No, it is comparative advantage that matters, not absolute advantage. Nations should specialize and trade based on absolute advantage. David Ricardo “Euro” “Loonie” Adam Smith Exports equal 32% of global economic output, but only 13% of U.S. output. [U.S. supplies 1/8 of world’s exports] In 2010, American imports & exports totaled over $4.1 trillion. [$1.832 trillion in exports & $2,330 trillion in imports][Deficit $498 B] • Joe Smith started the day early having set his alarm clock (MADE IN JAPAN) for 6 a.m. • While his coffeepot (MADE IN CHINA) was perking, he shaved with his electric razor (MADE IN HONG KONG). • He put on a dress shirt (MADE IN SRI LANKA), designer jeans (MADE IN SINGAPORE) and tennis shoes (MADE IN KOREA). • After cooking his breakfast in his new electric skillet (MADE IN INDIA) he sat down with his calculator (MADE IN MEXICO) to see how much he could spend today. • After setting his watch (MADE IN TAIWAN ) to the radio (MADE IN INDIA) he got in his car (MADE IN GERMANY) filled it with GAS from Saudi Arabia & continued his search for a good paying AMERICAN JOB. • At the end of yet another discouraging and fruitless day checking his computer (MADE IN MALAYASIA), Joe decided to relax for a while. • He put on his sandals (MADE IN BRAZIL) poured himself a glass of wine (MADE IN FRANCE) and turned on his TV (MADE IN INDONESIA), and then wondered why he can't find a good paying job in America..... Actually this is a good thing. We get more choices, lower prices, & because more is bought, more jobs are created. • Question: What is the definition of Globalization? • Answer: Princess Diana’s death • Question: How Come? • Answer: An English princess with an Egyptian boyfriend crashed in a French tunnel, driving a German car with a Dutch engine, driven by a Belgian who was drunk on Scottish whisky, followed closely by Italian Paparazzi, on Japanese motorcycles; treated by an American doctor, using Brazilian medicines. • This is sent to you by a Canadian, using Bill Gates’ technology, and you’re probably reading this on your computer, that uses Taiwanese chips, and a Korean monitor, assembled by Bangladeshi workers in a Singapore plant, transported by Indian lorry-drivers, hijacked by Indonesians, unloaded by Sicilian longshoremen, and trucked to you from Mexico. That is Globalization… The process by which individuals and businesses in other parts of the world are affected by events elsewhere in the world. Lorry-drivers Percent of GDP Globalization: Merchandise Exports as a Share of World GDP (32%) 32% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2007 2008 Globalization increases U.S. income by $1.8 trillion a year, or $10,000 per household. Or, without globalization, Americans would be poorer by $1.8 trillion a year. 14 million iPads were sold in the U.S. last year, but because they were made in China, were counted as imports. 22 million pairs of Nikes are imported each year, employing 50,000 Vietnamese. American companies have 54 million golf balls produced in China so they are imports. $677 $700 $600 $498 $500 $381 $400 $300 $200 $100 0 95 97 99 01 02 03 04 07 08 09 10 Global Cow “Who Supplied My Cheese?” Top 10 Countries with which the U.S. Trades These Countries represent 66.89% of U.S. Imports, & 60.41% of U.S. Exports in goods. The values are exports and imports added together The values given are for Imports and Exports added together. Country Name Canada China Mexico Japan Germany United Kingdom Korea, South Brazil France Saudi Arabia November 2011 Total in Billions of U.S. $ 49.54 46.74 40.86 18.30 13.15 8.94 8.47 6.68 5.88 5.60 Year To Date Total in Billions of U.S. $ 548.07 460.67 423.08 177.66 134.60 97.45 91.68 67.49 62.13 54.67 Trade is analogous to technology, disruptive but ultimately beneficial. $764 $696 $498 $381 2010 Trade Balance -$498 billion 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Principal U.S. Exports & Imports – 2007 [in Billions of Dollars] Source: Department of Commerce Data Exports Imports Chemicals $94.1 70.9 Consumer Durables Agricultural Products 77.6 Semiconductors 50.2 Computers 42.9 Generating Equipment 41.5 Automobiles 43.6 Aircraft 48.6 Medical equipment 32.0 Telecommunications 25.6 Electrical machinery 83.2 Fuels and lubricants 47.7 $331.0 Petroleum 133.8 Automobiles Household Appliances112.1 104.0 Computers Metals 115.7 Clothing 86.3 Consumer Electronics 94.7 Generating Equipment 55.0 Semiconductors 37.1 Telecommunications 25.8 Aircraft 34.4 56.2 Chemicals The U.S. and World Trade U.S. Exports & Imports of Goods, 2007 Value (Billions of Dollars) Exports to: Industrial Countries Developing Countries Total . Imports from: $553 596 $1,149 Value (Billions of Dollars) Industrial Countries Developing Countries Total $819 1,146 $1,965 Most of our imports come from developing countries. • • • • * You can make a good argument for these. *1. National Defense Argument: certain industries should remain based in our country, especially if they manufacture items vital to our defense. Items this argument have been used for include: pens, pottery, peanuts, papers, candles, thumbtacks, tuna fishing, and pencils. *2. Infant Industry Argument: new industries must be protected from older, established foreign competitors until they are mature enough to compete. However, removing protection is almost impossible. 