Using the UK Biodiversity Indicators to contribute to the Fifth UK National Report to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) CBD 5th National Report Reports due to be submitted end March 2014 Three main parts: • Part I – An update on biodiversity status, trends, and threats and implications for human well-being • Part II – The National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan (NBSAP), its implementation, and the mainstreaming of biodiversity • Part III – Progress towards the 2015 and 2020 Aichi Biodiversity Targets and contributions to the relevant 2015 Targets of the Millennium Development Goals + Appendices on thematic Programmes of Work & cross-cutting issues Using the UK indicators • UK biodiversity indicators anticipated to form a major part of the UK’s 5th CBD national report • Need to analyse progress for each Aichi target, and for each Strategic Goal (A – E) – Progress towards each strategic goal could involve the aggregation of information from the evaluation of progress towards the targets – Likely to need to integrate messages from different indicators – Other data sources and information also likely to be necessary • Some parts of some targets may not be covered Managing a contradiction • • • Indicators as a set are National Statistics Individually they are official statistics Ministers and Officials not allowed to see results until 24 hours before publication • • Report is an official submission of the UK Government Ministers and Officials have to be involved in development and editing Resolution • Draft report with 2013 results • Update indicators in parallel & publish early (March / April?) • Bring new indicators in after published so final report up-to-date Traffic Light Assessments Improving Little or no overall change Deteriorating Insufficient or no comparable data • Two assessment periods for each indicator • Long-term – assessment of change since the earliest date for which data are available o If data do not precede 1996 a long term assessment is not made • Short-term - assessment of change since 2000 • Assessment of trend, not distance to target Assessing change over time 2007 2010 • More green since 2000, therefore making progress? • But also more red since 2000, and long term • Is this as a result of improvements, or a 2009 2008 decrease in ‘insufficient data’ (white), or a move from red to amber to green. • Need to look at individual indicators to resolve. 2011 2012 The Strategic Plan and the UK biodiversity indicators • Each indicator assigned to a Strategic Goal – e.g. indicators with the prefix ‘A’ are considered to be of most direct relevance to Goal A. • Each indicator is mapped against target(s) as ‘primary indicator(s)’, or as ‘other relevant indicator(s)’. – e.g. Target 4 is represented by 3 ‘primary indicators’ (A3, A4, B3), and 3 ‘other relevant indicators’ (B1, B2, D1) – ‘Primary indicators’ are most closely linked to a target – ‘Other relevant indicators’ have less strong links but still relevant • Indicators may also be of relevance to targets within other goals – e.g. Indicator E2 is a ‘primary indicator’ for Target 20 in Goal E, but is also an ‘other relevant indicator’ for Targets 2 and 3 in Goal A. Individual indicators can contribute to the assessment of multiple targets (or goals) Flexible framework; do not need to have the same indicator at each scale Regional Targets (e.g. EU) Target 1 Target 2 Goal Target 3 Headline indicator Headline indicator Headline indicator Headline indicator Global indicator Global indicator Global indicator Global indicator Regional indicator Global indicator Regional indicator Global indicator Regional indicator National indicator Regional indicator National indicator National indicator National indicator National indicator National indicator etc etc etc etc National targets Assessment of targets and goals • Each target can be assessed in terms of the indicators (and measures) that are ‘primary indicators’ and ‘other relevant indicators’ • Aggregating the results for the targets allows assessment of the strategic goals. • A comparison can be made of an assessment made by primary indicators against an assessment of all indicators (including ‘other relevant indicators’). • Targets 5–10 (Goal B) are provided as an example. Numbers of indicators & measures used to assess Targets 5 – 10 Target ‘primary indicators’ (# measures) ‘other relevant indicators’ (# measures) Total number of indicators (and measures) Target 5 (habitat loss) C2, C3; 3 measures C5, C6, C7, C8, B7; 12 measures 7 indicators (15 measures) Target 6 (fisheries) B2; 1 measure D1; 1 measure 2 indicators (2 measures) Target 7 (land use) B1; 3 measures C5, C6, C7, C8; 11 measures 5 indicators (14 measures) Target 8 (pollution) B5, B7; 4 measures None 2 indicators (4 measures) Target 9 (invasive species) B6; 3 measures None 1 indicator (3 measures) Target 10 (climate change) B4, B5; 4 measures None 2 indicators (4 measures) Assessment of Targets 5–10 Improving Deteriorating 10 Insufficient data Not assessed 5 0 change long-term long-term change change since 2000 since 2000 change (all (primary (all (primary indicators) indicators) indicators) indicators) 2 Improving Improving Little or no change Deteriorating Insufficient data 2 Not assessed 0 No. of indicators/measures Deteriorating Insufficient data Not assessed 0 long-term long-term change change change change since 2000 since 2000 (primary (all (primary (all indicators) indicators) indicators) indicators) Target 7 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Insufficient