Prof. Chan King Ming Associate Professor Dept. of Biochemistry and Environmental Science Program Chinese University email: kingchan@cuhk.edu.hk KMCHAN 2015/4/9 1 CONTENTS 內容: 1. Carbon Cycle and Greenhouse Effect 碳循環及温室效應 2. The Impacts of Global Warming 全球暖化的影响 3. Kyoto Protocol 京都協定 4. Act now ! 立即行動! An Inconvenient Truth http://www.youtub e.com/watch?v=0 XMn_Ry3z6M KMCHAN 2015/4/9 2 http://www.ucar.edu/learn/1_3_1.htm Q1 What factors have contributed to surface temperatures of planets? 1. Carbon Cycle & Green House Effects 碳循環 及温室效應 KMCHAN 2015/4/9 3 1. Carbon Cycle and Greenhouse Effect 碳循環及温室效應 Atmospheric Sources 排 放 來 源 : 1. Burning of fossil fuels and organic matters 燃燒化石燃料和 有機物質 CO2 大氣中的二氧化碳 Sinks (Carbon Fixation) 碳 固 定 : 1. Photosynthesis 光合作用 2. Uptake by ocean 海洋吸收 2. Respiration 呼吸作用 Other forms of carbon deposits, e.g. coral, cellulose. 碳存在於珊瑚 及纤維中 KMCHAN 2015/4/9 4 Major sources of greenhouse gases: burning of fossil fuels, e.g. vehicle and power plant emissions. 温室氣體主要來自燃烷 化石燃料: 汽車及發電廠 排放。 KMCHAN 2015/4/9 5 温室氣體 Green House Gas 温室氣體 Concentration 濃度 AD 1800- 2000 Anthropogenic sources 人造來源 GWP, Global Warming Potential 暖化潛能 Proportion of total (%) 佔總量比例 Carbon dioxide 280 – 370 ppm 二氧化碳 Fossil fuel 化石燃料 1 60 % Methane 甲烷 0.75 – 1.75 ppm Agriculture & fuel leakage 農業及燃料洩漏 21 20 % Halocarbons 鹵化碳 0 – 0.7 ppb Refrigerants 雪種 3400+ 14 % Nitrous oxide 氧化氮 275-310 ppb Agriculture combustion 310 農作物燃燒 Ozone 臭氧 15 (?)– 20/30 ppb Urban pollution 城市污染 6% Reference: http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/default.aspx?id=516&terms=carbon+emission+and+coal KMCHAN 2015/4/9 Downloaded on Nov 24, 2009. 6 Rank, country 2006 Annual Emission, billion metric tons (tons per capita) 年排放, 十仡 公 噸 (人均噸數) % total in 2006 World 全球 28.43 billion metric tons (4.2 tons per capita) 100 % 1.China 中國 6.10 bmt (4.6 tpc, 6.0 tpc for HK) 21.5 2. US 美國 5.75 bmt (19.0 tpc) 20.2 13.91 bmt (7.8 tpc) 13.8 3. Russia 俄國 1.56 bmt (11.0 tpc) 5.5 4. India 印度 1.51 bmt (1.3 tpc) 5.3 5. Japan 日本 1.29 bmt (10.1 tpc) 4.6 6. Germany 德國 0.81 bmt (9.8 tpc) 2.8 7. United Kingdom 英國 0.56 bmt (9.2 tpc) 2.0 8. Canada 加拿大 0.54 bmt (16.1 tpc) 1.9 9. South Korea 南韓 0.47 bmt (9.8 tpc) 1.7 10. Italy 意大利 0.47 bmt (7.9 tpc) 1.7 European Union 歐盟 Reference: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions Downloaded on Nov 26, 2009, according to International Energy data. KMCHAN 2015/4/9 7 4℃ –8℃ surge in this century KMCHAN 2015/4/9 8 2. The Impacts of global Warming 全球暖化的影响 北極 Arctic 1979 Arctic perennial sea ice has been diminishing at a rate of 9% per decade. The ice of frozen freshwater on Greenland melts to dilute and lower the salinity of the arctic ocean. This would have significant effects (slower or stop) on the ocean conveyor. Ice from land could raise sea level Reduced ice from ocean changes currents 北極 Arctic 2003 KMCHAN 2015/4/9 9 How would the climate change if the Gulf Stream shut down? A shut down of the Gulf Stream would suddenly decrease the amount of heat in the North Atlantic, leading to much colder temperatures in Europe and North America. KMCHAN 2015/4/9 10 The Impacts of global Warming Reduction of Biodiversity 生物物種多樣性減少 失 去 生 境 Losing Habitats due to temperature rises 山 區 缺 水 Reduction of freshwater supply trapped in mountains More Diseases 疾病增加 Endemic diseases increasing health risks Extreme Weathers 極端氣候 more storms, floods, droughts… 暴風、洪水、乾旱 Unpredictable climate change 氣候改變難測 Buffering power of planet earth is lowered, leading to unforeseeable climate change leading to fluctuating economy, e.g. Hurricanes in Mexico Bay are threatening oil prices to surge, drought lead to depletion of resources supply, etc……… KMCHAN 2015/4/9 11 2. The Impacts of global Warming 全球暖化會議摘要 Abstract from the 17th Global Warming Conference, April, 2006. .. today‘s atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are the highest in 650,000 years. 