3rd Annual emsi Conference
Karen Beard & Caroline Alexander | TIP Strategies, Inc. | October 16, 2013
Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov
Strengthening the
Talent Pipeline
• About TIP
• Selected data
examples
• Regional example:
Greater Houston
Partnership
• Q&A
Photo credit: www.idahobyways.gov
ABOUT US
•
•
•
Founded in 1995
Based in Austin, TX
Expertise: economic &
workforce development
strategic planning
theory into practice
we design strategies that will
support your community’s
vision for the future
More than 15 years of experience
in 100+ unique communities,
across 29 states & 4 countries.
Our Services | Selected Projects
Strategy
Workforce
Military
•Las Vegas/Clark County,
NV
•Greater Phoenix Chamber
•Puget Sound Regional
Commission (Seattle area)
•Oklahoma City
•North Jersey region
•Fort Collins, CO
•Richmond, VA
•Blaine County, ID
•Greater Houston
Partnership
•Clarksville-Montgomery
County, TN
•Wired 65 (Louisville area)
•Frisco, Texas
•Purchase Region Ind. Park
(Western KY)
•Pearland, TX
•Lower Rio Grande Valley
•Fort Hood (Killeen, TX)
•Fort Campbell (Hopkinsville,
KY/ Clarksville, TN)
•Anniston Army Depot
(Anniston, AL)
•Sheppard AFB (Wichita
Falls, TX)
•Fort Knox (Elizabethtown,
KY)
•Eglin AFB (Okaloosa
County, FL)
Strengthening the Pipeline
• Using employment data to:
– Profile your labor market
– Align target industries with labor market
strengths
– Leverage specific talent pools
– Address regional challenges
Unleash the Power!
Labor Market Profile: PSRC
Puget Sound Regional Council (PSRC)
4-county region including Seattle Washington
2011
Emp.
2011
Median
Hourly
Earnings
1,472,666
Kitsap
2011-2021
Projected
Change in the
Job Base
Net
Chg.
Pct
Chg.
$23.19
+144,860
+10%
122,928
$19.11
+10,048
+8%
Pierce
374,964
$19.12
+34,088
+9%
Snohomish
322,405
$18.61
+28,089
+9%
2,292,963
$21.66
+217,085
+9%
Counties
King
PSRC
region
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
PSRC: Occupational Criteria
Defining an occupational “short-list”
Filtered 751 occupations to identify 248 priority occupations
Objective
Measure
1
Job quality
Relative median earnings, 2011
40%
≥ 100 of region
2
Critical mass
Employment level, 2011
30%
> 200 jobs
3
Relative advantage
Location quotient, 2011
15%
Above US average (>1.0)
4
Momentum
LQ momentum, 2001-2021
7%
Strengthening over 20-yr
cycle
5
Regional outlook
Proj. job growth, 2011-2021
2%
Positive projection 2011-2021
6
Job stability
Job volatility, 2002-2010
2%
Historic job change by
percentiles
7
National outlook
Bright outlook
2%
USDOL identified
8
Green job
Green applications
2%
USDOL identified
Source: TIP Strategies, Inc.
Weight
Threshold
10
PSRC: Employment Distribution
PSRC: Employment Distribution
Regional Staffing Patterns: Business & Finance Occupations
Distribution of occupational group by industry
Professional,
scientific, and
technical services
24.3%
Rest
40.7%
Federal govt.,
civilian, except
postal service
8.9%
Transportation
equip. mfg.
8.7%
Insurance carriers
and related
activities
5.3%
State
Credit
intermediation government
6.5%
and related
5.6%
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
PSRC: Employment Trends
PSRC: Employment Trends
Estimated annual demand: selected Business & Finance occupations
Jobs needed annually to meet demand from new and replacement jobs
13-1111 Management analysts
953
13-2011 Accountants and auditors
709
13-1199 Business operation specialists, all other
625
13-2051 Financial analysts
289
13-1079 Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists, all other
255
13-1023 Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products
208
13-1071 Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists
205
13-2072 Loan officers
165
13-1073 Training and development specialists
138
13-1041 Compliance officers, except agriculture, constr., health/safety, and transportation
137
13-1081 Logisticians
108
13-1031 Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators
