Contextual outline - Jobbik-voters: who
they are, what do they think?
Peter Kreko
Research Director, Political Capital Institute
Assistant Professor
ELTE University, Budapest, Pedagogical and
Psychological Faculty
Radical right in
Hungary - Back by
popular demand?
Tendency in support of Jobbik
Average percentage values of 4 polling institutes (Tárki, Medián,
Szonda Ipsos, Századvég)
Current party preferences (average)
Socio-demographic features of
Jobbik voters
Percentage of 18-35 years old respondents in different political
groups
50
43
45
40
40
35
30
31
DK/No
response
Total
32
30
25
20
19
15
10
5
0
MSZP
FIDESZ
Jobbik
LMP
The „typical” Jobbik voters?
„Losers of the
transition”:
• Poor
• Undereducated
• Marginalized
• Strongly religous
Poor?
Percentage of respondents living in a very badly equipped or
badly equipped household
60
54
50
43
45
43
40
30
26
22
20
10
0
LMP
Jobbik
FIDESZ
Don't
know/no
response
MSZP
Total
av erage
Monthly income of the household (HUF)
200000
190000
180000
170000
160000
150000
140000
130000
120000
110000
100000
Don't know/no
response
MSZP
FIDESZ
Jobbik
LMP
Undereducated?
Level of education (overall population)
MSZP
FIDESZ
Jobbik
LMP
Don't know/no
response
maximum
8-grade
elementary
31
30
13
technical
school
university
32
28
30
high
school
graduate
28
26
41
9
16
15
100
100
100
13
25
38
25
29
31
28
12
100
100
Level of education (under the age of 35)
MSZP
FIDESZ
Jobbik
LMP
Don't know/no
response
maximum
8-grade
elementary
35
26
14
technical
school
9
22
Total
university
17
21
19
high
school
graduate
42
37
57
Total
7
17
11
100
100
100
15
30
55
35
22
13
100
100
Do you regularly use internet? - percentage of "yes" answers
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
MSZP
Don't
know/no
response
FIDESZ
LMP
Jobbik
Total
Strongly Religious?
Percentage of atheists in party voter camps
("I am not religous")
34
35
33
31
29
27
26
26
Don't know/no
response
FIDESZ
28
28
28
Total
LMP
MSZP
25
23
21
19
17
15
Jobbik
Gender gap in party voter camps (% )
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
43
43
45
46
46
Male
66
Female
57
57
55
54
54
34
LMP
MSZP
FIDESZ
Don't
know/no
response
Jobbik
Total
Some attitudinal characteristics
Trust in other people
4,8
4,6
4,4
4,2
4,6
4,0
3,8
4,1
4,2
Jobbik
(n=240)
MSZP
(n=379)
4,9
4,1
3,6
Fidesz
(n=839)
LMP
(n=127)
Bizonytalan
(n=1065)
Mean of responses to the item "The most people can be trusted or one can't bee too
careful" (0-10 scale)
Trust in political institutions (means on 0-10 scale)
Jobbik
6,0
MSZP
Don't know/no response
5,0
LMP
FIDESZ
Total
4,0
3,0
2,0
1,0
0,0
Parliament
Legal system
Police
Politicians
Would you accept your children having a friendship with a ….
child? - percentage of "accept" responses
80
70
60
Gipsy
Arab
50
Chinese
40
African
Jewish
30
20
10
Jobbik
Don't
know/no
response
Total
LMP
FIDESZ
MSZP
Support for restrictive immigration policy
0,20
0,15
0,10
0,05
0,00
-0,05
-0,10
-0,15
Jobbik
(n=240)
Fidesz
(n=839)
Undecided
(n=1065)
MSZP
(n=379)
LMP
(n=127)
(The means of the values of "support for restrictive immigration policy" principal component
in different party supporter groups. The principal component was created using three items
(1-4 scale:)1 -Immigration rules should be restricted in Hungary, 2 Immigrants should be
strictly observed and controlled 3 - A criminal register should be made that includes the
ethnic origin of the criminals.
Gipsies should be given more support and benefits than nongipsies
(percentage of voters who "tend to disagree" or "fully disagree")
100
90
82
86
90
91
LMP
other
95
91
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
MSZP
FIDESZ
Jobbik
Total
Criminality is in the blood of gipsies
(percentage of voters who "tend to agree" and "fully agree")
90
80
70
60
50
79
60
61
FIDESZ
MSZP
65
63
49
40
30
20
10
0
LMP
Don't
know/no
response
Jobbik
Total
Respect of traditional values is stronger among gipsies than
among non-gipsies
(percentage of voters who "tend to disagree" or "fully disagree")
45
40
40
35
29
31
31
MSZP
FIDESZ
LMP
33
32
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Don't know /no
response
Jobbik
Total
Summary

Differences, but no gap

Jobbik can build its politics on „mainstream”
views of the society (anti-establishment
attitudes, anti-roma prejudices, etc.)

Jobbik’s support seems to be more symbolic,
than „material” in nature
Thank you for your attention!
kreko@politicalcapital.hu
www.politicalcapital.hu
www.riskandforecast.com