Surface-Atmosphere fluxes Outline Alex Guenther • Introduction Atmospheric Chemistry Division • Major cycles National Center for Atmospheric Research • Recent scientific advances Boulder CO, USAand challenges 1. Introduction What is in the atmosphere? How did it get there? How does it leave? What is in the Atmosphere? Well mixed Variable N2 (78.084%), O2 (20.948%), Ar (0.934%), CO2 (0.039%), Ne (0.0018%), He (0.000524%), CH4 (0.00018%), H2 (0.000055%), N2O (0.000032%), Halogens (0.0000003%), CFCs H2O, O3, CO, non-methane VOC, NOy, NH3, NO3, NH4, OH, HO2, H2O2, CH2O, SO2, CH3SCH3, CS2, OCS, H2S, SO4, HCN What is in the atmosphere? • 1950s: Atmosphere is 99.999% composed of N2, O2, CO2, H2O, He, Ar, Ne. All are inert! (no chemistry). O3 in the stratosphere. Trace CH4, N2O • 1960s: Recognized that reactive compounds in the atmosphere were important even at extremely low levels. • 1970s: Regional air quality becomes a major research topic. • 1980s: Global atmospheric chemistry becomes a major research topic. Where does the atmosphere come from? Cosmos Earth 1. 2. 3. 4. Original atmosphere Dead planet Living planet Anthropocene Global Biogeochemical Cycles Air Quality: Cloud processesWeather/Climate: Organic Photoozone and Temperature, aerosol oxidant particles sunshine, processes processes precipitation Biological CO2 NOy Latent and H2O particles and NO/NH3 sensible heat VOC NH3 emission emissions Water & Carbon Nitrogen Energy Cycle Cycle Cycles Precipitation and solar radiation Natural Ecosystem Health: Productivity, diversity, water availability Ozone and N deposition Anthropogenic How do we measure surface exchange? • Eddy covariance: The flux is related to the product of fluctuations in vertical wind and concentration. This is the only direct measurement. • Gradient: The flux is related to vertical concentration gradient. • Mass balance (Inverse Model): The flux is related to a concentration or concentration change. Eddy Covariance Flux Data ) Concentration and wind speed measurements above a forest canopy Sampling rate = 10 Hz C ( g m -3 20 10 0 10 w (m s -1 ) 0 s ) -1 ( g m -2 20 10 20 0 40 50 60 70 30 40 50 60 70 40 50 Flux C 12 6 0 -6 30 Vertical wind speed B 3 1 .5 0 -1 .5 0 w 'C ' Concentration A 10 20 30 Time (seconds) 60 70 The flux of a trace gas is calculated as the covariance between the instantaneous deviation of the vertical wind velocity (w’) and the instantaneous deviation of the trace gas (c’) for time periods between 30 min and an hour. Surface layer gradients K: eddy diffusivity coefficient Flux = K dC/dz dz: vertical height difference dC: concentration difference inertial sublayer dC HEIGHT dz Concentration Profile roughness sublayer Mass Balance Budgets Enclosure measurements Emission (deposition) rate is related to the increase (decrease) in mass Static: change with time Dynamic: difference between inflow and outflow Boundary Layer Budget Imaginary box HEIGHT zi May need to consider MIXED LAYER Conc. Profile - chemical loss/production - horizontal advection - non-stationary 0 0 2. The Cycles From the earth surface to the atmosphere and back again Chapter 5. Trace Gas Exchanges and Biogeochemical Cycles. In: Atmospheric Chemistry and Global Change (1999). Brasseur et al. (editors). Water Cycle: source of OH in the atmosphere Separating evapotranspiration into evaporation and transpiration components is an active area of research Atmospheric Chemistry and Global Change (1999). Brasseur et al. (editors). THE NITROGEN CYCLE ATMOSPHERE fixation N2 combustion lightning NO oxidation HNO3 biofixation orgN BIOSPHERE SOIL/OCEAN burial denitrification deposition decay assimilation NH3/NH4+ nitrification NO3weathering LITHOSPHERE Daniel Jacob 2008 Natural Anthropogenic Atmospheric ammonia sources and sinks (Tg per year) Sources Domestic animals: Human excrement: Industry: Fertilizer losses: Fossil fuel combustion: Biomass Burning: Soil: Wild animals: Ocean: 21 2.6 0.2 9 0.1 5.7 6 0.1 8.2 Sinks Wet precipitation (land): 11 Wet precipitation (ocean): 10 Dry deposition (land): 11 Dry deposition (ocean): 5 Reaction with OH: 3 Does it add up? Sources: 52.9 Tg Sinks: 40 Tg This is good agreement considering the uncertainties of factors of 2 or more From Brasseur et al. 1999 Atmospheric NOx sources and sinks (Tg per year) Sources Aircraft: Fossil fuel combustion: Biomass Burning: Soil: Lightning: NH3 oxidation: Stratosphere: Ocean: 0.5 20 12 20 8 3 0.1 <1 Sinks Wet precipitation (land): 19 Wet precipitation (ocean): 8 Dry deposition: 11 Does it add up? Sources: 64 Tg Sinks: 43 Tg This is good agreement considering the uncertainties of factors of 2 or more From Brasseur et al. 1999 The Sulfur Cycle Atmosphere SO2, SO4 H2S, DMS, OCS, CS2, DMDS Vegetation and soils 0.4 to 1.2 Tg of H2S, DMS, OCS, CS2, DMDS Volcanoes 7-10 Tg of H2S, SO2, Biomass OCS burning 2-4 Tg of H2S, Ocean 10SO2, OCS 40 Tg of DMS, OCS, CS2, H2S