97
13-1051 Cost estimators
95
13-2081 Tax examiners, collectors, and revenue agents
88
13-1072 Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists
79
13-2099 Financial specialists, all other
78
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
1000
900
800
700
 Replacement
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
SOC title
 (+) /  (-) New demand
100
SOC
Code
Average
annual
openings
2011-2015
PSRC: Earnings & Demographics
PSRC: Employment Trends
Current median hourly wages: selected Business & Finance occupations
Median wages (line) in the context of the national wage range (bar)
SOC code
Title
Median
hourly
wage
13-2072 Loan officers
$
34.19
13-2031 Budget analysts
$
33.06
13-1081 Logisticians
$
33.03
13-1199 Business operation specialists, all other
$
31.49
13-2061 Financial examiners
$
30.53
13-1073 Training and development specialists
$
30.50
13-1061 Emergency management specialists
$
30.18
13-1051 Cost estimators
$
30.01
13-2053 Insurance underwriters
$
29.85
13-1023 Purchasing agents, except wholesale, retail, and farm products
$
29.34
13-1072 Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists
$
29.00
13-1021 Purchasing agents and buyers, farm products
$
28.92
13-1079 Human resources, training, and labor relations specialists, all other
$
28.90
13-2099 Financial specialists, all other
$
28.75
13-1031 Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators
$
27.59
$
26.82
13-1111 EMSI
Management
analysts
Source:
Complete
Employment - 2011.2; TIP Strategies, Inc.
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
Target Industry Alignment
Occupation-driven approach uses labor
market data to document:
– Composition. Does the composition of my
workforce match the needs of the
industry or industries I’m targeting?
– Availability. Do I have a sufficient supply
of workers in critical occupations?
– Training. What options are available to
increase the supply of relevant
occupations?
Composition of Workforce
60-mile
radius
of Purchase
Region employers
(Western, KY)
Connecting
available
labor to potential
Industries by row; occupations in columns
>10%
5-10%
1-5%
share of the
designated
industry's jobs
that are in the
selected
occupation
<1%
Occupations ►
▼ Industries
Cement & Concrete Product Mfg.
Basic Chemical Mfg.
Machine Shops
Iron & Steel Mills & Ferroalloy Mfg.
Resins & Artificial Fibers Mfg.
Pesticide, Fertilizer, & Ag Chemical Mfg.
Railroad Rolling Stock Mfg.
Steel Product Mfg.
Alumina & Aluminum Production
Ag & Construction Machinery Mfg.
Boiler, Tank, & Shipping Container Mfg.
Nonferrous Metal Processing
Animal Food Mfg.
Lime & Gypsum Product Mfg.
Architectural & Structural Metals Mfg.
Metalworking Machinery Mfg.
Foundries
Petroleum & Coal Products Mfg.
Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg.
Production worker supervisors
Welders
Machinists
Industrial truck/tractor operators
Industrial machinery mechanics
Truck drivers, heavy
Chemical plant operators
Extruding machine operators
Chemical equipment operators
Industrial production managers
Rolling machine operators
Metal-refining furnace operators
Pourers & casters, metal
Truck drivers, light
Crane & tower operators
Rail car repairers
Chemical engineers
Truck & diesel engine mechanics
Gas plant operators
Locomotive engineers
Outdoor power equip. mechanics
Plant & system operators
Power distributors & dispatchers
Precision instrument repairers
Rail transportation workers
Railroad signal/switch operators
Railroad conductors/yardmasters
Tank car, truck, & ship loaders
Water treatment plant operators
Manufacturing industries most likely to need the region's talent
Occupations with
significant regional
concentrations (LQ > 1.25)
2
5
5
4
5
5
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
6
4
5
5
5
4
1
2
1
4 26
1 2
11
4
12
14
1
3
2
1
7
3
2
12 2
1 13
2 3
1
6 7
31
3 12
4
3
4
1
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
5
7
1
3
5
2
9
2 15
5
2
2
2
3
2
2
10
1
1
7
3
1
1
2
2
7
6
4
