Structure, Conduct and Performance of the Rice Market and the Impact of Technological Changes in Milling Institution Institute of Agribusiness and Development Studies (IADS) BAU, Mymensingh Research Team Professor Dr. Shankar Kumar Raha- PI Professor Dr. Md. Monjurul Alam – CI Md. Moniruzzaman – CI Dr. M. A. Awal - CI 1 Objectives of the Research Project 1. To provide evidence and provide new evidence on rice market structure, conduct and performance in Bangladesh and To analyze the impacts of technological changes in the rice milling sector on employment, financial viability of rice mills, market concentration, rice quality, and cost of milling 2. To construct detail estimates of costs and margins for key agents along the rice marketing chain in Bangladesh and to analyze market integration between domestic and international markets. 3. To suggest policy implications for improving market structure, conduct and performance. 2 Methodology The study will be conducted by adopting the structure, conduct and performance approach (SCP). This technique was first formalized by Mason (1939) and his detailed case study approach was modified by Bain (1951). Market structure 3 Market conduct Market performance Methodology (Contd.) Area District Faria Bepari Aratdar Miller Aratdar Aratdar cum wholesal er cum wholesale r Paddy wholesal er Wholesal er cum retailer Retailer Importer Milled rice Key agents Dinajpur Surplus Rangpur Naogaon Bogra Sherpur Comilla Kushtia Deficit Sylhet Khulna Dhaka Noakhali Chittagong Total 4 15 0 3 2 0 1 16 0 0 0 2 0 39 17 13 27 15 1 3 2 7 2 10 4 5 134 13 16 21 6 32 3 7 0 7 1 5 2 112 20 10 20 8 15 2 25 2 2 2 2 2 110 0 3 1 0 4 0 0 0 6 16 0 0 30 6 7 5 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 24 5 3 10 15 8 10 17 11 8 10 12 20 129 8 4 0 0 2 14 4 9 9 5 6 5 66 11 13 11 7 8 1 8 5 3 11 10 15 103 2 3 5 Methodology (Contd.) (a) Estimation of market concentration 4 firm concentration ratio, Entropy index, and Gini coefficient. (b) Financial viability of the mills was assessed by using NPV, IRR, BCR. (c) Calculation of marketing costs and margins was done by using standard formula (Kohls and Uhl, 2005) (d) Market integration Market integration was examined by applying co-integration method developed by Engle and Granger Data: monthly wholesale price from 1990 to 2011(domestic mkts). Data: monthly export price of Thailand, Vietnam, and Eastern India converted into import parity price (1975 to 2011) 5 Overview of the structure, conduct and performance of rice market in Bangladesh Researcher Year Findings Farruk, 1970 He labeled the markets as oligopolistic as well as M.O. oligopsonistic but close observation of the functioning of this structure in the different markets did not support the prevalence of unethical market conduct. Islam et al 1987 The net return to all the functionaries in the channels was low due to intense competition. Excessive profit of the functionaries was not found. Capacity utilization of the mills varied from 40% to 65% at the peak period and 20% to 48% in low volume months. Chowdhury 1992 The market was found atomistic on both sides. The aratdar, N. cum wholesalers were powerful in the rice market as they handled about 80% -90% of all rice. No excessive concentration was found in rice milling industry. 6 Overview of the structure, conduct and performance of rice market in Bangladesh contd. Rahman, 1998 No collusion among the sellers and buyers were S.M.S. observed but the millers complained about aratdars’ collusive activity. Siddique 2010 He found low level of concentration in the rice milling, Identified a no. of requirements for the entry. , M.A.B. The millers are price taker not price maker. Performance of the rice milling industry was not good in terms of capacity utilization. Maximum mills are running with decades old machines. 7 Structure, conduct and performance of paddy market in Bangladesh 4 firm concentration (%) 90 5.4.1Buyer concentration in paddy markets 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 8 Markets 5.4.2 Entry barrier In fact there is no barrier except arrangement of requisite capital 5.4.3 Degree of product differentiation (paddy) No deliberate effort is made to make the paddy differentiated in the market. 5.4.4 Distribution of market information No formal system exist for dissemination of market information. Paddy traders collect market information through their own effort. 5.5 Conduct at paddy market -3 5.6 Performance of paddy market Paddy market is operating smoothly throughout the country; Millers are getting paddy as much they need, though farmers are not getting reasonable price for their paddy. Farmers’ perspective, paddy market is not running in favour of them. 9 Market structure, conduct and performance of rice milling industry 5.7 Dimensions of market structure (4) 5.7.1 Seller concentration in rice mill industry Measure CR4 Entropy Index , (E) Gini –Coefficient Seller concentration in rice mills 0.69 % 3.60 ,Log n =3.66 0.2436 5.7.2 Degree of product differentiation 5.7.3 Entry barrier Lack of utilities Skilled manpower Tough competition 10 Sufficient capital Suitable site 5.8 Market conduct 5.8.1 Price Policies Selling price of rice is set independently Automatic rice mill owners are in better position in negotiation for setting price. In the case of husking and semi-automatic mills buyers are more powerful. 