1. The PRA Approach to Supervision for Smaller Insurers Patrick Connolly Manager, Retail General Insurance Team Topics: 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 The Regulatory Framework Firm Categorisation The Supervisory Approach Regulatory Co-ordination Communication The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.1 The Regulatory Framework Key: FPC FCA Financial Policy Committee Financial Conduct Authority Source: Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Q4 2012 The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.1 The Regulatory Framework The PRA’s statutory objectives:• General objective: “promoting the safety and soundness of PRA-authorised firms” • Insurance objective: “contributing to the securing of an appropriate degree of protection for those who are or may become policyholders” The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.2 Firm Categorisation All firms Cat 5 Firms Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 84 186 Cat 4 303 Cat 5 Live Cat 5 Run-off Cat 5 P&I Clubs 101 49 16 33 5 The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.2 Firm Categorisation Category 4 Insurers whose size …….. “very little capacity individually to cause disruption to the UK financial system. ……………”. Category 5 Insurers whose size, interconnectedness, complexity and business type give them almost no capacity individually to cause disruption to the UK financial system by failing or by carrying on their business in an unsafe manner, but where difficulties across a whole sector or subsector may have the potential to generate some disruption. They have no capacity to cause disruption to the interests of a substantial number of policyholders. The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.2 Firm Categorisation Supervisory Models • Category 4 firms: • Annual supervisory assessment visit • Desk-based reviews of returns and Management Information • Issue-driven meetings and reactive work • Peer group and trend analysis • Category 5 firms: • Firm Enquiries Function for routine queries • Broadly reactive supervision in response to crystallised risks • Some proactive analysis and assessment at solo and peer-group level The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.2 The Supervisory Approach Firm Enquiries Function • Queries relating to: – Returns – Authorisation process – The Handbook – First reporting of crystallised risks Supervision Team • • • • Authorisations – Changes in Control – Approved persons (red channel) – Part VII transfers Capital issues Strategic issues FCA interaction The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.3 The Supervisory Approach “Forward-looking and judgement-based supervision…” What does this mean in practice? The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.3 The Supervisory Approach PSM Peer Group 3 January Capital PSM = Periodic Summary Meeting, sets our supervisory strategy PSM Peer Group 4 April Capital Annual Returns Submitted Cat 5 Cycle PSM Peer Group 2 October Capital PSM Peer Group 1 July Capital Review Annual Returns The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.3 The Supervisory Approach Threshold Conditions • Minimum requirements that firms must meet at all times in order to be permitted to carry out regulated activities • Firms will need to meet both PRA-specific and FCA-specific threshold conditions • PRA-specific threshold conditions: – Legal status – Location of offices – Prudent conduct – Suitability – Effective supervision • The PRA will assess firms against the threshold conditions on a continuous basis The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.4 Regulatory Co-ordination • Effective delivery of our approach requires co-ordination with the FCA – – • Focussed at firm level MoU and colleges to ensure statutory duty to co-ordinate is effective Firm-specific supervision alone is not sufficient to deliver financial stability. Must be complemented by an effective macroprudential regime – Two-way flow of information and exchange of views between the PRA and the FPC – PRA responsible for implementing relevant FPC recommendations on a ‘comply or explain’ basis – FPC has powers to direct the PRA The PRA Approach to Supervision 1.5 Communication Our main objectives are to: • Communicate the PRA objectives and expectations to industry clearly. • Understand market trends in order to inform our forward-looking approach and communicate supervisory priorities for the sector. • Raise awareness of the information and support available to smaller insurers. The PRA Approach to Supervision 2. Feedback and Looking Ahead Reg Clarke Associate, Retail General Insurance Team 2.1 What we are seeing • Data review • Peer review • Board capability and governance • Firm Enquiries Function: Trends Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: Data review (annual returns) £bn Smaller Insurers: Performance Indicators 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Measure Total Funds GWP during year Free Capital (P1) 2011 Key Performance Indicators: 2012 • Total funds up 17% • Gross Written Premiums up 15% • Capital levels increased • BUT at individual firm level experiences rather mixed 2012 Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: Data review (quarterly returns) • Capital data supports PRA supervisory approach - Better use of data to help identify outliers and trends Enhances our supervision of firms (more proactive) • Capital levels increasing steadily • Fewer than 10% of firms have Pillar 1 ratios below 150% of their capital resource requirement Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: Data review (annual returns) • Reporting quality generally good but • Review of ECR (Enhanced Capital Requirement) forms reveal misreporting of individual capital guidance o Firms need to understand the ICG they have been set o Firms ICG cannot be lower than MCR • Misreporting of base capital resource requirement by some firms o Impacted by Euro : Sterling exchange rate o Applies from 31 December Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: Data review (quarterly returns) Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: Peer group review • Annual periodic summary meeting for peer groups of firms • Key objectives of review is to focus on identifying and feeding back trends and issues to the firms within that peer group • Challenging exercise given niche markets of some firms • PRA in early stages of review. Expect to cover our specified groupings over 18 month timeframe (by Q2 2015) Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: FEF feedback • First point of contact, liaising closely with key areas of the PRA and Bank. • Dedicated team of five, wide range of regulatory experience. • Webpage available to provide information on the issues you contact us about or are relevant to you, including reporting and authorisations. Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.1 What we are seeing: Board capability and governance • Significant PRA resource spent in dealing with the issue of Board capability and governance. • PRA expects firms to have regular Board review and assess: – – – – Does the board have a good mix and balance of skills, experience, independence and knowledge to enable them to discharge their responsibilities effectively? Is the Board satisfied that the business is run prudently? Have clear structures of accountability and delegation been established? Does the Board provide appropriate direction and challenge to the management team? NB: • These expectations apply to all firms, regardless of size • The things we would expect of a Board are referenced in the our Principles and in UK Corporate Governance Code Feedback and Looking Ahead 2.2 Looking Ahead • Intend to seek forward looking quarterly capital data • PRA assessing the potential for a ‘programme’ of ICA reviews for Category 5 firms • Electronic Reporting [Deadline for comments on OCP 8/13 is 1 November 2013] • PRA intend to develop a proportionate NDF regime once SII position is clearer Feedback and Looking Ahead 3. Emerging Risks for Insurers Andrea French Technical Specialist, Insurance Sector Team 3.1 Definition of an emerging risks An emerging risk can be defined as: "an issue that is perceived to be potentially significant but which may not be fully understood or allowed for in insurance terms and conditions, pricing, reserving or capital setting". (Source: Lloyd’s of London) Emerging Risks 3.2 Key drivers of risk The key drivers of risk include: • Economic, technological, environmental and socio-political developments as well as the interdependencies between them. Other risk drivers can include: • The changing business environment, such as liability issues, evolving regulatory regimes, stakeholder expectations, and shifts in risk perception. Emerging Risks 3.3 Insurance-specific risks This presentation will concentrate on the insurable areas of risk for both life and general insurers. These risks include: • Life Products Risk (credit & counterparties, impact of the low interest rate environment, enhanced annuities and retail distribution review & platforms) • General Insurance (GI) Risk (impact of the low interest rate environment, inadequate reserving, UK flooding and periodic payment orders) • Technology Risk (cyber attacks) • Stakeholder Risk (shadow banking activities) • Black Swan Risks (combined effect of financial, catastrophe & pandemic) Emerging Risks 3.4 Life Emerging Risks Financial risks - Credit and counterparties Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Growth of the annuity market posing significant increase in risk to life insurers. Number of annuity writers backing their liabilities with equity-release mortgage or other non-standard asset classes, which may be unsustainable in the long term. Ensure asset classes being considered are fully understood. Particular issue - backing annuities by moving into alternative assets. Seek permission from the regulator, where necessary. Actively monitor portfolios for different and unexpected risks. Emerging Risks 3.4 Life Emerging Risks Financial risks - Low interest rate environment impact Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Impact of low interest rate environment depends on the extent to which life insurers are asset and liability mismatched. Depends on the structure of the portfolio. Life insurers typically have high