data Not assessed long-term long-term change change change change since 2000 since 2000 (primary (all (primary (all indicators) indicators) indicators) indicators) Little or no change Deteriorating Insufficient data 2 Not assessed 0 change since 2000 (primary indicators) Target 10 Improving Deteriorating Improving 4 long-term change (primary indicators) Little or no change change since 2000 (primary indicators) Target 9 Little or no change 1 Target 8 4 long-term change (primary indicators) No. of indicators/measures No. of indicators/measures Target 6 Bar graphs can be used to display the assessments of the relevant measures for each target of relevance to Goal B. No. of indicators/measures Little or no change No. of indicators/measures No. of indicators/measures Target 5 15 Improving 4 Little or no change Deteriorating Insufficient data 2 Not assessed 0 long-term change (primary indicators) change since 2000 (primary indicators) Assessment Method 1 (use the primary indicators for each goal) • • Goal B would be measured by 7 indicators (B1 to B7) • Method 1 does not 13 measures (indicators B3 & B4 are currently ‘under development/not assessed’) – take into account the information gathered to assess the targets, as targets may be assessed by indicators from other goals – allow comparison of ‘primary indicators’ with ‘other relevant indicators’ Method 1 (Goal B) Goal B: Long-term change. Based on indicators B1–B7 (13 measures) pie-chart – simple way of showing proportions of the measures improving / deteriorating Improving Little or no change Deteriorating Insuf f icient data bar chart – clearly displays the number of measures being shown. Not assessed/ under development Goal B: Based on Indicators B1–B7, a total of 13 measures (two are included as 'not assessed/under development') Goal B: Change since 2000. Based on indicators B1–B7 (13 measures) Improving Little or no change No. of indicators/measures 14 Not assessed/ under development Insuf f icient data Deteriorating 7 Little or no change Improving Deteriorating Insuf f icient data Not assessed/ under development 0 Long-term change Change since 2000 Assessment Method 2 (use all the indicators linked with a target) • Method 2 also uses the relevant indicators within each target associated with a particular goal – e.g. indicators of relevance to Targets 5–10 for Strategic Goal B. • It does not, however, duplicate indicators. – e.g. indicator B5 is a primary indicator for both Target 8 and Target 10, but would only be included once. • Indicators which are identified as both ‘primary indicators’ and ‘other relevant indicators’ for different targets are only included as primary indicators. • This method enables comparison of primary indicators with data gathered from all indicators. Method 2 (Goal B) Goal B: Long-term change – primary indicators (8 indicators, 15 measures) Method 2 considers all the information gathered to assess the targets within a Strategic Goal. Improving Little or no change Deteriorating Insuf f icient data Goal B: Change since 2000 – primary indicators (8 indicators, 15 measures) Improving Little or no change Deteriorating Not assessed Insuf f icient data Not assessed Goal B: 8 primary indicators (15 measures), 13 total indicators (27 measures) No. of indicators/measures 28 21 Goal B: Long-term change – all indicators (13 indicators, 27 measures) Improving Little or no change Deteriorating Goal B: Change since 2000 – all indicators (13 indicators, 27 measures) 14 7 0 Long-term change (primary indicators) Improving Insufficient data Long-term change (all indicators) Change since 2000 (primary indicators) Little or no change Not assessed Change since 2000 (all indicators) Deteriorating Improving Little or no change Deteriorating Insuf f icient data Insuf f icient data Not assessed Not assessed Dashboard(s) • • • Based on discussions yesterday • • May wish to rank relevance to goal in order of presentation • Could also look to show all indicators for Simpler presentation of primary (+ relevant?) indicators together Graphics for indicators with icons showing long term and short term assessments Plus simple overview text – – – – Pressures State Responses Benefits Are pressures decreasing? Are state / responses / benefits increasing? Dashboard for Goal B pressures Targets on: habitat loss, fisheries, sustainable land use, pollution, invasive aliens, climate change A N B5a: Air pollution B2 Sustainable fisheries B5b: Marine pollution B1a:Agri-environment Schemes B4: Spring Index + Overview text M T F Top icon = long term B1b: Sustainable forestry B6: Invasive species Bottom icon = short term Framework from AHTEG What do dowe do What do we about biodiversity loss? biodiversity loss? about Responses Indicators related to all Strategic Goals Why are weWhy losingare biodiversity? we losing biodiversity? Pressures and underlying causes Indicators broadly related to Strategic Goals A and B Benefits State Indicators broadly related to Strategic Goal D Indicators broadly related to Strategic Goal C What areare thetheimplications What implications of biodiversity loss? of biodiversity loss? How is the status of How is the status of biodiversity biodiversity changing? changing? Workshop • Two main points to discuss – Peer review of ideas – What information do we need to bring together to assess Goal B? (as example) • Need to ground in reality – time constraints in production of CBD report, therefore has to be relatively straightforward to do • • 2 parallel groups Start with a