Doing Business in Russia 2012 Augusto Lopez-Claros Director, Global Indicators & Analysis World Bank-IFC Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum June 21, 2012 Doing Business indicators reflect on some of the most important obstacles firms face Percent of firms identifying the problem as the main obstacle to their business activity • Based on Enterprise Surveys in 118 countries around the world • Direct responses from representative samples of the private sector • Access to finance, electricity, informality and tax rates are the top obstacles across the developing world 2 The Doing Business indicators have a strong theoretical foundation •The Regulation of Entry by Djankov and others, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Feb 2002. Countries that regulate entry more heavily have greater corruption and larger unofficial economies, but not better quality of public or private goods •Private Credit in 129 Countries by Djankov, McLiesh and Shleifer, Journal of Financial Economics, May 2007. Creditor protection through the legal system and information sharing institutions such as credit bureaus are associated with higher ratios of private credit to GDP. Credit rises after improvements in creditor rights and in information sharing •Trading on Time by Djankov and others, Review of Economics and Statistics, Nov 2008. Each additional day that a product is delayed prior to being shipped reduces trade by more than one percent •Courts by Djankov and others, Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 2003. Procedural formalism is associated with higher expected duration of judicial proceedings, more corruption, less consistency, less honesty, less fairness in judicial decisions, and inferior access to justice •The Regulation of Labor by Botero and others, Quarterly Journal of Economics, June 2004. Heavier regulation of labor is associated with a larger unofficial economy, lower labor force participation, and higher unemployment, especially of the young •The Effect of Corporate Taxes on Investment and Entrepreneurship, by Djankov and others, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2010. The corporate tax rate has a large adverse impact on aggregate investment, FDI, and entrepreneurial activity. It is also correlated with investment in manufacturing as well as with the size of the informal economy. 3 Doing Business indicators – 11 areas of business regulation (10 included in the ranking) Start-up Starting a business Minimum capital requirement, procedures, time and cost Expansion Operations Registering property Dealing with construction permits Procedures, time and cost Procedures, time and cost Getting credit Credit information systems Paying taxes Payments, time and Total Tax Rate Movable collateral laws Protecting investors Insolvency Resolving insolvency (formerly Closing a business) Time, cost and recovery rate Trading across Disclosure and liability in related party transactions borders Documents, time and cost Enforcing contracts Getting electricity Procedures, time and cost to resolve a commercial dispute Procedures, time and cost Employing workers (annex) Entry 4 Property rights Investor protection Access to credit Administrative burden Flexibility in hiring 4 Recovery rate Reallocation of assets How does Doing Business measure the ease of doing business? 1 Singapore Top ranked countries in DB2012 The overall ease of doing business: 2 Honk Kong SAR, China 3 New Zealand (2) Dealing with construction permits 4 United States (3) Getting electricity 5 Denmark (1) Starting a business (4) Registering property (5) Paying taxes 6 Norway 7 United Kingdom (7) Enforcing contracts 8 Korea, Rep. (8) Protecting investors 9 Iceland (6) Trading across borders (9) Getting credit (10) Resolving insolvency 10 5 Ireland New metric on ‘distance to the frontier’: tracking economies’ progress over time SGP USA CAN FIN ISL DEU BEL MYS ISR PRI THA CHL ATG NAM HUN BLZ BGR MNG VCT SVN WSM ARM KNA MDV KIR SYC VNM PNG GRC SWZ KAZ MAR TZA PRY NIC GTM URY AZE UGA LSO DZA BOL BRA BTN ZWE MOZ KHM SUR VEN CMR RWA GIN STP CIV AGO GNB BFA TMP Distance to Frontier, 2005-2011 0.00 Narrowing the Distance to the Frontier from 2005 to 2011 (percentage points) 