3. Dumping Argument: domestic industries need to be protected from foreign dumping. Dumping is the sale of goods abroad at a price below their cost and therefore undersell domestic competitors to put them out of business; obtain monopoly power and raise their prices. 4. Foreign–Export–Subsidies Argument: Some governments subsidize the firms that export goods. Firms say that this forces them to compete with both the firm and the government in question. • 5. Low Foreign Wages Argument: A country’s low wage advantage may be offset by its productivity disadvantage. High wages means high productivity. Low wages mean low productivity. Some recent minimum wages in other countries: Turkey: 41¢; India: 42¢, Hungary: $1.22, Brazil: $1.50, Mexico: $6 a day, Haiti: 68¢ or $5.50 per day; Indonesia: $1.06 a day [where Nikes are made]. Even though these wages are very low, worker productivity there is probably low. It may take several workers to do what one American worker can do. The more important question is what does it cost to do the job? • Saving Domestic Jobs Argument: This argument is actually most of the previous arguments but in disguise. Country Share of Global Manufacturing - 2008 U.S. ROW U.S. China Japan Germany France China Italy UK Korea FR. Ger. Japan Russia Brazil Rest World U.S. manufacturing is not dying. It is at an all time high. We are making more than twice as much today as we were in the 70s. However we’ve gone from 19 million manufacturing jobs to 11 million because of increasing productivity or building the same amount of stuff with fewer workers. Where will they go? High tech employs millions compared to almost none 50 years ago. So, we are building twice as much with fewer workers. That trend will continue and then some. Health care. Clean energy. And fields we can’t imagine yet. For instance, in 1900, 44% of jobs were in agriculture. Tremendous improvements in farm productivity pushed that number to 2.2% today. Those who once would have plowed fields now work at curing cancer, building roads, etc. We don’t want those farm jobs back. So, all of you who thought U.S. manufacturing was dead “TAKE That!!!” 1. How many domestic jobs in the firms that produce good X are being saved because of the tariff? 2. How much do consumers have to pay in higher prices to save those jobs? Let’s just see HOW MUCH consumers do have to pay when we protect domestic jobs with tariffs and quotas. 12,000 x $40 = $480,000[NS-NT]; 12,000 X $25 = $300,000[S-T] (It cost $180,000 to save one clock-radio guy’s job) “I can do the econ rap.” Suppose Joe Export lives & works in the U.S. making dancing clock radios. He produces and sells 12,000 clock radios per year at a price of $40 each. There is no international trade. One day the U.S. market is opened to dancing clock radios from Japan. The Japanese manufacturers have a comparative advantage and sell them for $25 each. Joe can not compete at this price. His sales drop to such a degree that he goes out of business. International trade has harmed him but helped American consumers because they save $180,000. Industry Textiles Dairy Products Yearly Loss To Economy From Barriers $15,850 billion 1,630 million Employment Loss If Barriers Were Removed 71,639 2,378 Annual Cost Per Job Saved $221,258 685,233 Sugar Peanuts 657 million 74 million 2,040 397 322,059 187,223 Meat Non-rubber footwear 177 million 170 million 928 1,377 190,733 123,456 Orange Juice Canned Tuna 307 million 100 million 609 390 635,103 257,640 I love the chicken in this tuna can. Chicken of the Sea of Chicken the Sea High Cost of Protection It cost an average of $231,289 per job saved. Consumers pay $100 billion annually in higher prices. Protecting sugar raises candy and soft drink prices; protecting steel makes car prices higher. This is a “negative-sum game.” So you can see that, “Free trade is a good idea for most of us despite the hardship it imposes on a few of us.” Keep The Money At Home Point: When I buy a coat in England, I have the coat and England has the money. But when I buy a coat in America, I have the coat and America has the money. America is more wealthy because it has both the coat and the money. Abe Lincoln Counterpoint: Money is not wealth in and of itself, it merely facilitates