Housing : An Engine for Inclusive Growth “Cross Country Experiences” THAILAND Ballobh Kritayanavaj Senior Vice President G H Bank – Thailand 11 April, 2013 1 Population and GDP : Thailand and South Asia Countries Population GDP Size GDP per capita GDP Growth Millions U.S. dollars Billions U.S. dollars % 2013E 2013E 2013E 2012E 2013E 1,239 2,117 1,709 4.9 6.0 Pakistan 183 237 1,296 3.7 3.3 Bangladesh 152 127 835 6.1 6.1 Thailand 65 413 6,364 6.4* 5.0* Afghanistan 33 22 668 5.2 6.5 Sri Lanka 21 65 3,104 6.8 6.7 Country India source : IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2012 2 GDP Growth and Housing Completions in Bangkok and Metropolitan Region 3 Housing Ladders Prices of New Houses Offered for Sales in BMR Market 2012 by Private Housing Developers 4 EFFICIENT PRIVATE HOUSING DEVELOPERS Data : REIC Graphic : GH Bank 5 NHA’s Subsidized Low- Cost Housing Completions (2004 – 2012) Avg # 30,000 units/year 6 Home Loan Outstanding in Thailand Market Share of Home Loans Outstanding Residential Mortgages in the Thai Economy Items 7 1990 2000 2010 2011 2012 138 689 1873 2029 2259 All Types of Loans(AL) 1979 4309 11802 12951 15346 GDP at current price 2184 4917 10104 10460 11363 RM : AL (%) 7 16 16 16 15 RM : GDP (%) 6 14 18 20 20 Residential Mortgage Outstanding (billion baht) Source : Bank of Thailand 8 Key Elements for Efficient Housing Sector 9 Economic growth (Sustainable – no bubble) - Job creation and employment stability Housing provision for all Income levels (inclusive, new home & resale, housing ladders, public & private, rental & ownership) National housing policy - Homeownership strategies Legislation & regulations (Urban Planning/Zoning, land subdivision control, building control, condominium laws, environmental control, consumer protection etc.) Land and infrastructure development (available - accessible) Housing finance (available - accessible – affordable ) - Low Interest rates – high LTV - long term up to 30 years) Key Elements for Efficient Housing Sector Land & property registration and transfer system Fiscal policy (Taxation, subsidy - supportive) Investment promotion for housing developer Labour and building materials Construction technology Education 10 (accurate and fast) (privilege through BOI) (available – good quality) (appropriate - innovative) + Training & counseling programs Statistical data & Information (Real Estate Information Center) Housing professional development (associations – developers –home builders financiers - valuers – brokers - sellers – property managers) INTEGRATED HOUSING AND HOUSING FINANCE MARKET (THAILAND) Ministry of Finance Govt. Ministries Ministry of Social Development & Human Security Bank of Thailand Special Financial Institutions Govt. Agencies (Regulators, Financiers, Com. Banks Govt Housing Bank Developers, Land registrations, Finance Companies Govt Savings Bank Investment promoter) Other Financial SMC BOI Institutions Private Sector Professional Associations Training & Education Thai Condominium Assoc. Housing Business Assoc. Thai Real Estate Assoc. Thai Home Builders Assoc. Universities RU-ABAC CU - TU Information & research Valuers Developers and Builders REIC www.reic.or.th National Housing Authority (NHA) Community Organizations Development Institute (CODI) RE Brokers Ministry of Interior Lands Department Dept. Public Works and Town Planning Community/ Property Managers Thai Valuers Assoc. Thai RE Brokers Assoc. Property Mangt. Assoc. Valuers Assoc. of Thailand - Real estate business - Housing development GH Bank Training Centers - TRETS - Associations Universities www.ghbhomecenter.com Websites Housing Journals (Thai) 19 yrs APHJ (Eng) 6 yrs 11 Mortgage Lenders Housing Finance Assoc. - Housing developemt - Housing finance - Property Valuation - Brokerage business etc. Private Medias and Research Co. -Websites - Magazines (e.g. Home Buyer Guide etc.) - Radios Ballobh K. 20 Jan 2012 Govt’s policies to promote the housing sector & economy • Housing market stimulation policy • Mortgage registration fee - Reducing 1% 0.01% (loan amount) • Real estate transfer fee 2% 0.01% (appraised value) • Specific business tax (SBT) 2% 0.01% (transaction price) • First time homeownership policy - Promoting more affordable housing GH Bank first home scheme Total project loan amount : Bt 20,000 million 0% interest rate (2- 3 years) LTV up to 100% Loan amount up to 1 million • Homeownership taxation policy income taxation • interest from home loan is deductible for (Bt50,000 Bt100,000) Low cost housing development policy - Board of Investment (BOI) - Condominiums < 1 million - Land & house < 1.2 million - Income tax exemption for 5-8 years