Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen and sulfur over Southern Europe with focus on the Mediterranean and the Black Sea: WRF/CMAQ modeling U. Im1,2, S. Christodoulaki1,3, K. Violaki1, P. Zarmpas1, M. Kocak4, N. Daskalakis1,2, N. Mihalopoulos1, M. Kanakidou1 [1] Environmental Chemical Processes Laboratory, Department of Chemistry, University of Crete, Voutes Campus, P.O.Box 2208, 71003, Heraklion, Greece [2] Institute of Chemical Engineering Sciences, Foundation for Research and Technology Hellas (FORTH), Patras, Greece [3] Institute of Oceanography, Hellenic Center for Marine Research, P.O. Box 2214, 71003, Heraklion, Crete, Greece [4] Institute of Marine Sciences, Middle East Technical University, Erdemli, Mersin, Turkey Paper , under review Atmos Environ, 2013 INTRODUCTION • Nitrogen (N) and Sulfur (S) impact on: BACKGROUND – Atmospheric chemistry (O3 chemistry, SIA HNO3, H2SO4) – Ecosystem (deposition: fertilization, acidification and accumulation) • N and S have both anthropogenic and natural sources • Emissions and deposition of N/S species will further increase/decrease in the future. Duce et al., Science, 2008 ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 2 MOTIVATION Chl “a” distribution along Mediterranean N/P ratio in seawater from 22-28 >> than the normal (18) Europe’s Environment, 1998. NO3- HNO3 NO3- NH4+ NH3 NH4+ MOTIVATION Wet Deposition Dry Total Deposition Deposition NO3NH4+ Bacteries Cilies Phytoplanton Mesozooplancton 500 m Particulate Nitrogen Sediment traps 1500 m NOx NOy MOTIVATION 4 S e d im e n t tra p s m m o lN / D ry d e p o sitio n 2 (1 5 d * m ) W e t d e p o sitio n 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 M o n th s Kouvarakis et al., GBC, 2001 FOCUS ON MEDITERRANEAN & BLACK SEA The results obtained during this study showed that airborne DIN alone is more than sufficient to explain new production in the East Mediterranean Sea. Dry deposition alone accounts for about a factor of two of the collected PON and both dry and wet deposition account for about 370% of the PON. Observations have limited geographical coverage. CTMs provide integrated view (temporal and spatial variations) (local to global). Few modeling studies dedicated to the atmospheric deposition of N and S to the Mediterranean and the Black Seas. METHODS – MODEL CONFIGURATION WRF METEOROLOGICAL MODEL MOSSES ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS MODEL • • • • • • NCAR FINN BIOMASS BURNING EMISSIONS MODEL INITIAL/BOUNDARY CONDITIONS (TM4ECPL) NATURAL EMISSIONS (MEGAN BIOGENIC+GOCART DUST) CHEMISTRY AND TRANSPORT MODEL (CMAQ) • • • • WRF/CMAQ 171×123×23 grid cells 30 km horizontal resolution Vertical extent ~16 km CB-V chemical mechanism (Yardwood et al., 2005) AERO5 aerosol mechanism (Foley et al., GeosciModDev, 2010) NCEP meteorology for 2008 Monthly mean chemical boundary conditions (global model TM4-ECPL: Myriokefalitakis et al., ACP, 2011) Model setup: Im and Kanakidou, ACP, 2012 & Im et al STOTENV, under review, 2013 Natural Emissions and Biomass burning Emissions are calculated on line. 7 ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy EMISSIONS Anthropogenic Emissions •INERIS 10 km inventory for Europe •CIRCE global emissions for remaining parts around the Mediterranean and Asia (Pozzer et al., ACP, 2012) •2 km emissions for Istanbul (Markakis et al., APR 2012) and Athens (Markakis et al., WASP & APR, 2010) ANNUAL TOTAL N & S EMISSIONS ANNUAL SECTORAL N EMISSIONS Sectors (tons/yr) NOx Anthropogenic 1.7E+7 Biogenic 6.8E+5 Biomass Burning 2.2E+3 NH3 SO2 5.7E+6 1.4E+7 8.7E+2 1.9E+2 Im et al. (2013) AtmEnv. Under Review ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 8 OBSERVATIONS EMEP wet deposition: 45 stations, 2008 http://www.emep.int/ Mihalopoulos unpublished data: 2008. Finokalia station, Greece, dry deposition http://finokalia.chemistry.uoc.gr Medinets and Medinets, TurJFishAqua, 2012: Zmiinyi station, Black Sea, 2008 Markaki et al., MarChem, 2010:5 stations 2001-2003 