discussion about the ideas in the paper and presentation, synthesise, then consider what is needed to assess Goal B Questions? Indicator number (Strategic Goal / number), title, and measures where applicable A1. Awareness, understanding and support for conservation Long-term change1 Change since 20002 Under development, no interim measure(s) available A2. Taking action for nature: volunteer time spent in conservation A3. Value of biodiversity integrated into decision making A4. Global biodiversity impacts of UK economic activity / sustainable consumption B1. Agricultural and forest area under environmental management schemes B1a. Area of land in agrienvironment schemes B1a(i). Higher-level / targeted schemes B1a(ii). Entrylevel type schemes B1b. Area of forestry land certified as sustainably managed Under development, no interim measure(s) available Under development, no interim measure(s) available 1992–2011 2005 2012 results Indicator number (Strategic Goal / number), title, and measures where applicable C5. Birds of the wider countryside C5a. Farmland birds and at sea B4. Pressure from climate change B5. Pressure from pollution B5a. Air pollution B5a(i). Area affected by acidity B5a(ii). Area affected by nitrogen B5b. Marine pollution C5c. Wetland birds 1975–2010 1990–2010 Under development, no interim measure(s) available Not assessed Not assessed 1996–2007 1960–2008 B6b. Marine invasive species 1960–2008 C1a. Total area of protected sites: on land C1b. Total area of protected sites: at sea C2. Habitat connectivity 1970–2010 C5e. Wintering water birds 1975/6–2009/10 C6. Insects of the wider countryside C6a. Semi-natural habitat (butterflies) specialists C7. Plants of the wider countryside C7a. Change in plant species richness (arable and horticultural land) C7b. Change in plant species richness (woodland and grassland) C7c. Change in plant species richness (boundary habitats) 1976–2011 1976–2011 1998 1990–2007 1998 1990–2007 1998 1990–2007 C8. Mammals of the wider countryside (bats) 1978–1992 1960–2008 1990–2009 C9. Genetic resources for food and C9a. Native sheep breeds agriculture C9b. Native cattle breeds 1980–2011 D1. Biodiversity and ecosystem services (marine – fish size classes in the North Sea) B7. Water quality C1. Protected sites C5d. Seabirds C6b. Species of the wider countryside 1996–2007 B6a. Freshwater invasive species B6c. Terrestrial invasive species 1970–2010 1970–2010 2001 1990–2010 B6. Pressure from invasive species Change since 2000 C5b. Woodland birds B2. Sustainable fisheries B3. Integration of biodiversity considerations into business activity Long-term change D2. Biodiversity and ecosystem services (other) 1980–2011 C1c. Condition of A/SSSIs 2005-6 C2a. Broad-leaved, mixed and yew woodland C2b. Neutral grassland 1998 1998 C3. Status of threatened habitats 1999 C4. Status of threatened species 1999 E1. Biodiversity data for decision making E2. Expenditure on UK and international biodiversity E2a. Expenditure on UK biodiversity E2b. UK Expenditure on international biodiversity 2001 2001 1982–2010 Under development, no interim measure(s) available Under development, no interim measure(s) available A generic, project based, process for reporting Initiation Draft 0, Information Request Responses Editing Final Draft Editing Consultation Consultation Draft Ministerial Clearance Final Edit? Submitted Report CBD 5th National Report Part I An update on biodiversity status, trends, and threats and implications for human well-being Q1: Why is biodiversity important for your country? Q2: What major changes have taken place in the status and trends of biodiversity in your country? Q3: What are the main threats to biodiversity? Q4: What are the impacts of the changes in biodiversity for ecosystem services and the socio-economic and cultural implications of these impacts? Optional: What are possible future changes for biodiversity and their impacts? CBD 5th National Report Part II The National Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan, its implementation, and the mainstreaming of biodiversity Q5: What are the biodiversity targets set by your country? Q6: How has your NBSAP been updated to incorporate these targets and to serve as an effective instrument to mainstream biodiversity? Q7: What actions has your country taken to implement the Convention since the fourth report and what have been the outcomes of these actions Q8: How effectively has biodiversity been mainstreamed into relevant sectoral strategies, plans and programmes? Q9: How fully has your NBSAP been implemented? CBD 5th National Report Part III Progress towards the 2020 Aichi Biodiversity Targets and contributions to the relevant 2015 Targets of the Millennium Development Goals Q10: What progress has been made by your country towards the implementation of the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011-2020 and its Aichi Biodiversity Targets? Q11: What has been the contribution of actions to implement the Convention towards the acheivement of the relevant 2015 targets of the Millennium Development Goals in your country? Q12: What lessons have been learned from the implementation of the Convention in your country? CBD 5th National Report Appendices 1. Information concerning the Reporting Party and preparation of the 5th National Report 2. Further sources of information 3. Implementation of Thematic Programmes of Work / crosscutting issues e.g. • Islands, inland waters, marine & coastal … • Ecosystem approach, Climate change, Global Strategy for Plant Conservation …