Women’s work & FDI policy in India Seventh Gender and Economic Policy Discussion ‘Politics and Economics of FDI through gender lens’ 9th April 2013 Anandi Venkateswaran Under Secretary (exports) Government of India Disclaimer: The views expressed in the presentation are purely that of the author and do not represent the views of the Government of India Policy options for Govt to increase Output/ Employment Low employme nt Low investmen t Low supply chain infrastructure Exchange rate interventions to stop rupee from appreciating Or Exchange rate intervention- keep rupee from appreciating – improve exports/output High wastage Improve investment Low investmen t /low exports/hi gh imports/d eficits High cost Monetary policy-high interest rates High inflation Low savings What is FDI World Bank • foreign direct investment is • acquisition of • “a lasting management interest (10 percent or more of the voting stock) • in an enterprise operating in an economy other than that of the investor.” • Includes foreign equity inflows. Re-invested earnings,other forms of capital(NRI investment) Host country perspective Investor perspective-What attracts FDI? Market size-per-capita income like retail telecme Good governance FDI attractiveness Resourcescapital/labour/infras tructure Efficiency -Productivitywage differentials Mfg, trade,transport Mining,gas,power FDI- A caution Is mobile capital chasing immobile labour? • FDI- neo-classical oppression of capitalists on bourgeois • Ground rules- WTO rules on services restrict movement of labour but supports foreign capital flows for members • Indian scenario women’s labour is highly immobiletraditionally • Solution- Marxist approach – labour contract is a ‘contested exchange’-Wage -relative bargaining positions of labour and capital. • Highly mobile capital- pressure on immobile labour - seek incentives subsidies, tax exemptions etc • Solution lies in policies for FDI to compete fairly with benefits both for consumers and workers-cheaper goods and greater mobility FDI flows into India Total FDI Flows in USD Mn 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Total FDI Flows in USD Mn Share of top 10 investing countries FDI equity inflows April 2000-Jan 2013 Germany 3% France UAE 2% 2% cyprus 4% Netherlands 5% USA 7% Mauritius 45% Japan 9% UK 11% Singapore 12% Top five Indian destinations - FDI equity inflows Jan 2013 cumulative inflows US$ mn Mumbai NCR Bangalore Chennai Ahmedabad 7% 8% 8% 49% 28% Top 10 sectors of cumulative FDI equity inflows into India Apr 2000-Jan 2013 FDI equity $ 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 FDI equity $ Sectoral distribution of female workers (UPSS) % 2004-5 2009-10 primary sector 72.26 66.99 mining & quarrying 0.28 0.3 manufacturing 11.75 11.34 utilities 0.03 0.08 construction 1.89 5.11 trade.hotelling 4.14 4.55 tpt& communication 0.4 0.43 fianancing real estate insurance 0.63 1.05 community, social,personal services 8.61 10.16 total 100 100 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2004-5 2009-10 Elasticity of Employment to GDP Sector Estimated Elasticities 1977-78 to 1983 1983 to 1993-942/ 1993-94 to 1999-00 1. Agriculture1/ 0.45 0.50 0.00 2.Mining & Quarrying 0.80 0.69 0.00 3. Manufacturing 0.67 0.33 0.26 4.Electricity 0.73 0.52 0.00 5.Construction 1.00 1.00 1.00 6.Wholesale & Retail Trade 0.78 0.63 0.55 7.Transport, Storage & Construction 8. Finance, Real Estate, Insurance & Business Services 9. Community, Social and Personal Services 1.00 0.49 0.69 1.00 0.92 0.73 0.83 0.50 0.07 All Sectors 0.53 0.41 0.15 What typifies skill levels - Indian manufacturing employment • Highly dispersed skill levels-production lines Highly skilled /short production chain Semi-lowskilled longer production chain ( most women workers belong here • Over-lap of skills-defects accumulation occupations with high women share of employment and impact of FDI occupation Professional technical Services Production transport & communication occupations with high women share of employment and impact of FDI % share of FDI policy route and caps scope for women's work and policy needed to women in suit women's work occupation (2009-10) 26.4 Broadcasting- cable Upto – 49%Yes, good scope in urban areas due to high networks DTH etc automatic employment in professional and technical beyond that occupations. Skill-sets to be added for rural Govt route women to benefit. FM radio and uplinkin g of news 21.1 channels Up-linking of Nonnews channels Publication and printing Airport Ground handling & maintenance Training /Flying schools 33.5 Air transport services, including passengers