4
2
1
1
7
2
4
1
3
2
3
1
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
6
3
5
2
2
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
3
3
3
1
1
1
5
1
SOURCES: EMSI Complete Employment - 2nd Quarter 2010
Labor Availability
Potential Scarcity Indicator
Toyota-related demand for this
occupation is equal to:
■ 25-50% of local availability
■■ 50-75% of local availability
■■■ 75-100% of local availability
■■■■ >100% of local availability
Estimates of Key Occupational Demand for Toyota Expansion
Estimated Potential Demand*
NAICS►
3361
3362 & 3363
Industry► Assembly Core Suppliers
Total
SOC▼
51-2099
51-2092
51-4041
51-9061
47-2111
51-1011
17-2112
51-9122
17-2141
51-4121
49-9041
49-9042
51-4111
51-4199
53-7051
51-2031
49-9044
47-2152
13-1023
11-3051
51-9198
51-4031
49-3021
Occupation▼
Assemblers & fabricators
Team assemblers
Machinists
Inspectors, testers, & sorters
Electricians
Line supervisors of production workers
Industrial engineers
Painters, transportation equipment
Mechanical engineers
Welders, cutters, solderers, & brazers
Industrial machinery mechanics
Maintenance & repair workers
Tool & die makers
Metal workers & plastic workers
Industrial truck & tractor operators
Engine & other machine assemblers
Millwrights
Plumbers, pipefitters, & steamfitters
Purchasing agents
Industrial production managers
Helpers--production workers
Cutting & press machine operators
Automotive body & related repairers
499
358
67
53
50
49
47
37
35
30
26
26
25
24
23
23
21
19
16
16
15
13
13
93
331
74
70
20
69
43
5
31
44
30
39
48
10
48
25
11
7
14
18
32
79
na
591
689
141
123
70
118
91
41
66
74
56
65
73
35
71
47
31
26
30
34
47
92
13
Maximum Availability**
Lee
10-County
County
Region***
61 ■■■■
197
1,333 ■■
3,376
148 ■■■
360
355 ■■
876
206 ■■
532
542
1,532
53 ■■■■
139
36 ■■■■
86
34 ■■■■
76
178 ■■
467
105 ■■
263
628
1,615
71 ■■■■
136
na
15
376
1,063
43 ■■■■
146
13 ■■■■
41
115
319
77 ■■
177
87 ■■
238
518
1,474
236 ■■
576
77
186
■■■■
■■
■■
■■
■■■
■■
■■■■
■■
■■■
SOURCE: EMSI, Spring 2009 forecast; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, NAICS-SOC national crosswalk , May 2009; TIP Strategies, Inc.
*NOTE: Potential demand is estimated based on the following assumptions for local hiring by Toyota and suppliers (assembly = 2000 jobs, bodies = 100, parts = 1900)
**NOTE: The maximum estimated number of occupations available within the designated jurisdication.
***NOTE: The 10-county region includes Alcorn, Chick asaw, Clay, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc, Prentiss, Tippah, & Union Counties
Skill/Training Level Required
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Work experience in a related field
Bachelor's degree
Long-term on-the-job training
Bachelor's degree
Long-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training
Short-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Work experience in a related field
Work experience in a related field
Short-term on-the-job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Long-term on-the-job training
Training
HISPANIC SCHOLARSHIP FUND
1. Profiled occupations that will
demand the most college
graduates over the 2012-2018
period.
2. Identified industries that will be
most impacted by high-demand
occupations (HDOs).
3. Cataloged fields of study that
most closely link to HDOs.
10 target occupations (by SOC code) ►
15-1051 Computer Systems Analyst
15-1031 Computer Software Engine
15-1032 Computer Software Engine
15-1071 Network and Computer Sy
17-2051 Civil Engineers
15-1021 Computer Programmers
17-2112 Industrial Engineers
17-2141 Mechanical Engineers
15-1099 Computer Specialists, All O
17-2199 Engineers, All Other
Annual Openings (2012-18) ►
23,336
20,025
14,668
13,184
10,792
10,185
8,790
8,318
7,692
5,928
Matching occupations with fields of
study: selected STEM occupations
Comparison of US annual openings with
annual completions
▼ related fields of study (by CIP Code)
Completions* ▼
14.1901 Mechanical Engineering.
18,374

