Project Dairy – chapter 1 of 3 A consumer research programme to test and promote awareness of health and nutritional advantages and preferences of milk and other dairy products 1 Technical background (Chapter 1) Site map Post-debrief value-add (Chapter 3) Typologies (Chapter 3) Meet your sample (Chapter 1) Highlights (Chapter 1) Knowledge about dairy products (Chapter 3) Product awareness and usage (Chapter 1) Purchasing and consumption (Chapter 3) Product positioning and loyalty (Chapter 2) 2 Unpacking business vs. research objectives Business objective Marketing objective Research objectives To promote viability of the dairy industry from a national point of view • Consumers should be informed of the health and nutritional advantage of milk and other dairy products and misconceptions regarding these issues should be eliminated • To identify the usage incidence, product awareness, drivers of consumption and overall perceptions of specific dairy categories on a national level • To identify any confusions that exist regarding dairy products • By uncovering the answers to these questions provide insight for future strategic planning Dairy categories will consist of: Fresh milk, UHT milk, fermented milk, milk powder, baby milk powder, flavoured milk, yogurt, cheese, sweetened condensed milk, butter, cream, buttermilk. 3 Research solution: Quantitative methodology Information needs Sampling method Approach Usage incidence Product awareness Drivers of consumptions Overall perceptions Confusions or information needs of consumers Demographics: Including LSMs, income, household composition, education, gender, age, etc. • Optima brand and category audit. • Cost effective way • Shorter questionnaire • Optima format lends itself to communication evaluation, testing public opinion and incidence investigation •Tailored questions to comply with information needs • Random household sample • 3500 adults- metro and rural area •16 years and older • Living in residential homes in South Africa • All races and geographical areas • Data is weighted to population A sample of 3 500 is the optimal sample for a national study: This sample is the minimum required to represent all community-size levels (i.e. metropolitan, cities, large towns, deep rural) in all provinces of SA at an allowable error of maximum 5% at a 95% level of confidence. A sample of 3 000 will provide accurate results at a national level, but accurate representation of non-metropolitan areas will be compromised, and analysis at these levels would not be possible. 4 Meet your sample 5 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) Meet your sample: % Age 19 - 24 years, 19 25 - 34 years, 22 35 - 49 years, 30 50 years +, 29 White, 13 Race Black, 75 Gender Home language Indian, 3 Coloured, 9 Female, 50 Male, 50 Afrikaans, 15 Zulu, 24 Xhosa, 17 N. Soth., 9 English, 10 Tsw., 8 S. Soth., 8 Other, 10 36% (mostly black, non-metro households) do not have a fridge/freezer in home 6 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) Meet your sample: % No schooling, 8 Education Work status Gross monthly household income LSM Primary school completed, 8 Some primary school, 15 Working full-time, 33 Up to R1 199, 27 LSM 1 - 3, 26 Subsisting Some high school, 36 Matric, 22 Not working, 31 Post matric, 10 Unemployed, 27 Working part-time, 9 R1 200 - R3 999, 27 R4 000+, 23 Don't know/refused, 23 LSM 4 - 5, 29 LSM 6 - 8, 29 LSM 9 - 10, 16 Surviving Aspiring Advantaged • Two thirds of those who don’t know their household income, or refused first-time round, have household incomes of less than R6 000 p.m. • One in five adults have more than 2 under-18-year-olds under personal supervision. 7 Highlights 8 Highlights General market and usage dynamics Affordability is the key reason for lapsing products – especially cheeses, cream and butter face this fate. The dairy leaders are: Fresh full-cream milk, maas, normal yoghurt, gouda/cheddar and full-cream UHT milk. These products have a wide age range and, except for maas which is used predominantly by blacks and LSM 1 - 5, wide racial and LSM profile. Taste also plays a role in rejection, especially of UHT fat-free milk. Fresh or UHT fat-free or low-fat milk looks watery and thin. Fresh full-cream milk (in hot drinks, with porridge) and maas (any time of day and meal replacement) are most