Agrofood-feed-fuel complex & the land grab Philip McMichael Cornell University Agro-food-feed-fuel complex? Integrated agro-industrial sector: crops interchangeable as fungible investments indiscriminate production Food regime vector: with class & conjunctural conditions structuring policy & markets ‘security mercantilism’ New development ~ food/energy crises Replacing ‘free trade driven ‘food security’ State/investor compacts to guarantee food & fuel supplies for consumer citizens vs food insecure. ‘aginvestment’ emphasis National food security strategies Protection of land & natural resource rights How can these be met? Investment in sustaining smallholders, pastoralists, fishers and indigenous people rather than sustaining consumers World Bank, WDR 2008 ‘new agriculture’ – containing smallholders w/in value chains Peasant agriculture as impoverished baseline for development (paradigm) Peasant out-migration = underachievement or choice Alternative explanation of peasant out-migration “the massive movement of food around the world is forcing the increased movement of people” (Via Campesina 2000) Displacement: planet of slums For India: by 2015 peasant migrants to be “equal to twice the combined population of the UK, France & Germany” (W/Bank). Re-centering of agriculture Official (W/Bank) version: outgrower model + value chains Philanthropic version (Gates F’n): ‘some degree of land mobility and a lower % of total employment involved in direct agricultural production’ IAASTD version: multifunctionality, valuing farmer knowledge & biodiversity Commodification of food Even so, industrial agr. heavily subsidized Global inequality deepened by: 1. ‘ghost acres’ 2. Inertia of rising energy & meat consumption ‘Ghost acres’: food from nowhere Kenya: 90% of horticulture is destined for Europe, produced by ♀ migrant labor UK supermarkets (76% of organic foods) imported 34% of organic food sold in 2006, including from China…. Mexican agro-maquilas depend on migrant labor force of indigenous women, displaced by US corn dumping Consuming the Amazon 2006 Greenpeace Report: “Meat reared on rainforest soya finds its way onto supermarket shelves and fast food counters across Europe.” ‘Meatification’ – meat consumption per capita (kg per annum) US Spain Europe Brazil China Japan 1968 89 22 56 39 4 8 2008 124 119 89 68 54 42 Incr. 40% 440% 59% 74% 1250% 425% Mangroves become aquaculture: “We have turned the blood of our people [shrimp] into an appetiser” Agricultural investment frontier? Commodity index funds speculation Safe haven in global economic recession Profit squeeze on agribusiness Investment fund fungibility Subsidies (energy, food) -- incl. cheap land & labor in global South Deforestation in Sumatra for pulp and palm [Greenpeace, The Guardian 8-20-10] Infrastructure of land grab Millennium Challenge Corporation: market-based solutions to food security Externalizes rights through inordinate valorization of land as economic resource [WB land grab price-mechanism omits eco-system values] Infrastructure for global consumers rather than local producers as citizens Global consumer footprint Development? Paradigm of growth values yield per plant = industrial ‘agriculture without farmers.’ Ecological paradigm values yield per ha. from small-scale, biodiverse farming. Choice: land-grabbing on behalf of global consumer sovereignty, vs. local food & energy sovereignty…