bond allocations. Ensure there is • appropriate assessment of risk; and • conduct stress testing exercises. Margins for assets being managed may be hit as investment returns and profits are reduced. Interest risk hedging activities could put pressure on bond yields causing: • reduction in firm’s solvency levels; • restricted investment policies; • restricted ability to write new business; • reduced new business profitability. Strategy planning should assess vulnerabilities including second order and behavioural effects and amplification issues. Future - may affect the availability of own funds after the effect of subsidiaries to the group under the Solvency II group solvency calculations framework Emerging Risks 3.4 Life Emerging Risks Product Risks – Enhanced annuities Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Enhanced annuities and other non-standard annuities offer higher annuity rates to people whose lifestyle or medical conditions cause their life expectancy to fall below the expected mortality rates Low yield environment and difficult macroeconomic conditions mean people are incentivised to derive more value from their savings. Monitor medical advancements affecting future life expectancy that annuities have been provided for. They may be more use of non-standard products against a backdrop of falling standard annuity rates Ensure credible contingency plans are in place for the treatment of assets for Solvency II. Ensure books of business do not grow unsustainably. Firms may wish to consider stress testing their portfolios for scenarios such as withdrawal and/or reduction of reinsurance covers or significant market valuations changes in the future. Emerging Risks 3.4 Life Emerging Risks Product risk – Platforms and Retail Distribution Review Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Retail Distribution Review implemented in December 2012. Back books steadily declining as maturities and surrenders exceed new business premiums. Immediate risk of failure is low. Fundamental change to distribution of retail investments could affect consumer behaviour, preference and changes of products and markets attractive to firms. The key risk - life insurers’ existing books of business decline significantly faster than expected across the sector before new strategies are developed and providing steady cash flow. Monitoring is required to ensure sector trends of a persistent decreasing back book do not accelerate faster than expected significantly increasing the impact. Emerging Risks 3.4 GI Emerging Risks Financial risks - Low interest rate environment impact Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Slow economic recovery places pressure on premiums, contracting market size, and lowering investment returns which affects profitability. Firms seeking to improve returns may attract significant asset risks to their balance sheet. Continue to focus on: These factors combined with competition, may result in general insurance firms to seek out more reward for their risk. Unprofitable underwriting can result in firms launching new products writing new and/or growing the business in current and new territories with a lack of data, knowledge or experience. • • • future underwriting strategies pricing policies and monitoring investment strategies. Emerging Risks 3.4 GI Emerging Risks GI line of business risk – Inadequate reserving Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Inadequate reserving by general insurers can: • understate the costs of claims; • create premium rate pricing adequacies; and • stress reserving risk capital requirements. Inadequate reserving will strain business models and affect solvency capital levels. Perform regular deep-dive reserve exercises to ensure that they understand their claim exposure fully. Coupled with: • competitive market pricing pressure; • changing supply and demand trends; • increased claims inflation costs; and • current low interest rate environment can result in pressure to alter an insurers behaviour in the current phase of the underwriting cycle. Effective reserve governance is essential. Ensure reserves are adequate by using correct booking of reserves with appropriate challenge. Emerging Risks 3.4 GI Emerging Risks GI line of business risk - UK flooding Risk Impact Risk Mitigation More than 30 major rivers in the UK that have extensive reach and are currently or were historically, multi-channelled. More flooding is predicted in the UK and rates of river bed, bank erosion and floodplain sedimentation are also likely to accelerate. Identify vulnerable points within their insured portfolio of household properties and maintain adequate reserves to manage these exposures. These rivers represent significant points of increased vulnerability in the river network to increase flooding. There remains the possibility that certain households will not be able to afford flood insurance as it becomes too costly. Historic underinvestment in flood defenses and changing weather patterns have increased the risk. A new regime coming in mid 2015 is intended to ensure the continued widespread availability of flood insurance to high-risk households. Follows the expiry of the