likely candidates for future increased per capita consumption. Under 19 year olds account for large proportion of dairy consumption, except for UHT fat-free and buttermilk. Yoghurt (though seen as healthy) might lose out, as might butter (though it tastes nice). Core usage of low-fat 2% fresh milk is a good indicator of a wide dairy repertoire: Yoghurt, a variety of cheeses, cream, butter, cheese spread, and low-fat UHT milk. Gouda/cheddard is attractive, but really expensive. Interestingly, 2 in 5 buy fresh milk or maas once a month… Normal yoghurt and drinking yoghurt often interchange. Core maas users are also likely to use normal yoghurt. It’s not what you look at that matters, it’s what you see. Henry David Thoreau 9 Highlights General market and usage dynamics (continued) If fresh full-cream milk becomes unavailable, UHT full-cream milk will be a likely stand-in, and vice versa. Knowledge gaps More than 50 per cent consumers don’t know the fat content of full-cream milk. The same interchangeability exists amongst cheese, normal/drinking yoghurt (respectively) and fresh/UHT low-fat milk. The average guess is 45% fat – and it’s not really seen as better than derived fats and oils or fastfood. Margarine is an obvious stand-in for butter. People want to know more about the production process of milk, pasteurization and whether there are quality differences amongst brands. It’s not what you look at that matters, it’s what you see. Henry David Thoreau 10 Highlights Perceptual and experiential drivers of choice – 5 key products Fresh full-cream milk: Priced well, popular with everyone, always in home, grew up with, straight from the cow. Doesn’t look as thick and creamy as maas Gouda/cheddar: Not positively driven by any market factor, but is seen as high in cholesterol and for rich people. Packaging is of poor quality, and does not contain enough info (both key drivers). Too expensive (key driver). Maas: convenient meal replacement, wellpriced, popular, straight from the cow, grew up with. Packs don’t have enough info UHT full-cream milk: Helps digestion, popular, always in home, straight from the cow. Does not contain right amount of salt Yoghurt: Product that children love, convenient meal replacement. Does not enhance the taste of food, not value for money. It’s not what you look at that matters, it’s what you see. Henry David Thoreau 11 Product awareness and usage 12 Product awareness and usage route map • • Helicopter view Brand profiles – – – • • By age By race By LSM Reasons for rejecting products without trial (“never tried before, not interested in trying”) Changes in dairy product consumption 13 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) A helicopter view of the market % 53 Fresh milk - full cream 17 UHT/Long-life milk - full cream 29 5 10 10 9 Baby milk powder 2 11 17 UHT/ Long-life milk - low fat or 2%milk 1 7 Butter 1 6 9 10 13 11 13 9 8 5 38 USE MOST OFTEN USED IN PAST HAPPY TO USE AGAIN USED IN PAST WOULD NOT LIKE TO USE AGAIN ONLY KNOW BY NAME 8 2 4 11 3 8 5 2 12 7 33 6 34 5 22 5 3 31 31 31 27 2 5 6 24 18 7 17 21 3 1 5 1 31 31 50 7 4 2 13 56 Gouda and Cheddar cheese 2 Fresh milk - fat free milk or skimmed milk 1 4 6 12 7 51 Normal yoghurt 2 Sweetened condensed milk 1 18 14 Maas/Amasi/Inkomaas/sour milk Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk 25 27 19 8 5 2 5 19 25 6 10 USE OCCASIONALLY NEVER TRIED WOULD LIKE TO NEVER TRIED NOT INTERESTED NEVER HEARD OF Full-cream milk accounts for the largest volume of dairy consumption. 2% milk, or fat-free or skim milk suffer from low awareness, but not out-right rejection. Maas and yoghurt are more likely to be used occasionally rather than most often. Lapsing or rejection of dairy is low, except for condensed milk and baby milk powder. 