165 4061 1460 4601 1604 1604 1604 1604 1460 0416 04136 04136 14306 30641 40631 603 630 603 603 603 306 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 063 0632 03526 03652 03265 03652 30652 2560 520 5206 5206 5206 520 5206 5260 5206 52064 205416 20416 0641 6041 6041 1604 1604 1604 140 1460 0416 36041 03641 30641 30641 306 603 603 603 603 306 306 036 063 036 036 036 036 036 063 036 036 063 036 036 03652 06352 03652 03562 30562 2065 5260 5260 5260 5260 5062 205 2506 5206 52064 504162 20416 0641 6041 6041 4601 1604 1406 410 0416 30641 03641 03641 03641 36041 063 603 603 603 603 306 306 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 036 063 036 036 036 03652 03652 03652 06352 30652 0652 0652 5602 0652 2605 2065 052 0526 0526 25406 524106 20416 20416 0641 4601 1604 1064 041 0416 0416 30641 03641 03641 03641 03641 360 603 603 603 603 306 306 063 603 360 360 360 360 360 306 360 360 063 063 036 03526 03652 30652 30652 20635 0652 0652 2605 0652 0652 2065 0526 0526 0526 052461 20416 254106 20416 0416 4016 1406 4106 0416 0416 0416 34160 43601 03416 03416 06314 063 306 603 603 603 306 306 063 360 360 603 603 360 360 360 360 360 063 306 036 30526 30526 30652 53062 20356 2065 2560 2605 0652 5026 0256 5206 0526 0526 25046 250416 250416 20416 1046 1406 1406 0416 0416 0416 4160 1604 1604 03641 03416 03641 0364 306 603 603 603 603 036 306 603 603 603 603 603 603 603 603 360 306 306 306 6032 60352 53026 2506 5206 5206 5206 2065 2056 5026 0256 5062 0526 0526 25046 205416 065241 0641 1406 14306 14360 0416 0416 0416 1406 1406 34061 0416 03416 0316 306 306 603 603 603 603 036 306 0536 063 063 063 26530 2603 2603 603 306 306 603 603 6035 6032 53260 2056 5206 5206 5206 2560 30526 30526 30652 03652 0526 2506 25046 205416 065241 06341 40361 1604 14306 1406 0416 4106 1046 1046 0641 03416 03416 03146 0643 306 603 603 603 603 603 630 0236 05236 20536 25036 2036 25306 2036 306 306 306 603 603 60352 60352 6025 53206 5026 5206 5206 2065 30526 30652 30526 03526 53062 2056 25460 50216 052416 03146 03416 14036 14360 14360 43061 41306 4106 1046 0641 03416 03416 03416 0136 306 063 036 0536 0536 036 20563 20536 20536 5036 52306 52036 2063 25306 306 036 603 603 6035 60352 60352 60352 6052 2056 5026 52306 30652 36052 30652 30652 03526 53026 2056 2560 0253416 605341 03416 04316 06341 10634 10346 41036 40316 41036 4106 0641 0641 03416 03416 036 306 5306 5306 2603 2063 20563 50236 52306 52603 52603 52603 52306 52306 25603 0356 036 603 603 603 603 60352 60352 6052 2056 50236 52306 52306 30526 30526 30265 60352 60352 53260 532460 052463 30546 0316 0631 063 0631 063 41036 41603 41306 4160 41036 0641 03146 036 036 0536 0263 2603 5360 25603 52306 52603 52603 52603 52603 52603 52603 52603 05326 05263 0536 036 603 603 603 603 60352 60523 2056 52306 52603 52036 306 3062 306 6032 3026 30256 30526 0563 306 306 063 063 063 063 41036 41306 41603 41036 41360 0643 0643 036 036 306 35260 25603 52036 5206 52036 52036 52603 52063 52063 52063 52063 50236 05236 2506 52036 5306 036 603 306 6035 6032 60523 20563 52603 52306 52036 2603 360 306 306 036 306 3056 306 306 306 306 360 063 063 1603 41063 41603 41603 14306 063 063 036 5306 2506 35260 5206 52036 52036 5206 52360 5206 5206 5206 5206 5206 52036 2506 25036 52036 5206 53260 3056 306 306 360 30526 30526 52603 52063 52603 2603 063 360 306 306 360 306 603 360 306 306 036 036 360 360 14063 41063 3460 306 306 036 036 5306 