Nepal’s Export Potential International Trade Center(ITC), Geneva Researcher: Andreas Lendle 1 Nepal’s Examined 18 products and services Great Export Potential: • Large cardamom • Lentil • Tea • Instant Noodles • Medicinal herbs and oil 2 Nepal’s Tourism and Labor: Services found to show much promise Labor: Largest export worth US $ 2.4 billion and will remain in future too. Tourism: US $ 352 million in 2008. Lentil: US $ 22 million followed by pashmina products and large cardamom 3 Nepal’s Potential was determined on the basis of: • Existing level of export • Size of the world market and conditions of • market access (tariff structure) • Domestic supply condition. Medium-level export potential (Other sectors) Ginger, honey, silver jewellery, pashmina products, wool products, information technology and business process outsourcing(BPO) services and engineering services 4 Nepal’s Low Potential Handmade paper, health services and educational services Examined 18 sectors: 12 goods and 06 service sector Comparative Advantage 9 products in terms of tariffs being imposed on Nepal against its top five competitors 5 Nepal’s Advantages in (Tariffs) Ginger, honey, tea, Instant Noodle, Medicinal herbs, silver Jewellery, Transformer, Pashmina and Wool products in terms of tariffs. Disadvantage Against Other Competitors Handmade paper, Lentil 6 Nepal’s Suggestions Reduce high dependency on India for export of: • Cardamom, ginger, Lentil and Tea. • Brand these products including Noodles Offshore Business • Significant potential but hardly utilized • Some sectors needed government support despite their low potentials as they can have a significant impact on poverty reduction 7 Nepal’s Socio-Economic Impact 1. Instant Noodle 2. Handmade Paper 3. Medicinal Herbs and wool products and 4. Services like tourism and labor 8 Business Environment: Nepal Environment Scaring Away Investors • Security • Law and Order • Load Shedding • Credit Difficulties and continuous poor performance environment in the World Bank Ranking • No Loan, high interest rate(14-15%) not feasible • Labor problem 9 BE: Nepal World Bank(2010). Logistic Performance Index(LPI) • Nepal: One of the top poorest performers in the world in terms of: • Logistical support while exporting and importing goods • Worse than other South Asian Countries • Stands at 147th position out of 155 countries rated • Somalia: Worst Performer • Germany: Best Performer 10 BE: Nepal Reasons • Freight cost due to landlocked nature • No easy access to sea port like Switzerland • No railway • No fast track road • Existing road infrastructure is also poor and frequently obstructed • Syndicate system and increase in transportation cost 11 BE: Nepal World Bank: Doing Business 2010 Nepal’s Position 123 from 121 in 2009 Deteriorating Areas: • Starting business • Dealing with construction permits • Paying taxes • Level of Labor Rigidity • Getting Credit • Trading Across boarder • Protection of investors 12 BE: Nepal • Nepal’s position is the worst in South Asia regarding labor rigidity, one step ahead of Afghanistan in trading across boarder • Remained same in the areas of enforcing contracts and closing business • Did better in Ease of registering property in which Nepal performed the best in South Asia 13 BE: NEPAL CONCLUSION ‘One after another report about the worsening situation in Nepal to do business scares away the potential investors from within the country and outside.’ 14