OIPE_Brief_IDS_DRAFT_141229

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29 December 2015 DRAFT
Operational Intelligence Preparation
of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing
Isla del Sol
2-10 April 2015
UNCLASSIFIED
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Agenda
1. What is OIPE?
2. OIPE for the Isla del Sol:
A. Geography;
B. Weather, Threats and Hazards;
C. Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information,
Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT);
D. Actor and Stakeholder Analysis;
E. Troop Contributing Country Military Resources;
F. Humanitarian Situation.
UNCLASSIFIED
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What is OIPE?
• OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation
Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational
operations.
• OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment
• A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be
identified the problem must first be clearly understood.
– Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned
military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand
the situation.
• OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the
Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes:
– Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy,
weather, terrain;
– Added considerations that political, military, economic, social,
infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational
environment.
UNCLASSIFIED
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• This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this
workshop.
• A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each
laptop in your planning groups.
UNCLASSIFIED
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Isla del Sol
2° S
4° S
6° S
8° S
168° E
170° E
172° E
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS within the Region
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS within the Region
UNCLASSIFIED
7
IDS Geography & Demographics
• Island nation running northwest to
southeast.
• Mountain spine runs entire length
of island;
• Sea level to 1,500 m mountain
peaks;
• Land area:
• ~ 140,000 km2
(~ 54,054 sq mi)
• Slightly smaller than Nepal and
Tajikistan.
• Population: 320,000 (2011 census)
• 54% urban & small towns (over
5,000 persons);
• Largest town: Ensenada at
63,192.
• 46% small towns and rural.
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS Weather, Threats and Hazards
• Weather
– Semi-arid to desert.
– Mostly desert (≤ 30 cm of
rainfall).
– Semi-arid in southeast plain.
• Temperatures
– Average 20° to 31° C (68°to
88° F).
– Cooler in higher elevations.
– Little seasonal variation.
• Hazards
– Cyclones from January to
April.
– Flash flooding and
landslides.
– Tsunami exposure in lowlying areas.
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
Political: Parliamentary
republic.
• Capital: Santa Rosalia
• 3 administrative districts
• Executive Branch