trade. If America sends dollars to England, England will eventually use those dollars to buy American goods. If we don’t buy goods from other countries, then other countries will not be able to buy goods from us. Point: Protecting businesses from foreign competition preserves American jobs. Counterpoint: Few are helped by protective policies, but they are more visible and more vocal than the many who are hurt. Protecting jobs in import competing industries raising prices to consumers and costs jobs in industries that use imported inputs. America and consumers pay dearly each time protectionist measures “save” jobs. Protecting American businesses from foreign competition does potentially preserve American jobs. Point 1: Restrictions on imported steel in the 80s saved 17,000 jobs in the steel industry and its suppliers. Counterpoint: That is half the story. Here is the rest of the story. 1. The higher steel prices saved 17,000 jobs in the steel industry but led to the loss of 52,400 jobs in American steel-using industries. For every job saved, three were lost. Point2: Import quotas on Japanese autos preserved 4,598 American jobs. Counterpoint2: but at a cost to consumers of $241,235 per job per year, in higher prices paid for cars. Saving a $30,000 auto job cost consumers $120,000 annually in higher prices. *The more you pay for protected goods, the less you have to use to buy other goods. The less consumers have to buy other goods, then . fewer jobs will be created by the market. In the last few years, tariffs have preserved 3,500 steel jobs; by contrast tariffs have cost steel users between 12,000 and 43,000 jobs due to higher prices. Point: If we trade freely with low wage countries, U.S. businesses will flee to those countries and U.S. wages will plummet. Counterpoint: Low wages, combined with low productivity, will result in high unit costs. High wages in the U.S. Result from the high productivity of American workers, aided by the availability of raw materials, massive capital equipment, sophisticated management, and elaborate infrastructure. “I know you are against free trade as a former employee. But – how do you feel about free trade as a consumer? Imports 18 16 14 12 10 Exports 8 6 4 2 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Total: $1,832 Exports Total: $2,330 Imports Over $4 trillion going both ways *Exports support 14 million American jobs. [Wages 16.5% higher] 6.5 million Americans work for foreign companies in the U.S. Toyota alone has created more than 100,000 U.S. jobs. 2009 Deficit in goods $501 Surplus in services $135 $381 2010 Deficit in goods $646 Surplus in services $149 $488 U.S. Export of Services [X=$543 B; M=$394 B in 09[ [+149B] 500 million visit the U.S. every year bringing in $70 billion. Foreign visitors buy tourism “exports”, such as hotel rooms, airline fares and consumer goods. Kentucky colleges welcome 5,018 foreign students Watching American movies & TV programs [foreign sales who for contribute million to the state’s economy.revenue. accounted about half$85 of the film industry’s $5 B box-office Hiring American investment bankers, engineers, consulting fees, royalty payments, accounts, architects, advertising agencies and even 38[they U.S. earned schools have 65 branches in 34 countries. lawyers $20 billion]. Using American hospitals or attending schools. The U.S. has more great collegesU.S. than the restAbout of 3% of all college are foreigners. Tuition-paying foreign students pay the students world combined. about $18 billion a year on tuition, housing, & consumer goods. About 700,000 foreign college students attend American colleges. Texas attracted the 3rd largest # of foreign students with 38,000 who provide $615 million net spending to the Texas economy. India leads with 104,000; China is next with 98,000; S. Korea has 75,000; Canada has 30,000; &master’s Japan – 29,000; In Texas,and 55% of engineering degreesUSC-7,500. go to CCCC has 630 foreign students. 1/3 of Richland’s are foreign; foreigners. Over 50% of the PH.D.s in mathematics go to 2,000 at UTD out of 15,000. They make up 25% of grad students & “nonresident aliens”. Also, 75%sci of and engineering PH.D.s&go to of 5% of undergrads. 