Statement of Principles. Emerging Risks 3.4 GI Emerging Risks GI line of business risk - Periodic Payment Orders (PPOs) Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Since their introduction through the 2003 Courts Act, PPOs have begun to change the landscape of how large bodily injury (BI) claims are paid in the UK. This payment method transfers to the insurer risks such as longevity, investment and inflation. PPOs now pose a material current and future risk for motor insurers. It is essential for: • Firms to actively track and monitor potential PPO claims. PPOs are an alternative to lump sum payments. Under a PPO settlement an insurer pays a semi-annual amount to the claimant for the remainder of their life, like an annuity. It is estimated that, within a decade, 25% of general insurer motor reserves could be formed of PPO commitments. • Have specific reserving, modelling and methodology in place to minimise the longevity, investment and inflation risk. Emerging Risks 3.4 Life and GI Emerging Risks Technology risk - Cyber attacks Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Many firms are leaner so are opting to use cloud computing, offshoring data and processes to third party firms. A cyber attack could affect a firm’s ability to process premiums and issue insurance contracts affecting cashflows and covers – particularly an issue for compulsory insurances. Ensure and monitor that third party firms provide the security and service that they are contracted to deliver. A cloud service provider concentration could become a second order risk if such providers were subject to multiple cyberattacks causing a failure of services. Rectify breaches immediately to minimise security risks is paramount. Critical functions outsourced include catastrophe modelling, actuarial analysis and compliance functions. Constantly monitor firewalls. Limit staff use of mobile devices to minimise damage to high risk critical areas of the infrastructure. Emerging Risks 3.4 Life and GI Emerging Risks Stakeholder risk - Shadow banking activities Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Shadow banking activities can cover nonbanking financial firms that provide services similar to traditional commercial banks where there is a maturity transformation. Non-traded assets are highly risky and volatile and may cause significant losses in a short timeframe. They may also be less liquid in times of stress and valuations may be difficult to quantify. Firms engage with the regulator to ensure products are appropriate. Such activities could include credit investment vehicles (e.g. investment funds, mutual funds and trusts) that have a cash management or very low risk investment objective. Once deemed appropriate firms may require expert advise when transacting in these products. Firms should regularly monitor asset exposures to minimise risk and volatility. Investments may also occur in unregulated markets, so are not visible in conventional balance sheets, making it difficult to assess exposures. Emerging Risks 3.4 Life and GI Emerging Risks Black Swan - Combined effect of a financial, catastrophe & pandemic events Risk Impact Risk Mitigation Simultaneous shocks to the: Certain scenarios could lead to loss in a large number of life products and GI lines of business. Some policies may be hit unexpectedly by claims, the insurance industry should clarify coverage intentions sooner rather than later to ensure contract certainty. Life and health assurers will be adversely affected in a pandemic event and GI insurers could experience unprecedented liability claims and an accumulation or large value claims following a catastrophe event. Firms ensure they have an understanding of the financial markets second order, behavioural and amplification issues affecting their investments • • • global economic system natural catastrophes pandemics could trigger insured loss events which could test the resilience of insurers. Claims could also come from secondary impacts to society. A firms solvency capital could be adversely affected if there is a “flight to quality” at the same time due to investor unpredictability. Firms ensure they understand their concentration of exposures for natural catastrophe (for modelled and unmodelled perils) Pandemic contingency plans should aim to ensure continuity of essential operations during an extended period of high illness rates in the workforce, suppliers, and customers. Emerging Risks 4. Solvency II update Catherine Beech 9 October 2013 Agenda 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 European policy update EIOPA’s preparatory guidelines PRA’s approach to the preparatory phase What this means for smaller insurers 4.1 European policy update • Implementation date – The PRA planning horizon remains 1 January 2016 • Solvency II (amended by Omnibus II Directive) – Amends the Level 1 text • Level 2 and Level 3 text – Will follow the publication of the Level 1 text • These texts contain more detailed implementing measures and guidance 4.2 EIOPA’s preparatory guidelines These are aimed at supporting regulators and firms in preparing for Solvency II. They cover four main areas which EIOPA considers fundamental for effective implementation. The four areas are: • Systems of Governance; • Forward looking assessment of the undertaking’s own risks (based on the ORSA principles); • Reporting; and • Pre-application for internal models. A link to EIOPA’s final guidelines, feedback statements and annexes was made available on the PRA website on 27 September 2013. 