14 Key product portfolios: What do respective core users also use occasionally? Use occasionally Slide 1 of 2; mentions of 7% or higher (occasional usage) shown; products with raw bases of 50+ (most-often usage) shown Use most often TOTAL Fresh milk full cream UHT milk full cream Maas Fresh milk low fat/ 2% Gouda/ Cheddar Normal yoghurt Butter 31540 16664 5373 4491 1543 485 501 349 % % % % % % % % Normal yoghurt 56 57 62 48 72 56 0 42 Maas 51 62 70 0 34 43 35 54 Gouda and Cheddar cheese 50 53 50 33 72 0 48 51 Drinking yoghurt 34 35 35 27 45 47 50 25 UHT/Long-life milk - full cream 29 38 0 38 17 23 34 32 Butter 27 31 19 15 48 23 31 0 Fresh milk - full cream 25 0 57 63 33 69 46 46 Cream 19 23 13 8 42 10 22 11 Cheese spread 18 21 12 7 34 16 22 21 Sweetened condensed milk 13 15 11 5 17 21 9 7 Pop (wt.) (000's) Significantly higher than average Core user’s most likely alternative (and significantly higher than occasional usage average) 15 Key product portfolios: What do respective core users also use occasionally? Use occasionally Slide 1 of 2; mentions of 7% or higher (occasional usage) shown; products with raw bases of 50+ (most-often usage) shown Use most often TOTAL Fresh milk full cream UHT milk full cream Maas Fresh milk low fat/ 2% Gouda/ Cheddar Normal yoghurt Butter 31540 16664 5373 4491 1543 485 501 349 % % % % % % % % Feta cheese 12 13 7 3 39 11 15 10 Baby milk powder 11 10 20 13 5 4 5 8 Cottage cheese 10 11 6 3 35 9 14 11 Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk 10 12 6 4 0 12 7 12 Flavoured milk 9 11 8 3 21 7 13 4 Other cheese 8 7 3 6 20 11 9 7 UHT/ Long-life milk - low fat or 2%milk 7 5 8 3 33 4 5 4 Pop (wt.) (000's) Significantly higher than average Core user’s most likely alternative (and significantly higher than occasional usage average) 16 Profiles are based on most-often/occasional users of each respective product Top ten footprint leaders - age profiles 16-24 Fresh milk - full cream 18 Maas/Amasi/Inkomaas/sour milk 19 Normal yoghurt Gouda and Cheddar cheese 23 21 Butter Cream 12 Cheese spread 13 Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk 14 0% 10% 28 30 28 28 32 24 27 34 24 22 30 21 30 36 23 30% 50% Older 28 31 40% Younger 30 36 23 20% 25 33 22 16 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) 31 23 20 Above 50 31 23 18 Drinking yoghurt 35-49 23 16 UHT/Long-life milk - full cream 25-34 32 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Age profiles are evenly spread across the top 10 footprint leaders. With cream there is a slight leaning towards 35+ year olds, and with drinking yoghurt the age profile is younger. 17 Profiles are based on most-often/occasional users of each respective product Bottom twelve footprint leaders - age profiles 16-24 Sweetened condensed milk 14 Feta cheese Cottage cheese 10 9 11 Other cheese 13 Buttermilk 11 UHT/ Long-life milk - fat free or skimmed milk Organic milk Nutritionally enhanced milk 15 12 21 33 29 27 17 18 26 Younger 22 Younger 29 35 36 Older 31 37 Older 36 29 Older 39 31 19 Older 36 25 Younger 16 32 38 19 14 30 39 21 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) Above 50 31 34 17 UHT/ Long-life milk - low fat or 2%milk 35-49 31 19 Flavoured milk Fresh milk - fat free milk or skimmed milk 24 20 Baby milk powder 25-34 34 14 35 Older Younger 37 24 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100 % With more niche dairy products one sees clearer age segmentation: Young families are likely to use baby milk powder. Flavoured milk is marketed to young consumers, and very specialised, new products like “other cheese” and “organic milk” appeal mostly to younger consumers 18 Profiles are based on most-often/occasional users of each respective product Top ten footprint leaders - race profiles Black Fresh milk - full cream White Indian (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) Coloured 76 12 3 92 Maas/Amasi/Inkomaas/sour milk Normal yoghurt 23 3 68 Gouda and Cheddar cheese 18 60 UHT/Long-life milk - full cream 3 21 5 77 Drinking yoghurt 9 66 15 60 Butter Cream Cheese spread 31 47 Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk 29 43 0% 10% 20% 34 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 7 11 14 2 5 22 45 9 11 14 12 8 16 7 17 6 17 80% 90% 100% Maas and UHT full cream have a stronger bias towards black consumers than average. Low fat 2% milk, cheese spread and cream have strong white and coloured biases. Gouda/cheddar and drinking yoghurt are additional favourites amongst coloureds. 