1/3 of U.S. eng doctorates 40% foreigners. PHD’s in comp sci go to foreigners. “Begging at the gates of world’s best” 276 365 200 249 230 180 180 160 160 140 163 140 120 120 120 100 83 80 100 60 80 60 40 20 0 50 40 92 20 Deficit 0 Canada 61 of 48 $273 Canada China Mexico China Japan Germany Mexico Japan 49 UK Germany 39 Korea EXPORTS UK 49 Korea 36 Taiwan 39 France IMPORTS 32 Netherlands 29 Singapore 27 France http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/highlights/top/index.html 26 Taiwan Country Imports from Exports to Australia Beef Aluminum Autos Airplanes Computers Auto parts Belgium Jewelry Cars Optical Cigarettes Airplanes Diamonds Canada Cars Trucks Paper Auto parts Cars Computers China Toys Shoes Clothes Soybeans ($9 B) Semiconductors 5 B Chemicals ($4 B) Germany Cars Engines Auto parts Airplanes Computers Cars Japan Cars Computers Telephones Airplanes Computers Timber Russia Oil Platinum Artworks Corn Wheat Oil Seed crops [canola & sunflower] South Korea Shoes Cars Computers Airplanes Leather Iron ‘ngots Toyota Camry and Toyota Tundra Honda Accord and Honda Odyssey Minivan BMW Z4 Roadster & BMWX5 SUV Mercedes-Benz-M-Class Toyota Corolla Subaru Legacy Hyundai Elantra Nissan Maxima Chrysler Crossfire Dodge Ram Plymouth voyager Chrysler PT Cruiser Buy American? Chrysler 300 Pontiac Firebird Chevrolet Camaro and Impala Ford Fusion Mercury Capri Chrysler 300 1957 Chrysler 300 Toyota Camry and Tundra – U.S.A. (California and Texas) Honda Accord and Honda Odyssey Minivan – U.S.A. (Ohio) BMWX4 Roadster and BMWX5 SUV – U.S.A. (South Carolina) Mercedes-Benz-M-Class – U.S.A. (Alabama) Toyota Corolla – U.S.A. (California) Subaru Legacy – U.S.A. (Indiana) Foreign nameplates Nissan Maxima– U.S.A. (Tennessee) were made in the U.S. Hyundai Elantra– U.S.A. (Alabama) Dodge Ram – Mexico Domestic nameplates were Plymouth Voyager – Canada made in other countries. Chrysler PT Cruiser – Mexico Pontiac Firebird – Canada Chevy Camaro and Impala – Canada Ford Fusion - Mexico Mercury Capri – Australia Chrysler Crossfire - Germany Chrysler 300 - Canada This competition gives consumers higher quality, more choices, and lower prices. Globalization has blurred national auto identities. Fiat owns Chrysler. Daimler builds Mercedes SUVs in Vance, Alabama and owns stake in Mitsubishi and 10% of Hyundai Motor. GM did own Saab and has stakes in Isuzu, Suzuki, Subaru, Fiat and Daewoo. Ford owns Mazda and Volvo. By 2011, predictions are that foreign-based automakers will build more cars at U.S. auto plants than the “Big 3”. The BMW plant in S. Carolina sends 40% of its cars to other countries. This is an example of in-sourcing. As many as 20% of our exports are a result of in-sourcing. Toyota’s Tundra plant in San Antonio received 110,000 applications for the 2,000 positions that pay from $15.50 to $25 an hour. Honda provides 50,000 high-output V-6 engines for GM cars, blurring the distinction between U.S./foreign cars. Asian and European auto co’s employ 92,700 Americans directly and 574,500 indirectly accounting for 33% of U.S. auto production. The “Big 3” employ 240,000 workers. It is less expensive to build an Accord here than ship it from Japan. Only 16% of Honda cars sold here are imported from Japan. Honda also buys $13 billion worth of parts from 620 suppliers in North America. Toyota Georgetown, KY Princeton, IN Fremont, CA San Antonio, TX [$800 mil. Plant employing 2,000] Honda Marysville, OH East Liberty, OH Lincoln, AL Hyundai Montgomery,AL Nissan Smyrna, TN Canton, MS Mitsubishi Normal, IL Hyundai Montgomery, AL BMW Spartanburg, SC Mercedes-Benz Vance, AL Subaru Lafayette, IN Volkswagen Chattanooga, SC KIA West Point, GA [parts from 15 countries] Ford Escort Switzerland may get the inputs to make the speedometer and gears from several countries. 1. Nestle Switzerland 2. Shell Netherlands 3. Lipton Great Britain 4. Baskin-Robbins Great Britain 5. Burger King Great Britain 6. Alka Seltzer Germany 7. Volvo Sweden 8. Sony Japan 9. Tropicana Canada 10. TV Guide Australia 11. Vaseline Great Britain 12. Bayer Germany 13. Gatorade U.S. 14. Adidas Germany 15. Levi Straus U.S. Global Fruit Basket Apples New Zealand Apricots China Bananas Ecuador Blackberries Canada Blueberries Chile Coconuts Philippines Grapefruit Bahamas Grapes Peru Kiwifruit Italy Lemons Argentina Limes El Salvador Oranges Australia Pears South Korea Pineapples Costa Rica Plums Guatemala Raspberries Mexico Strawberries Poland Tangerines S.Africa Watermelons Honduras In an average can of mixed nuts, you find almonds from Italy, walnuts from China, Brazilian nuts from Bolivia, cashews from India, pistachios from Turkey, and hazelnuts from Canada. Trade fosters competition, which rewards productivity and restrains cost. Video Equipment TV sets Toys Photo equipment Roasted coffee Audio equipment Dishes & flatware Women’s outerwear Men’s shirts/sweaters Film & photo sup. Girls’ apparel Men’s footwear New cars More-traded Products Five-year price change (percent) Women’s dresses Rice HH laundry equip. Less-traded Products Buy D-FW BUY Buy “D” Buy only from your self. 1. Food 2. Economic knowledge [If we consumed only the goods & services we produced, we would toil long hours but remain dirt poor] Japan – “Land of the $30 pizzas, $30 lipstick, $50 melons, $100 jeans and $4,500 two-bedroom apts.” Japan has been a closed economy [fewer choices, higher prices] Item