11.0101 Computer and Information Sciences, General.
16,003 


14.0801 Civil Engineering, General.
11,138

11.0901 Computer Systems Networking and Telecommunications.
9,983 
11.0701 Computer Science.
9,012
 


52.1201 Management Information Systems, General.
8,473

11.0103 Information Technology.
8,223   
11.0401 Information Science/Studies.
7,422


14.0901 Computer Engineering, General.
3,925   
14.0101 Engineering, General.
3,622

14.3501 Industrial Engineering.
3,140

11.1003 Computer and Information Systems Security/Information Assurance.
2,650 

11.0803 Computer Graphics.
2,371

11.1001 Network and System Administration/Administrator.
2,234 

11.0201 Computer Programming/Programmer, General.
2,143
 

11.0501 Computer Systems Analysis/Analyst.
1,418 
11.0301 Data Processing and Data Processing Technology/Technician.
1,048

14.0401 Architectural Engineering.
804

Source: EMSI Complete Employment 2012.1, National Crosswalk Service Center. Notes: Completions include degrees/awards conferred for credit
11.0202 Computer Programming, Specific Applications.
782
 

21
by institutions eligible to participate in federal financial aid programs. * Openings from occupations that require an associate’s or bachelor’s
14.9999 less
Engineering,
Other.of work experience, and an internship or no on-the-job training.
709

degree,
than one year
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Region of impact – Anniston Army Depot
Place of residence of affected workers
CALHOUN COUNTY, AL
SOURCES: Anniston Army Depot, URS Corporation, TIP Strategies.
Sidebar: Employer ZIP Code Data
CLARKSVILLE, TN
23
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Occupational distribution
Occupational category of affected workers
Industrial machinery
mechanics = largest
single occupational
classification
SOURCE: Compiled by TIP Strategies from data provided by URS and ANAD on affected workforce
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Top industries
Which industries are most likely to employ affected occupations?
Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum)
Production and Processing
3313
Alumina/Aluminum Production & Processing
3251
Basic Chemical Manufacturing
3252
Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial
Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Mfg.
3329
Other Fabricated Metal Product Mfg.
3331
Agriculture, Construction, and Mining
Machinery Manufacturing
3221
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills
3241
Petroleum and Coal Products Mfg.
3366
Ship and Boat Building
5622
Waste Treatment and Disposal
3312
Steel Product Manufacturing from
Purchased Steel
3315
Foundries
3339
Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg.
3363
Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing
3364
Aerospace Product and Parts Mfg.
4821
Rail Transportation
5612
Facilities Support Services
8113
Commercial and Industrial Machinery and
Equipment (except Automotive and
Electronic) Repair and Maintenance
      
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      
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
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

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
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

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
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




53-7051 Industrial Truck &
Tractor Operators
51-9122 Painters, Transportation
Equipment
51-8031 Water & Wastewater
Treatment Plant Operators
51-8021 Stationary Engineers &
Boiler Operators
51-4199 Metal Workers & Plastic
Workers, All Other
51-4121 Welders, Cutters,
Solderers, & Brazers
51-4041 Machinists
51-4022 Forging Machine
Workers, , Metal & Plastic
51-1011 1st-Line Supervisors of
Production & Operating Workers
49-9041 Industrial Machinery
Mechanics
49-9012 Control/Valve Installers
& Repairers, Except Mech. Door
49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equip.
Mechanics, Except Engines
47-2111 Electricians
43-6011 Executive Secretaries &
Executive Admin. Assistants
43-5081 Stock Clerks & Order
Fillers
43-5061 Production, Planning, &
Expediting Clerks
29-9011 Occupational Health &
Safety Specialists
29-2041 Emergency Medical
Technicians & Paramedics
17-2199 Engineers, All Other
11-9199 Managers, All Other
Industry description
3314
11-3071 Transportation,
Storage, & Distribution Mgrs.
NAICS
Code
 AFFECTED OCCUPATIONS EMPLOYING MORE THAN 10 WORKERS
11-1021 General & Operations
Managers
 TOP INDUSTRIES
            
            
            
            
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            
            
            
            
            
            
            
            
            
            
            
            
    
Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, TIP Strategies.
   

