André K. Anundsen P ERSONAL AND C ONTACT I NFORMATION Born: October 26, 1985 in Porsgrunn, Norway Researcher/Senior Adviser Norges Bank, Research Department Bankplassen 2, P.O. Box 1179 Sentrum, Norway Mobile: +47-97-15-90-34 Office: +47-22-31-63-75 Email: andre-kallak.anundsen@norges-bank.no Personal web page: www.andre-anundsen.com R ESEARCH I NTERESTS Applied econometrics (and time series in particular), housing markets, financial stability and macroeconomics P ROFESSIONAL E XPERIENCE Researcher/Senior Adviser Norges Bank Research Department December 2013 – present • Senior adviser in the financial stability wing and researcher in the research unit Researcher (part time 10%) January 2013 – August 2013 Statistics Norway, Unit of Macroeconomics • Working on issues related to the econometric modeling of the Norwegian housing market. A model for the interaction between housing prices and credit that I have developed together with Eilev S. Jansen has been implemented in the macroeconometric forecasting and policy analysis model KVARTS, which is maintained and operated by Statistics Norway. Junior Executive Officer (part time 20%) June 2009 – August 2010 Statistics Norway, Unit of Macroeconomics • Writing master thesis on the interaction between housing prices and credit, which later resulted in the research project leading to the model for the joint interaction between housing prices and credit that is now implemented in KVARTS. Research Assistant August 2007 – June 2008 University of Oslo, Department of economics E DUCATION Ph.D. University of Oslo, Department of Economics, August 2010 – May 2014 Thesis Title: Housing markets and financial stability Adviser: Professor Ragnar Nymoen Area of Study: Applied econometrics, Housing Economics, Macroeconomics Committee: Professor Niels Haldrup (University of Aarhus), Professor Asbjørn Rødseth (University of Oslo) and Professor Susan Wachter (Wharton, University of Pennsylvania) • Defended on May 9th , 2014 • • • • Academic Visitor, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, January 2012 – June 2012 M.S., University of Oslo, Department of Economics, August 2005 – June 2010 • Thesis Title: Boligpriser, forventninger og gjeld : En økonometrisk analyse av samspillet mellom bolig- og kredittmarkedet i Norge • Advisers: Professor Ragnar Nymoen and Eilev S. Jansen 1 of 5 Visiting graduate student, University of Washington, Department of Economics, August 2008 – June 2009 R EFEREED J OURNAL P UBLICATIONS [1] Anundsen, A. K. (2014): Econometric regime shifts and the US subprime bubble. Journal of Applied Econometrics, Forthcoming. doi:10.1002/jae.2367 [2] Anundsen, A.K., T. S. H. Krogh, R. Nymoen and J. Vislie (2014): Overdeterminacy and endogenous cycles: Trygve Haavelmo’s business cycle model. Metroeconomica, Forthcoming. doi:10.1111/meca.12049 [3] Anundsen, A. K. and E. R., Larsen. Strategic sequencing behavior among owner-occupiers: The role played by sell-first movers in a housing recovery. Journal of European Real Estate Research, 7 (3): 295–306. doi:10.1108/JERER-01-2014-0004 [4] Anundsen, A.K., and E.S. Jansen (2013): Self-reinforcing effects between housing prices and credit. Journal of Housing Economics, 22(3):192–212. doi:10.1016/j.jhe.2013.07.001 [5] Anundsen, A.K., T. S. H. Krogh, R. Nymoen and J. Vislie (2011): The Macroeconomics of Trygve Haavelmo. Nordic Journal of Political Economy, 37–Article 2. W ORKING PAPERS [6] Anundsen, A. K. and K., Gerdrup and F., Hansen and K., Kragh-Sørensen (2014): Bubbles and crises: The role of house prices and credit, Working Paper (2014-14), Norges Bank. [7] Anundsen, A. K. and C., Heebøll (2014): Regional US house price formation: One size fits all?, Working Paper (2014-8), Norges Bank. [8] Anundsen, A.K. and C, Heebøll (2013): Supply restrictions, subprime lending and regional US house prices. Memorandum (2013-4), Department of Economics, University of Oslo. PAPERS IN P REPARATION Anundsen, A. K. and R., Nymoen: Did US consumers save for a rainy day before the Great Recession?. Draft available upon request Anundsen, A. K. and E. R., Larsen. The efficiency of housing markets: Does winning the bidding imply losing the long-term return?. Work in progress Anundsen, A. K.: Econometric methods for detecting imbalances in house prices: What goes up must come down?. Preliminary draft Anundsen, A. K. and E. S., Jansen. An automatized procedure for jointly forecasting housing prices and credit. Preliminary draft Anundsen, A. K.: Was there a nationwide house price bubble in the US housing market in the 2000s? Work in progress Anundsen, A. K. and C. C., Heebøll. The ripple effect in regional US housing markets. Work in progress Anundsen, A. K. and C. C., Heebøll. A method for selecting optimal weights in a GVAR model. Work in progress B OOK C HAPTERS [9] Anundsen, A. K. Contributor to two book chapters on exchange rate modeling in a book project by Bernt Stigum, Forthcoming on MIT press. 