API Process Safety Group Report to CRE Presenter: Mike Lubcyik May 18, 2011 Seattle, WA RP 751 – Safe Operation of HF Alkylation Units • RP 751 Committee undertaking accelerated review/revision of this document • “Kick-off” conference call and 2 working meetings held to date • Still planning a 2-pronged approach for update process Review and update RP from a technical basis Strengthen RP in specific areas to reduce risk tolerance signals that industry is “raising the bar” for safety of HF alkylation operations • Revision committee includes both API and NPRA members • Completion target is Year End 2011 2 RP 754 – Process Safety Performance Indicators • Continued implementation leveraged through the API/NPRA Metrics & Analysis subgroup • Drive consistency in data collection, reporting and messaging API Data Collection – Preliminary Results (as of 4/28/11) 15 companies reported 145 facilities (incl. int’l sites): 94 refineries & 51 petrochemical Approximately 70% U.S. refining capacity 188 Tier 1 (160 for refineries) & 204 Tier 2 (169 for refineries) • Conducting quarterly conference calls; developing and posting FAQs on API website • RP 754 Metrics Workshop – May 9th – Fort Worth, TX 3 RP 755 – Fatigue Risk Management Systems • • Established RP 755 Implementation Team to assist with implementation issues Draft charter covers areas such as: • • • • Share implementation challenges, lessons-learned, etc. Provide input to API on responding to interpretation requests Host workshops, conference calls etc. to share information to help share implementation learnings Gather information to be considered in next edition “Kick-off” meeting held April 21st; next meeting June 7th Team drafting workplan for discussion at June meeting High level of interest - 13 companies and API & NPRA Process Safety Group and Refining Subcommittee will be kept apprised of activities of the Team 4 RP 756 – Safe Location of Tents & Fabric Structures • RP 756 Committee reworked document to address concerns References RP 752 where practical Contains simple work flow diagrams / pictures / tables Introduces alternative work process for TA tents Seek funding for Baker Risk Tent Explosion Testing (Mar – Aug) • Process Safety Group (PSG) agreed to postpone ballot until after test data available (Fall 2011) • PSG recommends testing on tents for blast response to vapor cloud explosions be conducted in support of new RP 756 • Testing will provide data on response to tents to various blast loads, identify failure modes for different tents and obtain data to estimate vulnerability of tent occupants • API is awaiting testing proposal from Baker Risk while evaluating funding alternatives 5 Facility Safety Workshop/Forum • Facility safety workshop held in October 2010 to establish stronger working relationship among stakeholders & identify areas for further constructive dialogue. • Topic agreed to by all stakeholders was sharing of best practices of joint Health & Safety Committees • Planning Committee established to develop program • Call for presentations went out in late March • Companies currently evaluating who to send to workshop and what subjects they might propose for the program • Workshop will be held on July 26 in The Woodlands, TX 6 Refinery Alkylation • API study on “Potential Gasoline Market Supply & Cost Impacts of Restricting HF Alkylation” revised due to underestimated impacts • Final draft of messages & findings related to the study to be presented and endorsed by Refining Subcommittee • Study results incorporated in final draft of “white paper” • Draft short papers derived from “white paper” being reviewed by Process Safety Group. Topics include: Considerations Associated with Alkylation Technologies Conversion of HF alkylation unit to Sulfuric Acid alkylation unit Management of Alkylation Safety & Risk Technology Development – Use of Solid Acid Catalyst • Reconvene member company lobbyists to share latest advocacy & educational materials 7 Refinery Alkylation – Draft “General” Messages • Legislative/regulatory activity resulting in reduction/ban of refinery HF alkylation production could result in: Loss of well paying jobs due to refinery closures Loss of local tax revenue from property, sales and income tax reductions Unnecessary increased refinery investment and annual operating costs, threatening the economic viability of refineries Remaining refinery system operating at or near maximum capacity and vulnerable to unforeseen refinery outages Increased the dependence on gasoline imports – a potential national security concern VG - 8 Refinery Alkylation – Draft Findings by Scenario • Scenario 1 – Shutdown of all HF alkylation units Potential closure of nine refineries, four of those being in the Rocky Mountain region. Loss of over 1/3 (35%) of the U.S. summer gasoline blendstock supply and about 1/3 (30%) loss of gasoline and distillate supplies in the Rocky Mountains Loss of almost half (45%) of the aviation gas production in the U.S. - a significant negative effect on private and some commercial aviation operations. Significant surplus of LPG would need to be transported and consumed in alternate markets VG - 9 Refinery Alkylation – Draft Findings by Scenario • Scenario 2 – Mandated use of vapor suppression technology Potential closure of 3 refineries $3.3 billion would need to invested to enable remaining refineries to use of vapor suppression technology $139 million of increased aggregated annual operating costs 4 to 6 cents per gallon of gasoline - increased incremental compliance costs VG - 10 Refinery Alkylation – Draft Findings by Scenario • Scenario 3 – Mandated conversion to alternate technology (i.e., sulfuric acid alkylation) Potential closure of 3 refineries $6.3 billion would need to invested to enable remaining refineries to switch to alternate technology $289 million of increased aggregated annual operating costs 7 to 9 cents per gallon of gasoline - increased incremental compliance costs VG - 11 Refinery Alkylation – Draft - Other Findings • Aggregate capital spending costs would have been higher had the study used the CERA Downstream Capital Cost Index (DCCI) rather than the Nelson-Farrar (NF) Construction Inflation Index Scenario 2: $3.5 billion vs. $3.3 billion Scenario 3: $7.8 billion vs. $6.3 billion • Aggregate capital spending cost for Scenario 3 would have been higher had the study used the higher of the 2 references for ISBL investment costs $6.8 billion ($8.5 billion using DCCI) vs. $6.3 billion • For Scenario 3, additional sulfuric acid regeneration capability would be needed to handle the increased volume of spent acid 5 new facilities and 11 expanded facilities would be needed 248 million ton-miles per year of increased sulfuric acid transportation by road or rail would result; presents a safety/risk transfer issue • For Scenario 3, acid regeneration costs will increase Increase in industry annual regeneration expenses: $298 million/year (NF) or $338 million/year (DCCI) VG - 12