N.Y. Tokyo Shock Absorbers Alternator Watermelon Cup of coffee Cab to airport Stamp Gallon of gasoline Newspaper Movie Ticket $228 $120 $5 $1 $30 .44 $3.00 1.50 $14 $605 $600 $50 $7 $200 .79 $7.00 $2.00 $20 The Japanese paid $28 billion per year in higher prices for rice because they would not buy from U.S. rice farmers. Japanese consumers pay $600,000 in higher prices for each job protected. We have 550 cars per 1,000; Japan has only 240 per 1000 inhabitants. Japanese cameras are more expensive in Tokyo than in New York. In Tokyo, you have to have a sizable inheritance to be able to afford a house. Japan has had a decade-long economic tailspin, even with interest rates less than 1%. [Selected Nations] The 8 largest export nations account for 46% of world exports. Percentage Share of World Exports, 2009 0 China Germany U.S. Japan Netherlands France Italy Belgium 2 4 6 8 10 12 Principal U.S. exports include chemicals, agricultural products, consumer durables, aircraft, and semiconductors. So, China & Germany are the leading export nations but the U.S. is the leading export and import [or trade]nation. Source: World Trade Organization The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2009 was $273 B. Wal-Mart bought $20 B from China in 2010 & is their 8th largest trade partner. Top Chinese Imports (percentage of all imports) 88% of all Radios 87% Christmas & festive items 83% Toys 70% Leather goods 67% Shoes 67% Handbags We import 54 million golf 65% Lamps and lights 64% Cases for cameras, balls from China each year. eyeglasses, etc. 60% Drills, power tools 56% Household plastics 54% Sporting goods 53% Ceramic Kitchenware After a series of product recalls, from pet food to tires, American regulators are paying more attention to goods exported to the U.S. from China. 10 million toys including “Big Bird” were recalled because of “lead” or magnets that tear the intestines when swallowed by children. Who Buys Chinese Goods? The U.S. accounts for 1/5 of all Chinese export destinations, 2007. 1.5 mil imported toy trains were made using lead paint. 450,000 tires were recalled because of tire separation problems. $56 billion In goods from U.S. to China More than 60 billion cans of cat and dog food were recalled. FDA ordered recall after a poisonous ingredient was found in toothpaste. 675,000 Barbie doll accessories The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2010 was $273 billion. X to China $92 B M from China $365 B Feb 2011 The US buys far more from (IMPORTS) than it sells (EXPORTS) to China - the US claims this is because China has kept its currency artificially weak. In fact trade with China accounts for 14.3% of all US trade - the States only does more trade with Canada. Apple’s I phone… $1.9 billion trade deficit Export Goods & Services make up about 12% of American GDP Exports have more than Doubled as a percent of GDP since 1975 When I $498 billion trade deficit in 2010 was born! Write these into your notes!!! Babe Ruth was the best hitter and pitcher on his team. He had been the best pitcher in the American League for several years, winning 94 Hank Aaron had over 2,500 more at-bats than the Babe. Hitting a homerun every 10-11 games and losing only 46. He could produce at-bats, the Babe would have had over 200 more homeruns, somewhere around “950”. the same amount of home runs as any teammate with fewer at bats. The problem was that if he pitched, he would bat fewer times because pitchers need rest after pitching. The Babe had helped the Red Sox win the pennant in 1915, 1916, & 1918. He had pitched 29 scoreless innings in the world series. As a pitcher for the Red Sox in 1918 & 1919, he hit 40 of the Red Sox 46 home runs. After being sold to the Yankees in 1920, the coaches decided that the Babe had a comparative advantage in hitting. A few pitchers on the team could pitch almost as well as the Babe, but not one could touch the his hitting. In terms of opportunity costs, the Yankees would lose fewer games if the Babe specialized in hitting. So – the Babe ended up hitting 714 home runs even though he spent seven years as a pitcher. And the Red Sox don’t win again – until 2004. Output v. Input Comparative and Absolute Advantage Rabbit 1G=3B 1/3 G=1B Rabbit Wabbit Wabbit 1G=2B 1/2 G=1B Wabbit Rabbit 1B=3G 1/3 B=1G Rabbit Wabbit 1B=2G 1/2 B=1G Terms of Trade: 1G = 2.5 B Product Market [outputs] Country Guns Butter Rabbit 40 units 120 units Wabbit 20 units 40 units Terms of Trade: 1B = 2.5 G Resource Market [inputs] Country Guns Butter Rabbit 40 hours 120 hours Wabbit 20 hours 40 hours What country has an absolute advantage in guns? Rabbit What country has an absolute advantage in guns?Wabbit Why does Rabbit have an absolute advantage in guns? Why does Wabbit have an absolute advantage in guns? Rabbit can produce