2 of 5 OTHER P UBLICATIONS ( IN N ORWEGIAN ) Anundsen, A.K., T. S. H. Krogh, R. Nymoen and J. Vislie. Haavelmos makromodeller: Endogene konjunkturer og inflasjonsteori. Samfunnsøkonomen, (2011-9):32–43, 2011. Anundsen, A. K. Forskermøtet - 2011. Samfunnsøkonomen, (2011/1):43-46, 2011. Anundsen, A. K. Finanskrisen: Sett fra politikken, næringslivet og akademia. Samfunnsøkonomen, (2010/2): 34–36, 2010. Anundsen, A. K. Nobelprissymposium 2009: Til ære for Oliver Willamson. Samfunnsøkonomen, (2010/1):40-42, 2010. Anundsen, A. K. and Holmen, R. B. Samfunnsøkonomenes Frokostmøte: Fremtidige finansieringsproblemer og utdeling av prognoseprisen. Samfunnsøkonomen, (2009/9):38–40, 2009. Anundsen, A. K. and Holmen, R. B. Samfunnsøkonomenes Høstkonferanse 2009: Norge som oljenasjon, Samfunnsøkonomen, (2009/8):52–54, 2009. M EDIA C OVERAGE ( IN N ORWEGIAN ) Ingen boligboble i Norge, Interview in Finansavisen, 14/03-2013, p. 20, 2013. Byggebrems og boligbobler, Dagens Næringsliv , 04/04-2013, pp. 42–43, 2013. Anundsen, A.K. and T. S. H. Krogh. Inflasjonsmål og ubalanser, Dagens Næringsliv, 16/042011, p. 35, 2011. Anundsen, A.K. and E. S. Jansen. Pengespiralen. Dagens Næringsliv, 29/03, p. 3, 2011. Bygg buffer mot boligkrise. Dagens Næringsliv, 17/10-2011, p.26, 2011. C ONFERENCE TALKS Econometric regime shifts and the US subprime bubble: Central Bank Macroeconomic Modeling Workshop: Modeling Imbalances in Warsaw, September 13–14, 2012; Workshop on Empirical Methods in Macroeconomic Policy Analysis in Bucharest, May 16–17, 2013; Financial Globalisation and Sustainable Finance: Implications for Policy and Practice in Cape Town, May 29–31, 2013; 5th IFABS conference on “The Search for Financial Stability: Models, Policies and Prospects” in Nottingham, June 26–28, 2013; 28th European Economic Association annual Congress in Gothenburg, August 26–30, 2013. Self-reinforcing effects between housing prices and credit: Norwegian Economic Association’s Annual Research Conference in Bergen January 5–7, 2010; The Nordic Econometric Meeting in Århus, May 27–29, 2011. Supply restrictions, subprime lending and regional US house prices: 67th European Meeting of the Econometric Society in Gothenburg, August 26–30, 2013; 17th World Congress of the International Economic Association at the Dead Sea, June 6–10, 2014; 2014 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society in Minneapolis, June 19–22, 2014. Regional US house price formation: One size fits all?: 13th OxMetrics User Conference in Århus, September 5–6, 2013; The 36th meeting of the Norwegian Economic Association, January 6–7, 2014; The 7th RGS Doctoral Conference in Economics in Dortmund, February 26–28, 2014; The 2014 Annual Conference of the Royal Economic Society in Manchester, April 7–9, 2014; 1st annual conference of the International Association for Applied Econometrics in London, June 26–28, 2014; 68t h European Meeting of the Econometric Society. 3 of 5 I NVITED TALKS 2014: Valutaseminaret 2014, Oslo; DnB Markets, Oslo. 2013: Various talks on the Norwegian and US housing market at Aktualitetsuka (for the students at the University of Oslo); The seminar "Kommer vi i hus? - Om boligkrisa og de unge, Oslo. Menon, Oslo. Presentations at: Statistics Norway (Various Workshops); Norges Bank (Job Talk); University of Oslo (Research Seminar) 2012: Presentations at Statistics Norway (Various Workshops) 2011: Various talks on the Norwegian and US housing market at Finansco, Oslo; The Norwegian Ministry of Finance, Oslo. Presentations at Statistics Norway (Various Workshops) G RANTS AND STIPENDS Stipend from Professor Wilhelm Keilhaus Minnefond (2011 and 2013) Stipend from Norges Banks fond til økonomisk forskning (2011 and 2013) S TUDENT A DVISING Mari Ranheim Graduate student in Economics, University of Oslo. Thesis title: Hva forklarer den ulike utviklingen i norske og danske boligpriser siden 2008? En økonometrisk analyse av det norske og danske boligmarkedet Year: 2014 Morten Haabeth Grindaker Graduate student in Economics, University of Oslo. Thesis title: The impact of household leverage on mortgage foreclosures in Norway: A threat to stability? Year: 2013 Other: Awarded the best master thesis of the year in macroeconomics, University of Oslo T EACHING E XPERIENCE Teaching full day seminars in macroeconomics for persons qualifying to become financial advisers, 2013 – Seminar leader and responsible for computer class in ECON 4160: Econometrics - Modeling and system estimation (advanced master course), Fall 2014, Fall 2013 and Fall 2012 • Graduate-level course in econometrics at University of Oslo, Department of Economics, see also here Lecturer in ECON 1310: Macroeconomic Theory and Policy, Fall 2012 and Spring 2013 • Undergraduate-level course in macroeconomics at University of Oslo, Department of Economics, see also here Seminar leader in ECON 1310: Macroeconomic Theory and Policy, Spring 2010, Spring 2008, Fall 2007 • Undergraduate-level course in macroeconomics at University of Oslo, Department of Economics, see also here Seminar leader in ECON 2310: Macroeconomic Analysis, Fall 2009 • Undergraduate-level course in macroeconomics at University of Oslo, Department of Economics, see also here 4 of 5 P ROFESSIONAL S ERVICE L ANGUAGES Referee Service • Economic Journal (1), Energy policy (1), Journal of Banking and Finance (1) Norwegian: Mother tongue English: Fluent German: Basic conversation and good understanding Danish and Swedish: Perfect understanding 5 of 5