4.3 PRA’s approach to the preparatory phase PRA approach to considering the preparatory guidelines • This is not early implementation of Solvency II. • The PRA supports EIOPA’s proportionate and pragmatic approach in preparation for the implementation of Solvency II. • The PRA will apply the guidelines to firms in a proportionate and risk-based manner, consistent with the PRA’s overall approach to insurance supervision. • The PRA expects firms to make the necessary preparations to be compliant with the relevant requirements for the Solvency II regime at implementation. PRA approach to setting expectations of the UK insurance industry • We aim to publish a draft PRA Supervisory Statement for consultation in October. • This will set out the PRA’s expectation of firms. • We will issue a final Supervisory Statement in December, and support this with industry communications, including briefing sessions for firms. 4.4 What this means for smaller insurers Smaller insurers should continue to: • ensure that they meet the current regulatory requirements; and • submit six monthly Solvency 2 progress statements when requested. We encourage firms to: • keep abreast of developments in Solvency II – the PRA will post news at www.bankofengland.co.uk/Solvency2, and firms should also refer to the websites of European policy institutions, e.g. EIOPA, European Commission and Parliament; • be familiar with EIOPA’s preparatory guidelines that apply to them; • refer to the PRA’s Supervisory Statement to understand the expectations of firms; and • make the necessary preparations towards full compliance of Solvency II at implementation. Useful resources Firm Enquiries Function • Email: PRA.FirmEnquiries@bankofengland.co.uk Phone: +44 (0)20 3461 7000 Please have your six digit firm reference number (FRN xxxxxx) ready. • Post: Firm Enquiries Team (MG1-SE) Prudential Regulation Authority 20 Moorgate London, EC2R 6DA Websites • Smaller Insurers Webpages http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Pages/supervision/smallinsurers/default.aspx • Solvency II webpages on Bank of England website www.bankofengland.co.uk/Solvency2 • European Commission website http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/insurance/solvency/index_en.htm • EIOPA website https://eiopa.europa.eu/ Unrestricted Changing Conduct Regulation in the UK October 2013 Unrestricted The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Strategic objective • ensuring the relevant markets function well Operational objectives • promoting effective competition in the interests of consumers; • securing an appropriate degree of protection for consumers; and • protecting and enhancing the integrity of the UK financial system. New regulatory system Unrestricted FCA Statutory Objectives • Securing an appropriate degree of protection for consumers • Promoting effective competition in the interests of consumers: • o the needs of different consumers o the ease with which consumers can change providers o the ease of new entry o how far competition is encouraging innovation Protecting and enhancing the integrity of the UK financial system (including): o soundness, stability and resilience o orderly operation of markets o financial crime o market abuse o transparency of price formation Unrestricted Supervision of firms Aim of Supervision To ensure firms have the interests of their customers and the integrity of the market at the heart of how they run their business. How will we do this? By influencing, persuading and, where appropriate, using formal powers to achieve a significant transformation in firms’ conduct behaviours. For what population of firms? • The FCA is responsible for the retail and wholesale conduct supervision of c.25,000 firms • The FCA is also responsible for the prudential supervision of c.23,000 firms (i.e. those that are not prudentially regulated by the PRA). Custodian Banks Fund Managers Insurance Intermediaries Credit Unions Mortgage Intermediaries Mortgage Lenders Retail Banks Financial Advisors Building Societies Life Insurers Platforms and SIPPs Wealth Managers London Markets Retail GI Wholesale Firms Unrestricted Supervision of firms – Prudential Supervision Although primarily a conduct regulator, the FCA is the solo regulator for firms not prudentially regulated by the PRA. Approach • Starting principle is that firms should be allowed to fail, therefore, our focus is on mitigating the impact on retail customers and market integrity of firms failing or under financial strain. • Our approach is to ensure that any failure is orderly by ensuring that customers assets and money are protected. • Prudential supervision is graduated according to prudential significance. • On-going dialogue with PRA where we both have prudential responsibilities for a group. Key Features Prudential Classification – based on the impact