UNFC–2009 – Purpose of Resource Classification David MacDonald Houston 21 November 2013 A Couple of Anecdotes • A famous company misrepresents its reserves with collusion of the board of directors • Application of revised rules significantly alters management’s previous estimate • Risk mitigation not in-place results in revision of field reserves • Management found to be trading shares prior to release of revised reserves estimates Institute of Mining and Metallurgy London, 1911 Stakeholders of our Resources External Influencers Internal preparers Internal Stakeholders Internal users Governance and Assurance External user 3 Principles for Resource Classification • Project based – Project management • Classification of total volume • Clear boundaries between categories – Discovered – Commercial (economic and social license) 4 Resources are measured against … Uncertainty well defined (with high confidence) Economic to extract (commercially feasible) Technically feasible to extract Sustainable Mining and the UNFC, India, 29-30 October 2013 5 Typical Deepwater Facility Design Floating Facility Maximum Rate Design Export Facility Sources of Uncertainty • Subsurface Riser towers – Static Gas injection – Dynamic • Gathering Water injection • Processing Well count and management • Transport • Commercial Successful development plans include contingencies and mitigations for possible outcomes. 6 Reservoir Technical Limits • • Options – Doable now (or almost) Possibilities – Potentially economic – May require incremental technology development – <5 & >5 yr timescales Barrier opportunities – Technical or commercial barrier – Not currently doable or uneconomic – Requires step change 1 Reservoir Technical limit Recovery Factor • 0 Barrier RF Base Options Possibilities Barrier 7 Resource Progression Access Appraise Development Pending Select Define Execute Justified for Development Approved for Development Operate On Production Production Exploration Prospect Key Exploration Commercial Non-Commercial Potentially Commercial 8 Resource Progression Access Appraise Select Development Pending Define Execute Justified for Development Approved for Development Operate On Production Production Development on Hold Exploration Prospect Development Unclarified Remaining Prospectivity Key Exploration Commercial Non-Commercial Potentially Commercial 9 incremental production mbd Role of Technology The improvement of hydrocarbon recovery and investment efficiency is demonstrably linked with advances in technology. coil tubing drilling unit sidetracks hydraulic fractures stimulations workovers non-rig workovers The right linkage between depletion and technology plans is vital to maximising value from our assets. 10 UNFC – 2D representation Sales Production Extracted Non-sales Production Total commodity initially in place Class Future recovery by commercial development projects or mining operations Potential future recovery by contingent development projects or mining operations E F G Commercial Projects 1 1 1, 2, 3 Potentially Commercial Projects 2 2 1, 2, 3 Non-Commercial Projects 3 2 1, 2, 3 3 4 1, 2, 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 Additional quantities in place associated with known deposits Potential future recovery by successful exploration activities Categories Exploration Projects Additional quantities in place associated with potential deposits 11 Resource Identification • Aids business planning • Investment decisions for individuals and corporations • Allows efficient resource utilisation • Principally an aid to efficient development 12 Alignment of systems (schematic) UNFC-2009 PRMS CRIRSCO Sales Production Production Extracted Class Class Class Commercial Projects Reserves Mineral Reserves Total commodity initially in place Non-sales Production Potentially Commercial Projects Non-Commercial Projects Mineral Resources Contingent Resources Not reported Additional quantities in place Unrecoverable Not reported Exploration Projects Prospective Resources Exploration Results Additional quantities in place Unrecoverable Not reported Sustainable Mining and the UNFC, India, 29-30 October 2013 13 Sustainable Development for All • Definition must include entire resource base – Maintain competitive advantage – Recognise the total potential • Over-conservatism may lead to lost opportunity • Uncertainty analysis must identify the components – Technical – Project – Commerciality and Social License UNFC-2009 with its focus on economic viability, technical feasibility and uncertainty is well placed to meet all of these needs. 14 Resource Classification is not finished! 15