  
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Transferrable skills
What occupations could the affected workers transition to?
Ideal transition scenario is
into an occupation with
higher wages and stronger
projected demand (i.e.,
upper right-hand quadrant)
SOURCE: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Operation 1st RATE [Ready Able Trained Employees]
Leveraging Displaced Workers
Job Station | EMSI Career Coach
GHP Regional Workforce
Development Task Force
The Middle Skills Challenge
Skills gap: In the spotlight locally
Coverage
focused on
shortage of
skilled workers
in Energy and
Construction
sectors
Hampering ability to
expand in Houston
Safety affected
Rising wages
Project slow-down
GHP Regional Workforce
Development Task Force
OBJECTIVE:
• to create an action plan to address the
middle skills challenge in Greater Houston
SCOPE OF INITIATIVE:
• project(s) that will address the areas of
highest need and yield results in a 1 to 5 year
time horizon
1: Demand & Supply
Challenge:
Why “middle skills” jobs
and what are they?
… as many as 25
million new job
openings in the
US between 2010
and 2020 (47 %)
will fall into the
middle-skills
category.
“Middle Skills” jobs
are those that require at least a
high school diploma but less than
a 4-year degree.
Table 1.12 Education and training categories by detailed occupation
Source: Employment Projections program, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_education_training_system.htm
2010 National Employment Matrix title and code
Chief Executives
General and Operations Managers
Legislators
Advertising and Promotions Managers
Marketing Managers
Sales Managers
Public Relations and Fundraising Managers
11-1011
11-1021
11-1031
11-2011
11-2021
11-2022
11-2031
Administrative Services Managers
Computer and Information Systems Managers
Financial Managers
Industrial Production Managers
Purchasing Managers
11-3011
11-3021
11-3031
11-3051
11-3061
Typical education needed
for entry
Bachelor's degree
Associate's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
High school diploma or
equivalent
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
High school diploma or
equivalent
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
Bachelor's degree
High school diploma or
equivalent
Associate's degree
Work experience in
a related
occupation
More than 5 years
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
Typical on-the-job training
needed to attain competency in
the occupation
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
1 to 5 years
More than 5 years
More than 5 years
1 to 5 years
More than 5 years
None
None
None
None
None
Used BLS education & training
definitions to
11-3071
Moredefine
than 5 years skill
None levels:
Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers
Compensation and Benefits Managers
Human Resources Managers
Training and Development Managers
11-3111
11-3121
11-3131
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
None
None
None
More than 5 years
More than 5 years
None
None
1 to 5 years
1 to 5 years
More than 5 years
None
None
None
• “low” = less than HS, HS diploma/GED (no experience, little or no OTJ
training, no apprenticeship)
Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Construction Managers
Education Administrators, Preschool and Childcare
Center/Program
Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary
School
Education Administrators, Postsecondary
Education Administrators, All Other
Architectural and Engineering Managers
11-9013
11-9021
• “middle” = HS diploma or equivalent (some experience, moderate to longBachelor's degree
1 to 5 years
None
term OTJ, or apprenticeship11-9031
), post-secondary
non-degree
award,
some
11-9032 Master's
degree
1 to 5 years
None
college/no degree, and associates
degree
11-9033 Master's degree
11-9039 Bachelor's degree
11-9041 Bachelor's degree
High school diploma or
• “high” = bachelor’s degree or higher
Distribution of TOTAL employment
by broad skill level, Houston MSA
High
20%
Low
38%
Middle
41%
3.6 million jobs in Houston MSA in 2012
1.4 million are middle-skill jobs
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies. Houston MSA based on 10-county definition.in use prior to February 2013
Est. average ANNUAL openings, 2012-2017
by broad skill level, Houston MSA
78,832
74,177
41,624
Low
Middle
High
With current estimates calling for 75,000 middle skills jobs to
be added to the Houston MSA each year through 2017
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies. Houston MSA based on 10-county definition.in use prior to February 2013
Challenge:
Adding detail while
keeping the data
accessible.
The Standard Occupational Classification
(SOC) system has 23 major groups