Prime Minister Carlos
Manuel de Céspedes
del Castillo

12 Cabinet Ministers
• Legislative Branch

Unicameral parliament
– National Constituent
Assembly

120 Assemblymen

4-year terms.
• Judiciary:
 Highest court: Tribunal
Supremo
 Provincial courts:
Audiencia Provincial
 Municipal courts:
Tribunal Municipal
Isla del Sol gained
independence from former
colonial ruler Iberia 24 March
2014 through a UN-brokered
referendum.
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
Military
• Military: None
• Security Forces:
– Gendarmerie
 Guardia Civil
 Island-wide jurisdiction
 Divided into 3 Legions
 1,500 Officers and enlisted personnel
 Guardia Municipal
 Metropolitan police for Ensenada and Santa Rosalia
 210 police officers
– Coast Guard
 Servicio Guardacostas
 130 Officers and enlisted personnel
 6 Zhuk-class patrol boats
 2 Fokker F-27 maritime surveillance aircraft.
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
Economic:
• Underdeveloped agriculture and fishing economy:
33% ranching / herding / subsistence agriculture;
24% fishing;
19% commerce;
13% services.
• Potential for economic growth with foreign investment in
oil exploration and palm oil farming.
• Inequitable distribution of income and wealth.
• Annual gross national product: US$ 400 million.
• Annual per capita income: US$1,250.
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
Social:
• Population: 320,00 (2011
census)
• Age structure:
• 0-14 yrs.
35.3%
• 15-24 yrs.
21%
• 25-64 yrs.
40.1%
• 65+ yrs.
3.6%
• Ethnic identity:
• Mestizo
29%
• Mohanjerani
25%
• Lahui Kanaka
24%
• Mixed
21%
• Other
< 1%
• Religious affiliation:
• Christianity
(Roman Catholic)
• Islam
• Lahui Kanaka
• Other
• Language (primary):
• Spanish*
• Western Arabic
• Lahui Kanaka
43%
41%
15%
< 1%
37%
32%
31%
* Spanish is the official language
and lingua franca of commerce.
Most Isla del Sol citizens speak
conversational Spanish.
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
Information
• Literacy rate: ~ 50%;
• 65% of population with < 5 years of formal education.
• Television:
• 1 state-owned station with national coverage;
• Multi-channel pay TV available.
• Radio:
• 2 state-owned radio stations;
• 2 privately owned radio stations;
• Multiple international broadcasters available.
• Telephones:
• Main lines in use: 25,400
• Mobile phones in use: 164,200
• Internet: 36,000 internet users.
• Newspapers: 2 large-circulation newspapers
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS PMESII-PT
Physical
Time
• Generally poor infrastructure,
• +11 hrs. from UTC
especially in rural areas.
(Same as New Caledonia)
• Distances from Santa Rosalia to (in
km):
Australia, Sydney
3,699.9
Fiji, Suva
1,462.7
Japan, Tokyo
5,778.6
Malaysia, KL
7865.1
New Caledonia, Noumea
2,896.1
New Zealand, Auckland
3,369.5
Solomon Islands, Honiara
1,369.4
Thailand, Bangkok
8,193.3
Tuvalu, Funafuti
828.9
USA, Honolulu, HI
4,527.5
UNCLASSIFIED
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Major Actors in IDS
• Government of Isla del Sol:
–Guardia Civil;
–Guardia Municipal;
–Servicio de
Guardacostas.
• Armed Terrorist / Insurgent
Groups:
–Sons of Isla del Sol
(SIS);
–Kamali’I ka Me’e Lahui
Kanaka (“Children of
Lahui Kanaka Heros” –
KMLK);
–International Peoples’
Movement (IPM).
• Organized Crime Families:
–Mohajerani Criminal
Gangs (MCG);
–Lahui Kanaka Criminal
Gangs (LKCG).
UNCLASSIFIED
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Major Actors in IDS
Gendarmerie and Servicio de Guardacostas
Legion 3
Guardia Municipal
Guardia Civil
(by Legion)
Servicio de
Guardacostas
UNCLASSIFIED
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Major Actors in IDS
SIS Area of Influence and Piracy Operations
Ensenada
SIS Area of
Influence
SIS Piracy
Operations
San Felipe
Servicio de
Guardacostas
bases
Santa
Rosalia
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDS (cont.)
• IDS displaced persons:
• All IDPs
100,000+
• IDPs in
San Felipe camps ~90,000
• United Nations Support Mission
in Isla del Sol (UNSMI)
• Humanitarian and Development
communities:
• UN humanitarian agencies,
funds & programmes;
• International organizations;
• Red Cross societies;
• Non-Governmental
Organizations: “IDS CAA”.
• Foreign Workers:
– Major employers:
 Petroliam Nasional
Berhad (PETRONAS)
 Shell Oil Company (USA)
 Sime Darby Berhad
– Largest number of foreign
workers
 Malaysia
9,500
 USA
1,250
UNCLASSIFIED
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Major Actors in IDS
UNSMI and IDP Camp Locations
HQ Santa
Rosalia
FO Ensenada
FO San Felipe
San Felipe IDP camps
Field
Offices:
• Ensenada
• Guerro
Negro
FO Santa Catarina
• Loreto
• San Felipe
• Santa
Catarina
FO Guerro Negro
HQ Santa Rosalia
FO Loreto
• San Felipe
IDP camps
X3
UNCLASSIFIED
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Major Actors in IDS
Locations of Foreign Economic Interests
PETRONAS /
Shell Oil Sites
Ensenada
Sime Darby
palm oil
plantations
1
San Felipe
Airports
1
Seaports
1
Bahia Tortugas
Highway 1
1
San
Ignacio
Santa
Rosalia
1
UNCLASSIFIED
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Major Actors in IDS
Locations of Foreign Economic Interests &
SIS Areas of Influence and Piracy Operations
