Doing Business with China Austin Zhao Special Presentation for SWCA November 10, 2011 © PATHWAY TO CHINA 2011 Brief Introduction Pathway to China: Consulting -- China-business services Over two decades of hands-on experience Targeting Clients: US manufactures & distributors 2 Business Model The Old Way Chinese Co. Chinese Co. $ Broker ¥ US Co. Pathway to China US Co. PTC 3 Core Offerings Marketing & Selling to China Direct Sourcing from China Training & Coaching of Chinese Business Culture 4 China “Let her sleep, for when she wakes, she will shake the world.” Napoleon Bonaparte 5 Facts & Figures of China Economy: 2nd largest economy in the world (2010) Countries GDP (in trillion US$ ) Annual Growth Rate (%) Unites States 14.66 2.8 China 5.87 10.3 Japan 5.46 3.9 Germany 3.32 3.5 Source: CIA World Factbook, 2010 Foreign Exchange Reserves: about $3.2 trillion (Jun. ‘11) US Debt Purchased: $1.14 trillion (Aug. ‘11), #1 buyer 6 Facts & Figures of China Middle Class: 150 million (2010), exceeding the combined population of the U.K. and France. 400 million more in the next 10 years, Colleges produce: 400,000 engineers and scientists per year, more than U.S, Japan and Germany combined. Largest car market: 18 million car sales (2010). Largest Internet users: 485 million (end of June. ’11) more than a third of the entire population. Mobile phone subscribers: 927 million (end of Aug. ’11). Biggest consumer of steel, copper, and cement. 7 Growth in US Imports from China 23.1% 400 5.1% ↑ Value in $ Billion 18.2% ↑ 300 ↑ 338 322 296 288 23.8% 250 29.1% ↑ 21.7% 200 22.4% 243 197 ↑ 152 ↑ 150 ↑ Year 2010 365 ↑ 11.7% 350 -12.3% 125 102 100 Rank Country $B 1 China 365 2 Canada 276 3 Mexico 230 4 Japan 120 5 Germany 83 6 UK 50 7 Korea 49 8 France 39 9 Taiwan 36 10 Ireland 34 Not including Hong Kong, 4 Bs. 50 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Source: USITC Database 8 Growth in US Exports to China 32.1 % 100 90 9.5% 18.1% 80 32.0% Value in $ Billion 70 ↑ 71 70 55 22.2% 50 ↑ 28.9% 40 ↑ 30 19 42 35 ↑ 14.7% 20 ↑ 65 ↑ 20.5% 60 ↑ ↑ -2.6% Year 2010 92 28 22 Rank Country $B 1 Canada 248 2 Mexico 163 3 China 92 4 Japan 61 5 UK 48 6 Germany 48 7 Korea 39 8 Brazil 35 9 Netherlands 35 10 Singapore 29 Not including Hong Kong, 27 Bs. 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Source: USITC Database 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9 US – China Trade in General Year 2010 US Statistics Rank 1 2 3 4 5 Country Canada China Mexico Japan Germany China Statistics Rank Country 1 EU 2 US 3 Japan 4 S.E. Asia 5 S. Korea US & China – 2nd largest trade partner of each other Source: USITC Database and Ministry of Commerce of China 10 Driving Force of the Growth Political Stability Economic System Reform The People & the Culture Hard-working & Self-sacrifice Education Discipline Financial Prudence 11 Downside/Problems Increasing gap between the rich and the poor → Inequality Increasing Labor Cost Ageing Population Environmental Pollutions 12 What We Buy from & Sell to China Buy Sell 1. Consumer electronics, appliances 2. Computers & components 3. Telephone Sets & Cell phones 4. Toys & games 5. Furniture 6. Footwear 7. Apparel 8. Leather & travel goods 9. Lamps & Lights 10.Plastics Articles 1. 2. 3. 4. Source: USITC Database Soybeans Scraps (Metal, Paper & Plastic) Aircraft & Components Computer parts, Communication equipment 5. Chemicals 6. Cars 7. Cotton 8. Plastics 9. Machinery & equipment, components 10.Optics & medical equipment 13 Chemical Trade with China Import Export 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. Petroleum Coke 2. Polyethylene 3. Plastic Scrap 4. Polyvinyl Chloride 5. Diammonium Phosphate 6. Polypropylene 7. Acetone 8. Ethylene Glycol 9. Acrylonitrile 10. Fuel Oil #5-7 Rubber Articles (Tires & Gloves) Plastics & Plastic Articles Urea Crude Oils and Oils obtained from bituminous minerals 5. Kerosene-type Jet Fuel 6. Liquid Caustic Soda 7. Paraffin Wax 8. Artificial Corundum 9. Iron Oxides and Hydroxides 10. Sulfuric Acid 65.71% of All Chem. Imp. 52.03% of All Chem. Exp. 14 Source: Ministry of Commerce of China &USITC Database Brief on China Chemicals More than 36,700 manufactures with 6.9 million employees in the chemical industry # 1 producer in nitrogenous fertilizer, phosphorous fertilizer, soda ash, caustic soda, sulfuric acid, calcium carbide, pesticide, dyestuff, tire, methanol and synthetic fiber #2 producer in ethylene, synthetic resin, synthetic rubber 15 Brief on China Chemicals 2nd largest in chemical production 2010: $1.20 trillion in 2010, 15% of whole world chemical demand 2nd largest in chemical consumption 2010: $1.25 trillion, (import: $185.5 billion, 14.8% of total China’s consumption) US Export to China: $17 billion - 33.84% increase in 2010 US Import from China: $13.4 billion - 29.8% increase in 2010 16 Challenges/Risks A man ordered size 14.5 slipper and got size 1450 (82.7” x 51.2” x 25.6” ) 17 Challenges/Risks Quality Inconsistency Risk in Advanced Payment Bureaucracy & Corruption Cultural Differences 18 Conclusion 1. Everything is possible 2. Nothing is easy 3. When you are very optimistic, please refer Point # 2 4. Before you give up, please refer to Point # 1 19 Thank You! Austin Zhao Pathway to China www.pathwaytochina.com austin@pathwaytochina.com Tel: 713-954-4878 Fax: 281-966-1878 Cell: 281-630-6666 20