260 2560 5260 5206 5206 5206 5026 0652 0652 0652 0652 5206 5206 5062 0526 2506 2560 53260 3026 306 360 360 2603 35260 25360 3026 306 063 063 360 306 306 306 306 603 360 360 306 036 036 036 063 1063 306 306 306 306 036 036 5306 25306 25360 2506 2056 2056 5206 0652 0652 0652 0652 5206 5206 5206 5062 0526 5206 2506 2056 35206 52036 360 2603 2603 5306 036 036 306 306 306 306 360 360 360 360 603 360 360 360 063 036 036 036 036 306 306 306 306 306 063 306 3056 35260 30526 2056 2056 0652 0652 5026 5206 5206 5206 5206 2506 2506 0526 0256 0256 2506 20536 52036 35260 52603 5306 036 036 036 306 306 630 603 603 360 360 360 603 360 360 603 603 036 036 036 036 306 306 306 603 603 306 306 3026 30526 30526 35206 2056 2056 5206 5260 5260 5206 5206 5206 2506 0526 0526 5206 5206 5026 5026 52036 05263 05263 036 036 036 036 036 360 603 603 603 603 603 603 306 306 603 360 063 036 036 036 036 306 306 603 603 603 603 306 3056 03526 30526 35206 30526 2506 5260 5260 5260 5260 5026 5206 2506 0526 0526 0526 0526 05236 05236 05263 05263 05263 036 036 036 036 360 360 603 603 603 603 306 306 036 036 306 306 036 036 063 063 036 306 630 603 603 603 306 306 306 03526 03526 30526 30256 35206 5260 5206 5260 5026 502 2506 2506 0526 0526 0526 0526 05236 05263 25603 25603 2603 360 063 036 360 360 360 360 360 306 306 036 036 036 603 603 306 036 036 036 036 036 306 603 603 603 063 360 360 036 03526 03652 30562 30526 5206 5206 5206 5026 0526 5026 250 2056 2506 0526 0526 0526 0526 25063 2603 2063 5360 306 360 360 360 603 603 306 306 306 306 603 603 036 603 603 306 036 036 036 036 036 306 603 603 603 360 360 360 360 30526 30562 30526 30526 5062 5260 5260 5026 0526 5026 250 2056 2506 0526 0526 05236 2056 25063 2603 2063 2036 603 360 360 603 036 036 036 306 306 603 603 603 036 603 603 306 036 036 036 036 036 306 603 603 603 063 360 360 2063 35026 52036 2065 5206 5062 5260 5260 2560 5026 5026 250 2056 5062 0652 2506 5206 5026 52603 25603 25360 063 360 360 603 036 036 036 036 036 306 306 603 603 036 306 306 063 063 036 036 036 306 306 603 603 603 306 306 306 2036 25306 5206 25306 5206 5062 5260 2605 2560 5026 5026 2506 5206 5062 5062 2056 5206 52036 25603 25306 2036 603 360 306 036 036 036 036 036 063 063 306 306 306 036 306 036 036 036 036 036 360 063 306 603 603 603 603 603 3506 25306 25360 5206 5206 5260 5260 5260 5260 5260 5026 5026 5206 5206 5260 5260 2056 2506 25360 25306 20536 036 360 306 036 036 036 036 036 063 036 036 036 306 036 306 036 036 036 036 063 603 360 360 360 603 603 603 603 603 5306 260 53260 50326 2056 2560 5260 5260 5260 5260 5026 5026 5206 5206 5260 5260 5602 25306 25360 25360 063 063 063 036 036 063 036 063 603 603 036 036 036 036 036 603 036 036 036 036 063 603 603 603 063 360 306 603 603 603 603 3560 30526 2056 2056 2056 5206 5206 5062 5260 5206 5206 5206 5206 5260 0652 2056 20356 03526 036 063 063 036 036 036 036 036 603 603 603 036 036 036 036 063 306 036 036 036 036 360 360 360 603 063 360 306 306 603 603 3026 3056 35260 30526 2056 2056 5062 5206 52460 52406 5206 5206 5206 5062 0652 0652 04256 04256 03426 0356 063 063 036 036 036 036 036 360 360 360 036 036 036 036 036 306 036 036 036 063 360 360 360 360 306 3406 3406 306 306 306 3056 3056 30526 35026 2506 5206 2056 510246 541026 541206 52406 524106 52460 5206 06425 06142 0426 105426 143506 14306 1036 306 036 036 036 036 036 360 360 360 360 036 036 036 036 360 036 036 036 306 306 306 036 036 