19 Profiles are based on most-often/occasional users of each respective product Bottom twelve footprint leaders - race profiles Black 15. Sweetened condensed milk White 27 9 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) 21 88 31 7 21. Feta cheese 23 55 20. Cottage cheese 25 52 5. UHT/ Long-life milk - low fat or 2%milk Coloured 43 14. Baby milk powder 9. Flavoured milk Indian 31 8 14 8 31 14 41 31 24 4 24 22. Other cheese 38 11. Buttermilk 38 3. Fresh milk - fat free milk or skimmed milk 37 35 4 23 6. UHT/ Long-life milk - fat free or skimmed milk 39 34 4 24 8. Organic milk 7. Nutritionally enhanced milk 32 16 9 29 50 7 21 26 34 59 6 26 0 10 15 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100 % Feta and cottage cheese have strong white bias, whilst baby milk powder is largely used by black consumers. 20 Profiles are based on most-often/occasional users of each respective product Top ten footprint leaders - LSM profiles LSM 1-3 24 Fresh milk - full cream Maas/Amasi/Inkomaas/sour milk Cream 8 6 4 0% 22 37 11 29 39 13 41 43 13 38 43 20% 14 38 22 10% 21 29 26 12 30% 6 26 27 14 Butter 27 37 29 Drinking yoghurt 15 34 24 UHT/Long-life milk - full cream Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk 31 26 13 (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) LSM 9-10 35 19 Gouda and Cheddar cheese LSM 6-8 30 32 Normal yoghurt Cheese spread LSM 4-5 40% 40 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Compared to age and race, LSM segments provide a clear way of segmenting dairy products: Maas and UHT full cream have a strong presence in LSM 1-3 (Subsisting) and LSM 4-5 (Surviving); In LSM 6-8 (Aspiring) and LSM 9-10 (Advantaged), cheese spread, cream, butter and 2% milk play significant roles. 21 Profiles are based on most-often/occasional users of each respective product Bottom twelve footprint leaders - LSM profiles (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) LSM 1-3 15. Sweetened condensed milk 12 15 21. Feta cheese 1 7 7 13 22. Other cheese 6 14 12 6. UHT/ Long-life milk - fat free or skimmed milk 8. Organic milk 7. Nutritionally enhanced milk 4 24 57 43 41 37 42 33 10 19 36 35 13 23 47 42 13 11 8 63 13 5. UHT/ Long-life milk - low fat or 2%milk 3. Fresh milk - fat free milk or skimmed milk 32 37 4 LSM 9-10 37 29 20. Cottage cheese 1 4 11. Buttermilk LSM 6-8 36 36 14. Baby milk powder 9. Flavoured milk LSM 4-5 48 23 14 19 53 35 28 51 10 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100 % Baby milk powder has its significant market in LSM 1 – 5. The remaining low-footprint dairy products, with very niche products amongst them (e.g. feta cheese, nutritionally enhance milk, etc.), generally have a presence in LSM 6 or higher. 22 TOTAL Baby milk powder Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk Fresh milk - fat free milk or skimmed milk UHT/ Long-life milk - fat free or skimmed milk Sweetened condensed milk Maas/Amasi/Ink omaas/sour milk Buttermilk UHT/ Long-life milk - low fat or 2%milk 20184 2244 1505 2070 1398 1217 1104 1104 1072 % % % % % % % % % Too expensive / not affordable 13 9 2 3 5 15 2 16 4 Dislike the taste 10 5 14 18 23 3 12 12 16 Do not know the brand/product 8 1 5 2 5 5 1 20 3 Not interested 8 68 3 6 7 5 10 7 9 For babies 8 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Dislike it 8 5 9 6 8 14 14 8 4 Looks watery 8 0 17 29 28 0 0 1 15 Happy with what I am using / prefer other product 7 2 15 7 4 4 0 3 11 Fat free / contains no fat / low fat 6 9 18 17 24 0 0 0 17 General dislike of smell 5 0 0 1 2 1 22 7 1 Have never tried before 5 0 2 3 3 9 4 5 3 Not easily available 5 2 3 2 6 7 0 8 6 Reasons for rejecting products without trial (Slide 1 of 2; mentions of 5% or higher shown; products with raw bases of 50+ shown) Pop (wt.) (000's) Significantly higher than average Product associated most with comment 23 TOTAL Organic milk Flavoured milk Nutritionally enhanced milk Cream Cottage cheese Feta cheese Cheese spread Butter Drinking yoghurt Gouda and Cheddar cheese UHT/Long-life milk - full cream Reasons for rejecting products without trial 20184 1054 1031 890 757 724 712 673 515 478 461 445 % % % % % % % % % % % % Too expensive / not affordable 13 7 11 15 33 25 32 35 64 10 35 11 Dislike the taste 10 5 10 2 4 7 8 9 2 8 8 6 Do not know the brand/product 8 34 13 31 6 16 13 2 1 0 6 2 Not interested 8 16 16 10 12 7 7 9 5 6 9 16 For babies 8 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 Dislike it 8 10 11 3 1 4 10 16 7 2 24 8 Looks watery 8 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 16 0 2 Happy with what I am using / prefer other product 7 13 10 2 4 5 2 8 7 7 4 5 Fat free / contains no fat / low fat 6 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 General dislike of smell 5 4 4 2 