1 Role of Governments in Agricultural Insurance Ramiro Iturrioz Insurance for the Poor The World Bank October, 2010 2 Contents Overview of the Agricultural Insurance Market Government expenditures in agricultural insurance Characterization of agricultural insurance systems Rationale for Government intervention in agricultural insurance Why Government support to agricultural insurance is needed? Potential roles of the Government in providing support to agricultural insurance Agricultural Insurance Premium subsidies Government involvement in agricultural risk financing Lessons and Conclusions 3 Agricultural Insurance Overview (2009) Agricultural Insurance Premiums: Geographic Distribution Europe, US$ 3,900 Mio (20.1%) USA & Canada, US$ 10,700 Mio (55,6%) Asia, US$ 3.,800 Mio (19,7%) Africa, US$ 55MM(0,3%) LAC, US$ 721 Mio (3.5%) Aus & NZ, US$ 112 Mio (0.6%) Premiums : US$ 19.4 billons (estimated) USA , China, and Canada: 66% of the premium volume BRIC countries are gaining importance (US$ 3. billons) MPCI is the most agricultural insurance product 4 Government expenditures in agricultural insurance Estimated Government Expenditures in Agricultural Insurance: Geographic Distribution Europe: US$ 1,500 Mio (37% of the total Agricultural Insurance Premiums) USA & Canada: US$ 7,800 Mio (73% of the total Agricultural Insurance Premiums) Asia: US$ 1,800 Mio (50% of the total Agricultural Insurance Premiums) Africa: US$ 1 Mio (3% of the total Agricultural Insurance Premiums) LAC: US$ 260 Mio (36% of the total Agricultural Insurance Premiums) Australia & NZ: US$ 0 Mio (0% of the total Agricultural Insurance Premiums) In average, the estimated public sector expenditures in agricultural insurance (US$ 11.5 billions) accounting for 59% of the total premiums written worldwide in 2009 5 GOVERNMENT INTERVENITON Characterization of agricultural insurance systems Public Sector based High Insurance penetration levels Well Diversified Portfolios Social criteria prevails over Technical criteria Monopolies. Several issues with the service.. Government assumes full liability (not reinsured) High Fiscal Cost High Insurance penetration levels Well Diversified Portfolios Technical criteria over commercial criteria The competition is for service. Government adds stability to the system Private Sector adds know how. Reasonable Fiscal Cost Pure Market Based Low to moderate penetration. Low risk diversification. Commercial prevails over technical criteria. The competition is for price No fiscal cost PLAYERS & PRODUCT DIVERSIFICATION Public Private-Partnership is a suitable market model for agricultural insurance 6 Rationale for Government intervention in agricultural insurance To Manage Natural Disasters Rationale for Government Intervention in agricultural insurance To stabilize income in rural areas To avoid ad-hoc disaster payments To have budget stability To use it as tool for rural development 7 Why government support to agricultural insurance is needed? Existence of market failures Why government support to agricultural insurance is needed? Insurance industry capacity constraints Cost of agricultural insurance provision Farmers’ affordability issues The above Constraints are most applicable to Developing Countries? BUT…. The highest levels of Government Financial support to Agricultural Insurance are found in High Income Countries (North America and Europe) 8 Potential roles of the Government in providing support to agricultural insurance Provide Legal & Regulatory Framework Potential Government roles in supporting agricultural insurance Enhancing Data & Information Systems Education and Capacity Building Research & Development (Products) Public Premium Subsidies Catastrophic Risk Sharing / Risk Financing 9 Government support to agricultural insurance in key countries Forms of Government support to agricultural insurance Agricultural Insurance Pool Public sector MPCI Insurer Premium Subsidies A&O cost subsidies R&D cost subsidies Catastrophic Risk sharing/ financing USA No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Canada No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Spain Yes No Yes No No Yes Portugal No No Yes No No Yes Italy No No Yes No No No France No No Yes No No No Turkey Yes No Yes No No No India No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Philippines No Yes Yes Yes No No South Korea Yes No Yes Yes No Yes China Yes No Yes Yes No Yes Brazil No No Yes No No