EU Subsidies in 2014-2020: Opportunities for PPP Projects within the Scope of Subsidies by the EU „Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs“ with President Dr. Christoph Leitl 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw POLAND Erste Group Infrastructure Finance Dr. Werner Weihs-Raabl Head of Group Infrastructure Finance Erste Group More than 17.7 million clients Total population Bankable population 120mn 92mn Erste Group clients whereof within EU 17.7mn 17.0mn Share of loans and deposits within EU >99% Clients: 5.2mn Market share based on: Retail deposits: 28.6% Retail loans: 24.7% Branches: 653 Bank position: 2nd Clients: 0.9mn Market share based on: Clients: 2.4mn Retail deposits: 8.3% Market share based on: Retail loans: 14.5% Retail deposits: 26.1% Branches: 184 Retail loans: 25.8% Bank position:3rd Branches: 289 Bank position: 1st Retail market share of 20-30% AUT, CZ, RO, SK of 5-15% HU, CRO Clients: 0.2mn Market share based on: Retail deposits: 0.3% Retail loans: 1.6% Branches: 131 Clients: 3.2mn Market share based on: Retail deposits: 18.9% Retail loans: 19.3% Branches: 1,051 Bank position: 1st Clients: 0.9mn Market share based on: Retail deposits: 12.8% Retail loans: 13.8% Branches: 145 Clients: 0.3mn Market share based on: Retail deposits: 2.4% Retail loans: 3.1% Branches: 65 All data as of January 2012. Position of banks according to number of assets Erste Group core markets Indirect presence (Savings Banks SLO, BiH) Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND Clients: 4.6mn Market share based on: Retail deposits: 23.1% Retail loans: 18.0% Branches: 667 Minority stakes (RU) / Investment Bank (PL) 2 Group Infrastructure Finance Financing solutions to Public and Private Sector Clients in the following sectors: Areas of Expertise Sector Expertise Energy & Environment Renewable Energy: • Hydro Power Plants • Wind Power Plants • Solar Power Plants Project Finance / Conventional Energy Social Infrastructure • Thermal Power Plants • Airports • Hospitals • Ports • Pump Storage Hydro Power Plants • Public Buildings • Toll roads • Schools, Universities • Railways • Prisons and Courts • Rolling stock • Car parks • Electronic Tolling • Sport Stadia • Biogas Power Plants • Oil & Gas storage and infrastructure / Electricity transmission • Geothermal Power Plants • Water / Waste treatment • Biomass Power Plants Transportation Long term infrastructure financing PPP financing Financial advisory EU Funding support Financial engineering PPP advisory The Infrastructure Finance business comprises a large team of professional finance executives with a track record in Infrastructure Finance and Public Sector business in Vienna at Erste Bank Holding as well as in the region. Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 3 What are the advantages & disadvantages of using PPPs? Disadvantages Advantages Deliver value for money Project may become affordable within the annual public budget Loss of management control by the public sector Voluminous agreement system especially on items like control, devolution, reversion of rights and events of default Force the public sector to focus on output and benefit Competition already in the design and engineering phases (achievement of performance-orientated prices and cost minimising effects) Higher cost of finance Long term, relatively inflexible contractual commitment Maximises the use of private sector skills Adequate risk sharing Risk of insolvency (selection rights to be agreed) Delivers assets on time and budget Partly or completely off public budget Higher efforts for control and monitoring of (quality standards) for the community Conclusion of fixed utilisation fee and defined price adjustment clauses Tax duty PPPs are not “one size fits all” solutions (each individual project has to be assessed for its PPP suitability) Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 4 What is the situation of the PPP market in Poland? Although there still exist barriers to PPPs, a positive future development is expected in the long-run PPP legislation in place for 3.5 years (Act of December 19, 2008; Act of January 9, 2009; Separate act on highway PPPs) Since 2009, 29 PPP contracts signed (current market value EUR 73m) BUT still barriers in place (e.g. support from the public sector, incoherence of the legal framework,…) Sectors with potential for PPPs: - Municipal housing (e.g. municipal housing PPP project in Krakow with a volume of EUR 22m) - Waste management (e.g. waste plant in Gdansk) - Energy - Healthcare - Transport sector (e.g. airports, national roads) - Urban infrastructure Source: PPP Magazine Autumn 2012 Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 5 When do banks finance PPPs? „Bankability“ of transport infrastructure projects Strong revenue support e.g. through availability payment mechanisms Secure and Stable Cash-Flows Demand for Project Optimal Risk Allocation Strong Political will / stable regulatory and legal framework Government Support Bankability Issues Environmental Aspects Debt Service Reserve Liability of Sponsors Technical Complexity EarlyTermination Regulations Solid Private Partner and adequate Equity contribution e.g. Step-in Rights, compensation payments Problem: PPP schemes are often only considered to avoid budget limitations, therefore the pre-conditions are often insufficient causing failures and delays of projects Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 