11-0000 Management
13-0000 Business & Financial Operations
15-0000 Computer & Mathematical
17-0000 Architecture & Engineering
19-0000 Life, Physical, & Social Science
21-0000 Community & Social Services
23-0000 Legal
25-0000 Education, Training, & Library
27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment,
Sports, & Media
 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners &
Technical
 31-0000 Healthcare Support
• 33-0000 Protective Service
• 35-0000 Food Prep & Serving Related
• 37-0000 Building & Grounds Cleaning &
Maintenance
• 39-0000 Personal Care & Service
• 41-0000 Sales & Related
• 43-0000 Office & Admin. Support
• 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, & Forestry
• 47-0000 Construction & Extraction
• 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, &
Repair
• 51-0000 Production
• 53-0000 Transportation & Material
Moving
• 55-0000 Military Specific
“Help Wanted”
report has 10 broad
categories:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
Sales & Office Support
Blue Collar
Food & Personal Services
Managerial & Professional
Office
Education
Healthcare Professional &
Technical
Healthcare Support
STEM
Community Services & Arts
Social Science
Distribution of middle skills OCCUPATIONS
by broad categories, Houston MSA
Blue Collar
(e.g. production, transportation, construction)
38
Food & Personal Services
27
Sales & Office Support
Managerial & Professional Office
22
STEM
22
(e.g. technicians, drafters)
Healthcare Practioners & Technical
21
(e.g. nurses, technologists, technicians)
Community Services & Arts
18
9
Healthcare Support
Education
3
Social Science
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.
(e.g. therapists, assistants, aides)
188
Challenge:
Narrowing the field. How do
you focus on 348
occupations?
Average annual openings
Houston MSA, 2012-2017
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Registered Nurses
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and…
Managers, All Other
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and…
General and Operations Managers
First-Line Supervisors of Office and…
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks
Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants
Maintenance and Repair Workers, General
Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
Carpenters
Executive Secretaries and Executive…
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers
Medical Secretaries
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.
Selected middle
skills occupations
with minimum of
150 projected
annual openings
3500
Staffing environment
EMSI Talent Market Analyst | 9-box
RELATIVE WAGE
Houston-Sugar Land – Baytown, Texas
Recruiting environment for software developers
This factor compares
absolute wages with
expected wages
SUPPLY & DEMAND
This factor considers:
1. concentration of
occupation in the
region
2. changes in
concentration over
time, and
3. actual changes in the
number of jobs
Source EMSI http://www.economicmodeling.com/2013/05/17/thinkinginside-the-9-box-to-find-recruiting-options-with-talent-market-analyst/
High Demand Middle Skills Occupations
Staffing Environment
More
Difficult
Description
General and Operations Managers
Business Operations Specialists, All Other
Sales Reps, Wholesale and Mfg, Except Technical & Scientific
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
Managers, All Other
Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers
Computer Support Specialists
First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
Machinists
Registered Nurses
Less
Difficult
First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2, Talent Management Analyst.
Supply/
Demand
Wage
Environment
High Demand Middle Skills Occupations (cont.)
Staffing Environment
More
Difficult
Description
Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks
Medical Secretaries
Electricians
Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators
Medical Assistants
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
Maintenance and Repair Workers, General
Team Assemblers
Carpenters
Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics
Less
Difficult
Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2, Talent Management Analyst.
Supply/
Demand
Wage
Environment
High Demand, Middle Skills Occupations
Ranked by estimated average annual openings, 2012-2017
Total average annual openings = 33,769 across 53 occupations
Neutral
Hard to Fill
0
Construction Trades Workers
Other Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations
Motor Vehicle Operators
Health Diagnosing and Treating Practitioners
Other Management Occupations
Metal Workers and Plastic Workers
Health Technologists and Technicians
