Mapping world-wide distributions of marine mammals using a Relative Environmental Suitability (RES) model I. Introduction Delineation of large-scale geographic ranges mammals is difficult and often subjective (Fig. 1) We developed a generic approach to map global distributions of 115 marine mammal species based on species-specific habitat preferences using a GIS-based environmental envelope model marine Sea Around Us Project, Fisheries Centre, UBC, Vancouver Contact: kaschner@zoology.ubc.ca II. Methods Expert knowledge & other source of habitat preference information Sighting records Model input 1: Qualitative & quantitative information about marine mammal habitat preferences Model input 2: Global 0.5 degree lat/long raster data sets of bathymetry, annual mean sea surface temperature (SST), annual mean distance to ice edge (Fig. 1a, 2a , 3a) distribution We assigned species to broad habitat predictor categories (environmental envelopes) in terms of depth, SST and ice edge association (Figs. 1b, 2b, 3b) We calculated the combined relative environmental suitability of each cell based on local environmental conditions (Illustrated step-by-step in Figs. 2, 3, 4) 4 6 0 2 sightings STEP I ‘Mainly continental slope’ Pmax probability 8 2b 10 Fig. 1 – 1 Standard outline of max. range extent of Sowerby’s beaked whale (Jefferson et al, 1993) & known 2a sightings of K. Kaschner, R. Watson, A.W. Trites & D. Pauly Fig. 2 a – global bathymetry 0 -200 -1000 -2000 -3000 -4000 -5000 -6000 -7000 -8000 Depth [m] b – sighting frequency per depth predictor category & assumed environmental envelope III. Results & Validation 2c High Predicted RES maps: c – predicted RES for species based on depth preferences alone Low match traditional outlines of max. range extent closely in most cases (Fig. 4c) provide information about likely heterogeneous patterns of species’ occurrence (Fig. 4c) 3a Northern fur seal Harbour porpoise Killer whale Antarctic minke whale 0.54 0.59 0.56 0.71 0 0 0.54 0 10 6 4 0 Fig. 3 a – mean annual SST 2 sightings STEP II % of random data sets with significant correlations ‘Subpolar – warm temperate’ 8 3b Species Spearman's non-parametric rank correlation rho p -2 0 5 10 15 20 25 Table 1 Validation results 3c High c - predicted RES based on depth & temperature preferences Low V. Conclusions Relative Environmental Suitability modeling represents a more objective approach than the standard outlines of maximum range extents is useful to address ‘Big Picture’ questions relating to biodiversity, marine mammalfisheries interactions, speciation, historic ranges etc. Acknowledgements This work was supported- by The Pew Charitable Trusts of Philadelphia, USA as part of the ‘Sea Around Us’ Project, NSERC and a Li-Tze-Fong Graduate Fellowship 10 8 6 STEP III 4 allows visualization of hypotheses about species distribution ‘No association with ice edge‘ 2 C 4b correlate significantly with observed patterns of species’ occurrence based on independent sighting data sets for all species tested (Table 1) 0 utilizes expert knowledge & is independent of point data for input 4a sightings 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 30 SST [° C] b - sighting frequency per temperature predictor category & assumed environmental envelope < < < < -1 Fig. 4 a – mean annual distance from the ice edge 0 1 500 1000 2000 8000 Distance from ice edge [km] 4c b - sighting frequency per iceedge distance predictor category & assumed environmental envelope High Low c - predicted RES based on depth, temperature & distance from ice edge preferences FINAL MODEL OUTPUT