Presents: Top 10 trends for 2014 Top 10 trends for 2014 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Waste not want not You can trust us Simpler pleasures Look out for the small guy Health is more holistic “New” superfoods Rise of the hybrid The protein horizon New stealth strategies Alternative alternatives Trend 1: Waste not want not Waste not want not • • • The development of secondary markets for the reuse of food and by-product recycling with energy recovery will become the norm. Transit and packaging innovation will come to the fore to keep food fresher for longer, along with smaller pack availability. Waste “footprints” could become the next environmental measure for both big and small companies. Food waste related patents and abstracts tracked 500 Patents 400 100 418 30.8% 312 259 300 200 Abstracts CAGR 2008 to 2012 187 31.1% 39 55 0 2009 2010 88 88 2011 2012 Patent and scientific article publications tracked with “food waste” and “food loss” has increased significantly in the last years. Packaging is the key player in waste reduction Single serves Freezable “Single serve packs for no waste.” “Frumoo can even be frozen beforehand, reducing waste and keeping the lunchbox cold.” UK: McLelland Seriously Strong Grated Extra Mature Cheddar Cheese UK: Fresh Milk & Real Fruit Strawberry & Blackberry Recycling more “Santa Cruz Organic recycle more than 95% of their waste – an award winning achievement.” Canada: Santa Cruz Organic Raspberry Lemonade. Trend 2: You can trust us You can trust us • • • • Ingredient origin claims will move to the front-of-pack and be more prominent. The use of tracking codes or QR codes on packaging to view where ingredients are sourced from will be more readily applied. Hormone free, GMO free and similar claims will be sought out by consumers. Niches for super premium ingredients or products may evolve to meet the demands of more skeptical and discerning consumers. Source: The Guardian Source: BBC News How transparancy is displayed to gain trust Traceability Full traceability of ingredients. Hongkong: Babynat Organic Apple & Blueberry Puree for Babies No antibiotics Pork raised without antibiotics. Canada: Schneiders Country Naturals Maple Syrup Countryside Pork Sausage Origin of the beef Beef origin: France France: Letal Du Boucher 10 Haches Au Boeuf: 10 Beef Burgers Trend 3: Simpler pleasures www.innovadatabase.com Simpler pleasures • • • • Consumers are reassessing their needs and going back to basics. They are finding more pleasure in simpler food. There has been a shift towards home cooking, with food bringing family and friends together. There is growth on the budget and premium sides, but the center ground being squeezed. Value packaging and “good value” claims on the products themselves and in-store value promotions are prospering. Examples of simple pleasures Rebranding private label Rebranding of the private label brand with more attractive packaging. Netherlands: AH Basic Milk chocolate Ready to bake Ready prepared paste for a sweet chocolate cake. France: Prepat Pate Toute Prete Moelleux Au Chocolat: Chocolate Cake Paste Finest ingredients Tesco has recently relaunched its Finest line. UK: Tesco Finest Restaurant Collection Coq Au Vin Trend 4: Look out for the small guy www.innovadatabase.com Look out for the small guy • • Big companies will be increasingly looking to smaller companies for product innovation ideas. Craft-inspired or handmade snacks, biscuits and beverages will be the “small guy” categories with the most potential to impact future trends. New ingredients, concepts and preparation methods for more health benefits will emerge. Flavor authenticity, innovation or in some cases flavor novelty will be a strong driver for new product development. • • US Craft Beer Sales (in $ billion) 10 9 CAGR = 12% 8 7 6 5 2007 2008 2009 Source: Brewers Association 2010 2011 2012 Although total US beer consumption is decreasing, craft beer is gaining popularity. The 52% increase in craft beer sales from 2007 to 2011 indicates that mainstream beer is also losing share to crafted beers. Small companies, big ideas New healthy concept: ½ veg & ½ fruit An important marketing strategy for the success of small companies is a fun or inspiring personal story of how they came up with their product idea. It establishes the brand as small and honest and creates an emotional connection to the consumer. UK: Vegesentials Beetroot, Kiwi & Carrot Smoothie Authentic Authentically pan-popped maize. Proudly made in Britain by hand in the old-fashioned way. UK: Blooms Favourite Recipe Hot and Smokey Pop Corn Organic & healthy Happy honest treat. Nice and healthy. Organic. Netherlands: Justnuts Pineapple & Cashew Bar Trend 5: Health is more holistic www.innovadatabase.com Health is more holistic • • • • More body, mind and spiritual connections will be made with particular ingredients. Health-giving, natural extracts full of rejuvenating medicinal properties will be applied in food and beverages, where possible. Vitamins & minerals promotion will continue to be a strong claims focus. Traditional medicine alternatives will be further explored, including Traditional Chinese Medicine and Ayurveda. Global food and beverage product launches tracked with a vitamin/mineral fortification (2012 H1 – 2013 H1) 180 2012 – H1 160 = Index 100 140 120 100 100 80 60 40 20 0 +52% 2012 - H1 152 126 2012 - H2 2013 - H1 Product launches tracked with vitamin/ mineral fortification was up 52% from 2012-H1 to 2013-H1. Fortified – naturally healthy – traditional medicine Vitamin fortification High in vitamin C Belgium: Delhaize Superfruit Grape, Acerola, Raspberry Strawberry Juice Naturally healthy Naturally rich in omega 3 and protein UK: Braham & Murray Good Sweet Cinnamon Hemp Seed Traditional medicine All the ingredients for Hari Crunch Cereal derived from controlled biological cultivation, after