Supervisors of Construction and Extraction Workers
Mobile Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
Top Executives
Business Operations Specialists
Assemblers and Fabricators
Nursing, Psychiatric, and Home Health Aides
Other Healthcare Support Occupations
Other Production Occupations
Computer Occupations
Plant and System Operators
Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers
Supervisors of Production Workers
Supervisors of Transportation and Material Moving Workers
Operations Specialties Managers
Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians
Other Construction and Related Workers
Drafters, Engineering Technicians, and Mapping Technicians
Source: EMSI Complete Employment – 2013.2; TIP Strategies.
Hardest to Fill
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Relevance to Houston’s key sectors
FILTERED OUT:
• Sales
• Food & personal
services
• Community
services & arts
STEM
Blue
Collar
Healthcare
53 High demand occupations (HDOs)
that support the region’s key industries
(e.g. energy, construction, manufacturing, healthcare)
Challenge:
Getting a handle on
employment when the
economy is in MEGA
expansion-mode.
Houston area investment
over the next 5 years…
100+ 20,000+
expansion projects
new, permanent
JOBS
from 74 projects
$20+
BILLION
in investment
from 83 projects
Source: Greater Houston Partnership.
Challenge:
Getting the complete
picture of the system.
The Crosswalk
Validation Project
– Table 7 Connects SOC
to Department of
Education Career
Clusters (& Career
Pathways)
– Still not a one-to-one
relationship
– Some discretion used
to make best match
http://www.nrccte.org/resources/studies/crosswalk-validation-project
Distribution of postsecondary awards of less than four-years
Ranked by 2012 completions by career cluster
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
Health Science
7,518
Human Service
3,048
Transportation, Dist., & Logistics
1,835
Business & Administration
1,790
Architecture & Construction
1,581
STEM
1,505
Manufacturing
1,155
Law & Public Safety
1,149
Information Technology
1,130
Hospitality & Tourism
652
Arts, A/V Tech. & Communication
Ag., Food & Natural Resources
Sales & Marketing
12000
10,101
Education & Training
Finance
10000
476
297
100
37
Less than 1 year
At least 1 but < 2 academic years
Associates
At least 2 but < 4 academic yrs
Notes: Includes only those institutions eligible to participate in federal financial aid programs.
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Department of Education.
Distribution of non-credit completions for select colleges
Ranked by 2012 completions by career cluster
0
500
1000
1500
Health Science
Manufacturing
Information Technology
Transp., Dist. & Logistics
STEM
Business, Mgmt. & Admin.
Architecture & Construction
Education & Training
Human Services
Finance
Sales & Marketing
Arts, A/V Technology & Communications
Source: Alvin Community College, Brazosport College, Houston Community College, Lee College, Lone Star College, and
San Jacinto College
2000
Annual Openings for Middle Skills Jobs in Houston Region
Ranked by annual openings, 2012-2017
0
5,000
10,000
Manufacturing
12,500
Sales & Marketing
11,600
Business Mgmt. & Admin.
9,300
Health Science
9,000
Architecture & Construction
8,600
Transportation, Dist. & Logistics
6,700
Human Services
3,800
Hospitality & Tourism
2,700
Law & Public Safety
2,400
Finance
2,000
Education & Training
1,600
Arts, A/V Tech. & Comm.
1,600
Ag., Food & Natural Resources
900
Information Technology
700
Govt. & Public Adminstration
600
STEM
15,000
200
Source: EMSI, Department of Education Career Clusters.
Observations
• Health professions dominate middle-skills
education awards
• Almost a quarter of openings are for
supervisors & managers
• Though almost three-quarters of
occupations are classified as entry-level, the
actual job opening is for an experienced
worker (replacement for retiree)
2: System “Gaps”
A
Awareness
Potential workers
are not aware of
the opportunities in
the middle skills
segment or hold
inaccurate
perceptions of the
jobs.
B
Basic Skills &
Employability
Many potential
workers lack some
of the most basic
hard and soft skills
needed for any
middle skills job.
C
Coordination
The landscape of
programs and
organizations with a
focus on workforce
is broad and
varied, but also
fragmented.
D
Data Systems
The lack of
accurate, reliable
data creates a
disconnect
between demand
and supply.
3: Response
APPROACH:
1. Sector-based, business-led
2. GHP as the “System Integrator”
3. Based on primary data
Questions?
thank you
TIP STRATEGIES, INC.
106 E 6th Street, Suite 550
Austin, TX 78701
512.343.9113
tipstrategies.com
karen@tipstrategies.com
caroline@tipstrategies.com