6 Why do banks finance airports? Critical factors in Airport valuations Traffic potential Catchment area, population size, propensity to fly Natural traffic flows (tourism, diaspora) Domestic and regional competition Key clients Strategy towards airlines: Anchor airline, Airline mix, Low Costers Malev effect Capex benchmark of capex volume, costs per m², considering complexity, number of bridges etc. Opex Efficiency in operations, staff, outsourcing Important airport extensions planned in Poland (e. g. Krakow, Bialystok, Olsztyn) Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 7 Renewable Energy in Poland New regulation: Wind energy support regime (I) Draft law with transitional provisions. • introduces the RES law: the new Energy law and the Gas law. • Published on October 12th by the Polish Ministry of Economy • To be enacted by end Q1 2013 • To come into force around mid 2013, after notification to the European Commission, including the identification of potential elements for state aid Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 8 Renewable Energy in Poland New regulation: Wind energy support regime (II) Most important changes: 1. For running projects: RES installations that were operational before the effective date of the RES law to get green certificates for a period of 15 years (from date since operational) . N.B.: Correction factor = 1. 1. For new projects : Correction factors exist for the years 2013-2017. Correction factors for onshore wind with installed capacity >500 kW are: 2013 – 0.90 2014 – 0.90 2016 r. – 0.86 2017 – 0.83. 2015 – 0.88 Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 9 WtE Projects in Poland Poland aims at building 11 WtE plants with the capacity to burn 2,337,000 t/a. (2013-2015) - Facilitated through the “Law on Maintaining Cleanliness and Order in Municipalities” (in force since 01/01/2012): allows municipalities to implement waste projects financed by debt incurred directly by The planned Polish WtE plants municipalities or by private partners - Expected that EU funds 61% of the total €1.516b Example: WtE Project Gdansk - PPP structure possible - Project costs: 600-660 million zł (ca. 165 million EUR) - EU Funding: 135 million EUR (60% of total costs) - Capacity: appr. 250,000 t/a - Start: expected in 2015 - Concession period: 30 yrs Source: ASK – Access to Sustainable Knowledge Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 10 Medicover Hospital in Poland Structured Debt Finance In 2011, Erste Group originated, structured and provided a EUR 32m investment loan for 10 years for the acquisition of Medicover Hospital in Warsaw by Celox Group Medicover hospital was the first medical facility in Poland offering such a wide range of hospital services, with a capacity of: 180-beds Five fully equipped surgery rooms Six-room private hotel (for family members or private treatment) Erste Group aims at financing projects in the healthcare sector as we deem that crucial for the economic growth of the whole country. Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 11 Road Transport Infrastructure in Poland PPPs so far only considered as a supplementary and not major financing approach National road development set out in the „National Roads Building Program for the years 2011 – 2015“ Between 2011 – 2013: expenditure limit within the National Road Fund (guaranteed by the State Treasury and fiscally managed by the BGK bank) set at EUR 19.8b So far, the indroduction of motorways based on PPP legislation has failed (e.g. A1 between Stryków and Pyrzowice) Reasons: Lack of experience in structuring bankable PPP projects Off-balance sheet treatment from Eurostat not achieved Insufficient political support for the implementation of PPP projects According to the „National Roads Building Program for the years 2011 – 2015“, the following motorway projects could potentially be structured as PPPs: A2 motorway from Warsaw to Belarus A1 section from Tuszyn to Pyrzowice Source: PPP Magazine Autumn 2012 Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 12 PPP support by EU/ international institutions and programmes? JASPERS (Joint Assistance in Supporting Projects in European Regions): The main objective of this programme is to provide technical expertise to the twelve EU Member States which joined the EU in 2004 and 2007 Aimed at accelerating the absorption of the available funds (absorption level of EU funds till the end of 2015 in Poland: EUR 67bn) JESSICA (Joint European Support for Sustainable Investment in City Areas): This fund supports sustainable urban development and regeneration through financial engineering mechanisms. Ten–T ( Trans-European Transport Networks) projects are financed by the EU/ international institutions through: Grants from the Trans-European transport budget (Funding rules) Grants from the Cohesion Fund budget, in the countries eligible for its intervention Grants from the ERDF, majorly for convergence objective regions Loans and guarantees from the European Investment Bank (EIB) EIB plays a crucial role in the development of PPPs on the European level. Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 13 Where do we see a potential for enhancing PPPs with EIB’s support? Europe 2020 Project Bond Initiative - Structure Public Procurer „Unitary Charge“ / „Lease“ Payment Public Sector PPP Contract Equity Private Sector Special Purpose Vehicle SPV Senior Debt in form of Project Bonds Subordinated Debt Construction Company Operator Investors buy or underwrite Europe 2020 Project Bond Initiative Project Bond Guarantee Facility EIB Risk sharing EU Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 14 How can projects be made more attractive? (I) Strong political consensus on a cross-regional master plan (What? When? How?) Realistic project planning & budgeting Awareness that PPPs are not a magic formula: bad projects cannot become good PPPs Awareness that private partners need certain returns & stable Cash-Flows Feasibility Studies and Public Sector Comparator crucial for choosing the right projects and appropriate financing structure (Public Procurement vs. PPPs) Increase absorption of EU funds & make use of general support from EU institutions (e.g. EIB, EPEC, Jessica, Jaspers, T-Ten,..) Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 15 How can projects be made more attractive? (II) Openness for alternatives to bank loans for financing (e.g. Project Bonds) Sufficient capacity and skills on the public sector side (PPP Task Force) & experienced private partners (e.g. advisors) Legislation and regulatory framework to allow the proper execution of concession projects (concession law, expropriation issues etc.) “Best Practice”: replicate the process of successfully realized projects available in the market “Best Practice” (even if it is in another country) Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 16 Selected Credentials Infrastructure Financial Advisory Karlovy Vary Hospital Czech Republic Pardubice County Hospital Czech Republic Emergency Care Centre Czech Republic Courthouses Czech Republic Zlin Congress Centre Czech Republic Multifunctional Centre Czech Republic PPP methodology Slovak Republic Financial advisory Financial Advisory and Project Management Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial Advisory and Project Management Financial advisory EUR 30,000,000 EUR 80,000,000 EUR 65,000,000 EUR 75,000,000 EUR 20,000,000 EUR 55,000,000 Amount undisclosed 2006 2006-2007 2006-2008 2006-2008 2007-2008 2007-2008 2007 PPP methodology Slovak Republic City Town Hall Czech Republic Kiev Ringroad Ukraine System of Transport Infrastructure Financing Czech Republic DPP - Fleet renewal financing strategy Czech Republic Stabilization plan of KNTB hospital Czech Republic Aquapark Velesin Czech Republic Advisory on preparation of methodology Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory EUR 40,000,000 EUR 45,000,000 EUR 2bn N/A EUR 1,6bn EUR 10m EUR 8m 2008 2008 2009-2010 2011-2012 2011 2011 2010-2011 D1 Highway Czech Republic Parking house FNO Czech Republic Parking house Ostrava Poruba Czech Republic Cultural Center of Trnava Region Slovak Republic M3 - Highway Hungary D1 - Highway Slovak Republic R1 - Motorway Slovak Republic Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory EUR 1bn EUR 7,6m EUR 7,2m N/A EUR 400m EUR 2,6bn EUR 1bn 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2008-2011 2008-2010 Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 17 Selected Credentials Infrastructure Financial Advisory Communal Services Liptovsky Mikulas Slovak Republic Aquapark Luka nad Jihlavou Czech Republic Strategy of financing, Kolin city Czech Republic Financial advisory Financial advisory Financial advisory EUR 13,6m EUR 3,3m N/A 2009-2010 2011 2011 Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 18 Selected Credentials Infrastructure Financing Jelačićka Sports Hall Croatia 28y Investment Loan EUR 29,000,000 Sportski Grad Croatia R1 Slovakia Bina Istra Croatia Financing Financing Financing vol.: EUR 1.2b ERSTE participation: EUR 85,000,000 Phase II Financing Financing vol.: EUR 693m with ERSTE participation: EUR 30,000,000 Financing vol.: EUR 46,000,000 M6 Hungary Medicover Hospital Warsaw Poland Financing Infrastructure Acquisition Finance MEP/ Energy 21 Republic Czech Fersa Dubrovnik Airport Poland Energy Finance Energy Finance Investment loan for PV Power Plant project pipeline Investment loan for 24 MW Wind Power Plant Investment Loan EUR 32,000,000 CZK 1.820 mln PLN 116 mln 2011 2010 2010 RenoEnergie, a.s. Czech Republic HT WIND, s.r.o. S&M CZ, s.r.o. Energy Finance Energy Finance Energy Finance Hydro Power Plant Investment Loan Supported by IFC Guarantee Investment loan Supported by IFC Guarantee 2008 2008 Financing vol.: EUR 445m ERSTE participation: EUR 60,000,000 Hospital Vienna North Austria AZM Croatia Financing In Tender Phase I Financing Financing vol.: EUR 18,800,000 Financing vol.: EUR 605,000,000 Financing vol.: EUR 375,000,000 IWP Windpark valuation in 6 different countries Enerji SA Turkey Sale process of photovoltaic assets in Bulgaria Financial Advisory on wind park portfolio valuation in different development stages Energy Finance Financial Advisory Financing Identification of investors for photovoltaic Power Plants 2009-2010 Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND EUR 1bn. European Power Portfolio Deal of the Year 2008 2009-2010 19 Thank you for your attention! Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 20 Contact Werner Weihs-Raabl Erste Group Head of Group Infrastructure Finance 1060 Vienna, Mariahilfer Straße 41 - 43 Tel.: +43 (0) 50100 - 18010 Fax: +43 (0) 50100 - 9 18010 mobile: +43 (0) 664 818 05 27 werner.weihs-raabl@erstegroup.com Investing in Poland with a Focus on PPPs | 5-6 November 2012 | Warsaw, POLAND 21