THE FUTURE OF THE ENERGY REFORM IN MEXICO SANTIAGO CREUHERAS DIRECTOR GENERAL FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY MEXICO AUGUST 2014 CONTENT I. OVERVIEW II. NEW REGULATORY FRAMEWORK: ENERGY REFORM III. SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IV. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES V. FINAL REMARKS OVERVIEW OF THE ENERGY SECTOR 2010 2027 112 million inhabitants 130 million inhabitants 384 cities 489 cities 72% of the total population is located in cities** 25 million vehicles using petrol and diesel 12% 88% 88% of the total population will be located in cities* 63 million vehicles will use petrol and diesel OVERVIEW OF THE ENERGY SECTOR Mexico: Energy Production and Consumption and Economic Growth 13 Thousands of Petajoules 12 11 10 Energy deficit 9 Energy consumption 8 Primary energy production 7 Source: Sistema de Información Energética, Secretaría de Energía. 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 6 CONTENT I. OVERVIEW II. NEW REGULATORY FRAMEWORK: ENERGY REFORM III. SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IV. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES V. FINAL REMARKS ENERGY REFORM IN ORDER TO CONSOLIDATE THE NEW LEGAL REGIME FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR, THE EXECUTIVE SENT TO CONGRESS A PACKAGE OF 9 SECONDARY INITIATIVES THAT INVOLVES A TOTAL OF 21 LAWS Act 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Hydrocarbons 'Act* Foreign Investment Act Mining Act Public – Private Association Act Electricity Industry Act* Geothermal Energy Act* National Waters Act National Agency for Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection in the Hydrocarbon Sector Act* Petróleos Mexicanos Act* Comisión Federal de Electricidad Act* Federal State Owned Companies Act Public Sector Purchasing, Leases and Services Act, Public Works and Related Services Act; Coordinated Energy Regulators Act* Federal Public Administration Act Hydrocarbon Act* Federal Duties Act Fiscal Coordination Act Mexican Oil Fund for Stability and Development Act* Federal Budget and Fiscal Responsibility Act Public Debt Act Initiative Hydrocarbons 'Decree Electricity Decree Geothermal Decree Agency Decree State Owned Productive Enterprises Decree Regulators‘ Decree Fiscal Decree Mexican Oil Fund Decree Budget Decree ENERGY REFORM IN HYDROCARBONS PRIVATE INVESTMENT THROUGH CONTRACTS IN EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION OF HYDROCARBONS PRIVATE INVESTMENT THROUGH PERMITS IN REFINING, PETROCHEMICAL, TRANSPORTATION, STORAGE AND DISTRIBUTION ROUND ZERO AND ROUND ONE STRENGTHENING THE REGULATORY BODIES NEW TAX REGIME FOR PEMEX AND PRIVATE COMPANIES PEMEX WILL BECOME A PRODUCTIVE STATE COMPANY, WITH THE FREEDOM TO ESTABLISH ASSOCIATIONS, WITH BUDGETARY, TECHNICAL AND MANAGEMENT AUTONOMY, AS WELL AS FREEDOM TO DETERMINE THE WAGES OF ITS WORKERS ENERGY REFORM IN HYDROCARBONS INDEPENDENT PUBLIC OPERATOR FROM THE NATIONAL PIPELINE SYSTEM MEXICAN OIL FUND FOR STABILIZATION AND DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY IN EACH CONTRACT AND EACH BIDDING ROUND NATIONAL CONTENT TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOCAL INDUSTRY THE CREATION OF THE NATIONAL AGENCY FOR INDUSTRIAL SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENT PROTECTION FOR THE HYDROCARBONS SECTOR ENERGY REFORM IN ELECTRICITY INDIVIDUALS ARE GRANTED THE RIGHT TO GENERATE AND SELL ELECTRICITY, WITH STATE REGULATION THE PRIVATE SECTOR MAY PARTICIPATE IN TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRICITY, THROUGH A SYSTEM OF CONTRACTS WITH CFE CENACE WILL BECOME A DECENTRALIZED PUBLIC AGENCY, RESPONSIBLE FOR OPERATING THE NATIONAL GRID AND THE WHOLESALE ELECTRICITY MARKET CFE WILL HAVE FREEDOM TO ESTABLISH ASSOCIATIONS WITH BUDGETARY, TECHNICAL AND MANAGEMENT AUTONOMY, AS WELL AS FREEDOM TO DETERMINE THE WAGES OF ITS WORKERS THE REGULATORY BODIES OF THE ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY WILL