4306 14360 14360 3406 306 306 306 302641 3520416 254160 254160 254160 152460 241506 04126 041265 54106 254106 24160 25160 504216 6041 1046 1460 4106 4106 14306 306 3560 0356 0356 036 360 360 603 603 360 036 036 036 036 306 036 063 306 6031 036 306 036 036 4306 160 106 14306 34016 36041 36041 30641 14206 24016 20416 24016 145206 14206 0416 0416 1406 15406 10246 205416 6041 6041 1604 1406 4160 4160 106 143506 026 0526 026 3065 3026 063 603 603 6032 360 603 036 036 36041 36041 30416 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15406 142560 145206 140526 2065 2065 2065 2560 5260 520 5206 5260 5260 5260 5260 5206 2056 20546 05416 1046 0641 0641 041 0416 0416 0416 041 041 0416 0416 0416 0416 4106 4016 4106 4106 4160 1046 1046 1604 1604 1046 1046 4160 4160 4160 4106 4160 4061 4061 4106 41560 410526 145026 146052 2065 2605 2560 5260 520 5206 5062 5260 5260 520 5206 5206 25064 054162 04165 0641 0641 041 0416 0416 4106 104 1064 1064 0416 0416 1460 1406 4106 4106 4106 4106 4106 1046 0641 0641 30146 34160 1460 4160 4160 1046 4160 4061 4106 4106 4160 41026 415206 146052 2065 2605 2560 0526 250 2056 5206 5206 520 5206 5260 5206 52064 04162 01465 4016 041 041 041 041 140 1604 1604 4601 1406 1406 1406 4106 4106 4106 4160 4106 4106 1046 0641 0641 30146 30641 30641 1064 1406 1064 1406 1064 4106 4106 4106 412506 410526 16052 10652 0526 0526 0526 250 250 250 520 520 5260 5206 5206 524016 241065 41065 4106 0416 041 041 041 1460 1604 4160 4160 4106 4106 4106 4016 4016 4106 4160 4160 4106 30416 30146 34160 30461 30641 30641 34061 30461 43016 1064 1064 1046 160425 410526 410526 16052 10652 0652 0526 0526 0526 052 205 205 205 502 5026 5206 5206 25406 106254 41065 0416 0416 0416 0416 1064 1460 1604 0641 4160 4160 4106 4106 4016 4016 1460 4160 4106 1604 30641 34106 03146 30641 30641 60341 30641 30461 30146 04316 0614 0614 06542 30652 10526 16052 0652 0265 5260 0526 0526 0526 0526 2056 2056 2056 2056 2560 2056 25064 40651 0416 0416 0416 0416 0416 0416 1460 1604 0641 4160 4160 4106 1406 1046 1046 1046 1064 34061 0641 03416 03641 03416 03416 30416 30416 30641 30641 30416 30416 36041 06431 06521 10652 30526 36052 0652 0265 5260 0526 0526 0256 5026 6052 6052 6052 0526 0526 45206 106542 40651 0416 0416 0416 0416 0416 1406 1046 1604 0641 0641 4601 4106 1406 1046 0416 0416 0641 30641 06341 03416 0316 0364 036 036 306 306 360 6034 3601 3046 306 360 03526 03526 03652 30652 30652 0526 0526 0526 5026 5206 5026 6520 6052 0652 0562 45062 10642 • Animation from “patches” initial condition • Each cell evolves through time according to very simple rules based on contents of neighbouring cells • 20 time steps=20 ky • Lateral migration of facies • Increasing lateral heterogeneity/spatial entropy • Even this simple model leads to complicated L thotope/process 0 H atus/no depos t on 1 Pr mary producer thotope 1 2 Pr mary producer thotope 2 3 Pr mary producer thotope 3 4 Byproduct thotope 1 5 Byproduct thotope 2 6 Eros on results CELLULAR AUTOMATA CSDMS C-FRG CarboCAT •3D cellular automata model desgined to model platform interior heterogeneity, constrained by lithofacies thickness distributions •Multiple facies calculated by cellular automata •Simple sediment transport algorithms •Depth-dependent sediment production rate •Subsidence •Eustatic sea-level oscillations Initial state map Cellular Automata Rules Distance Min Neighbours Max neighbours Min trigger