Yes Mexico No No Yes No Yes Yes Chile No No Yes No Yes No Colombia No No Yes No No No Country 10 Agricultural insurance premium subsidies Farmers Usual Justification for premium subsidies •Improves access to crop insurance (Affordability) •Improves access to crop credit (replace collateral) •Permits income stabilisation •Improved credit repayment following catastrophe events Insurance Industry •Enables companies to levy technically correct commercial rates •Enables higher uptake rates •Improves risk spread •Reduces adverse selection Governments •Provides Incentive for farmers to purchase crop insurance •Replaces ad hoc disaster relief by formal agricultural insurance •Stabilises farm incomes •Social objectives (reduce urban migration?) HOWEVER, Premium subsidies are not necessarily a pre-condition for high agricultural insurance penetration rates Even in heavily subsidized markets it may take many years to achieve high levels of agricultural insurance uptake That currently nearly all Public Private Partnership crop insurance schemes are dependent on premium subsidies to cover their claims costs 11 Agricultural insurance premium subsidies Premium subsidies are the most widely practiced form of government support to agricultural insurance WTO legislation exempts (permits) premium subsidies BUT, Premium subsidies can create moral hazard, Premium subsidies can promote agriculture in unsuitable (marginal) areas, Premium subsidies can benefit larger farmers disproportionately, Premium subsidies can create huge financial costs to society (e.g. USA/Europe) Few developing countries could afford to fund high level of subsidisation of premiums Government funding can be better used in: Developing agricultural risk management infrastructure (enhancing data & information, training & education, R&D) Catastrophe Risk Financing / acting as a reinsurer of last resort 12 Government involvement in agricultural risk financing Risk Layering Wherever possible promote private sector insurance and reinsurance Return Period Catastrophic risk • Government catastrophe reinsurance Certain levels of catastrophic loss (e.g. 20-30 years Insurance and Reinsurance Government involvement in catastrophe risk Intermediate risk drought, flood, hurricane) will not be possible to insure / reinsure without government help financing (reinsurance) represents an ex-ante planned activity 5-7 years Government catastrophe reinsurance is a 3-5 years Retained on farm Independent risk more effective way of using limited financial resources than premium subsidies Insurance or funding 13 Government involvement in agricultural risk financing • United States — A special public/private reinsurance agreement (Standard Reinsurance Agreement) with global reinsurance participation • South Korea— Government provide a crop insurance loss cap for the insurance and reinsurance industry for loss ratios above 200% • India — AIC, a national public agricultural insurance company that is jointly reinsured by central and state governments • Brazil — Individual companies can contract stop loss reinsurance from “Fundo de Catastrofe” (managed by IRB) + global reinsurance + public sector • Portugal — Private commercial insurers can purchase government Stop Loss Treaty protection under SIPAC + global reinsurance. • Spain — An agricultural insurance pool (Agroseguro) protected by a national reinsurance insurance company (Consorcio de Compensaçion de Seguros) + involvement of global reinsurers • Mexico — A national public reinsurance company (Agroasemex) providing voluntary reinsurance to private agricultural insurers + global reinsurers • Canada — Government insurance which is shared between provincial and central governments with some global reinsurance participation 14 Key lessons and Conclusions on Government support to agricultural insurance • Underwrite agricultural insurance through Private Commercial Insurers wherever possible • Promote Private-Public Partnerships (PPPs) • Promote agricultural reinsurance through local and global international reinsurance markets • Important areas of government support: ▫ Creation of enabling legal & regulatory framework ▫ Education and training ▫ Data & information enhancement and dissemination ▫ Product design & rating (technical support) • Exercise extreme caution with agricultural insurance premium subsidies • In some circumstances, government support as a reinsurer of last resort may be justified