BE STRENGTHEN ENERGY REFORM KEY ELEMENTS ELECTRICITY MARKET - SENER WILL DETERMINE THE DESIGN OF THE ELECTRICITY MARKET CRE WILL AUTHORIZE THE OPERATING PROCEDURES ACCORDING TO CENACE CENACE WILL OPERATE THE ELECTRICITY SYSTEM AND MARKET THE OPEN AND NON-DISCRIMINATORY ACCESS WILL BE GUARANTEED FOR THE ELECTRICITY GENERATORS AND USERS TRANSMISSION / DISTRIBUTION - CFE MAY ENTER INTO CONTRACTS WHEN DEEMED APPROPRIATE - SENER MAY COMPETE FOR CONTRACTS, WHEN THESE ARE NOT RELATED TO CFE ASSETS CERTIFICATES FOR CLEAN ENERGY AND POLLUTION - SENER WILL ESTABLISH THE MINIMUM REQUIREMENTS FOR CLEAN ENERGY GENERATION - CLEAN ENERGY CERTIFICATES WILL BE CREATED TO REDUCE TRANSACTION COSTS - SENER WILL HAVE THE OPTION OF A CAP-AND-TRADE SYSTEM FOR CARBON EMISSIONS ENERGY REFORM KEY ELEMENTS - SENER WILL MANAGE A UNIVERSAL SERVICE FUND; THE MARKET PARTICIPANTS WILL CONTRIBUTE UNIVERSAL SERVICE - THE FUND WILL FINANCE ELECTRIFICATION PROJECTS AND WILL SUPPORT THE SUPPLY OF ELECTRICITY AND EFFICIENT LIGHT-BULBS PROGRAMS FOR END-USERS IN MARGINAL CONDITIONS - CFE WILL BECOME A PRODUCTIVE STATE COMPANY, WITH AUTONOMOUS STRENGTHENING OF CFE MANAGEMENT AND MODERN CORPORATE GOVERNANCE - CFE WILL BE TRANSFORMED FROM AN ELECTRIC LIGHT COMPANY TO AN ENERGY COMPANY CFE RESTRUCTURATION CFE MAY ESTABLISH SUBSIDIARIES AND AFFILIATES TO ACHIEVE ITS GOALS THE VERTICAL SEPARATION (GENERATION-TRANSMISSION-DISTRIBUTIONCOMMERCIALIZATION) IS ESSENTIAL FOR: - TO ENSURE OPEN ACCESS AND NOT UNDULY DISCRIMINATORY - TO PROMOTE COMPETITION IN THE GENERATION MARKET - TO PROMOTE TRANSPARENCY AND EFFICIENT REGULATION CONTENT I. OVERVIEW II. NEW REGULATORY FRAMEWORK: ENERGY REFORM III. SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IV. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES V. FINAL REMARKS SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY PUBLIC POLICY: PARTICIPATIVE PROCESS ADVISORY BOARD FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY 10 WORKING GROUPS (OVER 50 PARTICIPANTS) o o o o o o GOVERNMENT INDUSTRY ACADEMY SOCIETY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCIES (22 SESSIONS) SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY Objectives INCREASE CAPACITY AND POWER GENERATION FROM RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES INCREASE INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE, EXPANSION AND GENERATION INCREASE BIOFUELS PARTICIPATION IN THE ENERGY MIX PROMOTE TECHNOLOGICAL AND HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT, AS WELL AS VALUE CHAINS DEMOCRATIZE ACCESS TO RENEWABLE ENERGY SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY Strategies / Action lines OBJECTIVES NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN TRANSVERSAL STRATEGIES 5 STRATEGIES 25 ENERGY SECTOR PROGRAM NATIONAL ENERGY STRATEGY SECTOR PROGRAMS ACTION LINES 122 SPECIAL PROGRAMS GOALS 2018 2012 2018 RENEWABLE CAPACITY 25.3 % 32.8 % RENEWABLE GENERATION 14.7 % 24.9 % RESERVES VS GEOTHERMAL DECLINE (A 10 AÑOS) 1.05/1 2/1 INTEGRATION OF VALUE CHAINS 2.6 DE 5 3.2 DE 5 PROCEDURES (PROCESSING DAYS) 620 465 RURAL ELECTRIFICATION WITH RENEWABLE ENERGY 6.0% 8.0% CONTENT I. OVERVIEW II. NEW REGULATORY FRAMEWORK: ENERGY REFORM III. SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IV. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES V. FINAL REMARKS INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES MODERNIZATION OF HYDROCARBONS AND ELECTRICITY SECTORS RENEWABLE ENERGIES ENERGY EFFICIENCY RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING OF HUMAN RESOURCES SOLAR POTENTIAL MAP OF DIRECT IRRADIATION DURING JUNE AVERAGE DAILY IRRADIATION IN MEXICO IS ABOUT 5.5 KWH/M2/D, AND CAN REACH VALUES HIGHER THAN 8.5KWH/M2 SOURCE: SENER, INVENTARIO NACIONAL DE ENERGÍAS RENOVABLES WIND POTENTIAL POWER DENSITY 80 METERS DURING APRIL (W/M2) STUDIES TO CHARACTERIZE THE WIND RESOURCE IN REGIONS OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC, THE PENINSULAS OF YUCATAN AND BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND THE NORTHERN REGION OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ... SOURCE: SENER, INVENTARIO NACIONAL DE ENERGÍAS RENOVABLES GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL MAP OF GEOTHERMAL RESOURCES IN MEXICO (°C) GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL BASED ON THE CENSUS OF MORE THAN ESTIMATED BY THE FEDERAL ELECTRICITY COMMISSION. SOURCE: SENER, INVENTARIO NACIONAL DE ENERGÍAS RENOVABLES 1,300 HOT SPOTS POTENTIAL MAP OF RENEWABLE RESOURCES ELECTRICITY GENERATION POTENTIAL WITH RENEWABLE ENERGIES (GWH/YEAR) RESOURCES GEOTHERMAL MINI HYDRO WIND SOLAR BIOMASS NATIONAL TOTAL SOURCE: SENER, INVENTARIO NACIONAL DE ENERGÍAS RENOVABLES POSSIBLE PROBABLE APPROVED 16,165 95,569 892 - 1,805 1,365 87,600 9,597 9,789 6,500,000 - 542 11,485 391 579 6,615,250 107,362 13,167 RENEWABLE ENERGIES POTENTIAL VALUES ASSOCIATED TO THE REQUIRED CAPACITY TO GENERATE 10,000 GWH-YEAR INCREASE OF GDP EMPLOYMENT CREATION TAX COLLECTION MILLIONS OF PESOS NUMBER OF JOBS MILLIONS OF PESOS SOLAR PV BIOMASS GEOTHERMAL CHP WIND HYDRO 93,000 49,500 59,800 45,100 29,700 43,200 22,800 7,300 11,100 69,000 346,100 SOURCE: SENER CON DATOS DE CRE Y ESTUDIOS DE LA AMDEE-PWC Y AMEHIDRO-PWC. 7,700 36,000 4,100 5,000 3,700 2,500 29,300 5,700 149,700 28,700 ENERGY EFFICIENCY POTENTIAL OVERALL ENERGY SAVINGS EQUIVALENT TO 7.6 GTCO2 PER YEAR IN 2030 INDUSTRY AND ENERGY GENERATION, BUILDINGS, 25% 31% EQUIPMENT AND ELECTRIC APPLIANCES, 10% TRANSPORT, 29% SOURCE: AGENCIA INTERNACIONAL DE ENERGÍA, ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS, UPDATE 2011, IEA LIGHTING, 5% ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN SUSTAINABLE BUILDINGS MEXICAN OFFICIAL STANDARDS PROGRAMS AND STRATEGIES PROGRAM FOR THE SUSTAINABLE USE OF ENERGY NATIONAL STRATEGY FOR SUSTAINABLE BUILDINGS EVALUATION SYSTEM FOR BUILDINGS INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES SUBSTITUTION OF INEFFICIENT TECHNOLOGIES ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN BUILDINGS USE OF ECO-TECHNOLOGIES IN THE RESIDENTIAL SECTOR LIGHTING SYSTEMS THERMAL ENVELOPE EQUIPMENT GLAZING SYSTEMS RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND TRAINING OF HUMAN RESOURCES APPLIED SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGY RESEARCH ENERGY EFFICIENCY RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES USE OF CLEAN TECHNOLOGIES DIVERSIFICATION OF PRIMARY ENERGY SOURCES EXPLORATION AND EXPLOITATION HYDROCARBONS REFINING BASIC PETROCHEMICALS PRODUCTION ENERGY TRANSITION FINANCING FUND FOR ENERGY TRANSITION USE AND APPLICATION OF CLEAN TECHNOLOGIES ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND ENERGY SAVINGS DIVERSIFICATION OF ENERGY SOURCES CONTENT I. OVERVIEW II. NEW REGULATORY FRAMEWORK: ENERGY REFORM III. SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IV. INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES V. FINAL REMARKS FINAL REMARKS PUBLIC POLICY (PARTICIPATIVE PROCESS) FINANCING LEGAL FRAMEWORK ADMINISTRATIVE Fondo de Sustentabilidad Energética Fondo para la Transición Energética ECONOMIC GROWTH + SOCIAL INCLUSION TIMEFRAME FOR THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ENERGY REFORM SENER, WITH THE SUPPORT OF CNH WILL ISSUE THE CONGRESS DEADLINE FOR PRESENTATION OF THE NATIONAL ENERGY STRATEGY TO CONGRESS RATIFICATION OF THE NATIONAL ENERGY STRATEGY PROPOSALS RESOLUTION FOR PROMULGATION WITHIN 90 WITHIN 120 OF THE CONSTITUTIONAL REFORM (20/ DEC/2013) DAYS DAYS PEMEX IN ROUND ZERO 14 APRIL 28 WITHIN 180 FEBRUARY DAYS STARTS ROUND ZERO. PEMEX SUBMITS THEIR OILFIELDS OF INTEREST TO SENER FOR ITS CONSIDERATION • ADEQUACY TO 26 SECONDARY LAWS • APPOINTMENT OF 2 ADDITIONAL COMMISSIONERS TO CNH AND 2 FOR CRE FOR THEIR STRENGTHENING (TO RATIFY IS AN EXCLUSIVE FACULTY OF THE SENATE) THE FUTURE OF THE ENERGY REFORM IN MEXICO SANTIAGO CREUHERAS DIRECTOR GENERAL FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY MEXICO AUGUST 2014