Max trigger 2 4 10 6 10 Elevation (m) Final state map Horizontal Distance Cross section CELLULAR AUTOMATA CSDMS C-FRG Vertical sections from middle of model grid … Cumulative Normalized Frequency 60 m 125 m 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 50 m 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 Lithofacies unit thickness (m) CA facies mosaic Exponential CDF max diff • CarboCAT can generate a good fit with 40 m Facies Lithotope/process Facies 3 Primary producer l-tope 3 0 Hiatus/no deposition 4 Byproduct lithotope 1 1 Primary producer lithotope 1 5 Byproduct lithotope 2 2 Primary producer lithotope 2 6 Erosion exponential curve • Reproduces one important aspect of carbonate strata 2.0 CSDMS C-FRG ORIGINS OF HETEROGENEITY • Vertical stacking in strata also shows significant heterogeneity • Many carbonates strata exhibit exponential thickness frequency distributions • Which means lots more thin beds than thick beds • What does this mean in terms of depositional processes? Wilkinson et al, 1996, JSR, 66, p.1065-1068 Logged section from Grotzinger, 1986, JSP, 56, 813-847 CELLULAR AUTOMATA CSDMS C-FRG Model 1 Model 2 2.5 My elapsed model time Water Depth (m) Water Depth (m) CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • CFG research plans CSDMS C-FRG COMMUNITY MODELS • Model spatial and temporal distribution of carbonate accumulation based on community model • Community model encapsulates competition, positive feedbacks in occupied sites, and manipulation of local environment by organisms COMMUNITY MODELS CSDMS C-FRG Population Approach Lotka-Volterra coupled ordinary differential equations Increase (growth): • Growth in number of individuals • Growth in % areal cover Mortality: • Day-in day-out • Extreme events Immigration: • Spat dispersal • Neighbouring cell populations • Suitable settlement substrate dN N i i RN ( 1 ) N ( A N M ) I i i ij j i i dt K J i Carrying Capacity: • Physical & trophic habitat suitability •?Full capacity at optimum (restricted by A,M,I of course) numericalCARBONATE, Oct 2010 Competition (antagonism): • Space restriction and overgrowth • Nutrient competition including light by all J against i CSDMS C-FRG POPULATION ECOLOGY CARBONATE Carbonate production (kg/ m2/ yr) Elevation (m) Temperature (dgC) Carbonate thickness At yr 12 (m) WD (log10 m) Chagos Bank Total Stock (live % area) Benthic Irradiation (umol phot /m2 /s) 071.23E 06.35S 20*0.01dg Dominant Creature Stock (live % area) Dominant Creatures (Favia, Lithothamnion) CSDMS C-FRG • Issues: platforms & prediction, complexity and heterogeneity – Platform types and facies prediction – Origins of heterogeneity in carbonates – Other issues… • Review of current models – Depositional models – Diagenetic models • New modelling directions – Cellular automata – Population modelling • C-FRG research plans CSDMS C-FRG C-FRG RESEARCH PLANS •Focus on development of workbench module prototypes based on combined community model and cellular automata approach •Integrate with available sediment transport modules •Development of supporting knowledge base with rate data •New NSF grant proposal (and EU proposal?) •Expand group membership based on working model modules •Testing of model against modern and ancient carbonate systems CSDMS C-FRG CELLULAR AUTOMATA CSDMS C-FRG Mid Cretaceous carbonate strata, central Spain – also a lithofacies