absolutely more guns than Wabbit Wabbit can produce guns absolutely faster than Rabbit [40 units v. 20 units] [20 hours v. 40 hours] I Can do 8 push-ups. I have an absolute advantage in the production of push-ups. I Can do 42 push-ups. Ole Miss guy MSU Bulldog I can clean that house in 4 hours. Future Rebel/Blackbear Maid I’m more efficient. I can do the same work in 3 hours so I have an absolute advantage. Future MSU Maid service owner! Two Isolated Nations Constant Costs [Straight Line PPF’s] Different Domestic Costs Different Technology and Resources in Each Nation Self-Sufficiency Output Mix Trading According to Comparative Advantage With trade, a few people lose a lot, a lot of people gain a little. [Freer trade is like improved technology] “We can produce 60 tons of corn, so - we have an absolute advantage because we can produce more corn with the same resources.” 60 “We can produce 40 tons of corn.” 40 “We can produce 60 tons of corn, so - we have an absolute advantage because we can produce more corn with the same resources. OR we could produce 50 tons of Wheat with those same resources. We are Absolutely better at corn, and COMPARED to you we should do corn and you should do wheat 60 50 “We can produce 40 tons of corn or we could grow 50 tons of wheat with the same resources.” Maybe we should do wheat? Because COMPARED to you, we are better at wheat and not as good at corn! 50 40 Country Comparative advantage due to natural resources & climate United States Canada Saudi Arabia France Brazil Israel Mexico Wheat, corn, and cereals Timber Oil Wine Coffee Oranges and grapefruit Tomatoes Comparative Advantage and differences in opportunity Comparative advantage largely due to physical capital, costs are the basis for specialized Country human capital, and scientificproduction knowledge and trade. United States Japan Germany United Kingdom Taiwan Switzerland South Korea Aircraft, computers, industrial chemicals, plastics, & chemicals Automobiles, steel, electronics Machine tools, scientific instruments, luxury automobiles Financial services Textiles Watches Ships • Should Wisconsin grow oranges? • Should Florida make cheese? • No & No! [We don’t want the Florida cheese heads] – – – – Wisconsin should specialize in cheese Florida should specialize in orange production Then trade cheese for oranges Florida Cheeseheads More cheese and oranges for everyone! • Disadvantages: – Job losses among dairy farmers in Florida – Job losses among orange growers in Wisconsin • Advantages: - Job gains among dairy farmers in WI and job gains among orange growers in FL more than make up for the other job losses. - Trade is beneficial for both states as a whole … … though not for all residents. PPC – before trade & 80 specialization– prisoners of their own PPC’s and CPC’s Before trade, I’m a prisoner of my own PPC. PPC CPC F I S 40 H [Consumption Possibilities Curve] Tom Hanks alone Tom’s Domestic Comparative Cost 1 shrimp = 4 fish ¼ shrimp = 1 fish 0 SHRIMP 20 10 90 Before trade, I’m a prisoner of my own PPC. PPC CPC F I S 45 H [Consumption Possibilities Curve] Bubba Gump alone Bubba’s Domestic Comparative Cost 1 shrimp = 6 fish 1/6 shrimp = 1 fish 0 SHRIMP 15 7.5 Comparative and Absolute Advantage Fish Toms’s DCC costs 1S = __4 F 100 1/4 S = 1F 80 __ 50 40 can produce at a lower productive opportunity cost] Tom “A prisoner of my own PPC.” Bubba 90 Bubba’s DCC 6 1S costs = __F 1/6 __ S = 1F “I can consume only on my PPC.” Fish [Comparative Advantage 45 Terms of Trade 5 fish 1 Shrimp = __ World CC 10 oShrimp 20 5 Fish 1 Shrimp=__ 0 7.5 9 15 18 Shrimp 1__ /5 Shrimp=1 Fish Separately they could have 90/15 or 80/20- together they can have 90/20! Bubba and Tom are better together- they can SHARE! “Do what you do best & trade for the rest.” Bubba should catch fish and Tom should catch Shrimp and share Trade Allows Nations to Consume Beyond Their PPCs While Producing On It 100 We are suspending reality. CPC (after trade) CPC (before trade) 80 FISH PPC (before & after trade) 10 shrimp & 50 fish 11 shrimp and 45 fish 10 shrimp and 40 fish 12 shrimp & 40 fish 50 45 40 “Now with trade, you can escape your PPC and CONSUME more of both fish and shrimp.” 0 10 20 Shrimp Comparative and Absolute Advantage Coffee Haiti’s DCC costs 1B = __4 C 100 1/4 B = 1C 80 __ 50 40 can produce at a lower productive opportunity cost] Haiti “A prisoner of my own PPC.” 10 o Bread 20 90 Cuba Coffee [Comparative Advantage Cuba’s DCC 6 C 1B costs = __ 1/6 __ B = 1C “I can consume only on my PPC.” 45 Terms of Trade 5 coffees 1 bread = __ World CC 0 1 Bread=__ 5 Coffees 7.5 9 Bread 15 18 1__ /5 Bread=1 Coffee “Trade is the free lunch of economics.” 1. (Haiti/Cuba) has an absolute advantage in coffee and (Haiti/Cuba) has an absolute advantage in bread. 