Wet Dry deposition 50-75 Tg of deposition 50-75 Tg of SO2, SO4 SO2, SO4 Anthropogenic 88-92 Tg of SO2, sulfates The Carbon Cycle Atmosphere CO2 VOC, CH4, CO Dry deposition and photosynthesis Vegetation and soils VOC, CH4, CO2, CO Ocean VOC, CH4, CO2, CO Biomass burning VOC, CH4, CO2, CO Anthropogenic VOC, CH4, CO2, CO Wet precipitation Carbon Emissions: Methane There are hundreds cytoplasm/chloroplast of BVOCs C1-C3 metabolites emitted from resin ducts Vegetation / glands terpenoid VOCs chloroplast terpenoid VOCs phytohormones e.g. ethylene, DMNT cell walls MeOH, HCHO cell membranes fatty acid peroxidation wound-induced OVOCs flowers ~100’s of VOCs Halogens Atmosphere Br-, I-, Cl- CH3Cl, CH3Br, CH3I Dry deposition and soil microbe uptake Vegetation and soils Anthropogenic Biomass burning Ocean 3. Surfaceatmosphere exchange: Recent scientific advances and challenges How will biogenic VOC emissions respond to future changes in landcover, temperature and CO2? • Landcover, temperature and CO2 are changing • Biogenic VOC (BVOC) emissions are very sensitive to these changes • But it is difficult to even predict the sign of future changes in BVOC emissions NCAR CCSM Future Landcover Change Predictions Current Future (2100) Percent land cover changes Snow or Ice -100% Mix Shrub/Grass 1461% Mixed Tundra -100% Bare Sparse Veg. 1317% Wooden Tundra -100% Dryland Crop. 267% Wooded Wetland -100% Urban 205% Evergrn. Broadlf. -100% USDA predictions of tree species composition changes in the eastern U.S. Large increase in oak trees which have very high isoprene emissions USDA climate change tree atlas • Current estimates are based on observations (FIA dist. Data). Future is based on 2x CO2 equil. climate vars from 3 GCMs (PCM, GFDL, HAD) • Provides future state level estimates of 135 tree species for eastern U.S. Landcover change could result in a large regional increases and decreases in U.S. isoprene emissions High = 5600 (Future Isoprene – Current Isoprene Emission factors g m-2 h-1) The overall impact is a large decrease in U.S. average isoprene emission factor (~800 g m-2 h-1) Low = -5900 This is mostly due to a predicted decrease in broadleaf tree coverage Broadleaf tree change High = 0% Low = 30% BVOC emissions will increase with increasing temperatures Isoprene emission activity 3 Short-term and Long-term response 2.5 2 1.5 Short-term response 30 35 40 Temperature (oC) 45 but we don’t know if the response will be similar to what is observed for short-term variations or if there will be an additional longterm component Guenther et al. 2006 Decreasing emissions are expected for increasing CO2 but the magnitude is uncertain and there may be indirect CO2 effects (increasing LAI, changing species composition) Heald et al. 2008 As a result of these uncertainties: Different models have substantially different predictions of future changes in biogenic VOC emissions Year 2050 BVOC – Year 2000 BVOC (g/m2/day) These differences have a large impact on predicted future ozone and particles Weaver et al. 2009 Why do recent “state-of-the-art” estimates of secondary organic aerosol (SOA) production differ by a factor of 5? Goldstein and Galbally, ES&T, 2007 Hallquist et al., ACP, 2009 SOA: 134 TgC/yr large uncertainty in estimates of Volatile Organic Carbon (VOC) deposition Resistance Model CA for estimating dry deposition Fd v d C A RA Aerodynamic resistance (turbulent diffusion) Boundary layer resistance (molecular diffusion) RB CU C CLC RM RS RL vd CS U RML RSL 1 R A R B RC : RC RAG Canopy resistance RGS CG CC We evaluated model performance for oxyVOC with measurements at a wide range of field sites Our field flux measurements indicated that model Rc for oxygenated VOC is too high. Why are we underestimating VOC deposition? traditional model modified model The models assume that oVOC deposition is just a physical process FL0 growth chamber experiments with Populus trichocarpa x deltoides Stomata ~20-30 μm We suspected that the high deposition rates were due to a biological process. FL0 growth chamber experiments with Populus trichocarpa x deltoides Exposure Experiments MVK fumigation O3 fumigation acetaldehyde methyl vinyl ketone pre-fum fum acetaldehyde methyl vinyl ketone post- fum pre-fum fum post- fum qPCR (quantitative polymerase chain reaction) biotic and a-biotic stress markers 100.0 conversion of carbonyls (AAO2, ALDH2) and oxidative stress repair (MsrA) a-carbonic acid synthase (ACS) carboxylic acid oxidase (ACO1) ROS 10.0 This tells us that the plants turned on these genes to actively take up oVOC 2-folding ozone mvk wound significance level 1.0 0.1 MsrA AAO2 ALDH2 SOD APX ACS ACO1 p450 DHQ WRKY Change in oVOC dry deposition when we put the new model in NCAR/MOZART model This has a significant impact on regional atmospheric chemistry Global increase in dry deposition: ~36% Global decrease in wet deposition: ~7% Any Questions?