Cucumber Report Brand Health & Demographics •Source: • Nielsen Homescan data until 111h of June 2011 • Nielsen Scantrack data (National Woolworths) until 05th June 2011 Cucumber….. 78.5 % of Australian Households purchased Cucumbers; with households spending on average of $ 16.1 which equates to 9.4 shopping trips with $1.7 spend per shopping trip on Cucumbers during the year Price spikes due to the affects of the recent natural disasters have clearly influenced the commodity over the Cyclone Yasi period with more impact seen over the Feb period then the flooding period in Jan Looking at trended information we can see that the price spikes have lead to increases in spend per shopping occasion 2 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Cucumber….. The Cucumber shopper tend to be more affluent households and skew towards Bustling Family, Senior Couple and Established Couple lifestages. Woolworths has held the dominant share of the Cucumber trade with recent share gains appearing to come at the expense of IGA, Independents and Green Grocers Opportunity to stem household spend declines amoungst the Small Scale Family lifestage, which have seen significant declines in Cucumber spend over the last year. Opportunity for Woolworths to stem declines in households reach of Cucumber 3 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Key Measures 4 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 78.5 % of Australian Households purchased Cucumbers in the last year, with households spending on average of $ 16.1 on Cucumbers during the year What are the key consumer drivers of sales? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 *NB - Fresh Salads contain all pre-packed salads Source : AC Nielsen Homescan Australia * New Nielsen Scanning guides began capturing loose Asian Vegetables, Celery and Capsicum purchasing despatched to panel in Sept 2009 th 5 Nielsen Homescan data until 11 June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Shoppers who buy Cucumbers are purchasing the commodity less often, 9.4 times compared to 9.7 times last year; and are spending on average $1.7 What is driving how much my consumers buy? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 *NB - Fresh Salads contain all pre-packed salads Source : AC Nielsen Homescan Australia * New Nielsen Scanning guides began capturing loose Asian Vegetables, Celery and Capsicum purchasing despatched to panel in Sept 2009 6 Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Average household spend on Vegetables peaked immediately following the natural disasters in February How are the key consumer drivers of sales changing over time? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - TOTAL VEGETABLES - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi Source : AC Nielsen Homescan Australia 7 Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Looking over the trended two year period we can see that average weight of purchase has increased over the Cyclone Yasi period, likely due to the affects of increased pricing from the impact of natural disasters. How are the key consumer drivers of sales changing over time? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia 8 Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Increases in $AWOP over the natural disaster period can be linked to increases in spend per shopping occasion What is driving how much my consumers buy over time? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia 9 Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Cucumber sales have declined by -3.3% in volume and grown by 8.8% in value year on year whilst pricing has increased by $1.4 Table Report | Nat Woolworths - T. Cucumbers | T. Fresh Fruit and Vegetables Units of Measure: Units = System Units(000's) | Volume = Kilograms(000's) | Value = $ (000's) MAT To 06/06/2010 MAT To 05/06/2011 Kilograms(000's) 6,012.4 5,809.0 $ (000's) 66,963.8 72,860.2 $11.14 $12.54 Price per Vol (Kg) SOURCE: Nielsen Australia ScanTrack (HAL_FRESH_FRUIT_VEGETABLES ) 10 Nielsen ScanTrack data until 05th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Looking at trended Woolworths information, the affects of the Queensland natural disasters can be seen, however we see that price has again taken an upward direction over the last four weeks Table Report | Nat Woolworths - T. Cucumbers | T. Fresh Fruit and Vegetables Units of Measure: Units = System Units(000's) | Volume = Kilograms(000's) | Value = $ (000's) QLD Cyclone Floods Yasi 11 SOURCE: Nielsen Australia ScanTrack (HAL_FRESH_FRUIT_VEGETABLES ) Nielsen ScanTrack data until 05th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Demographics 12 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Small Scale households over index on Cucumbers however has seen a decline in their value contribution over the last year. Who buys my brand? (Lifestage) - Demographics - Value AUS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 Opportunity exists to stem spend declines in this demographic lifestage 13 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Low & Medium income households under index on Cucumber sales compared to total vegetables Who buys my brands? (Income) - Demographics - Value AUS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 Opportunity exists develop Low and Medium income households 14 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 1-2 member households have had the most significant contribution to value sales within Cucumbers, with a contribution of 48.7%, also in line with total vegetable sales Who buys my brands? (Household Size) - Demographics - Value AUS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 15 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Share of Trade 16 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Woolworths has gained 0.9% share points over the last year growing at 7.6%, stealing from IGA, Independents and Green Grocers Share of Trade - Share of Trade ALL SHOPPERS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 