that the disorderly failure of a firm could cause in terms of market disruption and market failure. Setting Capital & Liquidity Financial Resource Requirements – assessing financial resources requirements for our most prudentially significant firms. Regulatory Return Monitoring – pro-actively reviewing returns for the most significant firms and acting on alerts for other firms. Thematic Work – cross-firm capital / liquidity work (including smaller firms) Unrestricted The FCA aims to be a judgement based, forward-looking and pre-emptive regulator The FCA’s approach emphasises 5 elements: • be forward-looking in assessment of potential problems – looking at how we can tackle issues before they start to go wrong; • intervene earlier when we see problems and before they cause consumer detriment or damage to market integrity; • tackle underlying causes of problems, not just the symptoms, as this will be more effective and efficient in the longer term for consumers and firms; • secure redress for consumers if failures do occur; and • take meaningful action (credible deterrence) against firms that fail to meet our standards, including levels of fines that have a deterrent effect. To do • • • • this, in addition to the powers inherited from the FSA, we are able to: Temporarily ban products or restrict sales for up to 12 months; Stop misleading financial advertising; Impose requirements on firms; and Subject to consultation, tell the market earlier about enforcement action. Unrestricted Overview of FCA model Unrestricted How will we achieve our objectives? Firm Systematic Framework – Key judgements How the firm affects consumers, markets or competition Adequate arrangeme nts for client money Business Model & future strategy Key judgements Framewor k for identifying and managing risks Does the firm have the interests of its customers and the integrity of the market at the heart of how the business is run? Cultural tone set by senior managem ent Control & Governanc e arrangeme nts Sales / Transactio n lifecycle Unrestricted Co-ordination with the PRA The FCA and PRA operate under different sets of objectives, although there is a Memorandum of Understanding in place between the two setting minimum co-ordination standards, including: • Domestic supervisory colleges, with frequency depending on categorisation of firm; • Regular exchange of information, including material conduct risks, internal models, and capital and liquidity requirements (e.g. coverage of conduct risks in ORSA); • Notification of findings of Pillar 3 work; • Consultation on SIF applications; • Expressing independent views on Part VII transfers; and • Specific requirements for with-profits businesses. The supervisory teams will strive to co-ordinate where possible. Unrestricted Focus on retail consumers The FCA’s statutory objective is to secure an appropriate degree of protection for consumers. Customers do not always behave rationally and firms can exploit consumer biases. The FCA is using Behavioural Economics (eg. randomised control trials) to better understand these and inform our supervisory approach. We expect firms to: • Evidence how their consumers receive appropriate outcomes, throughout the product lifecycle • Implement targets that are aligned with consumers actual cover requirements • Understand the difference between customers being satisfied and customers being treated fairly • Identify, capture and mitigate the risks to their customers receiving inappropriate outcomes Unrestricted Enhanced focus on Wholesale/Commercial Conduct The FCA’s focus is to ensure the integrity and resilience of wholesale/commercial insurance markets, rather than seeking to introduce concepts of detriment and redress that we use in retail markets. Firms should recognise, however, that activities in retail and commercial markets are interconnected and that risks caused by poor conduct can be transmitted and undermine both markets. The FCA places more emphasis (and takes a more assertive and interventionist approach) in particular on three areas: • where commercial products filter down or are distributed to retail consumers; • where certain behaviours in commercial markets can cause damage to market integrity; and • where market structures can result in participants being disadvantaged or the market being inefficient. Unrestricted Issues & Products work (1) Examples of current or recent thematic work affecting insurers – by sector: Life Insurance Annuities Inducements & Conflicts of Interest Unit-linked fund governance Investment Advisors & Platforms Asset Management Non-advised sales & simplified advice investment sales GI Claims handling Fund charges How firms are implementing the RDR General Insurance Crosssectoral Financial Incentives Motor Legal Expenses Mobile phone insurance Complaints Unrestricted Issues & Products work (2) Current and completed reviews covering general insurance Current Completed Sales Incentives Premium finance General insurance add-ons Mobile phone insurance Private investigators Motor legal expenses Claims handling Telematics Conflicts of interest Complaints handling Third party payments / financial crime controls in wholesale brokers Referral fees