Global Technology Trends in Solar PV Power : R&D and Commercial Dr. B. Bhargava 5th November, 2012 Solar Photovoltaic Energy Solar Cells : Technology Options Crystalline Silicon solar cells - Single, Multi, Ribbon Thin Film solar cells - Silicon, a-Si, m-Si, CdTe, CIGS Concentrating solar cells - Si, GaAs Dye, Organic, nano materials & other emerging solar cells Solar Cell Best Efficiencies: World HIGHEST SOLAR CELL EFFICIENCIES (WORLD) TECHNOLOGY Si SINGLE CRYSTAL Si MULTI CRYSTAL a-Si SINGLE JUNCTION a-Si TRIPLE JUNCTION a-Si/µc-Si(nc-Si) CdTe CIGS Si FILMS DYE Organic GaAs (500 x) Si/GaAs (20 x) AREA EFF. SQ. CM. % 4.00 1.00 1.00 0.27 1.20 1.00 1.00 4.01 1.00 1.0 0.4 0.4 24.7 20.3 12.7 13.5 10.1 17.3 19.6 16.6 11.0 10.0 40.7 42.8 GROUP UNSW FhG-ISE SANYO USSC Kaneka First Solar NREL Stuttgart University Sharp Mitsubishi SPECTROLAB Delaware Univ, Solar Cell Best Efficiencies: India TECHNOLOGY SINGLE CRYSTAL MULTI CRYSTAL a-Si SINGLE JUNCTION a-Si MULTI JUNCTION a-Si/µc-Si(nc-Si) CdTe CIGS Si FILMS Dye Sensitized Organic cells AREA SQ. CM. 64.00 100.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.41 0.98 1.00 1.00 EFF. % 19.7 16.8 12.0 11.5 9.0 12.0 13.0 8.7 9.5 6.2 Group CEL Tata BP IACS IACS IACS NPL IISC Jadavpur Amrita NPL Crystalline Silicon Solar Module Efficiency TYPICAL IN PRODUCTION INTERNATIONAL INDIAN SINGLE CRYSTAL 15 – 20.4 % 14 – 17 % MULTI CRYSTAL 13 – 16% 13 – 16% World PV Production Growth 45 40 35 30 25 GW 20 15 10 5 0 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 World PV Market and Production: 2011 World Top 10 PV Manufacturers: 2011 LDK 3 S har p 2.8 S untech 2.4 Fir st S olar 2.3 JA S olar 2.2 GW Canadian 2 Tr ina 1.9 Y angli 1.7 Hanwah 1.5 Jinko 1.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 World: 2011 PV Equipment Suppliers World Top 10 PV Plants: 2011 Location Capacity MWp Technology Perovo. Ukraine 100 c-si Sarnia, Canada 92 CdTe Montalto di Castro, Italy 84 c-Si Finsterwalde, Germany 83 c-Si Ohotnikovo, Ukraine 80 c-Si Senftenberg, Germany 78 c-Si Lieberose, Germany 71 CdTe Rovigo, Italy 70 c-Si Olmedilla de Alarcón, Spain 60 c-Si Boulder City, USA 55 CdTe Major PV Markets : 2010 & 2011 Solar for India Most parts of India receive good solar radiation 4- 7 kWh/sq. m/day Possible to meet growing energy demands and cover deficit areas Can substantially reduce consumption of kerosene and diesel for lighting and power generation Provide access and empowerment at grass root level Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission is one of the - - major global initiatives in promotion of solar energy technologies, announced by the Government of India under National Action Plan on Climate Change. Mission aims to achieve grid tariff parity by 2022 through Large scale utilization and rapid diffusion and deployment of solar technologies across the country at a scale which leads to cost reduction R&D Local manufacturing and support infrastructure 15 JNNSM Road Map Application segment Grid solar power incl. roof top & distribution grid connected plants Off-grid solar applications Solar collectors Target for Cumulative Phase I Target for (2010-13) Phase 2 (2013-17) 1,000 MW 4,000 MW 10,000 MW 100 MW 200 MW 7 million sq meters 1,000 MW Cumulative Target for Phase 3 (2017-22) 20,000 MW 2,000 MW 15 million 20 million sq sq meters meters 16 JNNSM Strategy Graduated deployment to nucleate critical mass till costs come down and thereafter rapid scale up Consultative process to finalize the guidelines Enabling policy and regulatory frame work Supporting Utility scale power generation Expanding off-grid applications Accelerating Research and Development Enhancing Domestic manufacturing base 17 Fiscal Incentives 100% Foreign Direct Investment Zero Customs & Excise Duties on solar cells, modules and many raw materials and grid power projects 5% Customs and Excise duty on many other raw materials, components Tax - holiday for (i) setting up units in backward and specified areas; and (ii) grid power projects 80% accelerated depreciation in the first year for certain capital investments Grant for carrying out research and development and technology validation projects Growth in Indian PV Production Production in MW 700 Solar Cell 600 600 PV Module 500 400 300 300 320 240 240 200 175 100 20 20 22 23 25 36 32 45 37 65 45 80 135 110 0 2001-02 2003-04 2002-03 2005-06 2004-05 2007-08 2006-07 Year 2009-10 2008-09 2010-11 Indian PV Industry More than 80 companies, with installed capacity of over 1.8 GW make PV modules (As of March, 2012) - 15 companies manufacture solar cells (> 700 MW installed capacity) Manufacturing of various raw materials, components, devices and systems is coming up/expanding (Poly silicon, wafers, glass, EVA, back sheet, grid inverters, off-grid BoS, structures etc.) Production capacity of 3-5 GWp likely by 2020 20 Status of PV in India Lights 90 Pumps 14 Off grid Plants 62 Int Projects 1000 Grid Plants 1044 Others 270 Railways 55 Telecom 65 2600 MW : 53,00,000 SYSTEMS 30/09/2012 Grid Solar PV Power Plants in India 1044 MW capacity new Grid Solar Power projects commissioned by September, 2012 in 16 States K ar nataka 14 T. N . 