an Ayurvedic formulation (Ayurveda is one of the world's oldest medicines). Germany: Aalenaa Hari Crunch Organic Crunchy Muesli Open Up Trend 6: “New” superfoods www.innovadatabase.com “New” superfoods • • • Regulatory pressure is leading to an increased focus on fruits and vegetables, due to the global obesity epidemic. Previously forgotten vegetables and alternative grains will be applied in a wide range of products to convey more old fashioned health and nutrition. Marketing fruit & vegetables’ natural health attributes as far as vitamins and minerals are concerned will become more pronounced. A blast from the past: the new superfoods: parsnips, artichokes, kale, salsify, freekeh and chia are being tracked in more and more products. Interesting formats for new superfoods Chia Freekeh Kale as a snack Blend of chia, spirulina, chlorella, fruits, ginger, curcumin, wheat grass, omega 3s, fiber, electrolytes, vitamins and minerals. Rosemary & rock salt crackers are partly made from cracked green wheat freekeh. A delicious raw food snack made of kale and wasabi and raw superfoods like wheatgrass. France: Trachealth Simple Super Seeds Chia Superfoods Drink Blend Malaysia: Tuckers Natural Multifibre Rosemary and Rock Salt Crackers United Kingdom: Inspiral Raw Wasabi Wheatgrass Kale Chips Trend 7: Rise of the hybrid www.innovadatabase.com Rise of the hybrid • • • • Well-known brands will venture into previously unconsidered categories. Cross-branding will become more prevalent to capitalize on brands’ popularity and as a means to further reinforce brands in the consumer mindset. New flavors, textures and delivery methods will continue to excite from an innovation perspective. Limited edition innovation should increase as companies test the market to see if new concepts are worth pursuing. Hybrid product examples New flavor Combination of 2 traditional concepts Combination of 2 traditional concepts Pepsi cola flavored Fritolay corn snacks. A delicious doughnut/muffin fusion. Crunchy bread rolls with a juicy pizza topping inside. Japan: Fritolay cola flavored corn snacks United Kingdom: Starbucks Germany: Dr. Oetker Pizzaburger Speciale Trend 8: The protein horizon The protein horizon • • • The addition of protein sends subliminal weight management messaging due to its satiety attributes. This marketing platform will continue to offer added value. More male specific marketing will emerge for mainstream protein products. Vegetable protein ingredient development will continue to flourish, in order to become available to a wider range of consumers. Development of the protein claims tracked on a global basis 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 Globally, a sharp rise in product launches tracked with protein claims has been reported. 2010 = Index 100 2010 2011 2012 For men, weight management and snacking Yogurt for men The first yogurt for men. Excellent source of protein. US: Powerful Yogurt Plain Weight management Suitable for individuals with high protein requirements (e.g. diet-conscious and athletes). Germany: Body attack protein pancake with stevia. Greek yogurt as a healthy snack Mixed berry acai flavored granola bites with Greek yogurt coating. US: Rickland Orchards Greek on the go Greek yogurt coated mixed berry acai granola bites. Trend 9: New stealth strategies www.innovadatabase.com New stealth strategies • • • The fat, sugar and salt content of products will continue to decrease, but most manufacturers will choose to not actively market this. The US demonization of trans fats will lead to the disappearance of partially hydrogenated fats altogether. Industry pledges will continue to evolve. Some companies will set their own targets in order to gain the perception of being socially responsible. Development of the average sodium content in US cracker launches tracked per 100g 105 100 Manufacturers are flying under the radar with stealth reduction. For example, US companies are reducing the sodium content of savory snacks like crackers. It is happening, albeit quietly. 95 90 2009 = Index 100 85 80 75 2009 2010 2011 2012 Stealth reduction: sodium and sugar Sodium reduction Kraft Original BBQ sauce has reduced its sodium content by 40% since 2005. This reformulation was achieved through the use of ingredients: natural hickory smoke flavor, dried garlic and dried onions. Sugar reduction The Heinz classic Ketchup was tracked with 8.5% less sugar in the most recent product launch tracked. Stealth: -8.5% Kraft Original Barbecue Sauce 2005: Heinz Tomato Ketchup: 25.7g sugar Now: Heinz Tomato Ketchup: 23.5g sugar Trend 10: Alternative alternatives Alternative alternatives • • • • Consumers are expecting more choice to the dairy alternative mainstay soy. New product categories such as kogurt (coconut milk yogurt) have emerged. This will continue as a result of on-going “free from” new product development. Nut and grain milks satisfy other health trends such as “The protein horizon” and “New superfoods.” As gluten free options continue to expand, so too are the possibilities for wheat replacement. Improvements are being made in texture and taste. Development of global almond drink product launches tracked in dairy alternative drinks category (2010-2012) 250 209 200 150 2010 = Index 100 100 107 2010 2011 100 50 0 2012 The number of tracked almond drink product launches has more than doubled from 2010 to 2012. Alternative products accross different categories Free of multiple allergens Soy milk alternative Gluten free pizza Free of 8 most common allergens. Dairy free. Nut free. Soy free. Wheat free. Tree nut free. Egg free. Fish free. Shellfish free. Gluten free. Dairy, soy and gluten free. Dairy free and gluten free pizza made with organic rice flour. US: Enjoy Life Cherry Cobbler Decadent Soft Baked bars US: Suja Vanilla Cloud: Coconut Almond Drink US: Amy’s Dairy Free Rice Crust Cheeze Pizza