0 13 7 4 5 0 24 6 Have never tried before 5 9 6 6 8 6 5 1 7 8 0 16 Not easily available 5 8 2 8 14 4 7 4 11 7 2 0 (Slide 2 of 2; mentions of 5% or higher shown; products with raw bases of 50+ shown) Pop (wt.) (000's) Significantly higher than average Product associated most with comment 24 Key facts about product rejection and substitution Key reasons for rejection are price, taste and lack of knowledge. • Baby milk powder: general disinterest; targeted at a very specific market (mothers with babies) • Fresh milk, 2% fat, or fat-free/skim: Dislike fat-free or low-fat products; looks watery • UHT – fat free or skim, 2% fat: Similar to above; people dislike the taste • Maas/Amasi/Inkomaas/sour milk: People dislike smell • Buttermilk: Little-known product • Organic milk: Unknown • Butter, nutritionally enhance milk, all cheeses: Too expensive (esp. butter) • Gouda and cheddar: People dislike the smell 25 Changes in dairy product consumption – 6 leading products (slide 1 of 3) (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) % 40 31 28 24 19 17 16 16 16 16 12 10 10 7 10 7 Fresh milk (full cream) Maas Use more of Normal yoghurt Using less of 7 UHT/Long-life milk Gouda and - full cream Cheddar cheese 7 Butter Should use more often of in the future Fresh full cream milk (particularly LSM 6-8) and maas (particularly LSM 4–5) are the leaders in stated future increased consumption. There is robust interest in Gouda and Cheddar (bar pricing issues), especially amongst LSM 9-10. Yoghurt had the highest count for “using less of”, and in net terms future interest seems flat (and only 2% use it most often). This product is confined to LSM 9-10. 26 Changes in dairy product consumption (slide 2 of 3) (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) % 9 9 8 6 Drinking yoghurt 5 Cream Use more of 7 5 4 6 Cheese spread Using less of 5 4 5 4 Fresh milk - low fat or 2% milk 3 3 Feta cheese 3 2 2 Baby milk powder Should use more often of in the future 27 Changes in dairy product consumption (slide 3 of 3) (Pop. (wt.) (‘000s) =31 540) % 3 6 3 Sweetened condensed milk 2 3 4 Cottage cheese Use more of 2 2 3 Flavoured milk 2 2 2 Other cheese 2 2 2 1 2 3 Fresh milk - UHT/Longfat free milk life milk or skimmed low fat or milk 2%milk Using less of 1 2 2 Buttermilk 1 1 2 1 1 2 UHT/Long- Organic milk life milk - fat free or skimmed milk Should use more often of in the future 28 Fresh milk - full cream Maas/Amasi/Inkom aas/sour milk Gouda and Cheddar cheese Normal yoghurt UHT/Long-life milk full cream Butter Drinking yoghurt Cream Sweetened condensed milk Reasons for increasing consumption 20279 4955 4586 2006 1853 1423 1097 805 671 475 % % % % % % % % % % Healthy 13 16 10 13 18 4 8 14 1 4 Tastes good / tasty 10 9 11 15 9 8 15 13 10 5 Use with cereals/porridge 8 17 10 3 0 8 2 1 0 1 Good for (growing) children / children like it 8 4 10 5 20 7 6 16 3 0 Good for the whole family / family like it 7 9 8 6 10 7 3 3 1 2 Drink with tea/coffee / enhance the taste of tea/coffee 6 21 0 1 0 9 0 0 3 11 Affordable / cheap 5 5 10 2 3 4 4 7 3 4 Creamy 5 5 7 2 3 10 6 2 5 0 Enjoy it/like it 5 3 7 5 13 2 3 2 9 7 Versatile e.g. can cook with it, use with everything 5 7 2 4 6 3 12 1 15 3 (Mentions of 5% or higher shown; products with raw bases of 50+ shown) Significantly higher than average Pop (wt.) (000's) TOTAL Yoghurt's chief perceived benefit is that it’s good for children. Full cream fresh milk enhances the taste of hot drinks. 29 Reasons for decreasing consumption Fresh milk - full cream Maas/Amasi/Inkom aas/sour milk Gouda and Cheddar cheese Normal yoghurt UHT/Long-life milk - full cream Butter Drinking yoghurt Cream Sweetened condensed milk (Mentions of 2% or higher shown; products with raw bases of 50+ shown) 20279 4955 4586 2006 1853 1423 1097 805 671 475 % % % % % % % % % % Expensive / cannot afford 11 3 6 26 13 15 19 16 17 17 Only eat occasionally/drink occasionally 4 3 5 4 4 0 2 5 15 1 Do not have a fridge / has to be stored in a fridge 2 4 1 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 Not always available 2 1 1 1 4 2 3 6 0 2 Other (More of...) 2 1 1 5 2 0 3 2 1 1 Significantly higher than average TOTAL Pop (wt.) (000's) The main reason for decreasing consumption is pricing, especially in the Gouda/Cheddar category and butter. Cream is a product people would use only on occasion. 30