2. Haiti will export (bread/coffee) [comparative advantage] and import (bread/coffee). [comparative disadvantage] & Cuba will export (bread/coffee) & import (bread/coffee). 3. Mutually advantageous trade can occur between Haiti & Cuba when 1 bread is exchanged for (3/5/7) tons of coffee. Production in both is subject to (increasing/constant) opportunity costs. “Export” what it can produce at a lower relative price and “import” goods it can buy at a lower relative price. Absolute Advantage - more efficient, can produce more with “Do what you do best the same number of inputs [who can produce absolutely more] & trade for the rest.” Brazil 30 Chile’s DCC costs 2S 1W= __ ___W = 1S ½ Chile 20 6 1.5 2 3 4 0 Wheat Steel 12 Steel Brazil’s DCC costs__ 1W= 4 S ¼ = 1S ___W 15 Terms of Trade 3 Steels 1 Wheat= ___ 10 0 5 10 Wheat 1 World CC Wheat = __ 3 Steels __ Wheat = 1 Steel 1/3 4. Chile has a comparative advantage in (wheat/steel) & an absolute advantage in (wheat/steel/both). Brazil has a comparative advantage in (wheat/steel). 5. The opportunity cost of one unit of wheat for Chile is (2/4/6) units of steel. The opportunity cost of one unit of steel for Brazil is (1/2 or ¼ ) wheat. 6. If the 2 countries trade, Chile would export (wheat/steel) & import (wheat/steel). If the 2 countries traded, Brazil would export (wheat/steel) & import (wheat/steel). Examples of comparative advantage Country Comparative advantage due to natural resources & climate United States Canada Saudi Arabia France Brazil Israel Mexico Wheat, corn, and cereals Timber Oil Wine Coffee Oranges and grapefruit Tomatoes Country Comparative advantage largely due to physical capital, human capital, and scientific knowledge United States Japan Germany United Kingdom Taiwan Switzerland South Korea Aircraft, computers, industrial chemicals, plastics, & chemicals Automobiles, steel, electronics Machine tools, scientific instruments, luxury automobiles Financial services Textiles Watches Ships 70 40 0 Bread Bread DCC for U.S. costs __ 14 B 1H= 1/14 = 1B ___H Brazil Ham 5 0 Ham 4 DCC for Brazil costs__ 1H= 10 B ___ 1/10 H = 1B Terms of Trade 1 Ham = __ 12 Bread 8. Brazil has a comparative advantage in (bread/ham) and a comparative disadvantage in (bread/ham). 9. The opportunity cost of producing 1 unit of ham for the U.S. is (10/12/14) breads. 10. Acceptable terms of trade might be 1 ham for (8/12/16) breads. The countries of: “Fuzzy” and “Wuzzy” Fuzzy A B CC D E F DCC: Fuzzy Wuzzy A B D E F DCC: Wuzzy B C 5 P 2500 1500 1000 500 0 1G = __ Plums 1500 1200 900 3 P Plums 3500 1G = __ 900 600 300 0 1G 35002500 1/5 G = 1P 150 300 450 575 700__ 1/3 G= 1P Grapes 1P Grapes 0 100 200 0 150 200 300 400 500 500__ Terms of Trade 1 Grape = 4 __ Plums 11. In Wuzzy, the opportunity cost of 1 grape is (1/2/3/4/5) plums. 12. Fuzzy has a comparative advantage in & should produce (plums/grapes). 13. The terms of trade will be 1 grape for somewhere between (3&5/2&6) plums. 14. Assume that if Fuzzy did not specialize it would produce combo “C” and if Wuzzy did not specialize it would produce combo “B”. The gains from specialization and trade are: (0/100/150) plums and (0/100/150) grapes. Plums: They were making 900(c) and 2500(b) separately- so a total of 3,400 plums working separately… but if we let Wuzzy focus completely on plums… (while fuzzy is making grapes) there will be 3,500! So that is 100 extra… to share! (and 150 extra grapes) Froggy Pork(tons) Beans(tons) 2.5 pork [10x1/4] A B C D E DCC: Froggy 4 3 2 1 0 1P = __ 5B 0 5 10 15 20 1/5 __ P = 1B Woggy A B C D E DCC: Woggy Pork(tons) 8 6 4 2 0 1P = __ 3 B Beans(tons) 0 6 12 18 24 1/3 __ P = 1B 8 beans [2x4] Terms of Trade 4 Beans 1 Pork = __ 15. Production in both countries is subject to (increasing/constant) opportunity cost. 16. If these 2 nations specialize in accordance with comparative advantage, Froggy will produce (pork/beans) & Woggy will produce (pork/beans). 17. In Froggy, the opportunity cost of 1 pork is (1/5 or 5 or 3) beans’ 18. Assume that prior to specialization & trade, Froggy produced combo “C” and Woggy produced “B”. If these 2 nations now specialize according to comparative advantage, the total gains will be (4/2/0) tons of beans & (4/2/0) ton(s) of pork. 19. Feasible terms of trade would be (1/6/4) ton of pork for (1/6/4) tons of beans. Piggy Fish Chips 50 Fish [10x5] A B C D E DCC: Piggy 4 F 80 60 40 20 0 1C = __ 1/4 C = 1F 0 5 10 15 20 __ Wiggy A B C D E DCC: Wiggy Fish 240 180 120 60 0 1C = __F 6 1/6 C = 1F Chips 0 10 20 30 40 __ 12 chips [60x1/5] Terms of Trade 1 Chip = __ 5 Fish 20. (Piggy/Wiggy) has an absolute advantage in both fish & chips. 21. For Wiggy, the opportunity cost of producing 1 ton of chips is (1/4/6) tons of fish. 22. Wiggy should specialize(export) in (fish/chips) and import (fish/chips). 