Developing Integrated Supply Chains Sanjeev Asthana “ Better Returns for the Indian Farmer and producer by connecting them directly to the Indian and global consumer, and lower prices and better product quality for consumer April 13, 2015 Agenda Introduction Reliance – Growth is Life Retailing in India Integrated Supply Chain: ‘Farm to Fork” Challenges Market Driven Supply Chains Most Efficient “The fundamental belief for us is that growth is life and we have to continue to grow at all times” - Mukesh D Ambani Chairman & Managing Director Reliance – Contribution to Indian Economy Revenues US$ 19.9 billion Cash Profit US$ 2.9 billion Net Profit US$ 2 billion Total Assets of US$ 20.8 billion India and Reliance Revenues equivalent to 2.8% of India’s GDP Over 8.2% of India’s total exports amounting to US$ 7.32 billion Contributing 8% India’s indirect taxes 4.7% of the total market capitalization 11.5% weightage in Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex 9.3% weightage in National Stock Exchange Sensex Retailing in India With robust economy, sustained GDP growth and booming stock exchange, there are several emerging sectors in India waiting to be tapped . . . Organized Retail Is At The Forefront Of These Opportunities Retailing Segments Fastest growing retail segments in India Jewelry Footwear and leather Durables Pharmacy Furnitures and fixtures Clothing Food and grocery 0 20 40 60 80 100 Growth Rate Agriculture Source: National Center for Agriculture Economics and Policy Research 1% change in GDP of agriculture generates 0.24% overall GDP growth Linkage effect: effect on industry: Elasticity of industrial output growth wrt growth rate of agriculture is 0.38. Agriculture contributes 24.2% to GDP, 15.2% of total exports and provides employment to 58.4% of country’s work force GAPS - Key areas Farming • What to produce? • How to create scale operations? • How to control and buy effectively? • Development & Absorption of technology Handling & Logistics Processing • What are the infrastructure & technology requirements • How to build world scale processing facilities? • Where to set up this infrastructure • How much of backward integration is necessary? • What logistics constraints have to be overcome? Retailing/ Wholesaling / Export • How to build scale? • How to develop forward linkages? • How to establish the food safety? • Can the private label market be tapped? Lack of Awareness and Low Opportunity Low Opportunity • Access to capital • Access to market • Access to technology • Quality • Efficiency • Cost effectiveness • Market Intelligence Low Productivity Lack of Awareness Poor Rural Economy Traditional Supply Chain Status Integrated Supply Chains 5- 7 intermediaries. Reduce wastages Price spread: Preserve freshness – – – – Wastage – Cost of supply chain Margin for inter Farmer realisation No grading, standardisation 20-30% 10% 40% 20-30% Reduce consumer prices Improve farmer price Improve farmer income Negligible food processing Limited exports Improve exports Wastages and Costs Current Farmer 15% Consolidator 5% Wholesaler 5% Current Scenario Produce Farmgate Price (Rs) Retail Price (Rs) Farm gate as % of retail price Wastages Tomato 2 8.2 24% 40% Potato 6.6 12 55% 24% Banana 5 9 56% 30% 5.5 9.5 58% 36% 4 12 33% 24% Cabbage Cauliflower Semi-wholesaler 5% Source: IIM Bangalore Research Retailer 8% * Wastages in red How to make this Supply Chain Efficient Strengthen Value Adding Activities e.g. Primary Procurement Infrastructure, Cold Chain, Demand Driven Supply Chains, Food Processing, Exports of Excess Produce, Food Safety Elimination of Non Value Adding Activities e.g. Intermediaries Focus on strengthening value adding activities will lead to sustainable advantages, and benefits across the value chain Agri Infrastructure - The Missing Link Warehousing & Storage Logistics Primary Processing Community Facilities Technology Development Food Processing & Export Retailing Improving Farm Productivity and Farm Incomes Status of Indian Farms Productivity can improve 3-4 times from current levels Needs technology and quality inputs No one-stop shop Need to complement the government extension machinery Market Need Trained agronomists – visit farmer fields and provide advise – monitor progress One stop shop for all agri inputs and finance Enables right choice of crop and technology in line with the ecology and market demand. Farm to Fork: Impact on Prices original price level Consumer price anticipated price level Farmer Price Markup Increase farmers’ realization and lower consumer prices Waves of Change: Inclusive Growth Rural Development 2.0 Rural Development 1.0 Rural Development 3.0 Global Linkages • Promoting GAP:EurepGAP Agriculture Services Availability of Quality Inputs and Daily Need Items • Domestic Distribution • Export • For High Value Crops • Value Addition • At Right Place • Organic Farming •High Return to Farmers • At Right Time • Expert Advice • In Adequate Quantity • Extension Services • At Reasonable Price • Vet. Services • Financial Support Inclusive Growth for All • Increased revenues will come by the reduced wastages • Farmer will gain with efficiency in supply chain • Customer will pay less for the quality produce • Information flow will lead to demand driven production • Infrastructure development leading to growth of sector • Food Processing and value addition will open new vistas • Safe to Eat Food Products • Exports will boost the price realizations of the produce Globally Integrated Supply ChainsCase of Cotton Making cotton ‘fashionable’ again ... Post access (today, 2005) – Farmers shift back to cotton – Acreages increase. Yields increase. Production increase phenomenally – Quantitative restrictions on textile exports abolished – Indian textile industry extremely buoyant – Textile machinery manufacturers see a 50% increase in sale. Their order books filled up for two years ! 30 25 20 Enhanced access 35 WTO signing Liberalisation 40 Quota dismantled Cotton production and textile exports 40 35 30 25 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 1985 1990 1995 Cotton prod - m bales 2000 2005 Tex export $bill 2010 30 25 20 Quota dismantled 35 Enhanced access 40 WTO signing Liberalisation Cotton production and textile exports 40 35 30 25 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 1985 1990 1995 Cotton prod - m bales 2000 2005 Tex export $bill 2010 30 25 20 Quota dismantled 35 Enhanced access 40 WTO signing Liberalisation Cotton production and textile exports 40 35 30 25 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 1985 1990 Cotton prod - m bales 1995 Column 3 2000 2005 Tex export $bill 2010 Line 4 THANK YOU