15 Jhar khand 16 Mahar ashtr a 20 Other s 80 A. P . 22 R ajasthan 199 Gujar at 680 22 PV Capital Cost & CERC Tariff Trends Proposed Cost Goal for PV : 2017 PV Module : < Rs. 30 per Wp BoS : < Rs. 25 per Wp Cost of Electricity : ~ Rs. 4 - 6 per kWh 24 Projection for Grid Parity in India 14 12 10 8 Solar Tariff 5% Tariff 3% 6 HT Tariff 3% 4 2 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 R&D Strategy Research at Academic/ Research Institutions on materials and devices with long-term perspective Applied Research on existing processes and developing new technologies Technology Validation aimed at field evaluation of materials, components and systems Development of Centers of Excellence on different aspects of Solar Energy in research and education & Testing and Characterization Support for Incubation and Innovation International collaborations – institutional/industrial 26 R&D in PV - Focus on development of materials, devices and BOS - - including storage materials and methods Identify research goals and thrust areas of research Support research across the entire value chain Involve industry in research and technology validation projects The outcome of the research should lead to (i) improvements in the efficiencies, (ii) reduction in the material and energy consumption in manufacturing, (iii) improving the reliability, quality and life expectancy of the balance of system components. This will lead to achieving grid tariff parity during 2015 - 2017 Recent Initiatives in PV R&D Development of poly silicon material (Maharishi Solar) 20 -22% efficiency single crystal silicon cells (IIT-Mumbai) 10 – 12% efficiency nano crystalline thin film modules (IACS-Kolkata, HHV-Bangalore, NPL-New Delhi, BES University,-Howrah) 12- 15% efficiency CIGS cells (Moser Baer. NPL, KIIT University) 10- 12 % efficiency Dye sensitized cells (Amrita Nano Centre, IIT-Kanpur) 6% efficiency organic-inorganic hetero junction cells (IITDelhi, Delhi University) Recent Initiatives in PV R&D Long term performance evaluation and training facility for Grid Solar PV Power at KPCL, Bangalore Long term performance evaluation and testing of solar lights at TERI University, New Delhi Long term performance evaluation of PV modules at SEC Development of batteries (CECRI-SEC) Development of inverters (IIT-B, BES University) Solar Energy Centre Solar Energy Centre (SEC) near New Delhi under the Ministry is the lead Centre for testing and training in solar energy in the country SEC has NABL accredited testing facilities for PV module qualification as per Indian and International standards SEC is imparting training in solar energy at various levels SEC is regularly conducting international training programmes in solar energy Demonstration of several solar PV and thermal applications including setting up of 1 MW capacity solar thermal simulation and validation facility at SEC is under progress 30 Solar PV outdoor test bed at SEC PV R&D Goals towards 2022 Type of Solar cell Present Status Production (R&D) Conversion efficiency target(%) 2012 2017 2022 Single Crystal silicon solar cell 15 – 17% (19.7%) Multi Crystal silicon solar cell 14.5 – 16.5% (16.8%) Thin-film a-Si solar cell (Single/multi jn) 5 – 7% (9 – 12%) 8 (13) 10 (14) 12 (15) Thin-film aSi/mc Si or nc tandem solar cell (11%) 9(12) 13 (16) 16 (20) Polycrystalline solar cell Cd Te (12%) CIGS (13%) 18 (20) 22(24) 24 (26) 17 20(22) 22 (24) (15) 13 (16) 15(20) 18 (22) 20(25) PV R&D Goals towards 2022 Type of Solar cell Present Status Production (R&D) Dye/ organic nano based solar cell (3-9.5%) Multi junction Conc solar cell GaAS group Conversion efficiency target(%) 2012 (5 -12) -- Conc Cells Si - Module Life in years 25 25 2017 2022 7-9 (15) 12-15 (20) 35(40) 40 (43) 25 (28) 27 (30) > 30 > 35 Conclusions Indian policies have created investment friendly environment in the country for entire range of activities announced under the Mission India centric R&D and local manufacturing necessary to reduce the cost to achieve grid parity preferably by 2015-17 Partnerships necessary with global stakeholders India to be a major global player in PV technology Thank You bhargavabh@gmail.com