Di Chengfeng Beijing Normal University 2013.6.14-15 Budapest Urbanization …… the physical growth of urban areas as a result of rural migration and even suburban concentration into cities The urbanization of population increase of urban population proportion of urban population in total population The urbanization of land expansion of urban land Overview of China’s Urbanization Rate of Urbanization in China (1949-2010) (%) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Before economic reform(1949-1979) : Crawling under 20% After economic reform(since 1980): Running by small steps, up to 49.70% in 2010 and 51.3% in 2011 Year Overview of China’s Urbanization Overview of China’s Urbanization Process of China’s Urbanization 1950-1978: Counter-urbanization Major factors Development strategy of industrialization with priority of heavy-industry with limited resources under system of planned economy Institutional arrangements on Chinese urban-rural segregation including the household registration (Hukou) system Political arrangement of sending urban youth to countryside to do farm works Process of China’s Urbanization 1979-2002: Urbanization based on industrialization in rural area and development of small cities and towns Major factors Economic reform to market economy Release of rural surplus labor Policy of giving priority to development of small cities and towns with development of medium and big cities as supplement Development of rural enterprises Emerging of small cities and towns (See the table) Process of China’s Urbanization Quantity of small cities and towns in China since 1981 Year Amount Year Amount 1981 2678 1993 15806 1982 2664 1994 16702 1983 2968 1995 17532 1984 7186 1996 18171 1985 9140 1997 18925 1986 10718 1998 19216 1987 11103 1999 19756 1988 11481 2000 20312 1989 11873 2001 20374 1990 12084 2002 20601 1991 12455 2003 20226 1992 14539 2004 19883 2005 19522 Process of China’s Urbanization Since 2002: Transforming to urbanization based on coordinated development of towns and cities of various scale Major factors Increased demand for cheap rural labors due to deepening of economic reform and industrialization Loosening of the household registration system in some cities Need for scale of economy and market resulting from evolving of industrialization Some Problems of China’s Urbanization Imbalance between urbanization of land and urbanization of population Imbalance between urbanization of population and farmers’ citizenization Imbalance between land and population urbanization Statistics from different sources The build-up areas in cities has increased by 7.2%, while the population in the areas increased only by 4% during 19992007. - The National Development and Reform Commission The build-up areas above prefecture level expanded 70.1% but population absorbed in the areas increased only by 30% from 2001 to 2007. - China Urban Development Report 2009 More data - China Statistical Yearbook & China Statistical Yearbook of Urban Construction Change of built-up area and population density in Chinese cities since the 1980s Year Build-up area of city (km2) Population in cities and towns (million) urbanization Population density Rate in build-up area (%) (persons/km2) 1981 7438 199.70 20.12 26849 1985 9386 250.94 23.71 26736 1990 12856 301.91 26.41 23484 1995 19264 351.74 29.04 18259 2000 22439 459.06 36.22 20458 2005 32521 562.12 42.99 17285 2006 33660 577.06 43.90 17144 2007 35470 593.79 44.94 16741 2008 36295 606.67 45.68 16715 Source: China Statistical Yearbook,China Statistical Yearbook of Urban Construction Imbalance between land and population urbanization Problem implied in the statistics Low efficiency of urban construction land utilization Status of land endowment Arable land per capita < 0.1 hectare < ½ of the world average < ¼ of the developed countries Result of the imbalance of urbanization Per capita urban land available > 120 m2 > 82.4 m2 for developed countries averagely > 83.3 m2 for developing countries averagely Imbalance between urbanization of population and rural-urban migrants’ citizenization Measuring urban population Permanent urban residents (with hukou), and Rural population living in cities or towns over 6 months but without identity of citizenship (urban hukou) – the floating population Gap between urban population and citizens 300 million of nonresident migrants in cities and towns Real rate of urbanization is about 35% in 2010 after deducting the 300 million (compared with 49.7% of the rate of registered urban population in 2010) -- peri-urbanization Imbalance between urbanization of population and rural-urban migrants’ citizenization Migrant rural workers is the largest challenge to urbanization Less access to sufficient housing, health services within social security and compulsory education for their children because of their nonresidential identity Separation with their family, esp. children Age of Migrant Rural Worker in 2007 Age Population in total migrant rural workers <30 52.6% 30-40 29.5% >40 17.9% Institutional reasons for the imbalances Slow population urbanization resulting mainly from Household Registration System Fast land urbanization resulting mainly from the Land Supply System Land acquisition and land leasing – right to use Local government’s tax revenue Institutional reasons for the imbalances Land leasing and revenue in China since the 1990s Year Area of land leasing (hm2) Revenue of land leasing (billion Yuan ) National financial income (billion Yuan) 1993 57338 40.53 434.9 Proportion of land leasing revenue to financial income (%) 9.32 1994 49432 35.92 521.8 6.88 2000 161190 62.50 1339.5 4.67 2001 90394 129.59 1637.1 7.92 2002 124230 241.68 1891.4 12.78 2005 165586 218.40 3164.9 6.90 2007 234961 454.14 5132.2 8.85 Source: China Statistical Yearbook, China Statistical Yearbook of Urban Construction Some conclusions Extensive urbanization focusing on expanding urban area is unsustainable, while intensive urbanization focusing on improving land utilization is necessary Reform of house registration system will be crucial for effective population urbanization Institutional reform of farmland transfer should benefit farmers with more choice and compensation