Airports
Ensenada
Seaports
1
1
San Felipe
Highway 1
PETRONAS /
Shell Oil Sites
1
Sime Darby
palm oil
plantations
Bahia Tortugas
SIS Area of
Influence
1
San
Ignacio
Santa
Rosalia
SIS Piracy
Operations
1
UNCLASSIFIED
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Isla del Sol
Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation
• Mission: Evacuation of 1,916 foreign civilians from Isla del
Sol.
• French-led Non-combatant Evacuation Operation in IDS,
mixed nations, mixed services.
• NEO Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed services
• NEO Forces Staging Area: Nouméa, New Caledonia
–French government offers Nouméa as staging and
destination point.
• IDS government consents to operation; anticipate SIS
attempts to disrupt operation and / or target evacuees.
• Evacuees: Foreign non-essential diplomatic personnel
and families, foreign aid workers and foreign workers.
UNCLASSIFIED
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Isla del Sol
Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation (cont.)
• Concentrations of evacuees:
–Northern District: Ensenada, San Felipe, Northern
GOPLATs
–Central District: Santa Catarina, Guerro Negro, El
Barril
–Southern District: Bahia Tortugas, San Ignacio, Santa
Rosalia, Southern GOPLATs, Loreto.
• Destinations: Directly to home country or to Nouméa,
New Caledonia, for commercial transport home.
• Violence in Northern District, instability in Central and
Southern Districts, piracy offshore.
• Execute mission NLT 1 May 2015
UNCLASSIFIED
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Isla del Sol
Non-Combatant Evacuation Operation
Airports
Ensenada
Seaports
Highway 1
1
1
PETRONAS /
Shell Oil Sites
San Felipe
Sime Darby
palm oil
plantations
1
Bahia Tortugas
UN &
Humanitarian
Operations
1
San
Ignacio
Santa
Rosalia
1
Santa
Rosalia
Diplomatic
missions
SIS Area of
Influence &
UNCLASSIFIED
Piracy
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Assets Available for Planning
Non-combatant Evacuation Operation
• Assets Available for Planning
• TBD
• TBD
•
TBD
UNCLASSIFIED
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Isla del Sol
Stability Operation
• Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in providing security,
countering terrorism and protection of civilians.
– At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275
and 2282 (2015).
– Area to be secured: Isla del Sol.
• French-led stability operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed services.
• Stability Operations Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed
services.
• Stability Operations Forces staging area: Nouméa, New Caledonia.
– French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging area.
– Participating nations to transport troops to staging area.
• Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition.
• Execute mission NLT 11 May 2015
– Handover to IDS Security Forces by 11 July 2015, full transition of
operations by 21 August 2015.
• Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.
UNCLASSIFIED
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Locations of Security Incidents
As of 31 March 2015
SIS Area of
Influence
Ensenada
SIS Piracy
Operations
1
Airports
San Felipe
Seaports
1
1
Bahia Tortugas
Highway 1
PETRONAS /
Shell Oil Sites
1
San
Ignacio
Santa
Rosalia
Sime Darby
palm oil
plantations
1
UNCLASSIFIED
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Assets Available for Planning
Stability Operation
• Assets Available for Planning
• TBD
• TBD
•
TBD
UNCLASSIFIED
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Isla del Sol
Maritime Security Operation
• Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in countering acts of
piracy, providing security and protection of civilians in waters off IDS.
– At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275
and 2282 (2015).
– Area to be secured: Waters surrounding Isla del Sol.
• French-led Maritime Security operation, mixed nations, mixed
services.
• Maritime Security Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed
services.
• Maritime Security Forces staging area: Nouméa, New Caledonia.
– French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging area.
– Participating nations to transport assets to staging area.
• Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition.
• Execute mission NLT 16 May 2015
– Handover to IDS Servicio de Guardacostas by 16 July 2015, full
transition of operations by 21 August 2015.
• Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.
UNCLASSIFIED
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Locations of Security Incidents –
As of 31 March 2015
SIS Area of
Influence
Ensenada
SIS Piracy
Operations
1
Airports
San Felipe
Seaports
1
Servicio de
Guardcostas
bases
Bahia Tortugas
1
San
Ignacio
Santa
Rosalia
PETRONAS /
Shell Oil Sites
1
UNCLASSIFIED
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Assets Available for Planning
Maritime Security Operation
• Assets Available for Planning
• TBD
• TBD
•
TBD
UNCLASSIFIED
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IDS OIPE Brief – Questions?
UNCLASSIFIED
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