2005 0.10 Georgia 0.20 Colombia 2011 Rwanda 0.30 China 0.40 India Burkina Faso 0.50 0.60 0.70 Zimbabwe Venezuela 0.80 …captures the absolute improvement that countries have made over time, and …also provides information on how far countries have been away from the “frontier” – a measure based on the most efficient business regulatory practices observed by the Doing Business Project across countries and over time. 6 New metric on ‘distance to the frontier’: tracking Russia’s progress over time 7 10 20 30 Percentage points Narrowing the Distance to the Frontier from 2006 to 2011 0 HIGHEST PERFORMANCE GLOBALLY DB2012 40 DB2006 50 60 70 80 90 100 Registering property Starting a business Enforcing contracts Paying taxes Closing a business Protecting investors Trading across borders Getting credit Dealing with construction permits Subnational Doing Business (SNDB) – How does Russia benefit from it? • Creates baseline and captures local difference in regulations • Pinpoints bottlenecks and provides information on good practices within the same country that can easily be replicated • Captures reforms 1 Diagnostic Tool 2 Reform Instrument 3 • Allows locations to compete locally and globally Monitoring Device • Measures progress over time through repeated benchmarking • Creates an incentive to maintain reform effort even when governments change 8 • Promotes peer to peer learning • Initiates a reform process by engaging local governments and reforms stakeholders What is new in Doing Business in Russia in 2012? Doing Business in Russia 2012 • Covers 30 cities • Updates data and tracks reforms for the 10 cities measured in the Doing Business in Russia 2009 in 3 topics • Data is current as of November 2011 • Surveys administered through over 600 contributors The report covers 4 indicators • Starting a business • Dealing with construction permits • Getting electricity • Registering property 9 Doing Business in Russia 2012 benchmarks 30 locations Round 1 locations Round 2 locations St.Peterburg Petrozavodsk Vyborg Murmansk Kaliningrad MOSCOW Tver Yaroslavl Kaluga Yakutsk Saransk Voronezh Rostovon-Don Surgut Khabarovsk Tomsk Stavropol Samara Ulyanovsk Kazan Vladikavkaz Volgograd Irkutsk Kirov Kemerovo Novosibirsk 10 Vladivostok Ekaterinburg Perm Omsk What are the key findings? • No city outperforms the others in all areas • Average start up costs are among the least expensive in the world • Registering property is inexpensive and easy across Russian cities • All 10 cities measured for the second time have improved in at least two of the 3 areas measured twice • Numerous procedures take a long time and carry a high cost in the areas of dealing with construction permits and getting electricity Overall, it is easier to start a business, deal with construction permits, get electricity and register property in Ulyanovsk and Saransk 11 Construction permits Getting electricity Registering property Aggregate Rank Starting a business Construction permits Getting electricity Registering property 1 3 4 5 8 Volgograd 16 2 27 26 4 Saransk 2 20 8 1 8 Voronezh 17 15 28 16 8 Vladikavkaz 3 27 11 2 2 Tver 18 21 25 14 8 Rostov-on-Don 4 26 15 3 4 Kaliningrad 19 11 3 22 22 Kazan 5 4 14 17 4 Tomsk 20 15 6 10 25 Kaluga 6 17 9 15 1 Samara 21 22 24 28 8 Stavropol 7 4 2 9 19 St. Petersburg 22 1 9 24 27 Yaroslavl 8 7 17 6 16 Khabarovsk 23 24 29 8 17 Surgut 9 30 1 19 8 Yekaterinburg 24 29 13 19 20 Irkutsk 10 8 6 10 18 Perm 25 13 12 18 27 Petrozavodsk 11 6 16 21 8 Murmansk 26 12 19 27 23 Kirov 12 13 5 4 20 Kemerovo 27 28 21 7 29 Omsk 13 19 20 13 4 Yakutsk 28 8 26 25 30 Vyborg 14 10 23 12 8 Novosibirsk 29 23 18 29 24 Vladivostok 15 18 22 23 3 Moscow 30 25 30 30 26 12 City Starting a business Ulyanovsk City Aggregate Rank No city outperforms the others in more than one area It is easier now to do business in all 10 cities measured twice Starting a business Dealing with construction permits Registering property √ √ √ Kazan √ √ Moscow √ √ City Irkutsk Perm √ √ √ Petrozavodsk √ √ √ Rostov-on-Don √ √ √ St. Petersburg √ √ √ Tomsk √ √ √ √ √ √ √ Tver Voronzeh √ Doing Business reforms making it easier do to business 13 Compared globally, starting a business is inexpensive in all cities 46.8 Cost (% of income per