5.8.2 Product Policy With the changing of milling technology, millers are capable to process rice according their own choice and also to buyer’s choice Sometimes the millers supply rice with labeling as per direction of traderbuyers. 11 5.8.3 Policies aimed at coercing rivals No evidence of predatory and/or exclusionary tactics adopted by the established firms in rice market. 5.9 Performance-Dimensions Capacity utilization (%) Capacity utilization of rice mills 58 56 54 56.24 54.45 52 51.78 50 48 Automatic Semi-automatic Rice mill Size of selling cost Product quality Progressiveness of the industry Employment position Discrimination by sex 12 Husking Impact of technological changes in rice milling Paddy Separator Rice shifter 13 De-stoner Silky polisher Cone Polisher Colour sorter Modern Rice mill Equipment Impact of technological changes in rice milling Table 6.1: Milling cost and profit by different types of rice mill Type of rice mill Husking SemiAuto* SemiAuto** Auto rice mill* Auto rice mill** 14 cost of paddy (Tk.) Milling cost (Tk./ton of rice) Total cost (Tk.) Byproduct Total return (Tk.) Profit (Tk.) Whole rice recovery % Rice 24300 2601 26901 27000 2230 29230 2329 65 25427 2943 28370 28500 2414 30914 2544 66.25 26016 3452 29468 30000 3448 33448 3980 64.75 25177 2563 27740 30000 3478 33478 5738 67.5 26361 3070 29431 32000 3712 35712 6281 66 *Without modern equipment **With modern equipment Return (Tk.) Table 6.2. Employment in different rice mills Type of rice mill Husking Semi-Auto Semi-Auto Auto rice mill Auto rice mill (with modern equipment) 15 Labour, Tk/ton of paddy Staff cost, Tk/ton of paddy 403 403 483 147 168 216 100 116 173 101 Employment Labour, Labour, man-hr/ manton of days/yr paddy 14.17 2232 14.17 2274 15.67 3015 3.20 3120 3.95 5925 Staff, manhr/ton of paddy 6.95 9.13 4.50 5.99 Staff, mandays/yr 4.14 6205 1095 1095 1460 5840 Financial viability of the rice mills Type of mill IRR NPV(‘000Tk.) at 10% BCR (at 10%) Husking rice mill 18.45% Semi-auto rice mill 25.23% 418 1.002 10325 1.046 Auto-rice mill 117471 1.063 16 32.54% Farmer Faria Aratdar-cum-wholesaler Bepari Procurement centre Rice miller Aratdar Aratdar-cum-wholesaler Paddy processor Wholesaler Wholesaler-cum-retailer Retailer Government procurement Consumer Figure 5.1: Typical Marketing Channels of Paddy/ Rice in Bangladesh 17 Marketing margins of paddy/rice for different actors (for 1 quintal of rice /and equivalent amount of paddy) 2000 1800 1600 Retailer 196.51 Wholesaler cum retailer Wholesaler 261.53 1400 216.02 1200 27.81 1000 800 31.9 144.91 849.98 600 145.16 7.81 400 430.38 200 0 18 Aratdar(Rice) 93.67 111 114.91 56.17 70.5 66.17 Gross marketing margin Marketing cost 164.61 Rice mill 116.62 70.86 20 Aratdar 419.6 Bepari 37.5 40.5 48.74 Faria Net margin Share of different actors in gross marketing margin, marketing cost and net margin 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 10.5 3.35 15.2 17.92 14 11.5 1.49 15.2 12.7 0.82 7.71 2.18 45.4 45.2 45.7 30% 0% 19 Wholesaler Rice mill Aratdar 20% 10% Wholesaler cum retailer Aratdar(Rice) 50% 40% Retailer 5.01 5.93 6.14 Gross marketing margin 5.89 7.4 6.94 4.08 4.41 5.3 Marketing cost Net margin Bepari Faria in 2010 20 Map 6.1: Extent of rice surplus and deficit at district level in 2010 Integration of Rice market All the 12 districts rice markets found integrated This study strongly supports marketing efficiency in the selected 21 rice markets. The results of the strong forms of market integration indicate strong form of market integration in all the rice markets Govt. price policy of rice will be effective in rice market. Rice market of Bangladesh , Eastern India, Vietnam and Thailand found integrated The strong form of market integration does not support Eastern India-Thailand, Vietnam-Eastern India, Eastern India-Bangladesh and rest of markets support strong form of market integration. Policy options Formation of farmers’ marketing cooperative / group Dissemination of paddy prices of different important markets (by cell phone, display board at market places). Provision of credit facilities for the farmers and paddy traders. Husking mills should either be closed or modernized. Profitable cases should be financed . Labeling on the bag of rice should be mandatory. 22 Policy options contd. Needs investigation of the nutritional aspects of milled rice after extracting bran to ensure the quality of rice. Ensure regular and undisrupted power supply to rice mills Vocational training programme helps to produce qualified personnel for operating automatic rice mills. Govt. should develop a complete and accurate data base on rice mills and market intermediaries 23 24