17 Source : ACNielsen | Homescan Australia Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Woolworths has gained share through increasing average household spend on Cucumber whilst household reach has dipped ALL SHOPPERS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS Consumer KPI's Value Basis: VALUE ($000'S) Source: Nielsen Homescan 18 Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Woolworths gains have come from increased spend per shopping occasion alone whilst ALDI is the only retailer to increase shopping frequency What is driving how much my consumers buy? - Brand Health - Value ALL SHOPPERS - AUS - MAT TO 11/06/2011 - BASED ON VALUE ($000'S)/1000 Source : ACNielsen Homescan Australia 19 Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Glossary 20 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Terms • Penetration – The proportion of households purchasing a product in the specified period expressed as a percentage of all households. • Average Weight of Purchase (AWOP) – The average volume/value/units of a product bought across all buyers of that product in the specified period. • Occasions Per Buyer – The average no. of times each buyer purchases the specified product in a specified period. A product/date/shop combination, eg. a household purchasing 2 identical products on a shopping trip to Woolworths constitutes a single purchase occasion. • Amount Per Occasion – Average value or units purchased on each purchase occasion. • QTR – Quarter year; rolling 13 weeks. • MAT – Moving annual total; a rolling yearly total which accumulates 52 weeks of data. • PP – Prior Period • YA – Year Ago. 21 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. • Young Transitionals (Any Size HHs, No Children, <35): Hopping from uni classrooms to first jobs to “just married” this group is characterised by an abundance of freedom. With the majority between 25-34 years in white collar professions, You will often find them with money to burn in the dance clubs, bars, shopping on the Internet or at local gyms. They enjoy physically active lifestyles, dining out and professional sporting events. This segment tends to live in rented apartment buildings and the internet is part of everyday life • Start-Up Families (HHs with Young Children Only < 6): Characterised by households with 1-2 children and a mortgage to boot, Nappies, baby food and shelves overflowing with toys fill the home of the Start-Up Family. Entering a life of nappy changes and late night feedings, these consumers are starting their families. Dependent children and their impact on the lives of these ‘new’ parents sets these consumers apart from the other life stages. • Small Scale Families (HHs with Oldest Child 6-11): Unlike the other life stages with children, the small size of these families often allows the adults to strike a balance between their children and pursuing their own interests. Whether they are single parent families with one or two children or two parent families with one child – time, convenience items, are of increasing importance as many of them work to pay the bills and pay off their mortgage. • Bustling Families (HHs with Children (Oldest 12+)): A mix of younger and older families with the eldest child in their teens skewed toward households of 5 more people. These consumers’ lives are hives of activity. With most Heads of Households over 40 years of age. With a higher prevalence of internet access than any other group and 3 or more TV sets running at any one time these households are embracing the information age. The children in these households are dependent on their parents for many things. At the peak of their earning power, these households work hard to afford their children the latest trend; which often means both parents are working. • Independent Singles (1 Person HHs, No Children, 35+): Predominantly female households, split between older and younger consumers, most consumers get to this life stage either through divorce or from never having been married. 79% of this group over 50 years of age, paid off their mortgage, and typically have a lower than average annual income. In addition, this has the lowest levels of internet access than any group (39%). With the 21% who are at the younger end of their life, you will find these consumers living in apartments, are often working in professional white collar established careers dining out with friends or working late in the office. • Established Couples (2+ Person HHs, No Children, 35 – 59): This group is a mix of empty nesters, those who have not had children or those who still have adult children (>17) at home. Many are dual income families reaching their peak earning potential with above average household incomes split between those who own and are still mortgaging their home. They tend to live in large houses and can afford the often three TV’s, internet access and all the mod cons our busy lifestyles have become accustom to. • Senior Couples (2+ Person HHs, No Children, 60+): Companionship, rather than age, most influences the behaviour of this group. You might find the husband reading the latest issue of Reader’s Digest as his wife knits in her chair. They are quite active, but not as active as Established Households. In addition, Senior Couples are more likely to still live in the family home, a larger house left over from family life with children. At 86%, this life stage has the highest level of home ownership. 22 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Appendix 23 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Whilst Woolworths has held a dominating share of Cucumbers with 33.4% share, as expected Cucumbers are well developed in both Coles and Green Grocers What is driving grocery sales? (Account Comparison) - Bigger Picture - Value ALL SHOPPERS - TOTAL CUCUMBERS - SHARE OF TRADE ($) 24 Source : ACNielsen | Homescan Australia Nielsen Homescan data until 11th June 2011 Copyright © 2011 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.