mosaic? Lithofacies mosaic planform, Florida Bay Cross-section of a lithofacies mosaic from the computer model Distance 12m CA Lithofacies mosaic Distance Distance POPULATION MODELS CSDMS C-FRG What carbonate properties should SedGrid store and how? The hypothetical cell: [Aa 0.05; Ag 0.90; At 0.05] The hypothetical cemented cell: [Aa 0.05; Ag 0.80; At 0.05; Bd 0.10] Transport dictionary Transportable Grain size (mm) Bulk density (gcm-3) Grain shape?? Aa Yes 2mm 2.1 Messy ... Ag Yes 10mm 2.2 Spherical ... At No Null Null Null ... Bd No Null Null Null ... Production dictionary Name Hardness Feeding habit Trophic Type Trophic level Ingestion size Temp range Salinity range Mineralogy Aa Coral X Skeletal Filter Pred, sessile 5 Large 21-27 ... Ag Grainwithnoname Skeletal Mobile carnivore Pred, mobile 7 Large 16-27 ... At Seagrass Soft Photosynth Primary 1 Small 15-27 ... Bd Cement Null Null Null Null Null Null Null Aragonite ... Roughness dictionary Roughness Form Bafflement Form drag Aa Rough Upstanding Some 2.1 ... Bd Smooth Flat None ... Aragonite Calcite ... Ag Smooth Aragonite ... At Rough Lots CSDMS C-FRG ORIGINS OF HETEROGENEITY Reeder & Rankey, 2008 • Ooid factory controlled by tidal currents • Net circular hydrodynamic pattern around the shoal – spin cycle • Combined production and transport is the key CSDMS C-FRG SIMSAFADIM - Bitzer, K., Salas, R., 2002. SIMSAFADIM: three-dimensional simulation of stratigraphic architecture and facies distribution modeling of carbonate sediments. Computers and Geosciences, 28, 1177-1192. CARB3D - Paterson, RJ, Whitaker, FF, Smart, PL, Jones, DG & Oldham, D. 'Controls on early diagenetic overprinting in icehouse carbonates: insights from modeling hydrological zone residence times using CARB3D+', Journal of Sedimentary Research, 78 (4), (pp. 258-281), 2008. ISSN: 1527-1404 10.2110/jsr.2008.029 STRATA - STRATA: Freeware for analyzing classic stratigraphic problems. P.B. Flemings and J.P. Grotzinger http://hydro.geosc.psu.edu/Papers/Gsa_strata/gsa.html SEDSIM - Griffiths, C. SEDSIM Stratigraphic Forward Modeling. http://sepmstrata.org/PDFFiles/Simulations/SedsimBackgroundGriffiths03.pdf. CSIRO Petroleum 2003. SEDPAK - Strobel, S., Cannon, R., Kendall, G.St. C. C.St., Biswas, G. and Bezdek, J. 1989. Interactive (SEDPAK) simulation of clastic and carbonate sediments in shelf to basin settings. Computers & Geosciences, 15(8), 1279-1290. CARBOCAT - Burgess (unpubl) 2009. CarboCAT. “http://csdms.colorado.edu/wiki/Model:CarboCAT”. REEFHAB - Kleypas, J. A. 1997. Modeled estimates of global reef habitat and carbonate production since the Last Glacial Maximum. Paleoceanography, 12(4), 533-545. CYCLOPATH - Burgess, P.M. and Wright, V.P, 2003. Numerical forward modelling of carbonate platform dynamics: An evaluation of complexity and completeness, Journal of Sedimentary research, v.73, p.637-652. SEALEX - Koelling, M., Webster, J.M., Camoin, G., Iryu, Y., Bard, E., Seard, C. (in press): SEALEX - Internal reef chronology and virtual drill logs from a spreadsheet-based reef growth model. Global and Planetary Change. “doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.07.011” FUZZYREEF - Parcell, W.C., 2003, Evaluating the development of Upper Jurassic reefs in the Smackover Formation, Eastern Gulf Coast, U.S.A. through fuzzy logic computer modeling. Journal of Sedimentary Research, 73, 498-515.