capita) 17.9 10.6 0.4 14 1.3 1.7 2 2.3 3 3.5 4.68 5.4 11.2 More efficient one-stop shops and better coordination speeds up start up in some cities One-stop shop in Saint Petersburg (ranks 1st in Starting a business) One-stop shop in Saransk (ranks 20th in Starting a business) 15 Construction permit requirements vary significantly across cities—especially before construction 16 Cities are improving the construction permitting process, but challenges remain Reduced time for processing permit applications Streamlined procedures Irkutsk Moscow Kazan Perm Petrozavodsk Rostov-on-Don St. Petersburg Tomsk Tver Voronezh City 17 Adopted new Introduced riskbuilding based regulations approvals Getting electricity: Fewer procedures do not necessarily shorten delays 18 Property registration is easy and inexpensive in Russia Procedures, time and cost to register property Brazil Eastern Europe & Central Asia, Japan, Turkey India, Germany, OECD high income, Kemerovo, St. Petersburg 13 6 60 Yakutsk 7.3 45 44 Kemerovo St. Petersburg 5.7 5.2 Japan 40 39 Germany, Kazakhstan 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.3 OECD high income Finland 2.8 2.3 Eastern Europe & Central Asia 35 5 Russia Average, Yakutsk China, Kazakhstan 4 Finland, Vladivostok, Vladikavkaz, Kaluga 3 33 31 29 26 Saudi Arabia 19 Brazil Russia average Eastern Europe & Central Asia OECD high income Germany China Turkey Brazil China Vladivostok, Vladikavkaz 19 14 Kaluga 6 1 Turkey 1 India 0.59 0.23 Finland, Japan 0.1 0 Saudi Arabia Yakutsk Russia average Kazakhstan Saudi Arabia Procedures Time Cost (number) (days) (% of income per capita) Property registration is faster in the 10 cities studied in 2008 20 Russian cities can learn from each other Doing Business indicator Global Rank DB 2012* Sub-Indicator Best practice in Russia Value Rank (1-183) Value Rank (1-183) Cost (% income per capita) 2 28 1.7 21 Kazan Procedures (number) 9 124 7 86 Kirov, Murmansk, Perm, Petrozavodsk, St. Petersburg, Stavropol, Yakutsk and Yaroslavl Time (days) 30 126 16 87 Kaliningrad Dealing with Cost (% income per capita) construction Procedures (number) permits 183.8 113 40.0 46 Kazan 51 181 16 103 Murmansk Time (days) 423 173 150 78 Surgut 1852.4 140 112.2 47 Omsk Procedures (number) 10 182 6 121 Kemerovo, Perm, Rostov-on-Don, Samara and Yakutsk Time (days) 281 178 120 120 Vladikavkaz Cost (% of property value) 0.2 9 0.2 9 16 cities including Kaluga, Kazan and Surgut Procedures (number) 5 49 3 12 18 cities including Irkutsk, Rostov-onDon and Tver Time (days) 43 104 13 28 Khabarovsk Starting a business Cost (% income per capita) Getting electricity Registering property Source: Doing Business database 21 City Why does it matter? Starting a business Countries that regulate entry more heavily have greater corruption and larger unofficial economies, but not better quality of public and private goods. Dealing with construction permits A recent study in the United States shows that accelerating permit approvals by 3 months in a 22-month project cycle could increase construction spending by 5.7% and property tax revenue by 16%. Getting electricity Managers in 109 economies consider electricity to be among the biggest constraints to their business; they estimated losses due to power outages at an average 5.1% of annual sales. Registering property Following a land titling project in Thailand, property increased in value by 75–197% after being registered. 22 Good business regulations and governance In countries where business regulation is efficient and information on documentation requirements and fee schedules is easily accessible, the costs to start a business are much lower. 23 Economies that score higher on the ease of doing business, tend to receive higher FDI inflows Average Ease of Doing Business rank FDI inflows per capita, 2010 (US$) 3,000 2,500 6 $ 2,734 2,000 45 1,500 96 1,000 500 $ 379 $ 129 group A group B 0 DB top 10 Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Korea, Rep., New Zealand, Norway, Singapore, United Kingdom, United States 24 Chile, Colombia, Kazakhstan, Oman, Peru, Rwanda, Slovak Republic, Spain, Tunisia Belize, China, Greece, Guatemala, Jordan, Morocco, Serbia, Vietnam, Yemen www.doingbusiness.org/russia