Im et al. (2013) AtmEnv. Under Review Kocak et al., BioGeoSci, 2010: Erdemli, Turkey station, 2006-2007 9 ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy MODEL VALIDATION ANNUAL DEPOSITION FLUXES SO4 PRECIPITATION = NO3- NH4+ COMPARISON* WITH EMEP WET DEPOSITION, 2008 r2 Bias NMB RMSE IOA MAGE NME NH4+ NO3- 0.3 0.4 -198 -47 -53 -17 262 0.6 146 0.8 201 110 54 39 NH4++NO3- 0.4 -165 -47 226 0.7 170 48 SO4= 0.2 -125 -36 267 0.6 172 46 Precip 0.5 -116 -12 417 0.8 318 33 Normalized mean error between modeled &observed N deposition fluxes (N*: Total N as in the observations) *Statistics are based on daily mean data ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 10 N DEPOSITION OVER EUROPE, THE MEDITERRANEAN & THE BLACK SEA Nitrogen deposition (Tg-N yr-1) BS EM WM Europe Dry Land Sea +Sea 0.23 0.81 2.88 0.60 2.80 4.14 5.65 Wet Land Sea +Sea 0.12 0.29 0.85 0.32 0.65 0.75 2.03 Total Land+ Sea Sea 0.36 1.10 3.73 0.92 3.45 4.89 7.68 Nitrogen Emis.(Tg-N yr-1) Precip. (mm yr-1) Sea 415 349 491 504 Deposition Emission Land+Sea 405 384 555 ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 0.52 2.88 1.93 9.26 0.7 1.3 1.8 0.8 11 S DEPOSITION OVER EUROPE, THE MEDITERRANEAN & THE BLACK SEA BS EM WM Europe Sulfur deposition (Tg-S yr-1) Dry Wet Total Land Land+ Land+ Sea +Sea Sea Sea Sea Sea 0.16 0.01 0.17 0.52 1.37 0.32 0.70 0.84 2.07 0.33 0.48 0.19 0.33 0.52 0.81 1.59 2.51 0.49 1.37 2.07 3.88 Precip. Sulfur (mm yr-1) Emis.(Tg-S yr-1) Land+ Sea Sea 415 0.40 349 405 2.88 491 384 0.84 504 555 5.08 ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy Deposition Emission 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.8 12 IMPORTANCE & IMPACTS OF N DEPOSITION Annual N deposition over forests LAND • • 19% of total N (0.93 Tg-N yr-1) is deposited over forests. 84% of the forested regions receive fluxes larger than the critical nitrogen load of 1 g-N m-2 yr-1. Atm=2.02 TgN yr-1 N (g-N m-2 yr-1) OCEAN ASW=1.4 TgN River=1.08 TgN yr-1 yr-1 GW=0.3 TgN yr-1 ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 13 IMPACTS OF N DEPOSITION OVER MARINE ECOSYSTEMS Atm. N Dep. 0.36 TgN yr-1 N C C production 2.4 TgC yr-1 Sedimentation 1.6 TgC yr-1 Theodosi et al., BioGeoSciDisc, 2013 BLACK SEA Atm. N Dep. 0.8 g N m-2 yr-1 N Sedimentation 0.16 gN m-2 yr-1 Kouvarakis et al., GBC, 2001 EAST MED. SEA The excess of N accumulates then in the water column and could explain the anomalous N/P ratio observed in the Eastern Mediterranean (Christodoulaki et al., JMarineSys, 2013). ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 14 CONCLUSIONS • The Mediterranean Sea receives 2.02 Tg-N yr-1 and 1.36 Tg-S yr-1 while the Black Sea receives 0.36 Tg-N yr-1 and 0.17 Tg-S yr-1. • Results compare reasonably with observations and previous model studies over Europe although some underestimation is seen depending on species and season. • A significant amount of the deposited N and S is transported to the Mediterranean basin. • The critical nitrogen load (1 g-N m-2 yr-1) is exceeded in 84% of the European forested areas. • Atmospheric deposition plays a predominant role on the open Mediterranean and Black Seas ecosystems functioning. • Excess N accumulates in the East Med Sea due to atmospheric N and is leading to high N/P ratios. ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 15 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS U. Im N. Daskalakis M. Kanakidou PEGASOS S. Christodoulaki N. Mihalopoulos K. Violaki THANK YOU ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 16 FOCUS ON MEDITERRANEAN & BLACK SEA MOTIVATION • Pollution receptor regions, seasonality. • Semi-closed ecosystem • East Mediterranean Sea is oligotrophic Lelieveld et al., Science, 2002 • Observations have limited geographical coverage. • CTMs provide integrated view (temporal and spatial variations) (local to global). • Few modeling studies dedicated to the atmospheric deposition of N and S to the Mediterranean and the Black Seas. ACCENT 2013, September 2013, Urbino, Italy 18