今天大氣中二氧化碳水平為六十五萬年內最高 Antarctic climate and concentrations of the greenhouse gases carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) were tightly coupled. 南極氣候改變和温室氣體相關 … CO2 seemed to be confined between bounds of about 180 ppmv (parts per million by volume) in glacial periods and 280 ppmv in inter-glacials; …… Today is 380 ppmy and is rising…. 今天大氣中二氧化碳水平為 380 ppmv 而且正在上升 KMCHAN 2015/4/9 12 3. Kyoto Protocol 京都協定 Took effect in February, 2005. Obligates countries to observe target figures for green house gas reduction. 05 年生效, 各國宜制定減排目標。 Advanced nations should reduce emissions of 6 gases by an average of 68% (relative to 1990 levels) over the five year period from 2008 to 2012. 先進國應 排少90 年水平的8% Kyoto Mechanisms : Scheme for Trading Green House Gas Emissions Rights and encourage international co-operations to achieve carbon neutral 京都機制: 排放貿 易及鼓勵國際合作達致碳中和。 3. Kyoto Protocol KMCHAN 2015/4/9 13 3. Kyoto Protocol KMCHAN 2015/4/9 14 Kyoto Mechanisms 京 都 機 制 : 1. Joint Implementation (JI): international cooperation 合同協作 2. Clean Development Mechanism (CDM): new technology to cut emissions 清潔發展機制 3. Emission Trading (ET): set ceiling to trade 排放貿易 3. Kyoto Protocol KMCHAN 2015/4/9 15 Carbon Market for Carbon dioxide emission trading 3. Kyoto Protocol http://en.cop15.dk/ In the US, the American Clean Energy & Security Act (July 7, 2009; 219>212 in House of Commons) would charge carbon tax for all imports to US in 2010. Beginning in 2012, emissions would be capped at 3 % below 2005 levels increasing to 17 % below 2005 levels in 2020 and 83 % below 2005 levels in2050. In EU, the target is 20 or even 30 % reduction in 2020 of 1990 level !! Renewable energy targets at 20% share in 2020. In France, carbon tax of 14 euro per kg carbon dioxide to be charged in 1/1/2010. Low carbon business had expanded 75% in 2008 during the economic tsunami. KMCHAN 2015/4/9 17 HK Hong Kong is hotter than global trend in recent years (since 90’s)! global 香港增温比全球多! 為什麼? Why?? Leung et al., 2004. Climate Change in Hong Kong. Hong Kong Observatory Technical Note No.107. HKSAR Government. 41 p. KMCHAN 2015/4/9 18 http://www.epd.gov.hk/epd/tc_chi/climate_change/ files/GHG_Emission_Trend_1990_2007.pdf KMCHAN 2015/4/9 19 PLEASE HELP ! 請幫手 !! REDUCE CITY HEAT 減 少 城 市 發 熱 : Use p ublic transports, build less road and urban a rea, etc, to reduce heat island effect. LOW CARBON LIVING 低 碳 生 活 : Live a low -carbon life and practice carbon neutral. Set targets for emission reduction to cut energ y consumption (e.g. Stop using tungsten ligh t bulb, etc). Start your carbon audit NOW. PLANT MORE TREES 多 種 樹 : Conserve rur al area and Plant more trees. KMCHAN 2015/4/9 20 Nuclear energy Renewables (e.g. solar, wind, hydrogen) Biostorage (e.g. forest and soil storage) Wedge Strategies: Efficiency (reduced miles traveled, increased building and electricity efficiency) Conservation (reduced transport with mass transit systems) Fossil-Fuel-Based fuel switching (natural gas), biogas, and carbon capture KMCHAN 2015/4/9 21 http://www.ctenergyeducation.com/images/Wedges_Concept_Game_Materials_July05.pdf KMCHAN 2015/4/9 22 Summary 撮要 Carbon dioxide emission exceeds the normal range and is rising, together with global temperature 異常高的碳排放與全球增温同時出現。 The impacts are visible and the situation is getting worse 其影响明顯且正在惡化。 We are causing global warming and we have to act on saving our planet earth! 我們在形成暖化並須以行動 拯救地球。 Fossil fuels are NOT unlimited, we need a sustainable energy policy: carbon tax, carbon trading, nuclear energy, and renewable energy. 化石燃料非無窮盡, 須發展可持續性的能源政策 : 碳稅、 排放貿易、 核 能和可再生能源。 KMCHAN 2015/4/9 23 Discussions 討 論 : 1. What’s Carbon neutral 何謂碳中和? 2. What can we do to achieve Carbon neutral or carbon compensation 如何達致碳補償? 3. Practicing wedge strategies (auditing) and low carbon living in your school/firm/organization/ at home! ? 如何實 踐碳審訂? 4. Is carbon tax better than carbon trading? 碳 稅還是碳交易較佳? KMCHAN 2015/4/9 24