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CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS IMPACT ON

FISHERIES RESOURCES IN BANGLADESH

MTH Chowdhury, ZP Sukhan 1 , MA Hannan

Department of Biotechnology, Pukyong National University, South Korea

1 Laboratory of Marine Biology, Kyushu University, Japan

Presenter

Muhammad Tanvir Hossain Chowdhury

PhD Student, Department of Biotechnology

Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea

International Conference on Environmental Aspects of Bangladesh (ICEAB)

Sept. 4, 2010. Japan.

INTRODUCTION

Freshwater

Fisheries

Directly affect

Marine Fisheries

Fish Production

Temperature

Rainfall

Hydrology

On the basis of vulnerability

Source: Macfadyen, G., and Allison, E. (2009). P 38.

On the basis of adaptive capacity

Source: Macfadyen, G., and Allison, E. (2009). P 38.

INTRODUCTION most vulnerable countries in Asia depending on the vulnerability of national economy to the impacts of climate change on fisheries

Combined

Effect of

* Predicted warming

* Relative importance of fisheries to national economics and diet

* Limited societal capacity to potential impacts and opportunities has lowest adaptive capacity to climate change in fisheries

• Climate change directly affect fishery production

• Fish reproduction, growth and migration patterns are all affected by temperature, rainfall and hydrology

• Climate change is likely to adversely affect both the fresh water and marine fisheries in

Bangladesh.

INTRODUCTION

Contribution of Fisheries Sector in Bangladesh

GDP

Foreign

Exchange

4.48 %

AGRICULTURE

2 nd ; 4.83%

PROTEIN SUPPLY

12 M+

58.0 %

20.87 %

CAUSES OF CLIMATE CHANGE

• Green house gases like carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have increased).

• The global increase of carbon dioxide is due to the use of land and fossil fuel,

• Increase of methane and nitrous oxide are due to agriculture

• Rising concentration of the green house gases in the atmosphere are causing global climate change

EFFECT ON FRESHWATER FISHES IN BANGLADESH

Poikilothermic animal

Growth, reproduction & activity are directly influenced by the change of temperature

INVERSELY RELATED TO

&

&

EFFECT ON FRESHWATER FISHES IN BANGLADESH

DISSOLVED has harmful effect in pond fish culture

ACTIVITY

SURFACE &

VOLUME OF

POND WATER

EFFECT ON OPEN WATER FISHERIES RESOURCES

Contribute nearly 1 million metric ton of fish

Inundated during the flood stages

Isolated from the main channel during the dry season

Regular flooding ensures the reproductive success of the fish

EFFECT ON OPEN WATER FISHERIES RESOURCES

GCM estimates of temperature and precipitation changes in Bangladesh

Year Temperature change ( O C) Precipitation change (%)

Dec-Jan-Feb

(Dry Season)

Jun-Jul-Agu

(Wet Season)

Dec-Jan-Feb

(Dry Season)

Jun-July-Aug

(Wet Season)

Baseline

Average

-

2278 mm

33.7

Mm

1343.7 mm

2030 1.0

1.1

0.8

+3.8

-1.2

+4.7

2050 1.4

1.6

1.1

+5.6

-1.7

+6.8

2100 2.4

2.7

1.9

+9.7

-3.0

+11.8

This model was run by the IPCC (Inter-government Panel on Climate Change) B2 scenario

EFFECT ON OPEN WATER FISHERIES RESOURCES

EVAPOTRANSPIRATION

VOLUME & FAVORABLE

FISH HABITATS

1

KILL

2

The Survival of

Next Year’s Brood

For Reproduction

EFFECT ON OPEN WATER FISHERIES RESOURCES

+

Runoff with

Higher Nutrient

Floodplain &

Productivity

Extend the Feeding

Ground of Fish

Ranching

In Monson

EFFECT ON OPEN WATER FISHERIES RESOURCES brings Revolution in Fish Production

Runoff Flood Destroy aquaculture

Infrastructure reduced the closed water aquaculture production

EFFECT ON OPEN WATER FISHERIES RESOURCES

Aquatic

Macrophyte

2-3 O C of temperature cause 300-500% of macrophyte production

1

2

3

Decrease productivity

Reduce fish habitat

Reduce dissolved Oxygen

Create anoxic condition

Bangladesh might face this problem

EFFECT ON COASTAL AREA

The main impacts of climate change on coastal area in

Bangladesh are

1 Sea Level rise

2

3

Reduction of freshwater availability by salinity intrusion

Increasing cyclone frequency

4 Decrease Brackish water fish production

EFFECT ON COASTAL AREA

1 Water salinity varies from 0-20 ppt

2 Water salinity and its distribution are increasing with the increase of sea level rise

3 Soil salinity in South Western part of Bangladesh is also increasing

EFFECT ON COASTAL AREA

Increasing rate of soil salinity area of southern part of Bangladesh

EFFECT ON COASTAL AREA

Cyclone Sidr (15 Nov., 2007) and

Aila (27 May, 2009) hit South and South West part of Bangladesh and destroy the coastal embankment infrastructure and increase the salinity

This salinity intrusion including sea level rising creates harmful effect on existing fish species.

Water salinity exceeds the expected salinity level that especially required for fresh water fish production

EFFECT ON COASTAL AREA

SALINITY INTRUSION

Positive Effect

Create opportunities for catching and cultivating brackish and marine species

Negative Effect threatened to fresh water fisheries

Loss of fish biodiversity

Potential species

Penaeus vannamei (Western White Shrimp)

Penaeus monodon (Tiger Shrimp)

Chanos chanos (Milk Fish)

Mugil cephalus (Mullet)

Tilapia nilotica (Tilapia)

EFFECT ON SUNDARBAN FISHERIES

World’s Largest single chunk of continuous mangrove forest

Fish species inhibit : 175

Supports offshore & deep sea fisheries by playing as nursery ground for many deep sea fishes and shrimps

Act as protecting wall against the devastating cyclones and tidal surges by deflecting and reducing energy

EFFECT ON SUNDARBAN FISHERIES

Highly vulnerable to sea level rise and will be disappear by 1 meter rise of the sea level

Sea level rise may destroy the mangrove forest as well as destroy the marine fish nursery ground

Effect on marine fisheries

• Average tropical sea surface temperature is predicted to increase by 50-80%.

• Increased temperature may affect the distribution pattern of some fish species

• Some of them may be migrate to the higher latitude for cooler place.

• Atmospheric CO

2 level will be high and this will cause the average ocean pH to drop by 0.4-0.5

• Fish embryos and larvae are more sensitive to pH change than juvenile and adults.

• Eggs of the pelagic fishes might be more susceptible to pH change.

• Increased level of dissolved CO

2 also reduces the pH of animal tissue and it may affect the marine fish physiology.

CONCLUSION

Bangladesh economy is vulnerable to climate change impact, which could affect our food security and level of poverty by elevating stress on fisheries production

But the detailed effects on climate change affecting the fisheries sector is yet uncertain .

It might bring economic hardship or might increase the opportunity to higher fish production through adaptive measure and increase the economic growth.

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