Upto 26%Government route same as above 100%-Govt route 26-100%-Govt same as above route 49100%/automatic /govt route 100% automatic specialised training required. Scope for urban elite educated women 49high presence of women airhostesses and 74%automatic stewardess. However highly competitive sector beyond that training in soft skills and supplementary skills to govt route switch job beyond retirement age needed FDI allowed for s.t regulations 40.9 MSE and caps Non-MSEs allowed - beyond 24% in MSE productsGovt route Also require industrial licence 50% export obligations as well Pharmaceuticals 100%automatic/govt 6.3 Telecom services same as above 4974%automatic beyond that govt route highest presence of women.branding of MSE products,CSR,skill development needed Women in micro small enterprises would benefit with export turnover which is mandated women should seek ESOP to share profits women working in chemical industries possessed low levels of education as per 2004-5 study. Need to improve both education and skill sets to derive benefits.Govt to play facilitative role low presence of women in transportation though high in telecom services. Specific Skill requirements must. FDI policy where Sectoral share of female workers (UPSS) in 2009 is high Industry Specific sectors where FDI allowed and limits Sectoral share of female workers(200910) UPSS% 66.99 Has FDI impacted women employment positively in other countries and policy support required Agriculture, hunting, forestry & fishing Floriculture, Horticulture, apiculture vegetable cultivation, pisciculture under controlled conditions And in agro& allied sectors 100% -automatic Construction Existing projects Beyond 74%- govt route 100%automatic 5.11 Lot of scope for women workers as it is a low-skilled area. Decent work for women to be ensured through improvements skill development as more prefabricated constructions. Scope for urban women architects as well. 100% automatic 4.55 In multi-brand retail condition is that at least 30% of the value of procurement of manufactured/ processed products shall be sourced from Indian 'small industries' again cooperatives would help Move to benefit rural and urban as retail outlets to be set up in areas with minimum 10 lakh population. States have leverage. No e-commerce for multi-brand retailing is also helpful. Both rural and urban women in banking services can benefit. ESOP participation to be bargained. Trade, hotels & restaurants Finance, insurance, real estate & busi Constructiondevelopmenttownships,housing except FDI in real estate business100% NRIs Cash and carry including Whole sale from MSMEs e-commerce Single-brand Multi-brand retail Private banking Public sector banking -do100% Govt route 51%-Govt Upto 49% automatic 49-74% govt route Upto 20% with Govt 1.05 Yes,High positive impact –cooperative farming, improves bargaining power Women Co-operatives to seek better prices, credit, sponsored contract farming for women producers, upskilling to support. Market extension services. Pepsico for tomato puree. Foreign companies presence in women-oriented sectors • Agro-based industry- India produces 50% of World's Mango, 19% of Banana, 36% of Cashewnut , 38% of World's Cauliflower, 28% of Green Peas (Coca-Cola, Pepsi,Britannia, Danone, Nestle, Cadbury, Lever's Kellogg’s) -high rural presence can be capitalised by FDI. Share of female workers in agri, • forestry, horticulture 1993-94 2004-5 Urban 24.7 18.1 Rural 86.2 83.3 • • Automobile industry-Audi, BMW Chevrolet DaimlerChrysler (Mercedes) Fiat Ford General Motors, Hero Honda, Yamaha Motors, Hyundai Motors • Construction industry:Emmar Properties, of Dubai UK-based construction FDI in automobile industry-implications • 73% of manufacturing employment • Employs 17 mn people- direct and indirect(2012) • auto-component more labour-intensive than the auto assembly segment. • High imports auto-components from EU, Thailand, South Korea, China • W.e.f Jan 2013 import duties - components for ASEAN halved to 5% from 10% -phased out by Dec 2013. • 50% of components to be imported • benefit consumers at the cost of domestic industry/workers.. • growth in emoluments lower than growth in labour productivity. Need for skill-development. Average growth in employment in automobile sector 14 12 10 8 employment in mfr of automobiles except 2/3 wheelers 6 employment in mfr of auto components 4 2 0 2001-2 to 2003-4 -2 -4 2003-4 to 2004-5 total emoluments Rs.Cr Growth in number of automobiles produced in India 18,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 Passenger Vehicles 10,000,000 Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers 8,000,000 Two Wheelers 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 India’s Export Growth in automobiles ( nos) 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 Passenger Vehicles Commercial Vehicles Three Wheelers 1,000,000 Two Wheelers 500,000 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Trends in Skill requirement by 2022 employment 2008 •40 35 incremental HR reqts till 2022 CAGR 2008-22 % 40 35 30 30 25 20 15 25 20 15 10 5 0 10 5 0 CAGR 2008-22 % Initiatives in skill development • ‘Time lease’ Gujarat country’s first vocational university. • Skill vouchers Scheme Gujarat • ‘Global Talent Track’ in partnership with ‘CISCO system INC’ and some 900 colleges across 15 states, tied up with the University of Kashmir to train degree students with the job skills that employers are looking for. • The Prime Minister’s National Mission on Skill Development targets training 500 mn skilled persons by 2022- FDI in retail Total retail value (Share in GDP) Total employment Nos Organised retail Value $ bn 2005 2011-12 2015 $225 bn(11%) $470bn $660 bn 200 mn 8 225 mn 27 (31% clothing & apparel and home supplies 20-30%) Implications on employmentBharti-Walmart • Loss of unorganised low-skill jobs in short run and loss of selfemployment • Women fruit and vegetable vendors most vulnerable-set to suffer • organised retail improves farm prices • Low consumer prices compensate job loss -low inflation, increased output,semi-skilled employment, tax collection for economy • Bharti-Walmart forcing farmers to be cost-competitive –FDI make industry contestable • non-exclusive partnership-revocable –Bajaj quit Kawasaki Share of retail in female urban employment fell from 22.85% in 1999-00 to 16.63% in 2004, smaller fall in rural. Women’s share in total retail employment also fell from 11.25% to 9.47% (urban), smaller fall in rural – Walmart effect? Agro-industry-women’s domain • Set to curtail post-harvest losses • Quality exports- SPS measures lower • Scope for cheaper consumer prices through consolidation of ghanis, chakkis, puffing units, mills,solvent-extraction plants • supporting finance, infrastructure, credit facilities for agrobased industry • impact women agricultural laborers more than farmers-study on sugar industry, Maharashtra (Shejal2013) • Boom in tertiary sectors in rural areas • Women in fish processing, plantations,fruits, vegetables to benefit Recommendations-women skill development • • • • • • • • • Build India as a hub for skilled-womanpower Specific skill-requirements of women in sectors:mfg: Add ITIs dedicated for women The Prime Minister’s National Mission on Skill Development targets training 500 mn skilled persons by 2022Reverse causality moderate skill-dispersion- Potential solutions » increase semi-skilled workers with primary or secondary education • reforms in education and training policies, computer literacy Agro-based industry:-training in quality, packaging, marketing export promotion, brand management, finance, credit access etc Utilise KVICs,DICs etc for skill development Recommendations-FDI conditionalities • job creation conditionalities - women inclusive Head-exchange programs. • prescribe export share-case of PEPSICO • CSR conditionalities- safe and good conditions of work – initiatives Tata Motors, IL&FS, Fiat India, BhartiWalmart Recommendations-legal issues • Insist on movement of un-skilled workers under mode 4 of GATS agreement • Competition laws to rule out predatory pricing policies of Foreign companies • Labour laws • Fiscal policies to tax profits, Taxation laws for tax havens like Mauritius-improve revenue for social sectors • Fiscal benefits to Foreign companies employing a stipulated % of women • Maintain FDI in muti-brand retail upto 50% only until review . • Allow states to decide on caps and entry of FDI beyond the minimum level depending upon local conditions and cultural preferences Other recommendations • Allow FDI in labour- competing sectors of women employment to enhance mobility of labour • Brand promotion of ‘made-by- women’ products • Seek waiver fee for Importer-Exporter Code numbers for women • Seek greater assistance under EXIM policy-focus schemes • Lower threshold for status holders for women • Women banks to fund agro-based industries • Vulnerable unorganised women workers such as vendors to be supported during transition to multi-brand retail • Under the wings of demographic dividend Skilled worker supply especially those of women, should be the business of future for India. 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