23. Before specialization and trade Piggy chose combo “C” and Wiggy chose “B”. After specialization, the gains from trade were (20/40/60) tons of fish and (0/10/20) tons of chips. Fish: They were making 40(c) and 180(b) separately- so a total of 220 fish working separately… but if we let wiggy focus completely on fish… there will be 240! So that is 20 extra… to share! (piggy still makes an efficient 20 chips) 15 soups [30x1/2] Doggy Soup Peanuts A B C D E DCC: Doggy Woggy 1 P 60 45 30 15 0 1S = __ Soup 0 15 30 45 60 Peanuts 60 Peanuts [30x2] A B C D E DCC: Woggy 3P 20 15 10 5 0 1S = __ 0 15 30 45 60 1/3 __ S = 1P Terms of Trade 1 Soup = __ 2 Peanuts 24. If trade occurs, Doggy will export (soup/peanuts) and import (soup/peanuts). Woggy will export (soup/peanuts) and import (soup/peanuts). 25. For Doggy, the opportunity cost of 1 soup is (1/2/3) peanuts. For Woggy, the opportunity cost of 1 soup is (1/2/3) peanuts. 26. Prior to specialization, Doggy & Woggy chose combination “C”. Now each specializes according to comparative advantage. The gains from trade will be (0/20/40) units of soup & (0/20/40) units of peanuts. Fish Wheat Djibouti DCC: Djibouti Canada 2 Fish 20 hours 10 hours 1W costs = __F 20 hours ___ 1/2 W=1F Wheat 60 hours DCC: Canada 1 W costs = __ 3F ___W 1/3 = 1F Terms of Trade: 1 Wheat = 2 __ .5 Fish 27. (Djibouti/Canada) has an absolute advantage in both commodities. (Djibouti/Canada) has a comparative advantage in producing wheat. 28. (Djibouti/Canada) has an absolute disadvantage in both, but a comparative advantage in fish. 29. Advantageous trade can occur between the two when 1 wheat is exchanged for (1/2.5/3) fish. We are going to turn inputs into outputs. In 20 hours, Djibouti can produce an output of 1 wheat or 2 fish. In 60 hours, Canada can produce an output of 1 wheat or 3 fish. [lower # of hours gives absolute advantage] Caviar 6 hours Wheat 3 hours DCC: U.S. 2 1C = __W __ C = 1W 1/2 Russia DCC: Russia 4W Caviar 16 hours 1C = __ Wheat 4 hours 1/4 __ C = 1W Terms of Trade 3 Wheats 1 Caviar = __ 30. (Russia/U.S.) has an absolute disadvantage in both commodities. (Russia/U.S.) has a comparative advantage in wheat. 31. (Russia/U.S) has an absolute advantage in both commodities. (Russia/U.S.) has a comparative advantage in caviar. 31. Advantageous trade can occur between the two nations when 1 caviar is exchanged for (1/3/5) tons of wheat. We are once again turning inputs into outputs. In 6 hours, the U.S.A. can produce an output of 1 caviar or 2 wheats. In 16 hours, Russia can produce an output of 1 caviar or 4 wheats. Absolute Advantage [Outputs v. Inputs] Remember that with outputs or quantity, the larger number indicates absolute advantage; that country can produce absolutely more with the same inputs, and is more efficient. Product Market And with inputs (hours), the smaller number indicates absolute advantage; that country is more efficient because it can produce a good absolutely faster than the other with the same inputs. Resource Market 2nd Most Missed Question On 95 AP Exam [26% correct] Country Food Clothing Ducky 20 hours 50 hours Wucky 10 hours 20 hours Wucky Ducky a. Ducky has a comparative advantage in the production of both food and clothing. b. Wucky has a comparative advantage in the production of both food and clothing. c. Ducky has a comparative advantage in food production, & Wucky has a comparative advantage in clothing production. d. Ducky has a comparative advantage in clothing production, & Wucky has a comparative advantage in food production. e. Neither country has a comparative advantage in the production of either good. Country Food Clothing Ducky 20 hrs 50 hrs 1C = 2.5F; .4C = 1F Wucky 10 hrs 20 hrs 1C = 2F; .5C = 1F Terms of Trade might be 1C = 2.2F Output v. Input Comparative and Absolute Advantage Wabbit Rabbit 1G=3B 1/3 G=1B Rabbit Wabbit 1G=2B 1/2 G=1B Wabbit Rabbit 1B=3G 1/3 B=1G Rabbit Wabbit 1B=2G 1/2 B=1G Terms of Trade: 1G = 2.5 B Product Market [outputs] Country Guns Butter Rabbit 40 units 120 units Wabbit 20 units 40 units Terms of Trade: 1B = 2.5 G Resource Market [inputs] Country Guns Butter Rabbit 40 hours 120 hours Wabbit 20 hours 40 hours What country has an absolute advantage in guns? Rabbit Why does Rabbit have an absolute advantage in guns? What country has an absolute advantage in guns?Wabbit Why does Wabbit have an absolute advantage in guns? Wabbit can produce guns absolutely faster than Rabbit Rabbit can produce absolutely more guns than Wabbit [40 units v. 20 units] What country has a comparative advantage in guns? Wabbit Wabbit can produce guns at a lower opportunity cost [2 butters v. 3 butters] [20 hours v. 40 hours] What country has a comparative advantage in guns? Rabbit “Let’s change inputs into outputs.” Rabbit can produce guns at a lower opportunity cost [1/3 butter v. 1/2 butter]